СВІТОВИЙ ДОСВІД ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ І ПЛАНУВАННЯ СОЦІАЛЬНО-ЕКОНОМІЧНОГО РОЗВИТКУ В ПРОЦЕСІ РОЗБУДОВИ «ДЕРЖАВИ ДОБРОБУТУ»

Abstract

The article discusses the objective need to use the world experience of forecasting and planning in the process of developing a "welfare state" as an effective model for the modern development of a socially oriented market economy. The denial and lack of planning and forecasting of the economy on the scale of the country can lead to such negative consequences as uncertainty of the benchmarks of social and economic development of society for the long term and the development of chaos in the country; priorities of the decision short-term and current problems before strategic tasks on which the future development of society depends; preservation of playback modes; incomplete and inefficient use of resources; the emergence of crisis situations, etc. The practice of the leading countries of the world and the results they get prove that planning and forecasting are objectively necessary tools for the development of the modern market economy. The experience of many countries of the world testifies to the effectiveness of the use of these tools of state regulation of national socio-economic development. Features of forecasting and planning are considered in the representative countries of three existing systems of planning and regulation in the world: North American (USA and Canada); Asian (Japan and South Korea); European (France and Sweden). The forecasting and planning tools are based on the intersection balance model, which involves the inclusion of market impact (equilibrium prices) to determine the proportions of the plan and reflects the dynamics of production links (processes of public reproduction) of the national economy for several years. In the 21st century, strategic planning for the effective development of the state's economy is a prerequisite for sustainable economic growth and the formation of a national model of "welfare state" on this basis. Today, developed (post-industrial) countries use planning and forecasting, which have established themselves as an objective and natural tool for the modern market economy, where the role of the state is based on indicative planning, which ensures the achievement of sustainable economic growth to improve the well-being of the nation.