West Florida Continental Shelf Research Articles

Mean circulation and its seasonal cycle on the West Florida Shelf as evidenced by multi-decadal time series of moored currents and winds

Time series from a moored array of current velocity and surface meteorological sensors, some with record lengths as long as 25 years, are used to describe both the long-term mean circulation and its seasonal variations on the West Florida Continental Shelf (WFS). The moorings are part of the University of South Florida's Coastal Ocean Monitoring and Prediction System (USF-COMPS), a network of ocean observing assets along with numerical circulation models, all used to describe and understand physical and ecological processes on the WFS. These USF-COMPS observations reveal a coherent, shelf-wide mean circulation pattern with depth-averaged flow directed alongshore and down-coast. The vertical structure and the seasonal variations further describe an inner-shelf, wind-driven upwelling region separated from a deeper-ocean influenced offshore downwelling region by a coastal jet. By adding to the record lengths from previous analyses, the statistics are shown to be robust, with the inferences drawn from shorter records being borne out by the present longer-term analyses.

Ocean-atmosphere heat exchange seasonal cycle on the West Florida Shelf derived from long term moored data

Twenty-three years of surface meteorological and oceanographic data sampled from moored buoys are used to study the seasonal and interannual variations of ocean–atmosphere heat exchange and its influence on West Florida Continental Shelf (WFS) water temperature and stratification. The data are from the University of South Florida's Coastal Ocean Monitoring and Prediction System (COMPS), part of the Southeast Coastal Ocean Observing Regional Association (SECOORA). Observed are incoming short and longwave radiation, air and sea surface temperatures (AT and SST), barometric pressure, relative humidity, wind velocity, water column velocity profiles, and water column temperature at discrete depths. These data are used to estimate net shortwave and longwave radiation and sensible and latent heat fluxes via the COARE 3.6 algorithm. When combined, these radiative and turbulent heat flux influences are compared with the heating and cooling of the WFS water column and SST. On seasonal average, heating starts in February and lasts through August, with a maximum rate of change in May, while cooling starts in September and lasts through January, with the maximum rate of change in October. Also on seasonal average, SST varies from 18.4 °C in February to 30.4 °C in August at mooring C10 (at the 25 m isobath) and from 20.1 °C in February to 30.2 °C in August at mooring C12 (at the 50 m isobath), the differences in the seasonal range being due to increased ocean circulation influence in deeper water. Both the spring and fall transition onsets, February and August, respectively, occur when the sign of the net heat flux changes. The water column begins to stratify in March, peaking in June–July and lagging the surface heating by one or two months, then decreasing through September at C10 and October at C12. Stratification is also modified by persistent upwelling when the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current (LC) interacts with the WFS slope at its southwest corner near the Dry Tortugas. Interannual temperature anomalies from the seasonal cycle are also related to how the LC interacts with the WFS slope.

Sea surface temperature trends for Tampa Bay, West Florida Shelf and the deep Gulf of Mexico

Sea surface temperatures for Tampa Bay, the West Florida Continental Shelf (WFS) and the adjacent deep Gulf of Mexico are examined for trends. Data sets are from stations maintained by the Hillsborough County Environmental Protection Commission, buoys maintained by the University of South Florida Coastal Ocean Monitoring and Prediction System and the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration (NOAA) National Data Buoy Center, the Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature analyses by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, and the Hadley Centre Sea Surface Temperature. These various data sets, each with different record lengths, require the consideration of trends both on the basis of record length and start time. Tampa Bay shows a warming trend, but with considerable inter-annual variability and start time bias resulting in a lack of statistical significance in more recent years. The WFS is also generally warming, and its inter-annual variability is largely controlled by the upwelling of cooler, deeper Gulf of Mexico water across the shelf break. The deep GOM shows statistically significant warming in most of the data except for the “gappy” records from buoys, both along the continental shelf and in the deep water. Trends in the Gulf of Mexico are mostly between 0.1 and 0.5 °C/decade, somewhat larger than the secular rise found globally, although within the range of the observed decadal variability.

Local And Deep-Ocean Forcing Effects on the West Florida Continental Shelf Circulation and Ecology

We review the evolution of knowledge on the forcing of the west Florida continental shelf by a combination of local winds and deep-ocean influences, and we provide application examples regarding the relationships between the shelf responses to these forcing functions and certain ecological phenomena, including blooms of the harmful alga,Karenia brevis, recruitment of gag juveniles and how Deepwater Horizon hydrocarbons may have affected west Florida reef fish and the shoreline. Our approach employs a coordinated set of observations and numerical circulation model simulations, wherein the observations, by providing reasonable veracity checks on the model simulations, allow for further dynamical analyses that would otherwise be unavailable from the observations alone. For the case of local forcing only, we provide two dynamically consistent definitions of the inner-shelf and outer-shelf regions, and for the case of deep-ocean forcing, we show how the west Florida shelf geometry (with regard to certain geophysical fluid dynamics principles) can result in the entire shelf region being impacted by the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current. Thus, we help to explain why the west Florida shelf experiences large inter-annual variations in shelf ecology, providing impetus for further interdisciplinary study.

Leatherback Turtles in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico: Foraging and Migration Behavior During the Autumn and Winter

We deployed 19 satellite tags on foraging adult leatherback turtles, including 17 females and 2 males, captured in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico in 2015, 2018, and 2019 in order to study regional distribution and movements. Prior to our study, limited data were available from leatherbacks foraging in the Gulf of Mexico. Tag deployment durations ranged from 63 to 247 days and turtles exhibited three distinct behavior types: foraging, transiting, or rapidly switching between foraging and transiting. Some females were tracked to nesting beaches in the Caribbean. Most of the leatherbacks remained on and foraged along the west Florida continental shelf whereas a few individuals foraged in waters of the central Gulf of Mexico during the autumn and winter. In addition, migration of adult females through the Yucatan Channel indicate that this is a seasonally important area for Caribbean nesting assemblages.

On the Potential Optical Signature of Convective Turbulence over the West Florida Shelf

Atmospheric cold front propagation across the northern Gulf of Mexico is characterized by elevated surface wind velocities and a ~10–15 °C drop in surface air temperatures. These meteorological conditions result in significant heat energy losses from the surface ocean to the overlying atmosphere. These seasonally recurring cold-air outbreak events may penetrate the southern portion of the West Florida continental shelf and initiate turbulent and convective overturn of the water column. Examination of true color images derived from ocean-viewing, satellite-based radiometer data reveals coincident and substantial surface water discolorations that are optically similar to smaller-scale “whiting events,” despite the regional-scale extent of the observed phenomenon (>25,000 km2). Coupled air–sea numerical simulations suggest the surface water discoloration occurs and is sustained where the entire water column is dynamically unstable. The simulation results indicate significant density (σt) inversions between the surface and bottom waters. Thus, the combined numerical model and remote sensing analysis suggest that convective turbulence may be contributing to the sustained ventilation of bottom waters containing a high concentration of suspended particulates. High-temporal resolution true color images rendered from the GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) data appear to support the surface water discoloration’s turbulent-driven nature.

The Coastal Ocean Circulation Influence on the 2018 West Florida Shelf K. brevis Red Tide Bloom

AbstractBlooms of the harmful alga, Karenia brevis on the west Florida continental shelf are thought to initiate offshore before manifesting as a nuisance along the coastline. Contributing to such blooms are a complex sequence of events occurring within oligotrophic waters, which in any given year may or may not be facilitated by the ocean circulation. Once initiation occurs, the delivery from the region of offshore origination to the region of coastline manifestation requires an upwelling circulation, whereby K. brevis cells are advected shoreward along the bottom. The 2018 K. brevis bloom was particularly intense owing to cells from the preceding 2017 bloom being reinforced by a newly formed bloom in 2018, a year when the offshore conditions in spring through early summer were again favorable for bloom development. As an event response to determine the potential for new cells to be delivered to the shore, a glider was deployed from 24 August 2018 to 17 September 2018 with a track line designed to map water properties over the hypothesized initiation region. The coastal ocean circulation during the deployment interval was generally upwelling favorable, but the passage of Tropical Storm Gordon temporarily disrupted this flow, after which K. brevis appeared along the Florida Panhandle coast. Strong upwelling then reestablished and K. brevis was subsequently observed along Florida's east coast. We describe the glider deployment, the K. brevis observations, and we use a numerical circulation model to account for the K. brevis manifestation as occurred along Florida's west, Panhandle, and east coasts.

West Florida shelf upwelling: Origins and pathways

AbstractOften described as oligotrophic, the west Florida continental shelf supports abundant fisheries, experiences blooms of the harmful alga, Karenia brevis, and exhibits subsurface chlorophyll maxima evident in shipboard and glider surveys. Renewal of inorganic nutrients by the upwelling of deeper ocean water onto the shelf may account for this, but what are the origins and pathways by which such new water may broach the shelf break and advance toward the shoreline? We address these questions via numerical model simulations of pseudo‐Lagrangian, isopycnic water parcel trajectories. Focus is on 2010, when the west Florida shelf was subjected to an anomalously protracted period of upwelling caused by Gulf of Mexico Loop Current interactions with the shelf slope. Origins and pathways are determined by integrating trajectories over successive 45 day intervals, beginning from different locations along the shelf break and at various locations and depths along the shelf slope. Waters upwelling across the shelf break are found to originate from relatively shallow depths along the shelf slope. Even for the anomalous 2010 year, much of this upwelling occurs from about 150 m and above, although waters may broach the shelf break from 300 m depth, particularly in the Florida Panhandle. Such interannual renewal of west Florida shelf waters appears to have profound effects on west Florida shelf ecology.

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Harmful algal blooms of the dinoflagellate Karenia brevis require an upwelling circulation to manifest along the coastline of the West Florida Continental Shelf. Too much upwelling, however, can impede bloom formation by increasing inorganic nutrient levels to the point where faster growing phytoplankton such as diatoms may out-compete the slower growing K. brevis, as occurred in 1998 and 2010. Both 2012 and 2013 experienced persistent upwelling, but only 2012 exhibited a robust harmful algal bloom. Here we examine the subtle differences in the coastal ocean circulation between those two years that led to the disparate bloom evolutions.

Karenia brevis blooms on the West Florida Shelf: A comparative study of the robust 2012 bloom and the nearly null 2013 event

Harmful algal blooms of the dinoflagellate Karenia brevis require an upwelling circulation to manifest along the coastline of the West Florida Continental Shelf. Too much upwelling, however, can impede bloom formation by increasing inorganic nutrient levels to the point where faster growing phytoplankton such as diatoms may out-compete the slower growing K. brevis, as occurred in 1998 and 2010. Both 2012 and 2013 experienced persistent upwelling, but only 2012 exhibited a robust harmful algal bloom. Here we examine the subtle differences in the coastal ocean circulation between those two years that led to the disparate bloom evolutions.

Gag grouper larvae pathways on the West Florida Shelf

A numerical circulation model, quantitatively assessed against in situ observations, is used to describe the circulation on the West Florida Continental Shelf during spring 2007 when pre-settlement gag (Mycteroperca microlepis) were present in the surf zone near Tampa Bay, Florida. The pre-settlement fish were found to be isotopically distinct from settled juveniles in the area, which is consistent with recent arrival at near shore nursery habitats from offshore spawning grounds. Simulated particle trajectories are employed to test hypotheses relating to either a surface or a near-bottom route of across-shelf transport. The surface-route hypothesis is rejected, whereas the bottom-route hypothesis is found to be consistent with the location of pre-settlement fish and their co-occurrence with macroalgae of offshore, hard-bottom origin. We conclude that gag larvae are transported to the near shore via the bottom Ekman layer and that such transport is facilitated by remote forcing associated with Gulf of Mexico Loop Current interactions with the shelf slope near the Dry Tortugas. Being that such remote forcing occurs inter-annually and not always in phase with the preferred spawning months (late winter through early spring), gag recruitment success should similarly vary with year and location.

Why no red tide was observed on the West Florida Continental Shelf in 2010

Over the past two decades, the two most anomalous years for water properties on the west Florida continental shelf were 1998 and 2010. In both instances, the shelf was ventilated by relatively cold, nutrient-rich waters of deep ocean origin, which reset the background state underlying shelf ecology. The ventilation in both of these years derived from prolonged interactions of the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current with the shelf slope near the Dry Tortugas located on the southwest corner of the shelf. By contacting relatively shallow isobaths, the boundary current interactions there set the entire shelf into motion, facilitating upwelling across the shelf break, even to DeSoto Canyon some 500km away, and then across the shelf to the near shore. Such prolonged and intense upwelling of nutrient-rich water in 2010 contrasted with the more typically occurring locally wind driven upwelling conditions, whereby waters upwelled at the near shore are from the inner shelf, versus the deep ocean. Thus not all upwelling scenarios have similar consequences. Whereas the typical wind driven upwelling scenario is necessary for Karenia brevis red tide blooms to manifest along the coastline, the rarer, deep ocean induced upwelling scenario (as occurred in 1998 and particularly in 2010) acts to suppress K. brevis red tides because of the elevated inorganic nutrient conditions that they facilitate. Hence, minimal cell counts above background were observed in 1998, and no cell counts above background were observed in 2010. We conclude that the lack of red tide along the west coast of Florida in 2010 was due to anomalously large and protracted upwelling of nutrient-rich waters of deep ocean origin caused by Loop Current and eddy interactions with the shelf slope.

Evaluation of altimetry-derived surface current products using Lagrangian drifter trajectories in the eastern Gulf of Mexico

Lagrangian particle trajectory models based on several altimetry-derived surface current products are used to hindcast the drifter trajectories observed in the eastern Gulf of Mexico during May to August 2010 (the Deepwater Horizon oil spill incident). The performances of the trajectory models are gauged in terms of Lagrangian separation distances (d) and a nondimensional skill score (s), respectively. A series of numerical experiments show that these altimetry-based trajectory models have about the same performance, with a certain improvement by adding surface wind Ekman components, especially over the shelf region. However, their hindcast skills are slightly better than those of the data assimilative numerical model output. After 3 days' simulation the altimetry-based trajectory models have mean d values of 75–83 and 34–42 km (s values of 0.49–0.51 and 0.35–0.43) in the Gulf of Mexico deep water area and on the West Florida Continental Shelf, respectively. These satellite altimetry data products are useful for providing essential information on ocean surface currents of use in water property transports, offshore oil and gas operations, hazardous spill mitigation, search and rescue, etc.

Did Deepwater Horizon hydrocarbons transit to the west Florida continental shelf?

Hydrocarbons that originated from Deepwater Horizon were observed at the surface along west Florida’s northern coastline in June 2010. The farthest eastward advance nearly to Cape San Blas occurred during the last week of June before the surface oil retreated back westward and dissipated. Surface oil was not observed on the portion of the West Florida Continental Shelf (WFS) situated to the southeast of Cape San Blas. Nevertheless, there were numerous anecdotal occurrences of reef fish caught on the WFS with lesions and other deformities. Subsequent systematic sampling of WFS reef fish provided additional evidence for damage that extended as far south as the Dry Tortugas.Here we examine the possibility that hydrocarbons of Deepwater Horizon origin transited to the WFS beneath the surface. We use a numerical circulation model simulation run for the entirety of 2010 and quantitatively gauged against in situ observations. A passive tracer is introduced into the model to mimic the movement of subsurface hydrocarbons, either dissolved or of sufficiently small particle size to effectively be dissolved. The tracer, driven primarily by an anomalously strong and persistent upwelling circulation, eventually covered most of the WFS. Using reasonable estimates of what the initial tracer concentration may have been with respect to hydrocarbons, we conclude that the transport of subsurface hydrocarbons to the WFS is both plausible and consistent with the observed distribution of fish lesions, fish liver chemistry and other chemical and ecological evidence.

Seasonal variability on the West Florida Shelf

The seasonal variations of the West Florida Continental Shelf (WFS) circulation and sea level are described using observations of velocity from an array of moored acoustic Doppler current profilers and various ancillary data. With record lengths ranging from 3years to over a decade, a robust seasonal cycle in velocity is found, which varies across the shelf in a dynamically sensible way. Over most of the inner shelf these seasonal variations are primarily in response to local forcing, through Ekman-geostrophic spin-up, as previously found for the synoptic scale variability. Thus the inner shelf circulation is predominantly upwelling favorable from fall to spring months (October–April) and downwelling favorable during summer months (June–September). Seaward from about the 50m isobath, where baroclinicity becomes of increasing importance, the seasonal variations are less pronounced. Over the outer shelf and near the southwestern end of the WFS, the seasonal variations are obscured by the deep ocean influences of the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current and its eddies.The seasonal variations in sea level are also robust. But unlike the velocity, these extend across the entire WFS and into the deep Gulf of Mexico. These seasonal sea level variations arise from two influences, one static, the other dynamic. The static influence projects onto the WFS by the static seasonal rise and fall of the Gulf of Mexico sea level due to heating and cooling (also occurring on the shelf). On climatological average, this ranges by about 0.12m, with a minimum in February and a maximum in August and deriving primarily from the density variations over the upper 100m of the water column. Such climatologically averaged variation due to temperature and salinity is also seen in satellite altimetry. An additional dynamic influence of about 0.06m occurs over the inner shelf by the Ekman-geostrophic spin up to the seasonally varying winds. Together, the static and dynamic ocean responses result in a climatologically averaged coastal sea level variation at the central (vicinity of Tampa Bay to Charlotte Harbor) region of the WFS of about 0.18m after adjustment for the inverted barometer effect, which adds about another 0.06m for a total climatologically averaged annual sea level range of about 0.24m.

Modeling the west Florida coastal ocean by downscaling from the deep ocean, across the continental shelf and into the estuaries

We arrive at a coastal ocean circulation model, suitable for downscaling from the deep ocean, across the continental shelf and into the estuaries, by nesting the unstructured grid, Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM, inner model) into the structured grid, Global Hybrid Coordinate Model (HYCOM, outer model). The coastal ocean circulation model is three-dimensional, density dependent and inclusive of tides (eight constituents). A calendar year 2007 simulation for the west Florida continental shelf is quantitatively tested against in situ observations of sea level from coastal tide gauges and water column currents and temperature from moored acoustic Doppler current profilers. Agreements between model simulations and observations for both tides and low frequency variability over the calendar year demonstrate the usefulness of our approach. Model horizontal resolution varies from around 12km at the open boundary to 150m in the estuaries. Sensitivity experiments for vertical resolution led to the adoption of 21 σ-layers. Several model limitations are discussed, including seasonal steric effects and deep ocean (outer) model errors that may propagate through the inner model. With adequate observations spanning the inner model domain, we may determine when the outer model is in error at the nesting zone. This finding further highlights the need for coordinating coastal ocean observing and modeling programs. The nesting of unstructured and structured grid models is a new approach to coastal ocean circulation modeling. It provides a means for circulation hindcasts and nowcasts/forecasts, and, after combining with biological process models, may provide a framework for multi-disciplinary modeling of coastal ocean ecology from the deep ocean to the head of tides.

West Florida Shelf mean circulation observed with long‐term moorings

The mean circulation on the West Florida Continental Shelf is described using long‐term current measurements. Bounded by the Florida peninsula to the east and the Gulf of Mexico to the west, the West Florida Continental Shelf mean flow is oriented approximately along‐isobath and southward. The mean velocity vectors veer systematically with depth, shoreward over shallow water and seaward over deeper water. This polarization change implies that the mean flow is upwelling over shallow water and downwelling seaward from the inner shelf. Such a well‐organized, three‐dimensional coastal ocean circulation pattern, revealed by an unprecedented set of observations, and explained on the basis of wind forcing and density field adjustment, has important implications for both fisheries and red tide occurrences.

Seasonal along-isobath geostrophic flows on the west Florida shelf with application to Karenia brevis red tide blooms in Florida's Big Bend

TOPEX/Poseidon/Jason1 (T/P/J) sea surface height (SSH) measurements along tracks 91 and 15, crossing the wide West Florida continental shelf (WFS), were used to estimate seasonal across-shelf SSH gradients. SSH gradients and the knowledge that geostrophic flow approximately follows the isobaths enable estimation of the seasonal along-isobath geostrophic flows. The calculated along-isobath geostrophic flows are southeastward from December to March and northwestward in June, August, and September. The along-isobath geostrophic component of the flow is most likely small during the remaining months and, thus, not discernable in T/P/J SSH measurements. In agreement with previous theoretical, modeling, and observational work, the mid-shelf seasonal surface flow appears to be driven largely by the seasonal along-shore wind stress. Theory for flow driven by seasonal heat flux suggests negligible flow near the surface and on the bulk of the shelf away from the shelf break. Karenia brevis, the Gulf of Mexico ‘red tide’ organism, usually blooms on the southern/central WFS during late summer/early fall. It is likely that the northwestward along-isobath flow in June, August, and September is capable of transporting K. brevis blooms northward to the Big Bend shelf region during these months. K. brevis blooms in 2005 and 2006 are used as a case study to examine the northward transport mechanism. Above-average northwestward along-shore wind stress due to hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico most likely resulted in the northward transport of K. brevis in 2005. Conversely, a K. brevis bloom in 2006 most likely remained on the central WFS as a result of below average along-shore wind stress in 2006.

Underway monitoring of nanomolar nitrate plus nitrite and phosphate in oligotrophic seawater

To study nutrient dynamics and cycling in oligotrophic open ocean environments, continuous measurements of nanomolar nitrate, nitrite, and phosphate are valuable. However, such studies are usually impeded by the detection limits of conventional nutrient‐sensors and analyzers. Here, we developed a shipboard deployable underway system for simultaneously monitoring nitrate plus nitrite and phosphate at nanomolar concentrations by the coupling of an optimized flow injection analytical system with two long‐path liquid waveguide capillary cells (LWCC). The detection limits are ~2 nM for nitrate plus nitrite and ~1.5 nM for phosphate, respectively. Results from realtime surveys of waters over the west Florida continental shelf and the oligotrophic Sargasso Sea are presented. This system has also been successfully used to analyze more than 1000 discrete seawater samples manually during 2 cruises in the North Atlantic.

Hydrodynamic accumulation of Karenia off the west coast of Florida

Blooms of the toxic dinoflagellates, Karenia spp. occur nearly annually in the eastern Gulf of Mexico with cell abundances typically >10 5 cells L −1. Thermal and ocean color satellite imagery shows sea surface temperature patterns indicative of upwelling events and the concentration of chlorophyll at fronts along the west Florida continental shelf. Daily cell counts of Karenia show greater increases in cell concentrations at fronts than can be explained by Karenia's maximum specific growth rate. This is observed in satellite images as up to a 10-fold greater increase in chlorophyll biomass over 1–2 d periods than can be explained by in situ growth. In this study, we propose a model that explains why surface blooms of Karenia may develop even when nutrients on the west Florida shelf are low. In the summer, northward winds produce a net flow east and southeast bringing water and nutrients from the Mississippi River plume onto the west Florida shelf at depths of 20–50 m. This water mass supplies utilizable inorganic and organic forms of nitrogen that promote the growth of Karenia to pre-bloom concentrations in sub-surface waters in the mid-shelf region. In the fall, a change to upwelling favorable winds produces onshore transport. This transport, coupled with the swimming behavior of Karenia, leads to physical accumulation at frontal regions near the coast, resulting in fall blooms. Strong thermal fronts during the winter provide a mechanism for re-intensification of the blooms, if Karenia cells are located north of the fronts. This conceptual model leads to testable hypotheses on bloom development throughout the Gulf of Mexico.