Разработка модели оценки влияния персонала на состояние системы комплексной безопасности, созданной на производственных предприятиях

Abstract

The article presents an integrated safety system established at explosion- and fire-hazardous plants; the system requires continuous improvement and development. The transition of the system to a qualitatively new level is possible via using a justified expert method to determine the quantitative value (measure) of the influence of subsystems of industrial and fire safety, labor protection, and production structural units. This allows to detect significant gaps, develop measures to correct the deviations detected, and monitor the dynamics of improvement of influence factors within the established period for each subsystem (industrial and fire safety, labor protection, and structural production units). The article aims to improve the condition of the integrated safety system at an enterprise via the assessment of the influence of personnel (industrial and fire safety, labor protection, and structural production units) performing their labor functions to ensure the high-quality functioning of the system. To achieve the goal, two problems had to be solved. In the course of solving problem № 1, the justification for using the prioritizing method was provided; the method has a distinct advantage over the other expert methods of assessment, as it has no limits for boundary expansion in order to obtain adequate results. It has been demonstrated that the application of the prioritizing method and the Gaussian normal distribution function in conjunction enables solving problems by choosing a specific subsystem by experts (industrial and fire safety, labor protection, and structural production units) deviations of which, due to its flaws (errors), have caused the primary factors of damage from accidents and fires. In the course of solving problem № 2, an example confirming the adequacy of the application of the prioritizing method together with the Gaussian normal distribution function was demonstrated. Based on the systemic analysis of methods used in practice, the justification of application of the expert method that enables obtaining quantitative values displayed as the influence coefficient was obtained, which indicates certain deviations and enables the correction of the personnel management model (industrial and fire safety, labor protection, and structural production units).