With the rapid development of services computing in the past decade, Quality-of-Service (QoS)-aware selection of Web services has become a hot yet thorny issue. Conducting warming-up tests on a large set of candidate services for QoS evaluation is time consuming and expensive, making it vital to implement accurate QoS-estimators. Existing QoS-estimators barely consider the temporal patterns hidden in QoS data. However, such data are naturally time dependent. For addressing this critical issue, this study presents a Kalman-filter-incorporated latent factor analysis (KLFA)-based QoS-estimator for accurate representation to temporally dynamic QoS data. Its main idea is to make the user latent features (LFs) time dependent, while the service ones time consistent. A novel iterative training scheme is designed, where the user LFs are learned through a Kalman filter for precisely modeling the temporal patterns, and the service ones are alternatively trained via an alternating least squares algorithm for precisely representing the historical QoS data. Empirical studies on large-scale and real Web service QoS datasets demonstrate that the proposed KLFA model significantly outperforms state-of-the-art QoS-estimators in estimation accuracy for dynamic QoS data.
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