West Pacific Subtropical High Research Articles

The impact of interactions between various systems caused by three consecutive years of La Nina events on the abnormal summer high temperatures in China in 2022

In the summer of 2022, like in many other regions of the world, an unprecedented period of continuous high-temperature weather occurred in eastern China. The degree and duration of this event far exceeded normal standards. Between 2020 and 2022, the tropical Pacific experienced the most significant three-year consecutive La Nina event recorded in recent decades. We investigate linkages between these events: the high-temperature response in eastern China and Asia under the background of such La Nina events. Development of summer La Nina events contributed to a high-temperature heat wave during the summer of 2022. Rapid development of these events in the third year exacerbated negative Indian Ocean Dipole phases because of energy accumulation from abnormal easterly winds. The combined effects of the negative Indian Ocean Dipole phase and La Nina provided background field support that strengthened the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) and the Iranian High, leading to high terrestrial temperature anomalies. An empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of the vertical velocity in the middle and low latitudes of the tropical Indian Ocean and the Asian continent reveals the first two empirical orthogonal function modes to be conducive to the strengthening of Walker circulation in 2022. These two main modes jointly reflect the rising movement of the equatorial East Indian Ocean and South China Sea in 2022, and the sinking movement to the west of the Tibet Plateau and eastern China, which was conducive to generating high temperatures in eastern China. Finally, the South Asian High was affected by the La Nina event that lasted for three years, showing a strong trend towards the north, thus making an important contribution to this high temperature.

Moisture sources and pathways during an extreme rainfall event over South Korea and the role of sea surface temperature anomalies in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea

AbstractOn August 8th, 2022, an extreme rainfall event (the 88ER) occurred over South Korea's metropolitan area and resulted in immense losses of human lives and properties. Previous study has attributed the rainfall event to the intersection of warm and cold air induced by a Northeast China Cold Vortex (NCCV) and the persistently northward displacement of the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH). However, in addition to dynamic drivers, understanding the moisture transport of the 88ER is likewise crucial for developing effective strategies to prevent rainstorm disasters. In this study, based on the output from a WRF model, the primary moisture sources and transport pathways of the 88ER are investigated in a Lagrangian view. The Yellow Sea and East China Sea (YSECS) are identified as the most significant moisture source region (84.42%), followed by South Korea (KR), the eastern China (EC) and Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), which contribute 12.52%, 1.52% and 1.43% of the released moisture, respectively. Furthermore, to assess the sensitivity of moisture fluxes and heavy rainfall to the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the YSECS, an additional WRF model experiment is conducted in which the SST anomalies are replaced by the average SST over the past 30 years. It is found that the SST anomalies in the YSECS cause differences in atmospheric circulation, and therefore exert a strong influence on moisture transport. The SST anomalies finally enhance the moisture contribution of the YSECS by 1.72%, but decrease that over KR, EC and DPRK by 1.03%, 0.35% and 0.33%, respectively.

What caused large ozone variabilities in three megacity clusters in eastern China during 2015–2020?

Abstract. Due to a robust emission control policy, significant reductions in major air pollutants, such as PM2.5, SO2, NO2, and CO, were observed in China between 2015 and 2020. On the other hand, during the same period, there was a notable increase in ozone (O3) concentrations, making it a prominent air pollutant in eastern China. The annual mean concentration of maximum daily 8 h average (MDA8) O3 exhibited alarming linear increases of 2.4, 1.1, and 2.0 ppb yr−1 (ppb is for parts per billion) in three megacity clusters: Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH), the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), and the Pearl River Delta (PRD), respectively. Meanwhile, there was a significant 3-fold increase in the number of O3-exceeding days, defined as MDA8 O3 > 75 ppb. Our analysis indicated that the upward increases in the annual mean concentration of MDA8 were primarily driven by the rise in consecutive O3-exceeding days. There were expansions of high O3 in urban centers to rural areas accompanied by a saturation effect so that MDA8 O3 concentrations at the high-O3 stations in 2015 remained nearly constant at 100 ppb. Last, we found a close association between O3 episodes with 4 or more consecutive O3-exceeding days and the position and strength of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the northwest Pacific and the West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). The TC and WPSH contributed to meteorological conditions characterized by clear skies, subsiding air motion, high vertical stability in the lower troposphere, increased solar radiation, and a positive temperature anomaly at the surface. These favorable meteorological conditions greatly facilitated the formation of O3. Thus, we propose that the worsening O3 increases observed in the BTH, YRD, and PRD regions from 2015 to 2020 can be mostly attributed to enhanced photochemical O3 production resulting from an increased occurrence of meteorological conditions with high solar radiation and positive temperature anomalies under the influence of the WPSH and TCs.

The combined influence of west Pacific subtropical high and tropical cyclones over the northwest Pacific on Indian summer monsoon rainfall

AbstractWe examined the interrelationship between the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), the west Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western north Pacific (WNP) Ocean during the peak monsoon season in 1951–2019. When WNP TCs are inactive (active), there is a noticeable 10° westward (eastward) shift observed along with intensification (weakening) of the WPSH. The WPSH and WNP TC activities are divided into four categories—an eastward shift of WPSH with active TCs (EA) and inactive TCs (EI), and a westward shift of WPSH with active TCs (WA) and inactive TCs (WI)—in order to investigate the combined influence of the WPSH and WNP TCs on ISMR during non‐El Niño–Southern Oscillation (non‐ENSO), El Niño, and La Niña phases. In the EA non‐ENSO cases, a surplus (deficit) rainfall was noticed over central (southern peninsular) India as a result of moisture convergence (low convective available potential energy, abnormal moisture divergence and downdraft); however, the rainfall is above normal over the Indian subcontinent. During the EI non‐ENSO case, an excess (deficit) regional rainfall activity was observed over east‐central India and parts of north India (southern peninsular India) through regional changes in atmospheric circulations and midtropospheric vertical velocity. In contrast, in WI (WA) non‐ENSO cases, the majority of India (southern peninsular and northeast India) experiences excessive precipitation while east‐central India (east and west central India) undergoes a deficit rainfall. This pattern is consistent with the spatial distribution of moisture flux convergence, convective available potential energy, and midtropospheric vertical velocity. In the case of non‐ENSO, the westward shift of the WPSH associated with inactive TCs is one of the favourable conditions for ISMR. In general, the effect of an eastward (westward) shift of the WPSH along with more (less) TCs during the non‐ENSO case is favourable to ISMR. On the other hand, rainfall patterns during ENSO are significantly associated with the circulation changes teleconnected to El Niño and La Niña conditions.

Factors Affecting the Spatiotemporal Variation of Precipitation in the Songhua River Basin of China

The study aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal variation of annual precipitation and extreme precipitation within the Songhua River Basin (SRB). It utilized precipitation data collected from 60 meteorological stations within the SRB during the period 1968–2019. Employing Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, it decomposed spatiotemporal characteristics of annual precipitation in the SRB. Through Pearson correlation analysis, application of the cross-wavelet transform, and wavelet coherence analysis, the current study explored the correlation between geographical factors, local air temperature, circulation factors, and annual and extreme precipitation. The results indicated an increasing trend for annual precipitation and for most indices of extreme precipitation within the SRB, apart from the consecutive dry days (CDD). Spatially, a general pattern of “more in the east and less in the west” was observed. Annual precipitation types in the basin were resolved into two modes with the first mode showing a general tendency of more (or less) precipitation over the entire basin, while the second mode exhibited less (or more) precipitation in the western areas and more (or less) in the eastern areas. Longitude, latitude, and altitude significantly impacted annual precipitation and extreme precipitation. Local air temperature notably affected the consecutive wet days (CWD). The West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) exerts a strong influence on the annual precipitation and extreme precipitation within the basin.

Study on Seasonal Characteristics and Causes of Marine Heatwaves in the South China Sea over Nearly 30 Years

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are becoming more frequent and intense in many regions around the world, as well as in China’s marginal seas. However, the seasonal characteristics and associated physical drivers of MHWs are largely unknown. In this study, we analyze, based on multiple reanalysis and numerical model data, the seasonal characteristics and causes of MHWs in the South China Sea (SCS) over a near 30-year period (1991–2022). There exist significant seasonal variabilities in the spatiotemporal features and formation mechanisms of MHWs. MHWs in the SCS show significant increasing trends in terms of frequency, duration, and intensity. MHWs during the summer half-year are stronger than the winter half-year as a whole, with them being more likely to occur over the eastern SCS in the summer half-year and the western region in the winter half-year. However, the increasing trend of MHWs in the winter half-year exceed those in the summer. Additionally, we find that MHWs are associated with the unusually strong west Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) both in the summer and winter half-years. Nevertheless, the dominant factors for MHWs are different in the varied seasons. According to upper ocean temperature equation analysis, surface heat flux anomalies (especially shortwave radiation flux) are major effect factors in the summer half-year, while ocean dynamic processes play the main role in the winter half-year. An analysis of the typical MHWs also proves this conclusion. Moreover, MHWs occurring in winter are often accompanied by temperature anomalies within the mixed-layer depth. The findings imply that the formation mechanisms and space–time distribution of MHWs exist with a seasonal contrast in the SCS, rather than simply being due to large-scale circulation and flux anomalies. This may provide a useful reference for a deeper understanding and forecasting of MHWs under different seasons and weather.

Unravelling the Linkages between the Intraseasonal Variability of the West Pacific Subtropical High and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

Unravelling the Linkages between the Intraseasonal Variability of the West Pacific Subtropical High and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

Characteristics and changes in the atmospheric water cycle of the Tibetan Plateau Vortex

The Tibetan Plateau Vortex (TPV) is an important low-pressure system that affects the weather and climate in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. It is of great importance to study the water cycle of the TPV to further understand the TPV and its resulting disastrous weather. This study is different from the previous studies of TPV cases or of the atmospheric water cycle of the Qinghai Tibet Plateau. Focusing on the moving TPV weather system, from the perspective of climatology, the characteristics of the atmospheric water cycle of the TPV and the atmospheric circulation that affects the activity of the TPV water cycle are studied using statistical methods based on the reanalysis data. The results show that the TPV water cycle is mainly affected by external circulation. The overall water vapour utilization efficiency of the TPV water cycle first decreases and then increases, and its activity degree first decreases and then increases. The high-value area of TPV precipitation is located in the middle of the plateau and annual TPV precipitation has a good correlation with TPV water cycle activity. The large-scale system is closely related to the vortex water cycle of the plateau. When the intensity of the South Asian high (SAH) is relatively strong, the West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) advances westward, and there is a stronger warm rising area over the main body of the plateau. When the southerly airflow on the south side of the low-level plateau is strong, the water cycle of the TPV is more active, easily moves eastward and produces more precipitation, and vice versa.

Extreme large-scale atmospheric circulation associated with the “21·7” Henan flood

From July 19 to 21, 2021, Henan, a province in northern China (NC), was affected by severe flooding (referred to hereafter as “21·7”) caused by a prolonged record-breaking extreme precipitation (EP) event. Understanding the extremes of the large-scale circulation pattern during “21·7” is essential for predicting EP events and preventing future disasters. In this study, daily atmospheric large-scale circulations over NC in the summers from 1979 to 2021 were investigated using the circulation classification method of an obliquely rotated principal component analysis in T-mode (PCT). The geopotential height at 500 hPa and 925 hPa were applied successively in classification. Among the nine summer circulation patterns at 500 hPa were found, the 3 days of “21·7” belonged to the Type 8 pattern, which had the second highest probability of EP days among all patterns. It was characterized by a southeasterly wind toward North China Plain driven by a dipole geopotential height field, with the West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) extending far north to 30°N and low to the south near NC. Tropical cyclones (TCs) occurred on 72.5% of EP days, in which larger amounts of precipitation and a longer duration of EP days were found along the mountains in NC, as compared with other patterns. The distribution of EP events under this pattern was mainly influenced by the location of the low at 925 hPa in the dipole. The subtype 8−3 circulation, with lows in the east of Taiwan Island, included “21·7” and accounted for 1.6% of all summer days. Typhoon In-fa, together with the WPSH, gave rise to intense column integrated moisture flux convergence (IMFC) via the southeasterly wind to Henan, which occurred continuously during the 3 days of “21·7”, resulting in the largest (second largest) mean IMFC among 3 consecutive EP days under type 8 (all types) during the past 43 summers in NC. Further analysis revealed that the large-scale dynamic process could not completely explain the record-breaking EP during “21·7”, indicating possible contributions of other dynamic processed related to meso-scale convective storms.

Millennial‐ to centennial‐scale anti‐phase relationship between the Westerlies and the East Asian summer monsoon and its cultural response along the Silk Roads after a great earthquake in southern Altay ~ 3500 cal a BP

AbstractIt is strongly debated whether the Westerlies and the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) are in‐phase, anti‐phase or out‐of‐phase, and how hydroclimatic changes in the above two climate systems affected trans‐Eurasian cultural exchanges during the late Holocene. In this study, we establish a 3500‐a‐long paleoclimatic sequence based on high‐resolution analyses of sedimentological and geochemical data of a well‐dated sediment core from Yileimu Lake in southern Altay. High percentages of the >63‐µm fraction and high values of Zr/Rb and Rb/Sr ratios indicate strong transport of weakly weathered, coarse sediments into the depocenter of the lake caused by enhanced surface runoff and catchment erosion associated with a wet climate, and vice versa. High values of Ca and total inorganic carbon (TIC) contents imply increased precipitation of endogenic carbonates in the lake water under intense evaporation associated with a dry climate, and vice versa. This new record indicates two wet intervals at 3500–2300 and 600–100 cal a bp, interrupted by a severe and prolonged dry interval from 2300 to 1000 cal a bp, and a mild dry interval with occasionally wet conditions from 1000 to 600 cal a bp. These results are broadly consistent with other paleoclimatic records in Westerlies‐dominated Asia and are generally anti‐phase with those in the EASM region. We suggest that a strengthening/weakening and southward/northward migration of the Westerlies during a negative/positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) transported more/less water vapor into arid Asia. Meanwhile, a decreasing/increasing El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) superimposed on a southward/northward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) triggered a weakening/strengthening and southward/northward movement of the West‐Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), resulting in decreasing/increasing EASM intensity. In addition, the wet climate from 3500 to 2300 cal a bp may have contributed to the development of nomadic herding in the eastern Eurasian Steppe and Altay region, and to the opening of the proto‐Silk Roads. Potentially, intense seismic activities in the Altay Mountains ~3500 cal a bp may have also promoted the opening of the proto‐Silk Roads by forcing the herdsmen to move to the inter‐mountainous basins. The strong EASM intensity from 2300 to 1000 cal a bp in eastern China may have contributed to the creation of the ancient Silk Roads by the Han Dynasty.

Multiscale Influences on Persistent Extreme Precipitation Events in North China

This study classifies regional persistent extreme precipitation events (PEPEs) in North China into two types in accordance with variance contributions and significance of different timescale rainfall variability in boreal summer. For type 1, PEPEs are dominated by a 10–20-day periodicity, and for type 2, PEPEs are mainly influenced by a 30–60-day mode. Atmospheric circulation anomalies associated with the two types of PEPEs are characterized by a zonal wave train (the EU pattern) in the mid–high latitudes in type 1 but a meridional wave train (the EAP pattern) in East Asia in type 2. The common feature of the two types is anomalous southerly on the west edge of the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH), which favors anomalous moisture transport into the key region. Additional moisture source for type 2 is linked to anomalous cross-equatorial flow. Both types of PEPEs result from the combined effect of intraseasonal oscillations in both the mid–high latitudes and the tropics. The impact of ENSO on the two types of PEPEs is investigated. While a La Niña SST condition in the preceding winter favor the occurrence of PEPEs, their subsequent transition in central and eastern equatorial Pacific will determine which of the two types of PEPEs is pronounced.

Revisiting a Mei-Yu Front Associated with Heavy Rainfall over Taiwan during 6–7 June 2003

During 6–7 June 2003, a Mei-Yu jet/front system over Southern China is characterized by appreciable horizontal temperature contrast below the 850 hPa level (>8 K), where the cold, dry, postfrontal northeasterlies converge with the warm, moist southwesterly flow, and above the 400–hPa level (>18 K) associated with an upper-level front. The frontal baroclinic zone tilts northward with a slope of ~1/100. During the passage of a midlatitude trough, the upper-level jet/front system advances southeastward. The thermally direct circulation across the subsynoptic low-level jet (SLLJ)/Mei-Yu front system, coupled with dynamic forcing aloft on the equatorial side of the entrance region of a subsynoptic upper-level jet (SULJ), provides a favorable environment for the development of a frontal cyclone over Southern China. A southwesterly marine boundary layer jet (MBLJ) develops between the deepening Mei-Yu frontal cyclone and the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH). The MBLJ transports moisture from the northern South China Sea (NSCS) to Southern China. All three jets (SULJ, SLLJ, and MBLJ) interact together during the deepening of the Mei-Yu frontal cyclone with positive feedback effects of latent heat release. On 7 June 2003, as the Mei-Yu front arrives near the Taiwan area, the warm, moist, and unstable air associated with the MBLJ decelerates as it approaches the Central Mountain Range (CMR). The warm, moist, and unstable air is orographically lifted by the CMR and enhances the vertical motion already present with the frontal zone. A region of widespread heavy rainfall develops, with a maximum of more than 350 mm/day, over a region extending from the southwestern coast of Taiwan to the windward slopes of the CMR.

Changes in large-scale circulation over the Indo-Pacific region and its association with 2018 Kerala extreme rainfall event

We investigate the characteristics and causes of extreme rainfall event occurred in Kerala (south western regions of the peninsular India) in August 2018. The changes in large-scale circulations over the Indo-Pacific domain and their association with regional circulation features, which made the extreme rainfall in Kerala are analysed. During this extreme event, Kerala experienced eleven days of incessant rainfall from 8 to 18 August 2018. It is observed that these extreme rainfall days were accompanied with two extreme spells of rainfall during 8–10 and 14–17 August 2018 that made severe floods in Kerala. Kerala experienced rainfall of more than 100 mm day−1, particularly in the south Kerala during these events. The triad (average of three days) analysis of vertical velocity at 500 hPa and moisture convergence at the surface level reveal the dynamics and thermal structure of the regional deep convective activity. A remarkable eastward shift of cross equatorial flow over the Indian Ocean produced an intense offshore vortex, which induced more moisture towards the southern regions especially over Kerala where the extreme event was occurred. The west Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is one of the large-scale circulations over the Indo-Pacific region, which shifted northward and the western flank of WPSH extended westward resulting a blocking high that was created over East Asia during the period. The eastward shift of cross-equatorial flow over the Bay of Bengal, outflow from the East Asian blocking high were mainly maintaining the low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal during the extreme event. Therefore, the key cause of the extreme flood over Kerala in August 2018 is the deep moisture convergence through the offshore vortex, intense intrusion from subtropics and out flow from low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal.

Precipitation Variations in the Flood Seasons of 1910–2019 in Hunan and Its Association With the PDO, AMO, and ENSO

Floods in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River threaten thousands of million people, causing casualties and economic loss. Yet, the prediction of floods in this region is still challenging. To better understand the floods in this region, we investigate the interdecadal-interannual rainfall variation of the flood season (April–September) in Hunan province. The relationship between the rainfall and the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are also analyzed. The results show that the precipitation in the flood seasons shows an interdecadal oscillation with a period of about 20 years, which is caused by the joint effect of the PDO and AMO. When the PDO and AMO are in the same phase, the corresponding flood season is characterized by more precipitation, and conversely, it is less precipitation. Further analyses show that in the year after El Niño, when the PDO and AMO are both in the positive phase, it is favorable for the west Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) to be stronger and more southward than normal. Such circulation anomaly is conducive to the water vapor transport to the southern China, and as a result there is more precipitation in Hunan. When the PDO and AMO are both in the negative phase, the WPSH is weaker than normal, but the India-Burma trough is obviously stronger, which is also favorable for the southwesterly water vapor transport to the southern China. However, in the next year of the La Niña year, regardless of the phase combination of the PDO and AMO, the southern coast of China are controlled by a negative geopotential height anomaly and the WPSH retreats to the sea, which is not conducive to the northward transport of water vapor, and the precipitation in Hunan is less than normal. But if only the cold SST background in the previous stage is considered (without reaching the standard of a La Niña event),is more precipitation in most of the Hunan Province. Therefore, at the interannual scale, the PDO and AMO also have a modulating effect on the precipitation signal. However, the interannual-scale ENSO signal has a greater influence on the precipitation in Hunan flood seasons. Our results will give implications for the predications of floods in Hunan.

Footprints of Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the interdecadal variation of Consecutive Cloudy–Rainy Events in Southern China

Consecutive Cloudy-Rainy Events (CCREs) in spring have a disastrous impact on agriculture and the natural ecosystem over southern China. In this study, the variability of the frequency of spring CCREs in southern China from 1961 to 2016 and the underlying mechanism of these phenomena are explored. The results indicate that the dominant mode of the CCRE frequency in southern China varies in a uniform spatial pattern, and the time series exhibits a strong interdecadal variation, with a higher frequency between the late 1970s and late 1990s and a lower frequency in the other periods. Such an interdecadal variation in the CCRE frequency varies well in–phase with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Further dynamic diagnosis and numerical simulation both suggest that the PDO is linked with CCREs in southern China through two physical processes. On the one hand, the anomalous PDO is associated with the anomalous North Pacific Oscillation (NPO). The westward extension of the NPO is accompanied by anomalous East Asian westerly jet (EAWJ) and West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). On the other hand, the eastward development process associated with the PDO variation can excite a Rossby wave train over the Northern Hemispheric mid-latitudes. The PDO-related Rossby wave train can alter East Asian atmospheric circulations, leading to anomalous EAWJ. The changes in the EAWJ and WPSH can further lead to anomalous upward motion over southern China and moisture transportation from the South China Sea to southern China. Through these physical processes, the positive–phase (negative–phase) PDO provides a favorable (unfavorable) condition for the occurrence of CCREs in southern China.

Variability of West Pacific subtropical high and its potential importance to the Indian summer monsoon rainfall

AbstractThe variability of West Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) during the peak monsoon (July–August) season for the period 1951–2015 and its association with Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) is investigated based on various observational data sets. In the present study, we explored the long term variability of WPSH based on location index (zonal displacement of western edge) and intensity index (intensity values at the centre of WPSH). We observed significant interannual variability in zonal displacement of western flank at around 20°N, and this variability is coherent with the variability in intensity at the centre of WPSH. The significant long term trend in location index is about 1.4° per decade towards east, which is also consistent with weakening trend (−2.6 gpm per decade) in intensity index. Moreover, both the indices show contrasting trends prior to and post 1976 periods. The variability of location and intensity indices shows significant relationship with ISMR by modulating the low level circulations over the Indo‐Pacific region. The present study revealed that the correlations of WPSH indices with ISMR are significant at 95% confidence level. The spatial distribution of rainfall over India during WPSH expansion years depicts the significant enhancement in southern peninsula and north‐central India while a significant reduction in east central India; however, contrasting rainfall patterns are observed during WPSH contraction years. In general, changes in large‐scale circulation during the westward (eastward) shift and intensification (weakening) of WPSH favour (unfavour) monsoon rainfall. The southern peninsula and northcentral India (east central India) experience surplus (deficit) rainfall during WPSH expansion due to modulation of moisture supply from the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal and west Pacific Ocean. Additionally, we noticed upper (lower) level divergence (convergence) and lower (upper) level convergence (divergence) during the expansion (contraction) years over the south Asian monsoon region.

Attribution of the Principal Components of the Summertime Ozone Valley in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere

The key factors affecting the variation of the ‘ozone valley’, which appears during the boreal summer in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) over the South Asian High (SAH) and its adjacent areas, have not been determined. This study has performed statistical analysis to improve the understanding of the roles of the sea surface temperature (SST), tropopause height, and the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) on the ozone valley. Based on the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Interim Re-Analysis (ERA5), Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications dataset version 2 (MERRA2), and the Stratospheric Water and Ozone Satellite Homogenized (SWOOSH) observation dataset, we examined the principal components of the zonal deviation of the total column ozone (TCO*) in the UTLS by applying the empirical orthogonal function (EOF), Liang-Kleeman information flow method, regression analysis, and composite analysis. The variations of the TCO* anomalies show three dominant modes, namely the east-west dipole mode in the low latitude region, the east-west tripole mode in the middle latitude region, and the south-north mode. According to the regression analysis and information flow, the three leading principal components of TCO* variations are related to the SST near Indonesia and the western Pacific Ocean in low latitudes, the tropopause height over the Iranian Plateau (IP), and the strength of the SAH over the eastern part of the Tibetan Plateau (TP), which is linked to the synchronousness between the SAH and the WPSH. For the east-west dipole mode in the low latitude region, composite analysis shows the interaction between the atmosphere and ocean causes the strengthening of the southern trough at 850 hPa and the divergence at 200 hPa, resulting in a decrease of the TCO* in the UTLS near the low latitude region around the TP. For the east-west tripole mode in the middle latitude region, the composite analysis shows obvious negative anomalies over the IP, where the TCO* reduces and the extent of the ozone valley over the IP increases with the rise of the tropopause. Comparatively, the south-north mode shows obvious positive anomalies over the TP, where the TCO* increases and the extent of the ozone valley over the TP decreases with a weak SAH. This mode is closely related to the location of the WPSH. In summary, the leading factors affecting the three dominant modes for the variations of the TCO* anomalies are SST, tropopause height, and the WPSH.

Individual event, seasonal and interannual variations in δ18O values of drip water in Maomaotou Big Cave, Guilin, South China, and their implications for palaeoclimatic reconstructions

Accurately interpreting the stable oxygen isotopic composition (δ18O) of cave drip water is critical to the retrieval of palaeoclimatic information based on the δ18O records preserved in speleothem calcite. Substantial cave monitoring data sites of interest can make essential contributions. In this study, six speleothem drip water sites and one pool water site were selected for a five‐year (2013–2017) monitoring of O and H stable isotope ratios in Maomaotou Big Cave, Guilin, South China. The results reveal that the drip water δ18O generally inherits the signals in the precipitation but may lag behind by times ranging from 1 to 6 months. Variations in drip water δ18O are determined by climatic variables operating over several time scales. At the individual storm‐event scale, drip water δ18O is a function of rainfall amount, moisture source δ18O and hydrological processes within the vadose zone. Moisture from nearby Beibu Bay in the northwest of the South China Sea often causes the rainfall and thus drip water to be enriched in 18O at Maomaotou Cave, for example. Seasonally or annually, the higher amounts of precipitation associated with the occurrence of El Niño events (e.g. in 2015/2016) result in more depleted drip water δ18O. On the interannual scale, variations of drip water δ18O are linked to changes in the intensity of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM), the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH). An enhanced EASM coupled with La Niña‐like conditions likely results in depleted precipitation δ18O, as does a stronger WPSH that leads to more rainfall. This study illustrates the importance of understanding these complex and varying external environmental conditions that contribute to δ18O changes in drip water, when interpreting the palaeoclimatic information contained in speleothems.

Meteorological mechanism for a large-scale persistent severe ozone pollution event over eastern China in 2017

An intensive and persistent regional ozone pollution event occurred over eastern China from 25 June to 5 July 2017. 73 out of 96 selected cities, most located in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the surrounding area (BTHS), suffered severe ozone pollution. A north-south contrast ozone distribution, with higher ozone (199 ± 33 μg/m3) in the BTHS and lower ozone (118 ± 25 μg/m3) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), was found to be dominated by the position of the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) and mid-high latitude wave activities. In the BTHS, the positive anomalies of geopotential height at 500 hPa and temperature at the surface indicated favorable meteorological conditions for local ozone formation. Prevailing northwesterly winds in the mid-high troposphere and warm advection induced by weak southerly winds in the low troposphere resulted in low-moderate relative humidity (RH), less total cloud cover (TCC), strong solar radiation and high temperatures. Moreover, southerly winds prevailing over the BTHS aggravated the pollution due to regional transportation of O3 and its precursors. On one hand, the deep sinking motion and inversion layer suppressed the dispersion of pollutants. On the other hand, O3-rich air in the upper layer was maintained at night due to temperature inversion, which facilitated O3 vertical transport to the surface in the next-day morning due to elevated convection. Generally, temperature, UV radiation, and RH showed good correlations with O3 in the BTHS, with rates of 8.51 (μg/m3)/°C (within the temperature range of 20–38°C), 59.54 (μg/m3)/(MJ/m2) and −1.93 (μg/m3)/%, respectively.

The Influences of Tropical Volcanic Eruptions with Different Magnitudes on Persistent Droughts over Eastern China

In this study, the influences on persistent droughts over Eastern China from tropical volcanic eruptions with three categories of magnitudes, i.e., 25 Tg, 50 Tg, and 100 Tg, were investigated through three groups of volcanic sensitivity experiments based on the Community Earth System Model (CESM). The results showed that, the 25 Tg tropical volcanic eruptions are too weak to significantly influence the regional precipitation changes over Eastern China, while the 50 Tg tropical volcanic eruptions can strongly intensify droughts and prolong the drought conditions for about five years. Both the extension and intensification of the drought conditions induced by 100 Tg tropical volcanic eruption are the largest among the three sensitivity experiments. These drought conditions are mainly caused by the weakened East Asia Summer Monsoon (EASM), and their extension and intensification depend on the strength of the volcanic eruptions. The intensities of weakened EASMs after volcanic eruptions are associated with the distinct ocean–land thermal contrast after eruptions. The ocean–land thermal contrast is the largest after the 100 Tg tropical volcanic eruptions, while it is much weaker after the 25 Tg volcanic eruptions. The durations of drought extensions are determined by the recovery rates of the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH), which are associated with the magnitudes of the volcanic eruptions.