Volcanic Ash Radar Retrieval Research Articles

Tephra Mass Eruption Rate From Ground-Based X-Band and L-Band Microwave Radars During the November 23, 2013, Etna Paroxysm

The morning of November 23, 2013, a lava fountain formed from the New South-East Crater (NSEC) of Mt. Etna (Italy), one of the most active volcanoes in Europe. The explosive activity was observed from two ground-based radars, the X-band polarimetric scanning and the L-band Doppler fixed-pointing, as well as from a thermal-infrared camera. Taking advantage of the capability of the microwave radars to probe the volcanic plume and extending the volcanic ash radar retrieval (VARR) methodology, we estimate the mass eruption rate (MER) using three main techniques, namely surface-flux approach (SFA), mass continuity-based approach (MCA), and top-plume approach (TPA), as well as provide a quantitative evaluation of their uncertainty. Estimated exit velocities are between 160 and 230 m/s in the paroxysmal phase. The intercomparison between the SFA, MCA, and TPA methods, in terms of retrieved MER, shows a fairly good consistency with values up to $2.4\times 10^{6}$ kg/s. The estimated total erupted mass (TEM) is $3.8\times 10^{9}$ , $3.9\times 10^{9}$ , and $4.7\times 10^{9}$ kg for SFA with L-band, X-band, and thermal-infrared camera, respectively. Estimated TEM is between $1.7\times 10^{9}$ kg and $4.3\times 10^{9}$ for TPA methods and $3.9\times 10^{9}$ kg for the MCA technique. The SFA, MCA, and TPA results for TEM are in fairly good agreement with independent evaluations derived from ground collection of tephra deposit and estimated to be between $1.3\,\,\pm \,\,1.1\times 10^{9}$ and $5.7\times 10^{9}$ kg. This article shows that complementary strategies of ground-based remote sensing systems can provide an accurate real-time monitoring of a volcanic explosive activity.

Near-Real-Time Detection of Tephra Eruption Onset and Mass Flow Rate Using Microwave Weather Radar and Infrasonic Arrays

During an eruptive event, the near-real-time monitoring of volcanic explosion onset and its mass flow rate (MFR) is a key factor to predict ash plume dispersion and to mitigate risk to air traffic. Microwave (MW) weather radars have proved to be a fundamental instrument to derive eruptive source parameters. We extend this capability to include an early-warning detection scheme within the overall volcanic ash radar retrieval methodology. This scheme, called the volcanic ash detection (VAD) algorithm, is based on a hybrid technique using both fuzzy logic and conditional probability. Examples of VAD applications are shown for some case studies, including the Icelandic Grimsvotn eruption in 2011, the Eyjafjallajokull eruption in 2010, and the Italian Mt. Etna volcano eruption in 2013. Estimates of the eruption onset from the radar-based VAD module are compared with infrasonic array data. One-dimensional numerical simulations and analytical model estimates of MFR are also discussed and intercompared with sensor-based retrievals. Results confirm in all cases the potential of MW weather radar for ash plume monitoring in near real time and its complementarity with infrasonic array for early-warning system design.

Retrieval of Tephra Size Spectra and Mass Flow Rate From C-Band Radar During the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull Eruption, Iceland

The eruption of the Eyjafjallajokull volcano in April–May 2010 was continuously monitored by the Keflavik C-band weather radar. The Keflavik radar is located at a distance of about 156 km from the volcano vent, and it has sensitivity of about −5 dBZ at 2-km range resolution over the volcanic area. The time series of radar volume data, which was available every 5 min, is quantitatively analyzed by using the Volcanic Ash Radar Retrieval (VARR) technique. The latter is a physically based methodology that is applied to estimate ash-fall rate and mass concentration within each radar volume. The VARR methodology is here extended, with respect to the previous formulation, to provide an approximate estimate of both mean particle diameter and airborne tephra particle size distribution under some assumptions. Deposited tephra at ground is also extrapolated together with an estimate of the magma mass flow rate (MFR) at the volcano vent, derived from the implementation of the mass continuity equation in the radar reference system. The VARR-based retrievals are compared with those derived from a direct tephra sampling at the ground, experimentally carried out in terms of ash grain size and loading during the Eyjafjallajokull eruption activity on May 5–7, 2010. VARR-based particle diameter estimates may suggest that a sorting of airborne particles during the downwind transport is taking place without observing aggregation processes during the ash fall. VARR-derived daily ash mass loadings in the period between April 14 and May 10 are also evaluated with respect to integrated ground and model-based data in the Eyjafjallajokull area. VARR-retrieved MFRs are finally compared with corresponding values obtained from analytical 1-D eruption models, using radar-estimated plume height and radio-sounding wind fields. A fairly good agreement is obtained, thus opening the exploitation of weather radar retrievals for volcanic eruption quantitative studies and ash dispersion model initialization.

Microwave remote sensing of the 2011 Plinian eruption of the Grímsvötn Icelandic volcano

The sub-glacial Plinian explosive eruption of the Grímsvötn volcano, which occurred on May 2011, is for the first time analyzed and quantitatively interpreted by using ground-based weather radar data and the Volcanic Ash Radar Retrieval (VARR) physically-based technique. The prevailing southerly winds stretched the erupted plume toward the Artic pole, thus preventing the ash cloud to move toward continental Europe and threatening the airline traffic (different from the less explosive Eyjafjöll eruption on April and May 2010). The 2011 Grímsvötn eruption has been continuously monitored by the Keflavík C-band weather radar, located at a distance of about 260km from the volcano vent. The VARR methodology is summarized and applied to available radar time series to estimate the coarse ash particle category, volume, fallout, concentration and the plume maximum height, every 5min within the volcano vent surroundings (i.e. an area of about 100×100km2 around the volcano). Due to the large distance from the volcano, fine-grained ash cannot be detected and estimated by the Keflavík C-band weather radar. Estimates of the eruption discharge rate, based on the retrieved ash plume top height, are provided together with an evaluation of the total erupted mass and volume. Deposited ash at ground is also retrieved from radar data by empirically reconstructing the vertical profile of radar reflectivity and estimating the near-surface ash fallout. Radar-based ash retrieval results can be compared with available satellite microwave radiometric imagery in order to show the potential contribution and limitations of these microwave remote sensing products to the understanding and modeling of explosive volcanic ash eruptions. Spaceborne microwave brightness temperatures show a correlation with ash columnar content, derived from VARR, depending on the millimeter-wave frequency and on the spatial averaging. Microphysical sensitivity of satellite microwave brightness temperatures to plume fine and coarse ash suggests their exploitation in synergy with satellite thermal infrared radiometer and ground-based microwave radar observations.

Validating Subglacial Volcanic Eruption Using Ground-Based C-Band Radar Imagery

The main phase of the moderately sized November 2004 eruption of the Grímsvötn volcano, located in the center of the 8100 km <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> Vatnajökull glacier, was monitored by the Icelandic Meteorological Office C-band weather radar in Keflavík, 260 km west of the volcano. The eruption plume reached a height of 6-10 km relative to the vent. The distribution of the most distal tephra was measured in the autumn of 2004, while the deposition on the glacier was mapped in the summers of 2005 and 2006. The tephra formed a well-defined layer on the glacier in the region north and northeast of the craters. The total mass of the tephra layer is quantitatively compared with the retrieved values, obtained from an improved version of the volcanic ash radar retrieval (VARR) algorithm. VARR was statistically calibrated with ground-based ash size distribution samples, taken at Vatnajökull, and by taking into account both antenna beam occlusion and wind-driven plume advection. The latter was implemented by using a space-time image phase-based cross-correlation technique. Accuracy of the weather radar records was also reviewed, noting that a large variability in the plume height estimation may be obtained using different approaches. The comparisons suggest that, at least for this subglacial eruption, the surface tephra mass, estimated by using the VARR inversion approach, is in a fairly good agreement with in situ measurements in terms of spatial extension, distribution, and amount.

The Eyjafjöll explosive volcanic eruption from a microwave weather radar perspective

Abstract. The sub-glacial Eyjafjöll explosive volcanic eruptions of April and May 2010 are analyzed and quantitatively interpreted by using ground-based weather radar data and the Volcanic Ash Radar Retrieval (VARR) technique. The Eyjafjöll eruptions have been continuously monitored by the Keflavík C-band weather radar, located at a distance of about 155 km from the volcano vent. Considering that the Eyjafjöll volcano is approximately 20 km from the Atlantic Ocean and that the northerly winds stretched the plume toward the mainland Europe, weather radars are the only means to provide an estimate of the total ejected tephra. The VARR methodology is summarized and applied to available radar time series to estimate the plume maximum height, ash particle category, ash volume, ash fallout and ash concentration every 5 min near the vent. Estimates of the discharge rate of eruption, based on the retrieved ash plume top height, are provided together with an evaluation of the total erupted mass and volume. Deposited ash at ground is also retrieved from radar data by empirically reconstructing the vertical profile of radar reflectivity and estimating the near-surface ash fallout. Radar-based retrieval results cannot be compared with ground measurements, due to the lack of the latter, but further demonstrate the unique contribution of these remote sensing products to the understating and modelling of explosive volcanic ash eruptions.

Model-Based Weather Radar Remote Sensing of Explosive Volcanic Ash Eruption

Microphysical and dynamical features of volcanic ash clouds can be quantitatively monitored by using ground-based microwave weather radars. These systems can provide data for determining the ash volume, total mass, and height of eruption clouds. In order to demonstrate the unique potential of this microwave active remote-sensing technique, the case study of the eruption of Augustine Volcano in Alaska in January 2006 is described and analyzed. Volume scan data, acquired by a NEXRAD WSR-88D S-band ground-based weather radar, are processed to automatically classify and estimate eruptive cloud particle concentration. The numerical results of the coupled model Z-reflectivity from Active Tracer High resolution Atmospheric Model (ATHAM), including particle aggregation processes and simulation of radar reflectivity from the ATHAM microphysical model, are exploited to train the inversion algorithm. The volcanic ash radar retrieval based on the ATHAM algorithm is a physical-statistical approach based on the backscattering microphysical model of volcanic cloud particles (hydrometeors, ash, and aggregates), used within a Bayesian classification and optimal regression algorithm. A sensitivity analysis is carried out to evaluate the overall error budget. The evolution of the Augustine eruption is discussed in terms of radar measurements and products, pointing out the unique features, the current limitations, and future improvements of radar remote sensing of volcanic plumes.

Monitoring Subglacial Volcanic Eruption Using Ground-Based C-Band Radar Imagery

The main phase of the moderately sized November 2004 eruption of the Grimsvotn volcano, located in the center of the 8100 km2 Vatnajokull glacier, was monitored by the Icelandic Meteorological Office C-band weather radar in Keflavik, 260 km west of the volcano. The eruption plume reached a height of 6-10 km relative to the vent. The distribution of the most distal tephra was measured in the autumn of 2004, while the deposition on the glacier was mapped in the summers of 2005 and 2006. The tephra formed a well-defined layer on the glacier in the region north and northeast of the craters. The total mass of the tephra layer is quantitatively compared with the retrieved values, obtained from an improved version of the volcanic ash radar retrieval (VARR) algorithm. VARR was statistically calibrated with ground-based ash size distribution samples, taken at Vatnajokull, and by taking into account both antenna beam occlusion and wind-driven plume advection. The latter was implemented by using a space-time image phase-based cross-correlation technique. Accuracy of the weather radar records was also reviewed, noting that a large variability in the plume height estimation may be obtained using different approaches. The comparisons suggest that, at least for this subglacial eruption, the surface tephra mass, estimated by using the VARR inversion approach, is in a fairly good agreement with in situ measurements in terms of spatial extension, distribution, and amount.

Volcanic Ash Cloud Retrieval by Ground-Based Microwave Weather Radar

The potential of ground-based microwave weather radar systems for volcanic ash cloud detection and quantitative retrieval is evaluated. The relationship between radar reflectivity factor, ash concentration, and fall rate is statistically derived for various eruption regimes and ash sizes by applying a radar-reflectivity microphysical model. To quantitatively evaluate the ash detectability by weather radars, a sensitivity analysis is carried out by simulating synthetic ash clouds and varying ash concentration and size as a function of the range. Radar specifications are taken from typical radar systems at S-, C-, and X-band. A prototype algorithm for volcanic ash radar retrieval (VARR) is discussed. Starting from measured single-polarization reflectivity, the statistical inversion technique to retrieve ash concentration and fall rate is based on two cascade steps, namely: 1) classification of eruption regime and volcanic ash category and 2) estimation of ash concentration and fall rate. Expected accuracy of the VARR algorithm estimates is evaluated using a synthetic data set. An application of the VARR technique is finally shown, taking into consideration the eruption of the Grinodotacutemsvoumltn volcano in Iceland on November 2004. Volume scan data from a Doppler C-band radar, which is located at 260 km from the volcano vent, are processed by means of the VARR algorithm. Examples of the achievable VARR products are presented and discussed