Abstract
The article is devoted to the socio-philosophical, military-political analysis of the dangerous evolution of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in the broader context of global security. The author explicates a natural path from subtle actions of support for armed separatists of the DPR-LPR, covered by the narrative 'we are not here‘, to an open aggressive attack on Ukraine by 'invasion forces‘ for a quick 'special military operation‘, and after its failure, to large - scale hostilities with a half-million-strong mobilised army in a war to destroy Ukrainians. For decades, the Russians have been pursuing a policy of subjugating Ukraine, first by the 'soft‘ power of energy ties to the 'gas octopus‘, falsification of Ukrainian history, humanitarian fog of 'unity of peoples‘, then by the transition to a 'conflict below armed conflict‘ in an attempt to seize the island of Tuzla (2003) (which can be seen as a ) (which can be regarded as a prologue to war), the unleashing of a 'hybrid‘ war, then a full-scale war, and steps to demonstrate superiority in airspace, and finally nuclear blackmail. Recognition of the war's escalation into a 'catastrophic clash‘ of world powers, or a 'clash of world leaders outside Ukraine‘, in the terminology of American analysts (Thomas F. Lynch), is not sufficient for a deep scientific analysis of the evolution of Russian plans and actions, іn the current Russian-Ukrainian war, the goal is the destruction of Ukraine's armed resistance, further neocolonisation of the independent state, and the restoration of Russia's imperial ambitions in the Euro-Asian space. Under these circumstances, it is important to determine the form (model) of our country's military security in a situation of long-term confrontation with Muscovy, given the disappointing dynamics of the security situation in Europe and the prospects for an 'armed peace‘. While Western analysts believe that the future is 'shrouded in a fog of uncertainty‘ and European armies seem to have a margin of 4-5 years to prepare for a war with Muscovy, the urgent task of Ukrainian scholars is to scientifically predict the deteriorating trend in the global security situation, in which Ukraine has already shown an example of resilience and struggle. The author offers an overview of 4 models of military security for it: synergistic, Euro-Atlantic, Israeli and synthetic, the choice of which will be given to politicians and strategists.
Published Version
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