Abstract
Проведен анализ статистической информации о пожарах и их последствиях в целях установления зависимости количества пожаров от периодичности проведения плановых проверок. Получены математические модели, описывающие зависимость числа пожаров на социально значимых объектах защиты от периодичности плановых проверок их противопожарного состояния. Разработана методика обоснования оптимальной периодичности проведения плановых проверок противопожарного состояния социально значимых объектов защиты органами ГПН. Обоснована оптимальная периодичность проведения таких проверок. The purpose of the paper was to analyze statistical information on fires in order to establish the dependence of the number of fires at socially important facilities on the frequency of scheduled inspections as well as to develop a methodology for justifying the optimal frequency of scheduled inspections of their fire safety condition by the State Fire Supervision bodies of EMERCOM of Russia. As a result of the conducted research, mathematical models were initially obtained to determine the number of fires at socially important facilities depending on the time that has elapsed since their last inspection, as well as to determine the number of fires at these facilities depending on the frequency of scheduled inspections. The scientific novelty of the paper lies in the fact that the original methodology for substantiating the optimal frequency of scheduled inspections of the fire safety condition of socially important facilities has been clarified and tested for the first time on a scientific basis. The practical significance of the paper lies in the fact that the initially obtained data allow us to substantiate on a scientific basis the following: the optimal frequency of scheduled inspections of the fire-fighting condition of socially important facilities; the necessity to assign these facilities to the appropriate risk category, depending on the optimal frequency of their scheduled inspection; the necessary number of personnel of the State Fire Supervision bodies of EMERCOM of Russia for timely and qualitative inspection of supervised facilities. The results of the paper also make it possible to substantiate the expediency of introducing amendments in accordance with Part 6 of Clause 25 of Federal Law No. 248-FZ dated 31 July 2020 to the “Regulations on Federal State Fire Supervision” approved by Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 290 dated 12 April 2012, in order to establish a new method for justifying the frequency of planned control (supervisory) measures in relation to socially important facilities and their assignment to the appropriate risk category.
Published Version
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