Weighted Mean Incidence Research Articles

Incidence rates of retinal vascular occlusive diseases from 2011 to 2020 in South Korea: a nationwide cohort study

BackgroundRetinal vascular occlusions, including retinal vein occlusion and retinal artery occlusion, are common causes of visual impairment. In order to evaluate the national medical burden and help improve ophthalmic health care policy planning, we investigated the incidence of retinal vascular occlusive diseases from 2011 to 2020 in Korea.MethodsThis study is a nationwide population-based retrospective study using data from the Korea national health claim database of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment (HIRA) service. We identified retinal vascular occlusive diseases registered from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2020, according to the retinal vascular occlusion code (H34) and its sub-codes from international classification of disease, tenth revision diagnosis code. We used data from the entire Korean population based on the 2015 census of the population in Korea to calculate standardized incidence rates.ResultsWe identified 348,775 individuals (male, 161,673 [46.4%]; female, 187,102 [53.6%]) with incident retinal vascular occlusion (H34), 10,451 individuals (males, 6,329 [60.6%]; females, 4,122 [39.4%]) with incident central retinal artery occlusion (H34.1), and 252,810 individuals (males, 114,717 [45.4%]; females, 138,093 [54.6%]) with incident retinal vein occlusion (H34.8) during the 10-year study period. The weighted mean incidence rate of retinal vascular occlusion was 70.41 (95% CI, 70.18–70.65) cases/100,000 person-years. The weighted mean incidence rate of central retinal artery occlusion was 2.10 (95% CI, 2.06–2.14) cases/100,000 person-years. The weighted mean incidence rate of retinal vein occlusion was 50.99 (95% CI, 50.79–51.19) cases/100,000 person-years.ConclusionThe total retinal vascular occlusion and retinal vein occlusion showed a decreasing trend until 2020. However, the central retinal artery occlusion decreased until 2014 and remained stable without a significant further decline until 2020. The incidence of total retinal vascular occlusion and retinal vein occlusion was higher in females than in males, while the incidence of central retinal artery occlusion was higher in males. All retinal vascular occlusive diseases showed an increasing incidence with older age; the peak age incidence was 75–79 years for total retinal vascular occlusion and retinal vein occlusion, and 80–85 years for central retinal artery occlusion.

Is Robotic Surgery the Future for Resectable Esophageal Cancer?: A Systematic Literature Review of Oncological and Clinical Outcomes

BackgroundRadical esophagectomy for resectable esophageal cancer is a major surgical intervention, associated with considerable postoperative morbidity. The introduction of robotic surgical platforms in esophagectomy may enhance advantages of minimally invasive surgery enabled by laparoscopy and thoracoscopy, including reduced postoperative pain and pulmonary complications. This systematic review aims to assess the clinical and oncological benefits of robot-assisted esophagectomy.MethodsA systematic literature search of the MEDLINE (PubMed), Embase and Cochrane databases was performed for studies published up to 1 August 2023. This review was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) protocols and was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42022370983). Clinical and oncological outcomes data were extracted following full-text review of eligible studies.ResultsA total of 113 studies (n = 14,701 patients, n = 2455 female) were included. The majority of the studies were retrospective in nature (n = 89, 79%), and cohort studies were the most common type of study design (n = 88, 79%). The median number of patients per study was 54. Sixty-three studies reported using a robotic surgical platform for both the abdominal and thoracic phases of the procedure. The weighted mean incidence of postoperative pneumonia was 11%, anastomotic leak 10%, total length of hospitalisation 15.2 days, and a resection margin clear of the tumour was achieved in 95% of cases.ConclusionsThere are numerous reported advantages of robot-assisted surgery for resectable esophageal cancer. A correlation between procedural volume and improvements in outcomes with robotic esophagectomy has also been identified. Multicentre comparative clinical studies are essential to identify the true objective benefit on outcomes compared with conventional surgical approaches before robotic surgery is accepted as standard of practice.

Efficacy and safety of prophylactic anticoagulation in patients with primary nephrotic syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Nephrotic syndrome (NS) is associated with an increased incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE), approximately 10%. We performed a systematic review to evaluate the efficacy and safety of prophylactic anticoagulation in patients with NS. Studies evaluating prophylactic anticoagulation in NS were identified by an electronic search of MEDLINE and EMBASE databases until December 2021. Weighted mean proportion and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of thromboembolic and haemorrhagic events were calculated using a fixed-effects and a random-effects model. The differences in the outcomes among groups were estimated as pooled odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% CI. Statistical heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 statistic. Five cohort studies, for a total of 414 adult patients, were included. Only two studies had a control group. The weighted mean incidence of pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis in patients who received VTE prophylaxis was 1.8% (95% CI: 0.6-3.5%; I2 : 4.4%) and 0.9% (95% CI: 0.2-2.2%; I2 : 43.4%) respectively. The weighted mean incidence of major bleeding in patients who received VTE prophylaxis was 2.3% (95% CI: 1-4.2%; I2 : 25.4%). Patients with NS that received VTE prophylaxis had a non-significant reduced risk of PE (OR: 0.63 (95% CI: 0.03-14.8; I2 : 64.4%)) and an increased risk of major bleeding (OR: 2.08 (95% CI: 0.41-10.45; I2 : 0%)) compared to patients with NS that did not receive VTE prophylaxis. Our findings suggest that prophylactic anticoagulation in adult patients with primary NS may reduce the risk of VTE, even if it may be associated with a not negligible bleeding risk.

Low incidence of recurrence and chronic pain after groin hernia repair in adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PurposeThe best operative management of groin hernia in adolescents is uncertain. The aim of this systematic review was to assess recurrence and chronic pain after mesh versus non-mesh repair for groin hernia in adolescents.MethodsA systematic search was done in PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL in May 2022 for studies reporting postoperative chronic pain (≥6 months) or recurrence after groin hernia repair in adolescents aged 10–17 years. We included randomized controlled trials and observational studies on primary unilateral or bilateral groin hernia repair. Risk of bias was assessed with the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool and Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Meta-analysis of the incidence of recurrence was conducted. This review is reported according to PRISMA guideline.ResultsA total of 21 studies including 3,816 adolescents with groin hernias were included comprising two randomized controlled trials, six prospective, and 13 retrospective cohort studies. For non-mesh repairs, the weighted mean incidence proportion of recurrence was 1.6% (95% CI 0.6–2.5) after 2,167 open repairs and 1.9% (95% CI 1.1–2.8) after 1,033 laparoscopic repairs. For mesh repairs, it was 0.6% (95% CI 0.0–1.4) after 406 open repairs while there were no recurrences after 347 laparoscopic repairs (95% CI 0.0–0.6). Across all surgical techniques, the rate of chronic pain after 1,153 repairs ranged from 0 to 11%. Follow-up time varied and was reported in various ways.ConclusionThe incidences of recurrence after groin hernia repair in adolescents were low for both open and laparoscopic mesh and non-mesh repairs. Rates of postoperative chronic pain were low.Trial registrationPROSPERO: CRD42022130554.

Association between electrical and mechanical remodeling after cardiac resynchronization therapy: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) may improve not only impaired left ventricular contractility but can also induce reverse remodeling of native conduction system. Measurement of intrinsic QRS complex width during follow-up is the simplest method to assess reverse electrical remodeling (RER). We aimed to provide a literature review and meta-analysis on incidence and impact of RER and its association with mechanical remodeling. A systematic review and random-effect meta-analysis of studies reporting data on RER was performed. A total of 16 studies were included in this meta-analysis with 930 patients undergoing CRT (mean age 64.0years, 64.1% males). The weighted mean incidence of RER was 42%. Reverse mechanical remodeling assessed by echocardiography was more frequently observed in patients with RER compared to patients without RER (75.7% vs. 46.6%; odds ratio [OR] 3.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.24-6.09, p < 0.01). Mechanical responders had a mean iQRS shortening of 7.7ms, while mechanical non-responders experienced a mean widening of iQRS by 5.2ms (p < 0.01). Clinical improvement was more frequent in patients with RER vs. patients without RER (82.9% vs. 49.0%; OR 5.26; 95% CI 2.92-9.48; p < 0.01). No significant difference in all-cause mortality between patients with and without RER was found. Mean difference between baseline intrinsic QRS and post-implantation paced QRS was significant in patients with later RER (21.2ms, 95% CI 9.4-32.9, p < 0.01), but not in patients without RER (6.6ms, 95% CI -2.2-15.4, p = 0.14). Gender, initial left bundle block morphology and heart failure etiology were found not to be predictive for RER. Our meta-analysis demonstrates that shortening of iQRS duration is a common finding during follow-up of patients undergoing CRT and is associated with mechanical reverse remodeling and clinical improvement. Clinical Trial Registration: Prospero Database-CRD42021253336.

Multivariable prediction models for difficult direct laryngoscopy: Systematic review and literature metasynthesis.

The difficult airway is an important scenario in anaesthesia due to the impact of its potential complications, and the difficulty in predicting its presence in current clinical practice. Systematic review of articles in English and Spanish retrieved from MEDLINE (Ovid), LILACS and EMBASE up to March 2018. The search strategy was defined by the authors. The reviewers uploaded the studies to specially designed tables in order to qualitatively analyse the results of each paper. A total of 3602 studies were identified. Thirty-four of these were included in the qualitative review. The most commonly used definition of difficulty was the Cormack-Lehane 3 or 4 classification, with a weighted mean incidence of 7.23%. The most relevant finding was the methodological weaknesses in obtaining these scales. Available prediction models show limited discrimination, and weaknesses were detected in the methodology used to develop these prediction rules.

Healing complications and their detrimental effects on bone gain in vertical-guided bone regeneration: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Guided bone regeneration (GBR) utilizes a barrier membrane to allow osteogenic cells to populate a space by excluding epithelial and connective tissue cells. The purpose of this systematic review was to investigate the ratio of means (RoM) of vertical bone gained (Outcome) in vertical GBR procedures with healing complications (Intervention) and in vertical GBR procedures without healing complications (Comparison) in patients with vertically resorbed edentulous ridges that require dental implant placement (Population). A further aim was to investigate the incidence of complications after vertical GBR, and the influence of the timing of implant placement and regenerative devices on complications. MEDLINE (through PubMed), EMBASE, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were searched in duplicate up to, and including, November 2020 for randomized and controlled clinical trials and prospective and retrospective case series. Outcomes included patient-level and site-level RoM of vertical bone gain between healing complications and uneventful healing, and incidences of complications that occurred after vertical GBR. Random-effects and fixed-effects meta-analyses were performed where appropriate. This study was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021226432). A total of 31 publications were selected for the qualitative and quantitative analyses. The RoM of vertical bone gained was 0.65 [95% CI=0.47, 0.91] and 0.62 [95% CI=0.45, 0.85] when membrane exposure without suppuration and abscess formation without membrane exposure occurred respectively, in comparison to uneventful healing. The overall incidence proportion of healing complications occurring at the augmented site at a site- and patient-level was 11.0% [95% CI=7.0, 15.6] and 10.8% [95% CI=6.6, 15.7]. At a patient-level, there were no significant differences between a simultaneous or staged approach, or with the regenerative device used. The site-level incidence proportion of membrane exposure without suppuration, membrane exposure with suppuration, and with abscess formation without membrane exposure was 8.7% [95% CI=4.2, 14.2], 0.7% [95% CI=0.0, 2.9], and 0.5% [95% CI=0.0, 1.7], respectively. The site-level weighted mean incidence proportion of neurologic complications occurring at the donor site was 0.8% [95% CI=0.0, 5.3]. There is a significant reduction in bone gain when healing complications occur. However, healing complications are relatively uncommon surgical complications after vertical GBR.

Efficacy of tooth splinting and occlusal adjustment in patients with periodontitis exhibiting masticatory dysfunction: A systematic review.

To evaluate the efficacy of tooth splinting (TS) and occlusal adjustment (OA) compared to no TS or OA in patients with periodontitis exhibiting masticatory dysfunction. The primary outcome criterion was tooth loss (TL), and the secondary outcome parameters were change in probing pocket depth (PPD), change in clinical attachment level (CAL), tooth mobility (TM), and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). Literature search was performed on three electronic databases (from 01/1965 to 04/2021) and focused on clinical studies with at least 12 months follow-up. From a total of 1515 publications, 51 articles were identified for full-text reading, of which 2 retrospective case series on TS with low risk of bias and 1 randomized and 2 prospective studies on OA with unclear risk of bias were included. For TS, synthesis of data showed that in 72 patients, 26 out of 311 teeth (weighted mean incidence of TL 8.4%) and 156 out of 1541 teeth with no TS (weighted mean incidence of TL 10.1%) were lost over 2 years following non-surgical periodontal therapy. The randomized controlled clinical trial (RCT) indicated CAL gain for teeth with OA compared to no OA. For the effect of OA on TL, PPD, and TM, heterogeneous data were retrieved from the included studies. Within the limitations of this review and based on a low level of evidence, it is concluded that TS does not improve survival of mobile teeth in patients with advanced periodontitis. OA on teeth with mobility and/or premature contacts may lead to improved CAL, while the effect of OA on the remaining periodontal parameters remains unclear.

Efficacy and risks of tooth-supported prostheses in the treatment of partially edentulous patients with stage IV periodontitis. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The aim was to evaluate the efficacy and effectiveness of tooth-supported fixed prostheses in partially edentulous patients with stage IV periodontitis. Randomized and controlled clinical trials (RCTs and CCTs) and prospective/retrospective cohort studies or case series were searched in three databases. Survival rate of abutment teeth was considered the primary outcome. Meta-analyses were performed whenever possible. Twenty-four publications were included. No RCTs or CCTs compared the efficacy of tooth-supported fixed prostheses between patients with severe periodontitis or non-periodontitis patients. Most of the data retrieved were derived from case series. The incidence of abutment-tooth loss after a follow-up period from 2 to 35.4years was low (n=17 studies; weighted mean incidence (WMI)=4.8%; confidence interval (CI) [3.2, 6.5]). The corresponding figure for prostheses failure was WMI=6.9% (n=18; 95% CI [4.1, 9.7]). Technical complications seemed to be more frequent than biological complications (caries, endodontic failure, root fracture, etc.). Periodontal outcomes tended to remain stable over time. Tooth-supported fixed prostheses seemed to be a valid treatment approach to restore masticatory function in patients with stage IV periodontitis once periodontal therapy has been accomplished. However, the comparative efficacy of this treatment among periodontitis and non-periodontitis patients is unclear due to the absence of clinical trials.

COVID-19 and its cardiovascular effects: a systematic review of prevalence studies.

A small minority of people with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) develop a severe illness, characterised by inflammation, microvascular damage and coagulopathy, potentially leading to myocardial injury, venous thromboembolism (VTE) and arterial occlusive events. People with risk factors for or pre-existing cardiovascular disease may be at greater risk. To assess the prevalence of pre-existing cardiovascular comorbidities associated with suspected or confirmed cases of COVID-19 in a variety of settings, including the community, care homes and hospitals. We also assessed the nature and rate of subsequent cardiovascular complications and clinical events in people with suspected or confirmed COVID-19. We conducted an electronic search from December 2019 to 24 July 2020 in the following databases: the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, covid-19.cochrane.org, ClinicalTrials.gov and EU Clinical Trial Register. We included prospective and retrospective cohort studies, controlled before-and-after, case-control and cross-sectional studies, and randomised controlled trials (RCTs). We analysed controlled trials as cohorts, disregarding treatment allocation. We only included peer-reviewed studies with 100 or more participants, and excluded articles not written in English or only published in pre-print servers. Two review authors independently screened the search results and extracted data. Given substantial variation in study designs, reported outcomes and outcome metrics, we undertook a narrative synthesis of data, without conducting a meta-analysis. We critically appraised all included studies using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) checklist for prevalence studies and the JBI checklist for case series. We included 220 studies. Most of the studies originated from China (47.7%) or the USA (20.9%); 9.5% were from Italy. A large proportion of the studies were retrospective (89.5%), but three (1.4%) wereRCTsand 20 (9.1%) were prospective. Using JBI's critical appraisal checklist tool for prevalence studies, 75 studies attained a full score of 9, 57 studies a score of 8, 31 studies a score of 7, 5 studies a score of 6, three studies a score of 5 and one a score of 3; using JBI's checklist tool for case series, 30 studies received a full score of 10, six studies a score of 9, 11 studies a score of 8, and one study a score of 5 We found that hypertension (189 studies, n = 174,414, weighted mean prevalence (WMP): 36.1%), diabetes (197 studies, n = 569,188, WMP: 22.1%) and ischaemic heart disease (94 studies, n = 100,765, WMP: 10.5%) are highly prevalent in people hospitalised with COVID-19, and are associated with an increased risk of death. In those admitted to hospital, biomarkers of cardiac stress or injury are often abnormal, and the incidence of a wide range of cardiovascular complications is substantial, particularly arrhythmias (22 studies, n = 13,115, weighted mean incidence (WMI) 9.3%), heart failure (20 studies, n = 29,317, WMI: 6.8%) and thrombotic complications (VTE: 16 studies, n = 7700, WMI: 7.4%). This systematic literature review indicates that cardiometabolic comorbidities are common in people who are hospitalised with a COVID-19 infection, and cardiovascular complications are frequent. We plan to update this review and to conduct a formal meta-analysis of outcomes based on a more homogeneous selected subsample of high-certainty studies.

The Incidence of Post-Electroconvulsive Therapy Headache: A Systematic Review.

Headache is a common side effect of electroconvulsive therapy (ECT), but reports on its incidence vary widely. A broad array of treatment regimens have been proposed in the literature. The pathophysiology of post-ECT headache is unclear but a vascular origin has been suggested. A systematic literature search was executed in PubMed and Embase to identify relevant articles. Articles were screened on title, abstract, and full text according to predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Study characteristics and results concerning the incidence of post-ECT headache were extracted, and a weighted mean incidence was calculated. Forty-seven relevant articles were found, of which 36 reported on the incidence of post-ECT headache in patients and 9 on the incidence in sessions. The incidence of post-ECT headache varied greatly in the literature. The weighted mean incidence in patients was 32.8%, as 786 of a total population of 2399 patients experienced headache. The weighted mean incidence in sessions was between 9.4% (246 of 2604 sessions) and 12.1% (236/1958 sessions). The variation in incidences of post-ECT headache found might be due to different methods of measuring headache, different study designs, and different drugs used for anesthesia. The mean-weighted incidence of post-ECT headache in patients was 32.8% and in sessions between 9.4% and 12.1%.

Systematic review of spinal deformities following multi-level selective dorsal rhizotomy

Cerebral palsy is a common neurological disorder that involves spasticity of the extremities and can lead to lifelong disability. Selective dorsal rhizotomy (SDR) can improve spasticity and quality of life in these patients, but it may be associated with the development of spinal deformity. Risk factors for spinal deformity after SDR have not yet been systematically examined. Medline, Embase, and Web of Science databases were queried for clinical studies reporting incidence of new or worsening spinal deformity, including scoliosis, after SDR. Variables that represent possible risk factors for deformity were correlated with reported incidence of deformity. Twenty-two articles for a total of 1485 patients met the inclusion criteria for this study. Deformity occurs among all patients with a weighted mean incidence of 28.0%. Scoliosis appears to be the most common deformity occurring with a weighted mean incidence of 31.6%. There is substantial heterogeneity between studies, limiting our analysis. Significant positive correlation was found between percent of patients that developed any type of deformity and the ratio of female to male patients, p = 0.02. Significant positive correlation was also found between percent of patients that develop scoliosis and the ratio of female to male patients, p < 0.01, and between scoliosis and the number of years to follow-up, p < 0.01. Spinal deformity is an important potential complication of SDR with scoliosis being the most common type of deformity. The major risk factor for postoperative deformity is female sex. Deformity was also found to significantly increase with extended follow-up, indicating a slow process that should be carefully monitored.

Estimating the number of infections caused by antibiotic-resistant Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in 2014: a modelling study.

The number of infections caused by resistant organisms is largely unknown. We estimated the number of infections worldwide that are caused by the WHO priority pathogens third-generation cephalosporin-resistant and carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae. We calculated a uniform weighted mean incidence of serious infections caused by antibiotic-susceptible E coli and K pneumoniae using data from 17 countries. Using this uniform incidence, as well as population sizes and country-specific resistance levels, we estimated the number of infections caused by third-generation cephalosporin-resistant and carbapenem-resistant E coli and K pneumoniae in 193 countries in 2014. We also calculated interval estimates derived from changing the fixed incidence of susceptible infections to 1 SD below and above the weighted mean. We compared an additive model with combination models in which resistant infections were replaced by susceptible infections. We distinguished between higher-certainty regions (those with good-quality data sources for resistance levels and resistance ≤30%), moderate-certainty regions (those with good-quality data sources for resistance levels and including some countries with resistance >30%), and low-certainty regions (those in which good-quality data sources for resistance levels were unavailable for countries comprising at least 20% of the region's population, regardless of resistance level). Using the additive model, we estimated that third-generation cephalosporin-resistant E coli and K pneumoniae caused 6·4 million (interval estimate 3·5-9·2) bloodstream infections and 50·1 million (27·5-72·8) serious infections in 2014; estimates were 5·5 million (3·0-7·9) bloodstream infections and 43·1 million (23·6-62·2) serious infections in the 25% replacement model, 4·6 million (2·5-6·6) bloodstream infections and 36·0 million (19·7-52·2) serious infections in the 50% replacement model, and 3·7 million (2·0-5·3) bloodstream infections and 28·9 million (15·8-41·9) serious infections in the 75% replacement model. Carbapenem-resistant strains caused 0·5 million (0·3-0·7) bloodstream infections and 3·1 million (1·8-4·5) serious infections based on the additive model, 0·5 million (0·3-0·7) bloodstream infections and 3·0 million (1·7-4·3) serious infections based on the 25% replacement model, 0·4 million (0·2-0·6) bloodstream infections and 2·8 million (1·6-4·1) serious infections based on the 50% replacement model, and 0·4 million (0·2-0·6) bloodstream infections and 2·7 million (1·5-3·8) serious infections based on the 75% replacement model. To our knowledge, this study is the first to report estimates of the global number of infections caused by antibiotic-resistant priority pathogens. Uncertainty stems from scant data on resistance levels from low-income and middle-income countries and insufficient knowledge regarding resistance dynamics when resistance is high. Innovative Medicines Initiative.

Perioperative Safety and Efficacy of Different Anticoagulation Strategies WithDirect Oral Anticoagulants in Pulmonary Vein Isolation: A Meta-Analysis.

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of uninterrupted and interrupted direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) administration in patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). The optimal periprocedural management of DOACs in patients undergoing PVI is not well defined, and different strategies are used. A systematic search of PubMed/MEDLINE, Ovid/MEDLINE, and EMBASE was performed. Three strategies for periprocedural DOAC administration were considered: uninterrupted, mildly interrupted (<12 h), and interrupted (≥12 h). Primary endpoints were major bleeding (MB) and thromboembolic (TE) complications; pooled weighted mean incidence (WMI) was calculated using a random-effects model. A secondary endpoint was the WMI of overall bleeding (OB). The analysis included 43 studies for a total of 8,362 patients. DOACs showed similar safety and efficacy in the 3 subgroups. The WMI of MB was 1.02%, 1.49%, and 1.17% for the uninterrupted, mildly interrupted, and interrupted strategy, respectively; the WMI of TE complications was 0.16%, 0.46%, and 0.49% for the uninterrupted, mildly interrupted, and interrupted strategy, respectively, with no heterogeneity. OB appeared to be higher in uninterrupted (6.33%) and mildly interrupted (8.62%) groups compared with the interrupted (3.53%), with substantial heterogeneity among studies. No interaction was found between the incidence of MB and TE complications and different DOACs. In patients undergoing PVI, these 3 anticoagulation strategies may have similar safety and efficacy in terms of MB and TE complications. OB appears to be higher in uninterrupted and mildly interrupted strategies compared with the interrupted strategy. No substantial differences were observed among DOACs regarding the incidence of MB and TE complications.

Running Backwards: Consequences of Current HIV Incidence Rates for the Next Generation of Black MSM in the United States.

Black men who have sex with men (MSM) in the United States are disproportionately impacted by HIV. To better understand this public health problem, we reviewed the literature to calculate an estimate of HIV incidence among Black MSM. We used this rate to model HIV prevalence over time within a simulated cohort, which we subsequently compared to prevalence from community-based samples. We searched all databases accessible through PubMed, and Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections abstracts for HIV incidence estimates among Black MSM. Summary HIV incidence rates and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random effects models. Using the average incidence rate, we modeled HIV prevalence within a simulated cohort of Black MSM (who were all HIV-negative at the start) from ages 18 through 40. Based on five incidence rates totaling 2898 Black MSM, the weighted mean incidence was 4.16 % per year (95 % CI 2.76-5.56). Using this annual incidence rate, our model predicted that 39.94 % of Black MSM within the simulated cohort would be HIV-positive by age 30, and 60.73 % by 40. Projections were similar to HIV prevalence found in community-based samples of Black MSM. High HIV prevalence will persist across the life-course among Black MSM, unless effective prevention and treatment efforts are increased to substantially reduce HIV transmission among this underserved and marginalized population.

Efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants in patients undergoing cardioversion for atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature

BackgroundDOACs are increasingly used in patients with NVAF. Information on efficacy and safety of these compounds in patients undergoing electrical or pharmacological cardioversion is limited. Thus, we performed a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature to address this issue. MethodsRandomized controlled trials comparing the efficacy and safety of DOACs and VKAs in patients with NVAF were systematically searched in Medline, Web of Science, Scopus, Cochrane, and EMBASE databases (up to September 2014). Pooled relative risk (RR) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for each outcome. ResultsFour randomized controlled trials (3635 patients), for a total of 4517 cardioversions (2869 with DOACs and 1648 with VKAs), were included in the analysis. DOACs and VKAs appeared equally effective in the prevention of stroke/systemic embolism (0.41% vs 0.61%; RR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.31, 1.72; P=0.48) and of post-cardiovascular death (0.52% vs 0.81%; RR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.27, 2.03; P=0.55), with a similar risk of major bleeding complications (0.81% vs 0.60%; RR: 1.23, 95% CI: 0.55, 2.71). Heterogeneity among studies was generally absent. Furthermore, the Weighted Mean Incidence (WMI) of complications appeared very low in patients randomized to DOACs (WMI: 0.6% and 0.9% for stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding, respectively). ConclusionOur results suggest that DOACs are at least as effective and safe as VKAs in patients with NVAF undergoing to an electrical or pharmacological cardioversion. Thus, DOACs may be considered a valid and practical alternative to VKAs.

Incidence, risk factors and outcomes of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with sepsis: a systematic review.

IntroductionCritically ill patients with sepsis are prone to develop cardiac dysrhythmias, most commonly atrial fibrillation (AF). Systemic inflammation, circulating stress hormones, autonomic dysfunction, and volume shifts are all possible triggers for AF in this setting. We conducted a systematic review to describe the incidence, risk factors and outcomes of new-onset AF in patients with sepsis.MethodsMEDLINE, EMBASE and Web Of Science were searched for studies reporting the incidence of new-onset AF, atrial flutter or supraventricular tachycardia in patients with sepsis admitted to an intensive care unit, excluding studies that primarily focused on postcardiotomy patients. Studies were assessed for methodological quality using the GRADE system. Risk factors were considered to have a high level of evidence if they were reported in ≥2 studies using multivariable analyses at a P value <0.05. Subsequently, the strength of association was classified as strong, moderate or weak, based on the reported odds ratios.ResultsEleven studies were included. Overall quality was low to moderate. The weighted mean incidence of new-onset AF was 8% (range 0 to 14%), 10% (4 to 23%) and 23% (6 to 46%) in critically ill patients with sepsis, severe sepsis and septic shock, respectively. Independent risk factors with a high level of evidence included advanced age (weak strength of association), white race (moderate association), presence of a respiratory tract infection (weak association), organ failure (moderate association), and pulmonary artery catheter use (moderate association). Protective factors were a history of diabetes mellitus (weak association) and the presence of a urinary tract infection (weak association). New-onset AF was associated with increased short-term mortality in five studies (crude relative effect estimates ranging from 1.96 to 3.32; adjusted effects 1.07 to 3.28). Three studies reported a significantly increased length of stay in the ICU (weighted mean difference 9 days, range 5 to 13 days), whereas an increased risk of ischemic stroke was reported in the single study that looked at this outcome.ConclusionsNew-onset AF is a common consequence of sepsis and is independently associated with poor outcome. Early risk stratification of patients may allow for pharmacological interventions to prevent this complication.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13054-014-0688-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Epidemiological analysis of an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease (serotype SAT2) on a large dairy farm in Kenya using regular vaccination

During August–September 2012, an outbreak of Foot-and-mouth Disease (FMD) due to serotype Southern African Territories-2 (SAT2) occurred on a large, extensively grazed dairy farm in Nakuru County, Kenya. Over 29 days, 400/644 (62.1%) cattle were recorded as displaying clinical signs consistent with FMD. Out of the 18 management groups present, 17 had clinical cases (weighted mean incidence rate 3.5 per 100 cattle-days, 95% CI 2.4, 5.1; range 0.064–10.9). Transmission may have been encouraged when an infected group was moved to a designated isolation paddock. A four to five day minimum incubation period was apparent in five groups for which a point source exposure was evident. Further transmission was associated with the movement of individual animals incubating infection, use of a common dip and milking parlour, and grazing of susceptible groups in paddocks neighbouring to infectious cases. Animals over 18 months old appeared to be at highest risk of disease possibly due to milder clinical signs seen among younger animals resulting in reduced transmission or cases not being recorded. Cows with a breeding pedigree containing a greater proportion of zebu appeared to be at lower risk of disease. The outbreak occurred despite regular vaccination (three times per year) last performed approximately three months before the index case. Incidence risk by the lifetime number of doses received indicated limited or no vaccine effectiveness against clinical disease. Reasons for poor vaccine effectiveness are discussed with antigenic diversity of the SAT2 serotype and poor match between the field and vaccine strain as a likely explanation. Detailed field-derived epidemiological data based on individual animals are rarely presented in the literature for FMD, particularly in East-Africa and with the SAT2 serotype. This study provides a detailed account and therefore provides a greater understanding of FMD outbreaks in this setting. Additionally, this is the first study to provide field-derived evidence of poor vaccine effectiveness using a SAT2 vaccine. Further field-based measures of vaccine effectiveness in line with evaluation of human vaccines are needed to inform FMD control policy which has previously relied heavily upon experimental data and anecdotal experience.

Enteric Pathogens and Reactive Arthritis: A Systematic Review of Campylobacter, Salmonella and Shigella-associated Reactive Arthritis

Reactive arthritis (ReA) is a spondyloarthropathic disorder characterized by inflammation of the joints and tissues occurring after gastrointestinal or genitourinary infections. Diagnostic criteria for ReA do not exist and, therefore, it is subject to clinical opinion resulting in cases with a wide range of symptoms and definitions. Using standardized diagnostic criteria, we conducted a systematic literature review to establish the global incidence of ReA for each of the three most commonly-associated enteric pathogens: Campylobacter, Salmonella, and Shigella. The weighted mean incidence of reactive arthritis was 9, 12, and 12 cases per 1,000 cases of Campylobacter, Salmonella and Shigella infections respectively. To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review of worldwide data that use well-defined criteria to characterize diarrhoea-associated ReA. This information will aid in determining the burden of disease and act as a planning tool for public-health programmes.

Efficiency, Efficacy, and Safety of EZ-Blocker Compared with Left-sided Double-lumen Tube for One-lung Ventilation

Double-lumen tubes (DLTs) or bronchial blockers are commonly used for one-lung ventilation. DLTs are sometimes difficult or even impossible to introduce, and the incidence of postoperative hoarseness and airway injuries is higher. Bronchial blockers are more difficult to position and need more frequent intraoperative repositioning. The design of a Y-shaped bronchial blocker, the EZ-Blocker (Teleflex Life Sciences Ltd., Athlone, Ireland) (EZB), combines some advantages of both techniques. The objective of this study was to assess whether EZB performs clinically better than left-sided DLTs (Broncho-cath; Mallinckrodt, Athlone, Ireland) without causing more injury. Primary outcome was the frequency of initial malpositions. Eligible patients were adults scheduled for surgery requiring one-lung ventilation who met criteria for placement of both devices. In this parallel trial, 100 consecutive and blinded patients were assigned randomly using a computer-generated list to two groups. The incidence of malposition and ease and time of placement were recorded. Blinded assessors investigated quality of lung deflation, postoperative complaints, and damage to the airway. Placement of a DLT was unsuccessful twice. The incidence of initial malposition was high and comparable between EZBs (37 of 50) and DLTs (42 of 49) (P = 0.212). Placing single-lumen tubes and EZBs took more time but was rated easier. Quality of lung deflation was comparable. Fewer patients in the EZB group complained of sore throat at day 1. There was a higher incidence of tracheal hematoma and redness and bronchial hematoma in the DLT group. The EZB is an efficient and effective device for one-lung ventilation and causes less injury and sore throat than a DLT.