Моделирование схем международного взаимодействия в евразийских транспортных коридорах на основе железнодорожной инфраструктуры

Abstract

Objective: Economic assessment of options for optimizing international interaction schemes in Eur-asian transport corridors based on railway infrastructure as the global logistics market is changing significantly under the impact of the economic post-crisis, as it is inextricably linked to all stages of production and sale of goods, redistribution of regional and international commodity markets. Methods: Statistical observation, sampling and correlation and regression analysis methods were used, taking into account big data on the status and trends of transport of EAEC, EU, PRC member states, and international organisations. Results: The methodological approach to justify the devel-opment of railway infrastructure in Eurasian transport corridors has been developed. The main fac-tors that determine (gravitation) freight traffic by modes of transport serving freight flows along the China–EU–EU axis are systematized and the impact of these factors on the performance of freight flows switched to the EAEU transport infrastructure is assessed (estimation of elasticity of demand for container transportation of goods by “convenience”). The results of modelling the transportation of goods re¬levant for switching to rail transport according to the assessment of the impact of the cost factor on the indicators of freight flows that are switched to the EEU transport infrastructure (assessment of the elasticity of demand for the transportation of goods in a contain-er according to the tariff) are presented. Practical importance: The obtained results reduce the level of uncertainty when making practical decisions on planning the activities of transport organiza-tions and cargo owners.