Abstract
Under conditions of system crisis, the use of traditional forecasting and planning methods does not allow providing the required level of reliability due to the fact that radical change in institutional environment leads to emergence of fundamental impossibility of prolongation of retrospective trends into the future. Under conditions of spasmodic increase of uncertainty, the choice of the direction of strategic development of socio-ecological and economic systems for medium and long term is determined by the impact of a complicated complex of individually insignificant factors. Institutional guidelines play the most important role in this process, transformation of which is activated precisely during the crisis phase.
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