Climate change in Arctic and sub-Arctic seas is leading to rapid changes in the dispersal potential of marine organisms. In Alaskan waters, loss of sea ice and salinity changes associated with warming may have a strong effect on the distribution and survival of eggs and larvae of key fish species at the Pacific–Arctic interface, such as polar cod (Boreogadus saida) in the Chukchi Sea and walleye pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus) in the northern Bering Sea. We conducted laboratory experiments to investigate how changes in ontogeny and salinity influenced the buoyancy and survival of eggs and larvae of these and two other gadids (Pacific cod, Gadus macrocephalus and saffron cod, Eleginus gracilis). Polar cod egg density varied among family groups, but eggs were more buoyant than those of walleye pollock overall. Eggs of both species followed a typical pattern of increasing density early in development. After hatching, polar cod and walleye pollock larvae were similar in density, and were notably more buoyant than the larvae of species with demersal eggs (Pacific cod and saffron cod). Larvae of the two Arctic species (polar cod and saffron cod) were less sensitive to salinity challenges than the sub-Arctic gadids, but polar cod became more sensitive at 6 weeks post-hatch. These results highlight possible adaptations of polar cod to ensure that their eggs are positioned under or near ice after spawning so that larvae hatch in productive surface waters during ice break-up. A comparison of modeled seawater densities to egg densities during the post-spawning period suggests that walleye pollock eggs would only be in contact with seasonal sea ice on the northern edge of their distribution at latitudes above ~ 63 °N. The synergic effects of environmental variables on vertical distribution of eggs and their survival potential will be important biogeographic mechanisms to consider with climatic warming and continued loss of sea ice.
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