Western North Pacific Region Research Articles

Simple visualization of fish migration history based on high‐resolution otolith δ18O profiles and hydrodynamic models

AbstractOxygen‐stable isotope (δ18O) in otoliths has been useful to infer marine fish migrations. However, because otolith δ18O is affected by two parameters, temperature and δ18O of ambient water, its interpretation becomes challenging when neither of them is constant. Here, I describe a simple method using hydrodynamic models to visualize potential migration histories from high‐resolution otolith δ18O chronologies. By predicting the distribution of potential otolith δ18O, that is, otolith δ18O isoscape from modeled temperature and salinity distributions and comparing these with observed values, possible fish locations can be inferred. The demonstration of sardine juveniles in the western North Pacific region reproduced their seasonal northward migrations accurately. The predicted locations were consistent with the results of sampling surveys of eggs and juveniles and correctly approached the point where fish were caught. The methodological recommendations and the successful demonstration in this study may help in planning future sclerochronology research using carbonate δ18O values.

Delayed ENSO impact on phytoplankton variability over the Western-North Pacific Ocean

Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a prominent climatological phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean that exerts a significant influence on both physical states and biological activities across the globe through oceanic and atmospheric teleconnections. In this study, we investigate the impact of ENSO on phytoplankton variability in the Western North Pacific (WNP) region, revealing a delayed relationship with a time lag of more than one year. During the boreal early spring after the peak phase of El Niño, we find a significant increase in chlorophyll-a concentrations in the WNP. This delayed ENSO impact is due to the propagation of reflected ocean Rossby waves from the eastern to the western Pacific. As the Rossby waves reach the western Pacific, they initiate continuous northward transports of the nutrients. The increased nutrient supply promotes phytoplankton growth in the WNP region, where phosphate (PO4) - limited conditions prevail. Our finding suggests the role of ENSO in shaping the biological dynamics in the WNP over an extended time scale through the specific mechanisms involved. Long-term climate model simulation supports these observed findings.

Unraveling the role of the western North Pacific circulation anomaly in modulating Indian summer monsoon rainfall variability beyond ENSO

The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall interannual variability is known to be strongly linked to the El-Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This linear relationship is the primary factor in controlling the interannual variation in ISM precipitation. However, there are many outlier cases, and such deviations pose significant challenges in seasonal prediction over this region. Here we show that such challenges can be attributed to anomalous atmospheric pressure patterns in the Western North Pacific (WNP) region. The anticyclonic circulation anomaly over WNP region causes the easterly wind toward the Indian subcontinent, leading to positive precipitation anomalies with stronger low-level moist convergence, while the cyclonic circulation decreases ISM precipitation. The linear baroclinic model simulation results further support that the WNP circulation pattern can serve as an independent factor for forecasting precipitation over India. The WNP circulation anomaly play the crucial role generating ISM precipitation particularly for July and September. Our study suggests that the role of the WNP circulation anomaly should be carefully considered as the secondary prevailing mechanism on the subseasonal timescale during the boreal summer in addition to the ENSO signal.

Reinboldiella koreana sp. nov. (Ceramiales, Rhodophyta) is the correct name for the specimens previously known as Reinboldiella schmitziana in Korea

Epiphytic algae are important components of marine ecosystems. Despite the importance of epiphytic algae in marine ecosystems, our knowledge of these taxa is still limited. The marine red algal genus <i>Reinboldiella</i>, which is distributed mainly in the northwestern Pacific region, is characterized by tiny thalli that are epiphytic on various other red algae. Six species of the genus have been reported in Japan, Taiwan, and Korea. In this study, 50 Korean Reinboldiella specimens, previously known as <i>Reinboldiella schmitziana</i>, were collected from 11 localities and reexamined to verify their taxonomic status. We describe a new species, <i>Reinboldiella koreana</i> sp. nov., based on <i>rbc</i>L phylogeny and morphological observations. A total of four grateloupiacean species (<i>Pachymeniopsis lanceolata</i>, <i>P. elliptica</i>, <i>Grateloupia turuturu</i>, and <i>G. asiatica</i>) were identified as host species of <i>R. koreana</i> sp. nov. Due to the restricted host range of <i>R. koreana</i> sp. nov., a phylogenetic tree was reconstructed using the <i>cox</i>1 marker to confirm the co-phylogenetic relationships between the epiphytic algae and their grateloupiacean hosts. Two of the four cox1 haplotypes of <i>R. koreana</i> were found in different host species, regardless of which haplotype they were. It indicates that there are no co-phylogenetic relationships between <i>R. koreana</i> and host species.

Genetic Variability and Population Genetic Structure of Marbled Flounder Pseudopleuronectes yokohamae in Korea and Japan Inferred from mtDNA Control Region Sequences

The marbled flounder (Pseudopleuronectes yokohamae) is a demersal flatfish species, widely distributed in the northwestern Pacific region. In the present study, the mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) control region was used to determine the genetic diversity and population genetic structure of this species. We obtained a 380 bp segment of the mtDNA control region after the alignment of 78 individual sequences from P. yokohamae collected from two locations in Korea (Biungdo and Mukho) and one location in Japan (Tohoku) and 103 individual sequences from a previous study (Yokjido and Namhae). The overall haplotype diversity and nucleotide diversity were 0.983 ± 0.003 and 0.016 ± 0.008, respectively. The genealogical relationships of the mtDNA control region did not exhibit any specific genealogical association according to sampling location. The pairwise FST value indicated that the Biungdo (west coast of Korea) and Tohoku (Japan) populations showed genetically differentiated structures (but the Tohoku and Mukho populations did not). However, there was no discernible difference between the Mukho population from Korea’s eastern coast and the Yokjido and Namhae populations from the southern coast. The biological characteristics of P. yokohamae and oceanographic barriers may have contributed to producing genetically distinct populations.

Increasing heat waves frequencies over India during post-El Niño spring and early summer seasons

The increasing frequency of extreme Heat Waves (HWs) has generated significant societal impacts in recent years. This study used different observational datasets to investigate the HW characteristics over India during the post-El Niño spring and early summer seasons (April to June; AMJ). Analysis suggests that HW days are more prevalent over India, predominantly increased in south-central and northwest India, during the decaying phase of strong El Niño years. It is found that anomalous anticyclone circulation accompanied by high pressure extending from the Western North Pacific region towards the Bay of Bengal and India is responsible for enhanced HW days and intensity during the AMJ of strong El Niño decay years. This anomalous anticyclone-induced downdraft reduces the specific humidity in the lower troposphere, leading to decreased cloud cover over India. As a result, shortwave radiation is enhanced at the surface, which causes abnormal HWs over India. During the decaying phase of strong El Niño years, the HW days over India contributed to an increase in the frequency of Discomfort Index hours (above 28 °C), maximum temperatures exceeding 40 °C (hours per day), and Universal Thermal Climate Index days above 38 °C and 46 °C during the spring and early summer months, especially in the East Coast, central, and northwestern parts of India. Thus, proper prediction of large-scale atmospheric circulation over the Indo-western Pacific region during El Niño can help to predict the HW conditions three months in advance. This would help to implement suitable adaptation measures and put into practice strong mitigation policies to limit the increased risk of such events during AMJ of El Niño decay years.

Inter‐Basin Versus Intra‐Basin Sea Surface Temperature Forcing of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High's Westward Extensions

AbstractZonal extensions of the Western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) strongly modulate extreme rainfall activity and tropical cyclone (TC) landfall over the Western North Pacific (WNP) region. These zonal extensions are primarily forced on seasonal timescales by inter‐basin zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradients. However, despite the presence of large‐scale zonal SST gradients, the WPSH response to SSTs varies from year to year. In this study, we force the atmosphere‐only NCAR Community Earth System Model version 2 simulations with two real‐world SST patterns, both featuring the large‐scale zonal SST gradient characteristic of decaying El Niño‐developing La Niña summers. For each of these patterns, we performed four experimental sets that tested the relative contributions of the tropical Indian Ocean, Pacific, and Atlantic basin SSTs to simulated westward extensions over the WNP during June–August. Our results indicate that the subtle differences between the two SST anomaly patterns belie two different mechanisms forcing the WPSH's westward extensions. In one SST anomaly pattern, extratropical North Pacific SST forcing suppresses the tropical Pacific zonal SST gradient forcing, resulting in tropical Atlantic and Indian Ocean SSTs being the dominant driver. The second SST anomaly pattern drives a similar westward extension as the first pattern, but the underlying SST gradient driving the WPSH points to intra‐basin forcing mechanisms originating in the Pacific. The results of this study have implications for understanding and predicting the impact of the WPSH's zonal variability on tropical cyclones and extreme rainfall over the WNP.

An Alternative Similar Tropical Cyclone Identification Algorithm for Statistical TC Rainfall Prediction in the Western North Pacific

AbstractImproving tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall prediction is vital as climate change has led to an increase in TC rainfall rates. Enhanced reliability in predicting TC tracks has paved the way for statistical methodologies to make use of them in estimating current TC rainfall, achieved by identifying similar past TC tracks and obtaining their corresponding rainfall data. While the Fuzzy C Means (FCM) clustering algorithm is widely used, it has limitations stemming from its clustering‐centric design, hindering its ability to pinpoint the most appropriate similar TCs. Our study introduces the Sinkhorn distance, a novel similarity metric that measures the cost of transforming one set of data to another, for assessing TC similarity in rainfall prediction. Our findings indicate that utilizing Sinkhorn distance enhances the accuracy of TC rainfall predictions across the Western North Pacific region. When compared to the conventional approach using FCM, our Sinkhorn distance‐based methodology yields slightly better yet statistically significant results. The improvement is due to better identification of similar TCs, characterized by closer proximity of similar TC tracks to the target TC track, facilitated by Sinkhorn distance. This underscores how minor differences in TC track can alter rainfall distribution, emphasizing the critical importance of accurate track prediction in rainfall prediction and the need to reconsider how we categorize TCs together, which can have implications for climate and atmospheric sciences. Collectively, the inclusion of Sinkhorn distance stands as a valuable addition to our toolkit for discerning similar TC tracks, thus elevating the accuracy of TC rainfall predictions.

Interpretation and implications of high-resolution hydroclimatic records of the past 7,000 years based on Gaho paleolake sediments in South Korea

In this study, we investigated the past hydroclimate and its controlling factors over East Asia by reconstructing hydroclimate variability during the middle-to-late Holocene using rainfall-driven sedimentary features in the Gaho paleolake, Hapcheon County on the southern Korean Peninsula. Based on radiocarbon dates, median grain sizes, and elemental ratios of strontium (Sr), titanium (Ti), and zirconium (Zr) measured by high-resolution X-ray fluorescence core scanning, we tested potential indicators of past heavy rainfall. During the past 7000 years, temporal changes in median grain size and elemental ratios (Sr/Ti and Zr/Ti) were found to be similar to those in the Asian monsoonal precipitation index and sea surface temperature (SST) in the western North Pacific region, suggesting that periods with increased elemental ratios may have been influenced by intensified regional rainfall events and higher SSTs. During the past 2000 years, time series of Sr/Ti and Zr/Ti ratios in the paleolake sediments appeared to covary with a megadrought period (AD 1593–1698; 357-252 cal BP), flooding events in the 1500s, and the collapse of ancient nations in Korea and other parts of East Asia. This similarity between sedimentary records and historical events suggests considerable potential for the dating of elemental ratios in lake sediments as high-resolution analogs of past hydrological events to support historical records.

Anomalously weak intensity of tropical cyclones striking eastern China over the past two millennia

Anthropogenic climate warming is predicted to increase the intensity of global tropical cyclones (TCs) on decadal timescales, known as the ‘temperature-TC intensity’ paradigm. However, no proxy is currently available to directly quantify TC intensity in the northwestern Pacific region over centennial to millennial timescales. Here, we reconstruct the intensity of past TCs inferred from event-beds detected in two sedimentary systems in eastern China spanning approximately 1910 to 645 yr BP using an instrumental-calibrated technique, thereby encompassing a sufficiently wide range of temperatures to test the paradigm in the time domain. Intriguingly, our two intensity indices, based on flooding depth and wind speed, provide the initial quantitative evidence that TC intensity in eastern China has been anomalously weak since around 1485 ± 45 yr BP, with a reduction of approximately 30 ± 8% in intensity, despite no concurrent temperature shift. This reduction appears to have been pre-conditioned by a combined influence of a weaker El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a stronger Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and an increased level of Saharan dust. We suggest that the magnitudes of these factors may have crossed a tipping point and have not reverted to their pre-shift levels since that time, resulting in their impact on TC intensity exceeding that of temperature by triggering changes in the oceanic and atmospheric state within the tropical Pacific region where TCs originate.

A dataset of storm surge reconstructions in the Western North Pacific using CNN

The relatively short duration of available tide gauge records poses challenges for conducting comprehensive statistical analyses of storm surges in the Western North Pacific. To address this issue, we employ a convolutional neural network model to reconstruct the maximum daily storm surge at 160 tide gauges from 1900 to 2010 in the Western North Pacific. The reconstructed dataset serves multiple purposes. Firstly, it facilitates the identification of regions where notable changes in the storm surges have occurred in the past. Additionally, the dataset enables long-term analyses of the storm surge climate, offering insights into historical patterns and variations. Furthermore, it provides a solid foundation for conducting robust extreme value analyses. To ensure accessibility, the data are publicly available through a repository, allowing for easy access and utilization by the broader scientific community and the general public. Overall, our research contributes to the field of oceanography by providing a dataset that aids in understanding the historical storm surge dynamics in the Western North Pacific region.

Cretaceous to early Paleogene sediment provenance transition from continental to magmatic arc systems in the Northwestern Pacific Region

Unraveling the Paleo-Kuril Arc's origins is key to understanding northwest Pacific tectonics. The Paleo-Kuril Arc is viewed as an intraoceanic arc from trench subduction between the Izanagi and Pacific Plates. Alternatively, several studies suggest the Paleo-Kuril Arc as a continental magmatic arc, hypothesizing the existence of a mid-oceanic ridge and Paleogene subduction, placing the Paleo-Kuril Arc near the Okhotsk Block's southern edge. This study clarifies these hypotheses, previously clouded by limited geochronological data on deposits in the Paleo-Kuril Arc. We conducted U–Pb dating to examine the origins of detrital zircons from the Cretaceous–Paleogene Tokoro and Nemuro Belts of the Paleo-Kuril Arc. Cluster analysis, merging new and existing data, identified two unique detrital zircon age clusters. The abundance of Precambrian zircons in Cretaceous–Paleocene Paleo-Kuril Arc sandstones (Type 1 Cluster) suggests a continental magmatic origin, supporting the ridge subduction model. However, an early Eocene shift to a consistent local volcanic source (Type 2 Cluster) highlights a significant provenance change. This geochronological evidence, indicating a separation from continental sources, calls for further research to decode the simultaneous development of sediment sources in different geological belts, potentially tied to the ridge subduction event.

Impact of atmospheric forcing on SST biases in the LETKF-based ocean research analysis (LORA)

In the previous study, the authors have produced an eddy-resolving ocean ensemble analysis product called the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF)-based ocean research analysis (LORA) over the western North Pacific and Maritime Continent regions using an ocean data assimilation system driven by the Japanese operational atmospheric reanalysis dataset known as the JRA-55. However, the LORA includes warm biases in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in coastal regions during the boreal winter. In this study, we perform sensitivity experiments with atmospheric forcing using an ocean forcing dataset known as the JRA55-do, which adjusts the JRA-55 to high-quality reference datasets to reduce biases and uncertainties. The results show that the nearshore warm SST biases are significantly improved by the JRA55-do. During the boreal autumn, the improvement comes from mainly two factors: (i) enhancement of surface cooling by latent heat releases caused by removing contamination of weak winds at the land grid cells, and (ii) weakening surface heating by downward shortwave radiation through the adjustment in the JRA55-do.During the boreal winter, enhanced cooling by the analysis increments suppresses the growth of the warm SST biases when the JRA55-do is used. However, if the JRA-55 dataset is used, the adaptive observation error inflation (AOEI) scheme acts negatively to keep the nearshore SST biases in winter. Based on the innovation statistics, the AOEI inflates the observation errors when the differences between the squared observation-minus-forecast innovations and the squared forecast ensemble spreads are larger than the prescribed observation error variance, and improves the accuracy in the open ocean, especially around the frontal regions. However, when substantial warm SST biases are formed in the previous season, AOEI's observation error inflation makes the analysis increments smaller and cannot suppress the warm biases.We also validate the analysis accuracy using various data such as sea surface height and horizontal velocities and find that the JRA55-do has significant advantages. Therefore, continuous maintenance and development of ocean forcing datasets are essential for ocean modeling and data assimilation.

Influence of spatial and seasonal asymmetries on long-range tropical cyclone prediction in the western North Pacific

The seasonal predictability of tropical cyclones (TC) in the western North Pacific (WNP) reported in previous studies are mainly based under the general consideration that the WNP is homogeneous in terms of its spatial and temporal characteristics. Here we present evidence that the western (Domain 1) and eastern (Domain 2) parts of the WNP exhibit spatial and seasonal asymmetric response to large-scale environments (e.g., asymmetrical sea surface temperature anomalies distribution) leading to distinct spatial and seasonal TC variability in the said domains. Exploring such asymmetries, we propose an alternative approach on the long-range predictability of TC genesis frequency in the WNP during its active TC season (i.e., June-November, JJASON) by separately predicting the TC genesis frequency in two domains (i.e., Domains 1 and 2) in two distinct seasons (i.e., June-August and September-October), respectively. Using a number of climate indices as predictors in different lead times, our regression-based models present its best significant seasonal predictability of TC genesis frequency during JJASON (i.e., r = 0.80, p < 0.01) that essentially captures the spatial and seasonal asymmetry in the WNP. It is expected that this study provides valuable insights on the long-range and more localized TC prediction in support of disaster risk reduction in the WNP region.

Unusual subseasonal variability of Indian summer monsoon rainfall in 2020

AbstractAbove‐normal all‐India summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall was received in 2020 with 109% of its long‐period average. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), ISM 2020 experienced robust month‐to‐month rainfall variations; in particular, the peak monsoon month of July 2020 witnessed deficit rainfall. The present study investigated the possible mechanisms that are responsible for the July 2020 deficit rainfall. Analysis revealed that the strong low‐level moisture divergence caused by the westward‐propagating atmospheric Rossby wave, induced by suppressed western North Pacific (WNP) convection, is primarily responsible for the July rainfall deficit. The WNP suppressed convection is linked to anomalous low‐level anticyclonic circulation. It is noted that the intense WNP anticyclone is maintained by the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) warming‐induced atmospheric Kelvin waves and strong low‐level convergence over the Meiyu‐Baiu rainband. Unlike July, the strength of the WNP anticyclone and TIO warming are weaker in June and August. In addition to the observational analysis, the skill of the Climate Forecast System version‐2 (CFSv2) model in predicting the July rainfall at a lead of about two months is examined. Strong positive rainfall anomalies over India are predicted by the model in July, which is in contrast to the observations. Despite predicting the TIO warming, the model failed to capture the westward extension of the WNP anticyclone, which impacted the July rainfall prediction. To understand the importance of the WNP anticyclone on ISM rainfall, a CFSv2 sensitivity experiment is carried out by imposing strong negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the WNP region to excite the anticyclone. Both the westward extension of the WNP anticyclone and suppressed rainfall over the core monsoon region in July are captured by the model when low‐level circulation is imposed. The model sensitivity experiment strongly supports the role of the WNP anticyclone and its westward extension in inducing reduced rainfall in July 2020 over the monsoon trough region.

Connectivity between sea turtles off Jeju Island on the Korean Peninsula, and other populations in the western Pacific

The northwestern Pacific region is an important habitat for sea turtles, hosting five species out of seven. There is still limited information available about the sea turtle aggregations around the Korean Peninsula, which is the northern boundary for many sea turtle species in the western Pacific area. The present study aims to investigate the migratory route of sea turtles visiting Jeju Island. Five species of sea turtles were identified from by-catch and stranding data between 2013 and 2022 on Jeju Island in Korea: green (Chelonia mydas; 24 individuals), loggerhead (Caretta caretta; 9), hawksbill (Eretmochelys imbricata; 2), olive ridley (Lepidochelys olivacea; 2), and leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea; 1). Mixed stock analysis using mitochondrial DNA haplotypes revealed that Jeju green turtles primarily originate from the rookeries of the Japanese Archipelago. This connectivity between two regions was also supported by the similar genetic composition of loggerhead turtles. Similarly, satellite tracking data showed that several green turtles originating from Jeju Island migrated to waters near the Ryukyu Archipelago in Japan. Nevertheless, about 60% of the tracked green turtles stayed near Jeju Island, with most overwintering there, indicating the long residency in Jeju Island. This study also provides the genetic sequences of other three species including new orphan haplotypes of hawksbill and olive ridley turtles. Our findings suggest that Jeju Island serves as a stable foraging habitat and provide insight into understanding the habitat range of sea turtles in the western Pacific.

Impacts of EL NIÑO-Southern oscillation on tropical cyclone activity over the coastal zones of Vietnam

The activity of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been found to alter the characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) worldwide. This paper examines how ENSO influences the active time, occurence frequencies, and intensities of TCs over the coastal zones of Vietnam. The study uses Best Track Data in the Western North Pacific region from 1961 to 2020. The wind speed fields of all TCs over the coastal zones are calculated using a semi-empirical model with a square grid of 0.05° resolution. The results show that the frequencies of TCs over the coastal zones decrease during El Niño years, whilethe TC intensities increase significantly compared to those in Neutral years. Meanwhile, TC intensities over all coastal zones during La Niña years, and some coastal zones during El Niño years, decrease significantly compared to those in Neutral years. The magnitudes of both the increase and decrease in TC frequencies and intensities over the coastal zones vary significantly. Moreover, the active time of TCs during La Niña years in some coastal zones is shorter and occurs later than during the Neutral years.

O fenômeno ENOS e a análise da variabilidade das séries temporais de precipitação na Área de Conservação Guanacaste, Costa Rica

The Pacific Northwest of Costa Rica is a region with marked seasonality in rainfall patterns. This area of Costa Rica is prone to extreme hydroclimatic phenomena such as droughts and floods. Due to the limited distribution of rainfall gauges and the unavailability of relevant information, complementary data obtained from satellites and their respective reanalyzes become imperative for acquiring crucial information. This information can support water resource management actions and their impacts on both natural and productive ecosystems.&#x0D; To analyze the precipitation patterns, we utilized the CHIRPS product’s precipitation time series for five ecoregions within the Guanacaste Conservation Area, located in the northwestern Pacific region of Costa Rica. These curves were strongly and negatively correlated with time series from sea surface temperature monitoring regions, including Niño 1.2, Niño 3, Niño 3.4, and Niño 4.&#x0D; All analyzed ecoregions exhibited strong negative correlations with the Niño 1.2 region, with correlation coefficients (R values) ranging between -0.72 to -0.74. Additionally, a lag of four to five months was observed in the Niño 4 curve compared to the Niño 1.2 region. This study suggests that the Niño 4 anomaly, with a lag of approximately 4 to 5 months, can serve as an indicator of possible impacts on precipitation patterns in different ecoregions. This provides sufficient time to plan actions, particularly within the agricultural sector. This study demonstrates the potential predictability of the effects of ENSO phenomenon on precipitation patterns for large areas with a certain eco-systemic homogeneity, such as the ecoregions in the Guanacaste Conservation Area.

Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau

The increase in intense tropical cyclone (TC) activity across the western North Pacific (WNP) has often been attributed to a warming ocean. However, it is essential to recognize that the tropical WNP region already boasts high temperatures, and a marginal increase in oceanic warmth due to global warming does not exert a significant impact on the potential for TCs to intensify. Here we report that the weakened vertical wind shear is the primary driver behind the escalating trend in TC intensity within the summer monsoon trough of the tropical WNP, while local ocean surface and subsurface thermodynamic factors play a minor role. Through observational diagnoses and numerical simulations, we establish that this weakening of the vertical wind shear is very likely due to the increase in temperature of the Tibetan Plateau. With further warming of the Tibetan Plateau under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 scenario, the projected TCs will likely become stronger.

Coherent amplification of the Okhotsk high, Korean trough, and northwestern Pacific subtropical high during heavy rainfall over Japan in August 2021

In August 2021, rain front stagnation in Japan resulted in prolonged and disastrous rainfall across the entire country. During the heavy rainfall period, the large-scale atmospheric field over the East Asian–western North Pacific region was characterized by meridional tripolar circulation anomalies: the Okhotsk high (OH), the trough over the Korean Peninsula (Korean trough), and the northwestern Pacific subtropical high (NWPSH). Simultaneously, tropical convective activity was enhanced over the eastern Indian Ocean and suppressed over the tropical western–central Pacific. This study investigates the dynamic mechanism of linkage of the extratropical tripolar anomalies and the effects of tropical convective modulation using a reanalysis dataset, a cutoff low detection scheme, the potential vorticity inversion method, and numerical experiments. Upper-tropospheric blocking over eastern Siberia connected to the surface OH is conducive to the stagnation of synoptic depressions, including cutoff lows and troughs, over the Korean Peninsula, contributing to the development and maintenance of the quasi-stationary Korean trough. Rossby waves emanating from the Korean trough excite an anticyclonic anomaly over the northwestern Pacific. This upper-level anomalous anticyclone acts to enhance the surface NWPSH through zonal heat transport, accompanied by a northward tilting structure with height. Simultaneously, the tropical intraseasonal oscillation is amplified over the Indo–western Pacific Ocean sector under the negative-phase Indian Ocean dipole and multi-year La Niña conditions. The combination of enhanced convection over the eastern Indian Ocean and suppressed convection across the tropical western–central Pacific reinforces the NWPSH. The anomalous circulation associated with the extratropical tripolar pattern and concurrent tropical heat forcing causes more moisture transport, convergence, and anomalous ascent, which contribute to heavy rainfall in Japan. These results suggest that the dynamically correlated amplification of tropical and extratropical circulation anomalies plays a crucial role in precipitation variability in East Asia.