Expansion Of Woody Vegetation Research Articles

Tree and shrub expansion at treeline drive contrasting responses in a subarctic passerine community.

Inferences about the mechanisms of distributional change are often made from simple assessments of variation in the geographical positions of populations. However, direct assessments of species' responses to local habitat change may be necessary for proper understanding of the drivers of distributional dynamics. Amplified climate warming is inducing cascading impacts in boreal-tundra regions including the expansion of conifers and deciduous shrubs (shrubs). In Denali National Park (Denali), Alaska, passerine birds are exhibiting rapid upslope shifts in distribution but the relative roles of conifer and shrub (woody vegetation) expansion in driving these shifts are unknown. Without directly assessing passerine-vegetation dynamics, the assumption has been that the observed upslope shifts are indicative of shrub-adapted passerines tracking the upslope expansion of shrubs. Here, we jointly investigate the processes of conifer and shrub expansion and their relationship to changes in passerine abundance in Denali. We used a remotely sensed vegetation cover timeseries (1985-2020) to assess the topographic and edaphic correlates of conifer and shrub expansion. We then assessed the impacts of changes in shrub and conifer cover on the relative abundance of 12 passerine species (1995-2020). Shrub and conifer colonization rates were highest at intermediate elevations near treeline. However, forest- and shrub-adapted passerines differed in terms of the location in which their response was concentrated relative to treeline. The population growth rates of forest-adapted passerines exhibited stronger effects of woody vegetation expansion at sites that were initially above treeline (IAT). In contrast, the population growth rates of shrub-adapted passerines exhibited the negative effects of conifer expansion together with the positive effects of shrub expansion at initially below treeline sites. However, they showed a weak response to woody vegetation expansion at sites that were IAT. Below treeline conifer infilling appears to be pushing the elevational distributions of shrub-adapted passerines upslope rather than these species following the pull of modest shrub expansion above treeline, as previously assumed. Overall, our findings illustrate the need for explicitly accommodating heterogeneity in habitat change at small spatial scales to properly view the distributional response, particularly when habitat change is concentrated at ecotones.

ГОЛОЦЕН СРЕДНЕТАЕЖНОЙ ПОДЗОНЫ ЗАПАДНОЙ СИБИРИ ПО ПАЛИНОЛОГИЧЕСКИМ ДАННЫМ РАЗРЕЗА В ДОЛИНЕ Р. МУЛЫМЬИ

The purpose of the research was a comprehensive palaeoecological study of peat deposits from a core in the floodplain of the Mulymya river, reconstruction of changes in climatic parameters and vegetation in the Holocene according to spore-pollen analysis (SPA) and radiocarbon dates. In the course of the study, new data were received from the SPA of the Mulymya core, provided with a series of AMS dates, which made it possible to record changes in climatic parameters and the transformation of forest formations of the Konda left-bank middle taiga province for the period 10180–2720 BP / 8463–977 BC. In the late glacial period (up to 10,000 BP / 8250 BC), the territory represented open spaces with widespread permafrost. In the Early Holocene, 9750–8200 BP / 7750–650 BC, the expansion of woody vegetation began: there was an expansion of forest areas from sparse forests to closed forests. From the beginning, woody vegetation grew in islands of open spruce forests with an admixture of larch and birch with a moss-shrub cover. Pine and birch dominated in the composition of forests by the Middle Holocene, spruce, larch, fir and Siberian cedar were found in admixtures. The instability of the climate is reflected in the variegated stratigraphy of the peat deposit: the alternation of sedge-cotton grass and woody peat with the participation of sphagnum mosses indicates to the hydrological regime fluctuations. The Late Holocene (from 4760–3670 BP / 2850–1650 BC) is characterized by relatively stable climatic conditions; spruce-cedar-pine forests grew in the territory under consideration. The floodplain communities were represented by sedge-cotton grass associations. From 3670 to 2900 BP / 1650–1100 ВС, the floodplain was afforested, which is indicated by the remains of wood in the peat.

Large contribution of woody plant expansion to recent vegetative greening of the Northern Great Plains

AbstractAimExtensive portions of high‐latitude grasslands worldwide have recently experienced increased vegetative productivity (i.e., greening) and have undergone a rapid transition towards woody plant dominance via the process of woody plant expansion (WPE). This raises the underlying question: To what degree are WPE and greening spatiotemporally linked? Given that these vegetative changes are predicted to continue, we seek to understand how recent changes in vegetation extent and productivity have interacted under recent climate change and anthropogenic disturbance to provide insights surrounding the future trajectory of temperate grasslands broadly.LocationNorthern Great Plains (NGP), North America.TaxonWoody plants.MethodsGreening was measured as the significant increase in three metrics between 2000 and 2019: leaf area index (LAI), annual maximum normalized difference vegetative index (NDVI) and annual mean NDVI. WPE was measured as the significant proportional increase in percent tree cover change between 2000 and 2019 in grasslands. We then examined these variables across a host of 26 potential driving variables.ResultsWe show that average proportional greening increased by 0.2–1.3% year−1 (depending on metric), and proportional WPE increased by 6.9% year−1 since 2000 across the NGP. Both changes are largely driven by the absence of wildfire and changing climate. Furthermore, WPE was spatially coherent and positively associated with a large component of recent greening, as revealed by their coupling across 34.1%–40.6% of grassland area and as evidenced by the 9.7%–19.7% of the variability in greening explained by WPE.Main conclusionsWPE and greening are spatiotemporally coupled across large portions of the NGP. Under continued climate change and wildfire suppression, WPE and greening are likely to continue across large swathes of grasslands globally. Furthermore, our results show that using a single greening metric may be insufficient to capture the large‐scale vegetative changes such as the expansion of woody vegetation.

Forage selection by Masai giraffes (Giraffa camelopardalis tippelskirchi) at multiple spatial scales

Abstract Management of rangelands requires knowledge of forage species that are preferred or avoided by wildlife and livestock. A recent expansion of woody vegetation into previously open grasslands in African savanna ecosystems negatively impacts many mammalian grazers. Nevertheless, the ecological role of bush encroacher plant species as food may present a benefit for browsing species. We quantified diet selection by Masai giraffes (Giraffa camelopardalis tippelskirchi) through foraging observations and vegetation sampling in the Tarangire Ecosystem of Tanzania, which includes large areas of a native shrub that livestock managers have classified as an encroacher species (Dichrostachys cinerea). We compared woody plant species used by giraffes for foraging with availability at two different spatial scales during the wet and dry seasons. Giraffes selected some woody plants such as Vachellia species while significantly avoiding others, both at the local and landscape scales. Giraffes preferred foraging on D. cinerea at both spatial scales and in both the wet and dry seasons. Management that has focused on benefiting grazing livestock by removal of encroaching species (e.g., D. cinerea) may have unintended consequences for wildlife, especially for browsing species like giraffes that feed extensively on the expanding bush species.

Influences of channel and floodplain modification on expansion of woody vegetation into Catahoula Lake, Louisiana, USA

AbstractEcosystem structure of wetlands in managed floodplains depends on hydrological processes controlled by geomorphology and water management. Overlapping effects of direct modifications and geomorphic adjustments to management can combine to trigger changes to floodplain ecosystem structure. We examined the case of woody vegetation encroaching into the depressional Catahoula Lake, Louisiana, in the context of regional hydrologic and geomorphic modification in the floodplain of the Mississippi River. Historical aerial photographs indicated woody encroachment into Catahoula Lake for at least 80 years, and the rate of expansion has increased in recent decades. Historical stage analysis revealed that the downstream Red–Atchafalaya–Mississippi River system controls the lower limit of the lake water level when the large rivers are high, but channel enlargement and other hydrological changes there have reduced the frequency of backwater flooding by 42% since 1880. In addition, operation of the water control structure on the lake has altered its hydrological regime to be more regular among years. Historic stage analysis revealed current lake levels are lower in the high‐water spring, less variable in the dry period, and lack the extreme high‐water events of 100+ years ago, all of which facilitate the expansion of woody vegetation.

Trophic and spatial complementarity on seed dispersal services by birds, wild mammals, and cattle in a Mediterranean woodland pasture

Most earth surfaces have undergone intensive land-use changes, creating habitat mosaics. Seed dispersal by animals is a crucial process in such mosaics, but community-wide studies comparing the functional complementarity and response to man-imposed habitat heterogeneity are rare. Here, we investigate the trophic and spatial seed dispersal networks underpinning a strong, woody vegetation expansion over a pastureland inside the largest forest remnant in western Sicily, Italy. Over two fruiting seasons, we surveyed transects in three distinct biomes within our study area: forest, pastureland, and unpaved road. In total, we collected 659 feces and tested for differences in defecation patterns and seed rain density of birds, wild mammals, and cattle. We also tested the degree of trophic and spatial specialization and modularity using a network approach. Overall, birds dispersed 1208 seeds/ha of nine plant species, including six exclusive. Mammals dispersed 679 seeds/ha from four wild species, three of which also dispersed by birds, and 38 seeds/ha of three cultivated species. In turn, mammals dispersed exclusively the seeds of wild pear ( Pyrus amygdaliformis ), the most abundant tree in the woodland pasture. Cattle only dispersed wild pear, but accounting for 56% of the dispersed seeds. Seed rain densities were significantly higher in woodland pastures than in forests. However, almost of half the seeds dispersed by cattle and red fox were deposited on unpaved roads. While both trophic and spatial networks were more specialized than expected, we did detect distinct modules. Our study demonstrated the magnitude of the effects of man-made habitat heterogeneity on seed dispersal services, giving baseline information for restoration programs as well as high nature value pastureland management strategies. • Birds and mammals are complementary in their seed dispersal services and key for vegetation dynamics. • Rewilding with cattle can just partially compensate this services, but not replace wild mammals role. • Fruit-rich woodland pasture was more relevant than fruit poor managed forest for seed dispersal networks. • Soft linear developments may act both as seed dispersal corridors or as seed dispersal sinks. • Seed dispersal networks can be good indicators to define high nature value agroforestry systems.

Expansion of woody vegetation on a Missouri River reservoir delta‐backwater

AbstractConstruction of dams in the mid‐20th century reduced channel dynamism, sediment transport, and regeneration of riparian trees on the Missouri River. Opportunities for forest regeneration, however, may occur where the Missouri River or tributaries deposit sediments in reservoir headwaters, forming deltaic and associated upstream backwater areas. One such delta‐backwater occurs at the confluence of the Niobrara and Missouri rivers upstream from Lewis and Clark Lake in southeastern South Dakota and northeastern Nebraska. We investigated spatiotemporal patterns of tree recruitment through vegetation sampling in 2017–2018, dendrochronology, and analysis of aerial photography from 2006 to 2016. We sampled woody vegetation in 47 plots and took tree‐ring samples from one to two trees within each plot to determine establishment dates. Woody vegetation was dominated by Populus deltoides (cottonwood) and Salix amygdaloides (peachleaf willow) in the tree layer and Salix interior (sandbar willow) in the shrub layer. Tree establishment occurred primarily in 2010–2012 and was distributed throughout the study area, including at the delta‐reservoir interface. LiDAR data showed that most of the delta‐backwater experienced a 0.5‐m increase in elevation in 2005–2011, a period that included high flows in 2010 on the Niobrara River and 2011 on the Missouri River. Woody vegetation decreased 8% from 2006 to 2012, but doubled from 2012 to 2016, colonizing areas of previous sandbar and herbaceous vegetation. These woodlands represent early successional habitat that is in decline elsewhere along the river. Understanding vegetation dynamics within reservoir delta‐backwaters may be vital for forecasting changes in regulated riverine landscapes, assessing biodiversity values of these ecosystems, and informing sustainable reservoir management.

Variations in soil aggregation, microbial community structure and soil organic matter cycling associated to long-term afforestation and woody encroachment in a Mediterranean alpine ecotone

Afforestation and subsequent expansion of trees on former grasslands may significantly impact the structure and activity of the soil microbial community, altering soil aggregation and affect its potential to store and cycle organic matter (OM). We investigated OM dynamics in aggregate-size topsoil samples collected along a Mediterranean alpine ecotone consisting of three vegetation types (grassland/shrubland, mixed shrubland-pine, and pine forest) in central Spain. Analytical determinations of soil organic carbon (SOC), total nitrogen (TN), particulate OM (POM), mineral-associated OM (MaOM), and the stable isotopic composition of carbon were conducted in each of the four aggregate-size fractions considered. Additionally, the structure of the microbial community (assessed as PLFA abundance), and the β-glucosidase and β-glucosaminidase activities were determined in bulk soil samples. More than half of the soil mass was contained within small macroaggregates regardless of vegetation type. SOC and TN values increased with decreasing aggregate-size classes across all vegetation types. The stability of microaggregates was negatively affected by the expansion of woody vegetation, which resulted in tree-dominated stands showing comparatively lower SOC and TN values in the smaller aggregate-size classes. On the other hand, these vegetation dynamics promoted soil macro-aggregation. While SOC contents did not show significant differences between land covers, vegetation shifts induced changes in the soil microbial community. Soil δ13C values, the abundance of gram-positive bacteria and β-glucosidase activity were significantly higher in grasslands/shrublands than in forests, while significantly higher fungi/bacteria ratio was observed in forests. Small macroaggregates appear to play a key role in the stabilisation of relatively unprocessed OM across all vegetation types, as suggested by their significantly higher concentrations of POM. However, this fraction represents the most labile pool of OM, and as such, it is the most exposed to mineralisation. We conclude that the afforestation and potential vegetation shifts experienced in Mediterranean alpine grasslands lead to distinct changes in soil microbial communities, aggregation and soil OM dynamics, which given the strong temperature sensitivity to decomposition commonly reported in cold environments, suggests that soil OM in these high-elevation ecosystems may become highly vulnerable to environmental change.

Sixteen hundred years of increasing tree cover prior to modern deforestation in Southern Amazon and Central Brazilian savannas.

Tropical ecosystems are under increasing pressure from land-use change and deforestation. Changes in tropical forest cover are expected to affect carbon and water cycling with important implications for climatic stability at global scales. A major roadblock for predicting how tropical deforestation affects climate is the lack of baseline conditions (i.e., prior to human disturbance) of forest-savanna dynamics. To address this limitation, we developed a long-term analysis of forest and savanna distribution across the Amazon-Cerrado transition of central Brazil. We used soil organic carbon isotope ratios as a proxy for changes in woody vegetation cover over time in response to fluctuations in precipitation inferred from speleothem oxygen and strontium stable isotope records. Based on stable isotope signatures and radiocarbon activity of organic matter in soil profiles, we quantified the magnitude and direction of changes in forest and savanna ecosystem cover. Using changes in tree cover measured in 83 different locations for forests and savannas, we developed interpolation maps to assess the coherence of regional changes in vegetation. Our analysis reveals a broad pattern of woody vegetation expansion into savannas and densification within forests and savannas for at least the past ~1,600years. The rates of vegetation change varied significantly among sampling locations possibly due to variation in local environmental factors that constrain primary productivity. The few instances in which tree cover declined (7.7% of all sampled profiles) were associated with savannas under dry conditions. Our results suggest a regional increase in moisture and expansion of woody vegetation prior to modern deforestation, which could help inform conservation and management efforts for climate change mitigation. We discuss the possible mechanisms driving forest expansion and densification of savannas directly (i.e., increasing precipitation) and indirectly (e.g., decreasing disturbance) and suggest future research directions that have the potential to improve climate and ecosystem models.

Past cover modulates the intense and spatially structured natural regeneration of woody vegetation in a pastureland

Vegetation natural regeneration after agricultural abandonment is changing the landscape patterns in many areas worldwide. However, the expansion rate, spatio-temporal dynamics, and the role of past vegetation cover in shaping such patterns are still barely quantified in fine and meso scales. Here, we aim to quantify the expansion rate and assess the spatio-temporal patterns and the effects of past cover on natural woody vegetation cover increase. We sampled woodland and shrubland cover from 1992 to 2016 in 30 ha in a formerly managed pastureland in Sicily, Italy. We combined field sampling, GIS tools, and spatial analysis to assess the spatial structure dynamics and test the effects of past cover amount and type and distance from forest or nearest woody patch on the proportional expansion of natural regeneration. After 24 years, woody cover increased 68%, despite the aggregated spatial structure in 1992 remaining almost unchanged in 2016. The past vegetation cover was the best predictor of woody vegetation expansion in two out of three plots. Distance to continuous forest and to the nearest woody patch, as well as cover type, was not relevant. Our study highlights the importance of fine- and meso-scale studies to reveal both the deterministic and stochastic facet of woody vegetation dynamics. Natural regeneration may strongly change landscape patterns even under constant herbivory pressure and long-term deforestation. The detection of cold and hotspots of regeneration provide an important prompt for the design of restoration programs and landscape management.

Trophic rewilding presents regionally specific opportunities for mitigating climate change.

Large-bodied mammalian herbivores can influence processes that exacerbate or mitigate climate change. Herbivore impacts are, in turn, influenced by predators that place top-down forcing on prey species within a given body size range. Here, we explore how the functional composition of terrestrial large-herbivore and -carnivore guilds varies between three mammal distribution scenarios: Present-Natural, Current-Day and Extant-Native Trophic (ENT) Rewilding. Considering the effects of herbivore species weakly influenced by top-down forcing, we quantify the relative influence keystone large-herbivore guilds have on methane emissions, woody vegetation expansion, fire dynamics, large-seed dispersal, and nitrogen and phosphorus transport potential. We find strong regional differences in the number of herbivores under weak top-down regulation between our three scenarios, with important implications for how they will influence climate change relevant processes. Under the Present-Natural non-ruminant, megaherbivore, browsers were a particularly important guild across much of the world. Megaherbivore extinction and range contraction and the arrival of livestock mean large, ruminant, grazers have become more dominant. ENT Rewilding can restore the Afrotropics and the Indo-Malay realm to the Present-Natural benchmark, but causes top-down forcing of the largest herbivores to become commonplace elsewhere. ENT Rewilding will reduce methane emissions, but does not maximize natural climate solution potential. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'.

Persistence of arctic-alpine flora during 24,000 years of environmental change in the Polar Urals

Plants adapted to extreme conditions can be at high risk from climate change; arctic-alpine plants, in particular, could “run out of space” as they are out-competed by expansion of woody vegetation. Mountain regions could potentially provide safe sites for arctic-alpine plants in a warmer climate, but empirical evidence is fragmentary. Here we present a 24,000-year record of species persistence based on sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) from Lake Bolshoye Shchuchye (Polar Urals). We provide robust evidence of long-term persistence of arctic-alpine plants through large-magnitude climate changes but document a decline in their diversity during a past expansion of woody vegetation. Nevertheless, most of the plants that were present during the last glacial interval, including all of the arctic-alpines, are still found in the region today. This underlines the conservation significance of mountain landscapes via their provision of a range of habitats that confer resilience to climate change, particularly for arctic-alpine taxa.

Assessing the effect of band selection on accuracy of pansharpened imagery: application to young woody vegetation mapping

Expansion of woody vegetation has adverse effects on ecosystem services, and thus it is desirable to contain the problem at the early developmental stages. This can be aided by using high spatial resolution remotely-sensed data. The study investigated the effect of band selection during pansharpening on the ability to discriminate young woody vegetation from coexisting land cover types. Red-green-blue (RGB) spectral bands (30 m) of Landsat 8 imagery was pansharpened using the panchromatic band (15 m) of the same image to improve spatial resolution. Near-infrared (NIR), shortwave-infrared 1 (SWIR1) and shortwave-infrared 2 (SWIR2), bands were used respectively as the fourth spectral band during pansharpening, resulting in three pansharpened images. Unsupervised classification was performed on each pansharpened image as well as non-pansharpened multispectral image. The overall accuracies of classification derived from the pansharpened image was higher (87% − 89%) than that derived from the non-pansharpened multispectral image (83%). The study shows that band selection did not affect the classification accuracy of woody vegetation significantly. In addition, the study shows the potential of pansharpened Landsat data in detecting woody vegetation encroachment at the early growth stage.Keywords: Young woody vegetation, Landsat, pansharpening, unsupervised classification

Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Stocks and Turnover Following 16 Years of Warming and Litter Addition

Soils in northern latitudes store more than twice the amount of carbon (C) currently in the atmosphere and are warming faster than the rest of the globe. Warming has been linked to an expansion of woody vegetation across tundra, raising questions about how these two phenomena interact to modulate C stocks and turnover. We investigated how long-term warming and litter addition have modified microbial processes, soil characteristics, and C and nitrogen (N) stocks. We hypothesized that warming and litter would interact to amplify soil C losses and would be accompanied by increases in microbial activity. Using soil samples from a 16-year warming and litter addition field manipulation, we measured soil C and N stocks, heterotrophic respiration, extracellular enzyme activity, and microbial stoichiometry. We found that warming decreased C and N stocks across the entire soil profile. Depth-specific analyses illustrated that these changes are driven by increasing microbial activity at 5–10 and 10–15 cm depth, and trends toward higher dissolved organic C and N at 5–10 cm depth. This emphasizes the potential for increased leaching losses with warming and additional litter. While litter addition did not change overall C and N stocks, it appears to modify the ecosystem by adding nutrients and C to the soil. Collectively, these findings highlight the vulnerability of northern soils to continued warming with respect to nutrient and C turnover and provide insights into the mechanistic responses of tundra soil to prolonged global change.

Mixed-species grazing management to improve sustainability and biodiversity.

Mixed-grazing systems occur when two or more large herbivores graze together. Body size and anatomical differences between animal species are reflected in differences in their selected diet and foraging behaviour, which can bring about opportunities for complementary pasture use. The extent to which niche separation occurs within farming systems depends on the degree of sward heterogeneity and the scale of the resource available, with cultivated swards generally offering comparatively little occasion for selective grazing, in comparison to native pastures. However, even then there are opportunities for mixed grazing to benefit productivity. A range of studies have shown that if sheep are grazed together with cattle on simple grass/white clover swards, the performance of the sheep is improved in comparison to sheep-only grazing, leading to a higher total output per unit area. Semi-natural vegetation communities offer much more opportunity for selective grazing as they are generally more botanically and structurally diverse. Examples are given of the impact of losing large and small grazers from grazed ecosystems in marginal areas. Loss of cattle grazing from the uplands of Wales has been instrumental in the spread of invasive hill grass species linked to the loss of heathland habitats of international conservation importance. Conversely, the loss of sheep and goats from common lands in the Cantabrian Mountains has led to the progressive expansion of woody vegetation, again at the expense of heathlands. Such examples highlight the role that mixed grazing can play in promoting economic and environmental sustainability, particularly in marginal areas.

Woody Encroachment of a Riparian Corridor in a Tallgrass Prairie: Dendrochronological Evidence from Kansas

The density of forested cover in grassland regions has been increasing globally during the past several decades. Although there is some evidence to suggest that climate change is playing a role in this woody encroachment, there is a lack of consensus on both the causes and consequences of this land cover change. To examine the role of climate on tree establishment and growth at a very large spatial scale, we used dendrochronological techniques coupled with spatial analyses of the effects of climate drivers on biotic responses such as establishment and growth. We sampled ring widths of selected large trees and collected establishment dates of trees for four deciduous tree species in the riparian zone of a 119 ha experimental watershed at the Kansas Konza Prairie Biological Station, near the current prairie–forest boundary of North America. Annual tree-ring width is positively correlated with the Palmer Drought Severity Index and growing season precipitation, although winter climate variables also affect deciduous tree growth. A pulse in tree establishment occurred shortly after a shift in management in the 1980s, including bison grazing and biennial burning treatments. Spatial patterns of woody vegetation expansion in this watershed indicate that recruitment is increasing at higher elevations in the riparian corridor.

Early-Holocene warming in Beringia and its mediation by sea-level and vegetation changes

Abstract. Arctic land-cover changes induced by recent global climate change (e.g., expansion of woody vegetation into tundra and effects of permafrost degradation) are expected to generate further feedbacks to the climate system. Past changes can be used to assess our understanding of feedback mechanisms through a combination of process modeling and paleo-observations. The subcontinental region of Beringia (northeastern Siberia, Alaska, and northwestern Canada) was largely ice-free at the peak of deglacial warming and experienced both major vegetation change and loss of permafrost when many arctic regions were still ice covered. The evolution of Beringian climate at this time was largely driven by global features, such as the amplified seasonal cycle of Northern Hemisphere insolation and changes in global ice volume and atmospheric composition, but changes in regional land-surface controls, such as the widespread development of thaw lakes, the replacement of tundra by deciduous forest or woodland, and the flooding of the Bering–Chukchi land bridge, were probably also important. We examined the sensitivity of Beringia's early Holocene climate to these regional-scale controls using a regional climate model (RegCM). Lateral and oceanic boundary conditions were provided by global climate simulations conducted using the GENESIS V2.01 atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) with a mixed-layer ocean. We carried out two present-day simulations of regional climate – one with modern and one with 11 ka geography – plus another simulation for 6 ka. In addition, we performed five ~ 11 ka climate simulations, each driven by the same global AGCM boundary conditions: (i) 11 ka Control, which represents conditions just prior to the major transitions (exposed land bridge, no thaw lakes or wetlands, widespread tundra vegetation), (ii) sea-level rise, which employed present-day continental outlines, (iii) vegetation change, with deciduous needleleaf and deciduous broadleaf boreal vegetation types distributed as suggested by the paleoecological record, (iv) thaw lakes, which used the present-day distribution of lakes and wetlands, and (v) post-11 ka All, incorporating all boundary conditions changed in experiments (ii)–(iv). We find that regional-scale controls strongly mediate the climate responses to changes in the large-scale controls, amplifying them in some cases, damping them in others, and, overall, generating considerable spatial heterogeneity in the simulated climate changes. The change from tundra to deciduous woodland produces additional widespread warming in spring and early summer over that induced by the 11 ka insolation regime alone, and lakes and wetlands produce modest and localized cooling in summer and warming in winter. The greatest effect is the flooding of the land bridge and shelves, which produces generally cooler conditions in summer but warmer conditions in winter and is most clearly manifest on the flooded shelves and in eastern Beringia. By 6 ka continued amplification of the seasonal cycle of insolation and loss of the Laurentide ice sheet produce temperatures similar to or higher than those at 11 ka, plus a longer growing season.

Permafrost collapse after shrub removal shifts tundra ecosystem to a methane source

Arctic tundra ecosystems are warming almost twice as fast as the global average. Permafrost thaw and the resulting release of greenhouse gases from decomposing soil organic carbon have the potential to accelerate climate warming. In recent decades, Arctic tundra ecosystems have changed rapidly, including expansion of woody vegetation, in response to changing climate conditions. How such vegetation changes contribute to stabilization or destabilization of the permafrost is unknown. Here we present six years of field observations in a shrub removal experiment at a Siberian tundra site. Removing the shrub part of the vegetation initiated thawing of ice-rich permafrost, resulting in collapse of the originally elevated shrub patches into waterlogged depressions within five years. This thaw pond development shifted the plots from a methane sink into a methane source. The results of our field experiment demonstrate the importance of the vegetation cover for protection of the massive carbon reservoirs stored in the permafrost and illustrate the strong vulnerability of these tundra ecosystems to perturbations. If permafrost thawing can more frequently trigger such local permafrost collapse, methane-emitting wet depressions could become more abundant in the lowland tundra landscape, at the cost of permafrost-stabilizing low shrub vegetation.

Direct human influence on atmospheric CO2 seasonality from increased cropland productivity.

Ground- and aircraft-based measurements show that the seasonal amplitude of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations has increased by as much as 50 per cent over the past 50 years. This increase has been linked to changes in temperate, boreal and arctic ecosystem properties and processes such as enhanced photosynthesis, increased heterotrophic respiration, and expansion of woody vegetation. However, the precise causal mechanisms behind the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 seasonality remain unclear. Here we use production statistics and a carbon accounting model to show that increases in agricultural productivity, which have been largely overlooked in previous investigations, explain as much as a quarter of the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 seasonality. Specifically, Northern Hemisphere extratropical maize, wheat, rice, and soybean production grew by 240 per cent between 1961 and 2008, thereby increasing the amount of net carbon uptake by croplands during the Northern Hemisphere growing season by 0.33petagrams. Maize alone accounts for two-thirds of this change, owing mostly to agricultural intensification within concentrated production zones in the midwestern United States and northern China. Maize, wheat, rice, and soybeans account for about 68 per cent of extratropical dry biomass production, so it is likely that the total impact of increased agricultural production exceeds the amount quantified here.

Effect of patches of woody vegetation on the role of fire in tropical grasslands and savannas

In tropical grasslands and savannas, fire is used to reduce woody vegetation expansion. Woody vegetation in these biomes is often patchily distributed, and micro-climatic conditions can largely vary locally with unknown consequences for fire effects. We hypothesised that (1) fire has higher temperature and maintains high temperatures for a longer period at the windward side than at the leeward side of wooded patches, (2) this difference increases with patch size, (3) fire has a larger effect on woody vegetation at the windward side than at the leeward side of wooded patches and (4) this effect increases with patch size. We planted tree seedlings around wooded patches in a grassland and burnt these plots. We found that fire had a lower temperature and had an elevated temperature for a shorter time period at the leeward side of wooded patches than at the windward side. Also, we found smaller effect of fire on the seedlings at the leeward side. We conclude that patches of woody vegetation can have a large effect on the role of fire in tropical grasslands and savannas. This effect suggests a ‘safe zone’ for seedlings at the leeward side, which consequently promotes woody vegetation expansion. This paper contributes to understanding of the effect of patchiness of woody vegetation on the role of fire in tropical grasslands and savannas in reducing woody vegetation expansion.