Maximum Wind Stress Research Articles

Synchronicity of the Gulf Stream path downstream of Cape Hatteras and the region of maximum wind stress curl

The Gulf Stream, a major ocean current in the North Atlantic ocean is a key component in the global redistribution of heat and is important for marine ecosystems. Based on 27 years (1993–2019) of wind reanalysis and satellite altimetry measurements, we present observational evidence that the path of this freely meandering jet after its separation from the continental slope at Cape Hatteras, aligns with the region of maximum cyclonic vorticity of the wind stress field known as the positive vorticity pool. This synchronicity between the wind stress curl maximum region and the Gulf Stream path is observed at multiple time-scales ranging from months to decades, spanning a distance of 1500 km between 70 and 55W. The wind stress curl in the positive vorticity pool is estimated to drive persistent upward vertical velocities ranging from 5 to 17 cm day−1 over its ~ 400,000 km2 area; this upwelling may supply a steady source of deep nutrients to the Slope Sea region, and can explain as much as a quarter of estimated primary productivity there.

Controls of Cross‐Shore Planktonic Ecosystem Structure in an Idealized Eastern Boundary Upwelling System

AbstractEastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUSs) are among the most productive regions in the ocean because deep, nutrient‐rich waters are brought up to the surface. Previous studies have identified winds, mesoscale eddies and offshore nutrient distributions as key influences on the net primary production in EBUSs. However uncertainties remain regarding their roles in setting cross‐shore primary productivity and ecosystem diversity. Here, we use a quasi‐two‐dimensional (2D) model that combines ocean circulation with a spectrum of planktonic sizes to investigate the impact of winds, eddies, and offshore nutrient distributions in shaping EBUS ecosystems. A key finding is that variations in the strength of the wind stress and the nutrient concentration in the upwelled waters control the distribution and characteristics of the planktonic ecosystem. Specifically, a strengthening of the wind stress maximum, driving upwelling, increases the average planktonic size in the coastal upwelling zone, whereas the planktonic ecosystem is relatively insensitive to variations in the wind stress curl. Likewise, a deepening nutricline shifts the location of phytoplankton blooms shore‐ward, shoals the deep chlorophyll maximum offshore, and supports larger phytoplankton across the entire domain. Additionally, increased eddy stirring of nutrients suppresses coastal primary productivity via “eddy quenching,” whereas increased eddy restratification has relatively little impact on the coastal nutrient supply. These findings identify the wind stress maximum, isopycnal eddy diffusion, and nutricline depth as particularly influential on the coastal ecosystem, suggesting that variations in these quantities could help explain the observed differences between EBUSs, and influence the responses of EBUS ecosystems to climate shifts.

The Response of the Subtropical Front to Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Westerly Winds—Evidence From Models and Observations

AbstractThe location of the Subtropical Front (STF), the boundary between Subtropical and Subantarctic Water in the Southern Ocean is proposed to be influenced by the strength and location of the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds. We use a hydrodynamic hindcast model and recent observations to test if changes in the westerly winds can cause meridional shifts in the STF over interannual to decadal timescales by modulating local Ekman transport. We find that increased, or northward, shifted westerly winds lead to an enhanced northward Ekman transport over large parts of the Southern Ocean, resulting in a northward shift in the STF. Conversely for weaker or southward shifted westerly winds where the STF migrates south. However, this relationship breaks down in regions with strong eddy variability and western boundary current systems. In these regions an increase in westerly winds lead to a southward shift in the STF. Observation data from 2004 to 2019 display a southward shift of STF associated with the positive Southern Annular Mode. However, the shift is smaller than the latitudinal shifts in the location of the zero wind stress curl and maximum westerly winds (−0.4° latitude/decade). This discrepancy is due to positive Ekman trends resulting from the intensification of the westerly winds, which oppose the southward migration. Changes in the Ekman transport and the overall southward shift of the STF have also resulted in an observed positive trend in chlorophyll‐a concentrations south of the STF, which could have ramifications for marine ecosystems and the biological pump in the Southern Ocean.

The sensitivity of the Eocene–Oligocene Southern Ocean to the strength and position of wind stress

Abstract. The early Cenozoic opening of the Tasmanian Gateway (TG) and Drake Passage (DP), alongside the synergistic action of the westerly winds, led to a Southern Ocean transition from large, subpolar gyres to the onset of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). However, the impact of the changing latitudinal position and strength of the wind stress in altering the early Southern Ocean circulation has been poorly addressed. Here, we use an eddy-permitting ocean model (0.25∘) with realistic late Eocene paleo-bathymetry to investigate the sensitivity of the Southern Ocean to paleo-latitudinal migrations (relative to the gateways) and strengthening of the wind stress. We find that southward wind stress shifts of 5 or 10∘, with a shallow TG (300 m), lead to dominance of subtropical waters in the high latitudes and further warming of the Antarctic coast (increase by 2 ∘C). Southward migrations of wind stress with a deep TG (1500 m) cause the shrinking of the subpolar gyres and cooling of the surface waters in the Southern Ocean (decrease by 3–4 ∘C). With a 1500 m deep TG and maximum westerly winds aligning with both the TG and DP, we observe a proto-ACC with a transport of ∼47.9 Sv. This impedes the meridional transport of warm subtropical waters to the Antarctic coast, thus laying a foundation for thermal isolation of the Antarctic. Intriguingly, proto-ACC flow through the TG is much more sensitive to strengthened wind stress compared to the DP. We suggest that topographic form stress can balance surface wind stress at depth to support the proto-ACC while the sensitivity of the transport is likely associated with the momentum budget between wind stress and near-surface topographic form stress driven by the subtropical gyres. In summary, this study proposes that the cooling of Eocene Southern Ocean is a consequence of a combination of gateway deepening and the alignment of maximum wind stress with both gateways.

Extreme air–sea turbulent fluxes during tropical cyclone Barijat observed by a newly designed drifting buoy

Using in situ observations collected by a drifting air-sea interface buoy (DrIB) in the northern South China Sea from August 30 to September 13, 2018, the extreme air-sea turbulent fluxes that occurred from September 8 to 13 during tropical cyclone (TC) Barijat were investigated. The most striking features were substantial increases in momentum and heat fluxes, with maximum increases of 10.8 m s-1 in the wind speed (WS), 0.73 N m-2 in the wind stress, 68.1 W m-2 in the sensible heat fluxes (SH) and 258.8 W m-2 in the latent heat fluxes (LH). The maximum WS, wind stress, SH and LH values amounted to 15.3 m s-1, 0.8 N m-2, 70.9 W m-2 and 329.9 W m-2, respectively. Using these new DrIB observations, the performance of two state-of-the-art, high-resolution reanalysis products, ERA5 and MERRA2, was assessed. The consistency of the observed values with ERA5 was slightly better than with MERRA2, reflected in higher correlations but both products underestimated the WS during TC conditions. In calm weather conditions, the turbulent heat fluxes were overestimated, because they simulated a too dry and cold atmospheric state, enhancing the air-sea differences in temperature and humidity. Considering that an accurate representation of the air-sea turbulent and momentum fluxes is essential for understanding and predicting ocean and atmospheric variability, our findings indicate that more high-quality temperature and relative humidity observations are required to evaluate and improve existing reanalysis products.

Properties, sensitivity, and stability of the Southern Hemisphere salinity minimum layer in the UKESM1 model

Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) is a water mass originating in the Southern Ocean characterised by its low salinity. The properties of the salinity minimum layer that characterise AAIW in the CMIP6 UKESM1 model and its response to different climate change scenarios are investigated. In UKESM1, the depth of the salinity minimum shoals by 116 m in the SSP5-8.5 run compared to the control run by 2080–2100. The salinity minimum also gets warmer (+ 1.9 °C) and lighter (− 0.4 kg/m3) and surface properties where the salinity minimum outcrops warm, freshen and lighten in all scenarios. In spite of these expected changes in properties, the location where the salinity minimum outcrops does not change in any of the future scenarios. The stability of the outcrop location of the salinity minimum is linked to the relative stability of the position of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) in UKESM1. The position of the ACC does not follow the maximum wind stress trend, which intensifies and shifts poleward under radiative forcing. Changes in surface buoyancy fluxes in the region are consistent with the changes in hydrographic properties observed at depth on the salinity minimum mentioned above. However, transformation rates at the density corresponding to the salinity minimum outcrop remain constant in all scenarios. Stability in transformation rates at that density is due to the haline and thermal contributions counteracting one another. This analysis identifies two features (outcrop location, transformation rate) associated with the salinity minimum defining AAIW that show remarkable stability in an otherwise changing world. The effect of model resolution and other parameterisations on these findings have yet to be evaluated.

BREAKING WAVES HEIGHT FORECASTING AT THE SHORELINE OF PANCENG SUB-DISTRICT GRESIK DISTRICT

Shoreline is a line where the edge of the land and the sea met. Various amount of shore construction was built around the shoreline. The safety of surrounding community near the shoreline should be considered before the government planning on near shore and shoreline facility. Therefore, breaking waves height become important because of the impact that it brought to the shoreline, such as the destructive energy that breaking waves generates which would wipe anything that existed alongshore.
 Using the data collected from BMKG (Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Council), maximum wind stress at the Panceng Sub-District was 17,2 m/s. Average effective fetch at Panceng Sub-District was 331,68 km with 5 m significant wave height and 11,2 s period. Breaking wave height at Panceng Sub-District is 5,5 m.

Dynamics of ITCZ Width: Ekman Processes, Non-Ekman Processes, and Links to Sea Surface Temperature

Abstract The dynamical processes controlling the width of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) are investigated using idealized and CMIP5 simulations. ITCZ width is defined in terms of boundary layer vertical velocity. The tropical boundary layer is approximately in Ekman balance, suggesting that wind stress places a strong constraint on ITCZ width. A scaling based on Ekman balance predicts that ITCZ width is proportional to the wind stress and inversely proportional to its meridional gradient. A toy model of an Ekman boundary layer illustrates the effects of wind stress perturbations on ITCZ width. A westerly wind perturbation widens the ITCZ whereas an easterly perturbation narrows the ITCZ. Multiplying the wind stress by a constant factor does not shift the ITCZ edge, but ITCZ width is sensitive to the latitude of maximum wind stress. Scalings based on Ekman balance cannot fully capture the behavior of ITCZ width across simulations, suggesting that non-Ekman dynamical processes need to be accounted for. An alternative scaling based on the full momentum budget explains variations in ITCZ width and highlights the importance of horizontal and vertical momentum advection. Scalings are also introduced linking ITCZ width to surface temperature. An extension to Lindzen–Nigam theory predicts that ITCZ width scales with the latitude where the Laplacian of SST is zero. The supercriticality theory of Emanuel is also invoked to show that ITCZ width is dynamically linked to boundary layer moist entropy gradients. The results establish a dynamical understanding of ITCZ width that can be applied to interpret persistent ITCZ biases in climate models and the response of tropical precipitation to climate change.

Assessing the Quality of Southern Ocean Circulation in CMIP5 AOGCM and Earth System Model Simulations

Abstract The Southern Ocean (SO) is vital to Earth’s climate system due to its dominant role in exchanging carbon and heat between the ocean and atmosphere and transforming water masses. Evaluating the ability of fully coupled climate models to accurately simulate SO circulation and properties is crucial for building confidence in model projections and advancing model fidelity. By analyzing multiple biases collectively across large model ensembles, physical mechanisms governing the diverse mean-state SO circulation found across models can be identified. This analysis 1) assesses the ability of a large ensemble of models contributed to phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to simulate observationally based metrics associated with an accurate representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), and 2) presents a framework by which the quality of the simulation can be categorized and mechanisms governing the resulting circulation can be deduced. Different combinations of biases in critical metrics including the magnitude and position of the zonally averaged westerly wind stress maximum, wind-driven surface divergence, surface buoyancy fluxes, and properties and transport of North Atlantic Deep Water entering the SO produce distinct mean-state ACC transports. Relative to CMIP3, the quality of the CMIP5 SO simulations has improved. Eight of the thirty-one models simulate an ACC within observational uncertainty (2σ) for approximately the right reasons; that is, the models achieve accuracy in the surface wind stress forcing and the representation of the difference in the meridional density across the current. Improved observations allow for a better assessment of the SO circulation and its properties.

Changes in the Atlantic Sector of the Southern Ocean estimated from the CESM Last Millennium Ensemble

AbstractThe changes in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current system associated with the Polar, sub-Antarctic and Subtropical Fronts in the Atlantic are examined in a ten-member ensemble using the Community Earth System Model. Results for the ensemble average mean show that the Polar Front at 25°W shifts to the south by 0.8° during 1970–2000 compared to its mean latitude over the period 1050–1950. This shift is significant because it is more than twice the standard deviation of the mean latitude time series during 1050–1950. The shift is caused by a slight southward displacement of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, which in turn is caused by a southward shift in the latitude of the maximum zonal wind stress. The sub-Antarctic Front also shows a small southward shift after 1970, with a maximum latitudinal displacement of 0.2°. However, this shift is not significant compared to the standard deviation of the time series during 1050–1950. The Subtropical Front does not change its latitude during 1970–2000 compared to 1050–2000 because there is very little change in the wind-stress curl in the subtropics. Differences in temperature and salinity throughout the water column at 25°W reveal that during 1970–2000 there is freshening of Antarctic Intermediate Water, whereas the Circumpolar Deep Water becomes saltier.

Circulation of the Turkish Straits System under interannual atmospheric forcing

Abstract. A simulation of the Turkish Straits System (TSS) using a high-resolution, three-dimensional, unstructured mesh ocean circulation model with realistic atmospheric forcing for the 2008–2013 period is presented. The depth of the pycnocline between the upper and lower layers remains stationary after 6 years of integration, indicating that despite the limitations of the modelling system, the simulation maintains its realism. The solutions capture important responses to high-frequency atmospheric events such as the reversal of the upper layer flow in the Bosphorus due to southerly severe storms, i.e. blocking events, to the extent that such storms are present in the forcing dataset. The annual average circulations show two distinct patterns in the Sea of Marmara. When the wind stress maximum is localised in the central basin, the Bosphorus jet flows to the south and turns west after reaching the Bozburun Peninsula. In contrast, when the wind stress maximum increases and expands in the north–south direction, the jet deviates to the west before reaching the southern coast and forms a cyclonic gyre in the central basin. In certain years, the mean kinetic energy in the northern Sea of Marmara is found to be comparable to that of the Bosphorus inflow.

Wind-Driven Formation of Ice Bridges in Straits.

Ice bridges are static structures composed of tightly packed sea ice that can form during the course of its flow through a narrow strait. Despite their important role in local ecology and climate, the formation and breakup of ice bridges is not well understood and has proved difficult to predict. Using long-wave approximations and a continuum description of sea ice dynamics, we develop a one-dimensional theory for the wind-driven formation of ice bridges in narrow straits, which is verified against direct numerical simulations. We show that for a given wind stress and minimum and maximum channel widths, a steady-state ice bridge can only form beyond a critical value of the thickness and the compactness of the ice field. The theory also makes quantitative predictions for ice fluxes, which are particularly useful to estimate the ice export associated with the breakup of ice bridges. We note that similar ideas are applicable to dense granular flows in confined geometries.

Effects of Southern Hemisphere Wind Changes on the Meridional Overturning Circulation in Ocean Models.

Observations show that the Southern Hemisphere zonal wind stress maximum has increased significantly over the past 30 years. Eddy-resolving ocean models show that the resulting increase in the Southern Ocean mean flow meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is partially compensated by an increase in the eddy MOC. This effect can be reproduced in the non-eddy-resolving ocean component of a climate model, providing the eddy parameterization coefficient is variable and not a constant. If the coefficient is a constant, then the Southern Ocean mean MOC change is balanced by an unrealistically large change in the Atlantic Ocean MOC. Southern Ocean eddy compensation means that Southern Hemisphere winds cannot be the dominant mechanism driving midlatitude North Atlantic MOC variability.

Efeitos do aumento da tensão de cisalhamento do vento no clima do Hemisfério Sul obtido do modelo acoplado SPEEDO

Estudos têm sugerido uma intensificação e um deslocamento do máximo da tensão de cisalhamento do vento (TCV) para latitudes mais altas no Oceano Austral, em função de um aumento na magnitude do vento em latitudes extratropicais no Hemisfério Sul. Diante do exposto, o objetivo do trabalho é investigar o comportamento anômalo das circulações oceânica e atmosférica devido ao aumento da TCV em 50% na região equatorial e extratropical do Hemisfério Sul. Pretende-se, especificamente, analisar as alterações no gradiente inter-hemisférico de anomalias de TSM e na Oscilação Antártica. Para tal fim, utiliza-se um modelo climático acoplado de complexidade intermediária (SPEEDO). Os resultados demonstram que a intensificação da TCV na região equatorial, ocasiona uma diminuição da temperatura da superfície do mar na região tropical, devido ao aumento da ressurgência, favorecendo a mudanças no gradiente inter-hemisférico de anomalias de TSM e uma intensificação da precipitação no nordeste brasileiro. Por outro lado, a intensificação da TCV na região extratropical do Hemisfério Sul induz a um aumento da temperatura da superfície do mar e do ar em médias e altas latitudes do Hemisfério Sul, além de uma redução na espessura do gelo marinho Antártico, favorecendo ao enfraquecimento da fase positiva da Oscilação Antártica.

Long‐term trends in the East Australian Current separation latitude and eddy driven transport

AbstractAn observed warming of the Tasman Sea in recent decades has been linked to a poleward shift of the maximum wind stress curl, and a strengthening of the poleward flow along the coast of southeastern Australia. However, changes in the East Australian Current (EAC) separation latitude, as well as in the contribution of the EAC, the EAC extension and its eddy field to the total southward transport due to such a strengthening remain unknown. This study uses 30 years (1980–2010) of the Ocean Forecast for the Earth Simulator (OFES) sea surface height and velocity outputs to obtain a three decade long‐time series of (i) the EAC separation latitude, (ii) the southward transport along the coast of southeastern Australia (28°S–39°S), and (iii) the southward transport across the EAC separation latitude. A Lagrangian approach is implemented and the spin parameter Ω is used to provide a quantitative distinction between the transports occurring outside and inside (cyclonic and anticyclonic) eddies. Significant positive trends of the low pass southward transports indicate that the intensification of the poleward flow has occurred both within the EAC and in the EAC extension. In addition, a significant increase in southward transport inside and outside eddies is found. Importantly, the contribution of eddy driven transport has a large temporal variability and shows a sharp increase from 2005 onward. Finally our results show that the EAC has not penetrated further south but it has separated more frequently at the southernmost latitudes within the region where it typically turns eastward.

Zonal structure and seasonal variability of the Atlantic Equatorial Undercurrent

Simultaneous mooring arrays were maintained along the path of the Equatorial Undercurrent (EUC) at three longitudes (23°W, 10°W, and 0°E), from October 2007 to June 2011, as part of the CLIVAR Tropical Atlantic Climate Experiment. The measurements allow for the first time a description of the seasonal cycle and interannual variability of the EUC across the Atlantic basin. The mean transport of the EUC at 23°W is 14.3 ± 0.6 Sv, decreasing to 12.1 ± 0.9 and 9.4 ± 0.6 Sv at 10°W and 0°E, respectively. The EUC shows a changing seasonal cycle across the basin: at 23°W, the strongest EUC transport occurs in boreal fall in association with maximum easterly wind stress, at 10°W the EUC transport shows a semiannual cycle with a maximum in boreal spring and fall, while at 0°E the EUC has a single spring maximum. At all locations the EUC core exhibits a similar seasonal vertical migration, with shallowest core depths occurring in boreal spring and deepest core depths in boreal fall. The maximum core intensity occurs in boreal spring all across the basin, when the EUC is shallow, during the annual wind relaxation. The weakest EUC core intensity occurs during the boreal summer cold tongue phase, especially in the eastern part of the basin. At both 23°W and 10°W, a deep extension of the EUC occurs in boreal summer, which increases the transport in the lower thermocline and partially offsets the weaker upper EUC transport during boreal summer. No clear linkage could be established between the interannual variability of the EUC in the eastern part of the basin and the intensity of the summer cold tongue, despite evidence for such a linkage in the western part of the basin.

The influence of eddy parameterizations on the transport of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in coupled climate models

The transport of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) varies strongly across the coupled GCMs (general circulation models) used for the IPCC AR4. This note shows that a large fraction of this across-model variance can be explained by relating it to the parameterization of eddy-induced transports. In the majority of models this parameterization is based on the study by Gent and McWilliams (1990). The main parameter is the quasi-Stokes diffusivity κ (often referred to less accurately as ”thickness diffusion”). The ACC transport and the meridional density gradient both correlate strongly with κ across those models where κ is a prescribed constant. In contrast, there is no correlation with the isopycnal diffusivity κiso across the models. The sensitivity of the ACC transport to κ is larger than to the zonal wind stress maximum. Experiments with the fast GCM FAMOUS show that changing κ directly affects the ACC transport by changing the density structure throughout the water column. Our results suggest that this limits the role of the wind stress magnitude in setting the ACC transport in FAMOUS. The sensitivities of the ACC and the meridional density gradient are very similar across the AR4 GCMs (for those models where κ is a prescribed constant) and among the FAMOUS experiments. The strong sensitivity of the ACC transport to κ needs careful assessment in climate models.

Satellite Detection of Summer Chlorophyll-a Bloom in the Gulf of Tomini

Seasonal variation of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration in the Gulf of Tomini (GT) is investigated using SeaWiFS-derived sea surface Chl-a, QuikSCAT-derived ocean surface wind vector and Pathfinder sea surface temperature (SST) measurements. Results show that Chl-a concentration in the GT attained maximum in August (0.59 mg/m3 ) and is primarily controlled by monsoon winds. During summer, strong winds pass through the Maluku archipelago and blast out toward the Maluku Sea, and impinge the coastal mountain on the southeastern GT (GT tip). As a result, a strong wind jet observed at the open-ocean of GT and is suspected to be the main driving force for the Chl-a bloom in the region. The center of the bloom is located consistently with the wind stress maximum (0.28 Nm-2) and low SST (27.3°C ). The present study describes the seasonal and spatial distributions of the Chl-a bloom in GT and its associated oceanographic features.

Interannual to decadal changes in the western South Atlantic's surface circulation

[1] A combination of surface drifters and altimetry is used to analyze the seasonal to interannual variability of the surface velocity field in the Brazil-Malvinas confluence of the western South Atlantic Ocean. Longer-term changes are inferred from wind and sea surface temperature fields. During the period October 1992 to December 2007, a southward shift of −0.6 to −0.9° decade−1 is found in the confluence latitude of the Brazil and Malvinas currents. A comparable trend is found in the latitude of the maximum wind stress curl averaged across the South Atlantic basin, allowing a proxy for the confluence latitude to be calculated for the prealtimeter time period. This longer time series suggests that the recent trend may be part of a longer-term oscillation, which has returned to values last sustained in the early 1980s. This variation does not appear to be related to the multidecadal trend in the Southern Annular Mode, but instead is inversely related to long-term variations in the sea surface temperature anomaly in the Agulhas-Benguela pathway of the eastern South Atlantic subtropical basin.

Surface wind variability and its implications for the Yucatan basin‐Caribbean Sea dynamics

Sea surface wind data from the QuikSCAT satellite and two meteorological stations collected over 1 decade (1999–2008) were used to study the dominant time scales of the wind regime in the Yucatan basin. Wind data were used to quantify its implications on regional hydrodynamics by evaluating Ekman pumping and Ekman transport. The annual cycle of surface wind revealed different features than the Caribbean wind regime with a relative wind stress maximum observed in the Yucatan basin in June caused by the Caribbean low‐level jet. The strongest wind stress occurred during November presumably due to the collapse of the Atlantic warm pool. This feature provides new evidence of the importance of local atmosphere‐ocean coupling. Synoptic scale variability was detected during fall and winter, leaving spring and summer almost free from these activities. Empirical orthogonal functions revealed three dominant time scales of variability: an annual scale in mode 1 (46.3% of the total variance), a synoptic scale in mode 2 (27.7%), and a semiannual scale in mode 3 (6.4%). The third mode featured extreme pulses (six tropical storms and nine hurricanes). Ekman transport was found to contribute the most (93%) to total transport, whereas Ekman pumping contributed only 7%. However, upwelling induced by Ekman pumping persisted during some synoptic pulses, underscoring the importance of tropical storms and hurricanes. Offshore Ekman transport over the continental shelf north of the Yucatan Peninsula favored upwelling all year long. Onshore transport toward the coasts of southern Cuba and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula favored downwelling.