Факторы формирования времени начала эвакуации людей в медицинских учреждениях со стационаром

Abstract

Introduction. The article considers the question of the nature and degree of influence of factors that have a dominant influence on the start time of evacuation of the main functional contingent of medical institutions with a hospital. Numerous studies have established that the start time of evacuation is a random variable formed under the influence of many different circumstances. At the same time, in order to estimate the most probable values of the evacuation start time, it is generally impossible to take into account all the many factors, which means it is necessary to establish a limited set of them, the influence of which will be dominant. Goals and objectives. The purpose of this work is to determine the final list of factors and the degree of their influence on the formation of the start time of evacuation of the main functional contingent of medical institutions with a hospital. Methods. The analysis of the published results of studies of the time of the beginning of evacuation allowed us to identify not only the factors whose influence in this case will be dominant, but also to determine the nature of their impact on the studied value. In turn, the degree of influence was estimated using an additive factor model. Results and discussions. As a result of this work, it was found that for medical hospitals, the key indicators affecting the value of the evacuation start time are the level of fire-fighting training of personnel, the features of the automatic fire alarm system and the warning and evacuation management system in case of fire, as well as the current time of day (sleep state). At the same time, the nature of the influence of the first two factors will be additive, while the latter, on the contrary, will be multiplicative. Conclusion. Thus, the result of this study was the establishment of a set of factors, the influence of which must be taken into account when assessing the values of the start time of evacuation of the main functional contingent of medical institutions with a hospital, as well as when planning and conducting appropriate experimental studies. Keywords: evacuation start time; fire; medical institutions with a hospital; level of fire-fighting training; influencing factors.