Geographical Distribution Variation Research Articles

Variation in white‐tailed and mule deer dental metrics is associated with precipitation gradients in the Americas

AbstractInvestigating the relationship between the physical environment and organismal adaptation is crucial to understanding the selective pressures that drive mammalian evolution. Of the varied approaches to exploring this relationship, macroscopic tooth wear analyses have become widely used due to their economic and simple methodologies. However, more work is needed to understand how assessments of wear patterns operate within finer levels of dietary and environmental contexts. It is specifically unclear if and how tooth wear differs inter‐ and intraspecifically between geographically widespread, large‐bodied mammalian populations. This project characterizes molar hypsodonty indices and mesowear scores of white‐tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) and mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) populations across North and Central America, investigating if and how molar wear and morphology vary over the deer's large and ecologically variable geographic distribution. While mesowear scores generally do not strongly track environmental signals within and between Odocoileus species, hypsodonty indices reveal a strong correlation between crown height and aridity, which likely represents an adaptive response to abrasive diets in areas with low precipitation.

Factors influencing the distribution, risk, and transport of microplastics and heavy metals for wildlife and habitats in “island” landscapes: From source to sink

Microplastics (MPs) and heavy metals (HMs) are important pollutants in terrestrial ecosystems. In particular, the “island” landscape’s weak resistance makes it vulnerable to pollution. However, there is a lack of research on MPs and HMs in island landscapes. Therefore, we used Helan Mountain as the research area. Assess the concentrations, spatial distribution, ecological risks, sources, and transport of MPs and HMs in the soil and blue sheep (Pseudois nayaur) feces. Variations in geographical distribution showed a connection between human activity and pollutants. Risk assessment indicated soil and wildlife were influenced by long-term pollutant polarization and multi-element inclusion (Igeo, Class I; PHI, Class V; RI (MPs), 33 % Class II, and 17 % Class IV; HI = 452.08). Source apportionment showed that tourism and coal combustion were the primary sources of pollutants. Meanwhile, a new coupling model of PMF/Risk was applied to quantify the source contribution of various risk types indicated transportation roads and tourism sources were the main sources of ecological and health risks, respectively. Improve the traceability of pollution source risks. Furthermore, also developed a novel tracing model for pollutant transportation, revealing a unique “source-sink-source” cycle in pollutant transportation, which provides a new methodological framework for the division of pollution risk areas in nature reserves and the evaluation of spatial transport between sources and sinks. Overall, this study establishes a foundational framework for conducting comprehensive risk assessments and formulating strategies for pollution control and management.

Gastric Cancer Genetics and Its Implications for Diagnosis, Prognosis, and Treatment of the Disease

Gastric cancer (GC) is an aggressive disease and the fifth most common cancer worldwide with a variable geographical distribution. GC has a very low survival rate, mainly because of its heterogeneous presentation, multifactorial etiology, and late diagnosis. It is well established that various risk factors contribute to the development of the disease, including salty diet, smoking, and excessive alcohol consumption. Importantly, interactions between genetic and environmental traits trigger the activation of key signaling pathways, influencing gastric cell behavior towards neoplastic transformation and progression. Despite important advances in our understanding of GC, it remains a major health burden owing to epidemiological and therapeutic limitations. This study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the genetic landscape of GC phenotypes and molecular biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis. In particular, we discuss the advances in genomic knowledge and technology that have yielded comprehensive information on the genetics of GC and classified it from a histological to a molecular perspective. Therefore, targeted and immune-based therapies have been developed, highlighting the challenges associated with intratumoral and interpatient heterogeneity. Finally, we explored potential research avenues on the intricacies of GC and identified accurate biomarkers for improved cancer screening and stratification. The development of innovative approaches to tackle relevant molecules is needed for GC management.

Molecular Detection and Genetic Characterization of Feline Immunodeficiency Virus (FIV) in Seropositive Cats in Northern Italy.

Feline immunodeficiency virus (FIV) is responsible for immunodeficiency syndrome in cats. Several viral subtypes have been identified, each with a variable geographical distribution. To date, the subtype B is known to be the genotype spread in Italy. In this study, the genetic diversity of FIV in northern Italy was assessed by detecting proviral DNA in the blood samples of 50 cats determined to be positive through an anti-FIV antibodies test. These cats were tested using six different PCR assays, and the identified viruses were sequenced and analyzed. Forty-eight cats were confirmed positive, and several FIV subtypes were characterized. As expected, the subtype B was the most commonly observed, and the subtype A was reported for the first time in Italy. Moreover, a new taxon possibly representing an additional FIV subtype was detected, and one virus belonging to subtype B potentially had a recombinant origin. The genetic variability between the FIV viruses that emerged in this study may lead to the potential diagnostic failure of single molecular tests. Therefore, a new diagnostic strategy, which adopts different molecular tests and sequencing, is recommended to monitor the evolution and spread of FIV.

Socioeconomic disparities in lumbar fusion rates were exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic disrupted healthcare access and utilization throughout the US, with variable impact on patients of different socioeconomic status (SES) and race. We characterize pre-pandemic and pandemic demographic and SES trends of lumbar fusion patients in the US. MethodsAdults undergoing first-time lumbar fusion 1/1/2004–3/31/2021 were assessed in Clinformatics® Data Mart for patient age, geographical location, gender, race, education level, net worth, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate the significance of trends over time, with a focus on pandemic trends 2020–2021 versus previous trends 2004–2019. ResultsThe total 217,204 patients underwent lumbar fusions, 1/1/2004–3/31/2021. The numbers and per capita rates of lumbar fusions increased 2004–2019 and decreased in 2020 (first year of COVID-19 pandemic), with large variation in geographic distribution. There was overall a significant decrease in proportion of White patients undergoing lumbar fusion over time (OR=0.997, p<.001), though they were more likely to undergo surgery during the pandemic (OR=1.016, p<.001). From 2004–2021, patients were more likely to be educated beyond high school. Additionally, patients in the highest (>$500k) and lowest (<$25k) net worth categories had significantly more fusions over time (p<.001). During the pandemic (2020–2021), patients in higher net worth groups were more likely to undergo lumbar fusions ($150k–249k & $250k–499k: p<.001) whereas patients in the lowest net worth group had decreased rate of surgeries (p<.001). Lastly, patients’ CCI increased significantly from 2004 to 2021 (coefficient=0.124, p<.001), and this trend held true during the pandemic (coefficient=0.179, p<.001). ConclusionsTo the best of our knowledge, our work represents the most comprehensive and recent characterization of SES variables in lumbar fusion rates. Unsurprisingly, lumbar fusions decreased overall with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Importantly, disparities in fusion patients across patient race and wealth widened during the pandemic, reversing years of progress, a lesson we can learn for future public health emergencies.

Recruitment of complete crAss-like phage genomes reveals their presence in chicken viromes, few human-specific phages, and lack of universal detection.

The order Crassvirales, which includes the prototypical crAssphage (p-crAssphage), is predominantly associated with humans, rendering it the most abundant and widely distributed group of DNA phages in the human gut. The reported human specificity and wide global distribution of p-crAssphage makes it a promising human fecal marker. However, the specificity for the human gut as well as the geographical distribution around the globe of other members of the order Crassvirales remains unknown. To determine this, a recruitment analysis using 91 complete, non-redundant genomes of crAss-like phages in human and animal viromes revealed that only 13 crAss-like phages among the 91 phages analyzed were highly specific to humans, and p-crAssphage was not in this group. Investigations to elucidate whether any characteristic of the phages was responsible for their prevalence in humans showed that the 13 human crAss-like phages do not share a core genome. Phylogenomic analysis placed them in three independent families, indicating that within the Crassvirales group, human specificity is likely not a feature of a common ancestor but rather was introduced on separate/independent occasions in their evolutionary history. The 13 human crAss-like phages showed variable geographical distribution across human metagenomes worldwide, with some being more prevalent in certain countries than in others, but none being universally identified. The varied geographical distribution and the absence of a phylogenetic relationship among the human crAss-like phages are attributed to the emergence and dissemination of their bacterial host, the symbiotic human strains of Bacteroides, across various human populations occupying diverse ecological niches worldwide.

Germline Pathogenic Variants in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck.

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) presents a significant global health problem with variable geographic distribution and risk factors, including tobacco and alcohol abuse, human papillomavirus infections, and genetic predisposition. While the majority of cases are sporadic, several well-defined hereditary syndromes have been associated with a higher risk of developing HNSCC including Li-Fraumeni syndrome, Fanconi anaemia, Bloom syndrome, familial atypical multiple mole melanoma, and dyskeratosis congenita. There is also evidence of familial clusters of HNSCC, suggesting a genetic component in the development of the disease. Germ-line genetic testing in HNSCC using next-generation sequencing has revealed a wide range of germline variants, some of which were not anticipated based on standard guidelines. These variants may influence treatment decisions and have the potential to be targeted with precision medicine in the future. Despite these advances, routine germline genetic testing for HNSCC is not currently recommended and remains reserved for HNSCC cases with early onset or strong family cancer history. However, the increasing availability of germline genetic testing warrants development of more comprehensive and standardized testing protocols. Germline genetic testing also has the potential to influence precision-guided treatment in HNSCC patients carrying germline pathogenic variants.

Developmental validation of a 381 Y-chromosome SNP panel for haplogroup analysis in the Chinese populations

Y-chromosome single nucleotide polymorphism (Y-SNP) shows great variation in geographical distribution and population heterogeneity and can be used to map population genetics around the world. Massive parallel sequencing (MPS) methodology enables high-resolution Y-SNP haplogrouping for a certain male and is widely used in forensic genetics and evolutionary studies. In this present study, we used MPS to develop a customized 381 Y-SNP panel (SifaMPS 381 Y-SNP panel) to investigate the basic structure and subbranches of the haplogroup tree of the Chinese populations. The SifaMPS 381 Y-SNP panel covers all the Y-SNPs from our previously designed 183 Y-SNP panel and additional SNPs under the predominant haplogroups in the Chinese populations based on certain criteria. We also evaluated the sequencing matrix, concordance, sensitivity, repeatability of this panel and the ability to analyze mixed and case-type samples based on the Illumina MiSeq System. The results demonstrated that the novel MPS Y-SNP panel possessed good sequencing performance and generated accurate Y-SNP genotyping results. Although the recommended DNA input was greater than 1.25 ng, we observed that a lower DNA amount could still be used to analyze haplogroups correctly. In addition, this panel could handle mixed samples and common case-type samples and had higher resolution among Chinese Han males than previously reported. In conclusion, the SifaMPS 381 Y-SNP panel showed an overall good performance and offers a better choice for Y-SNP haplogrouping of the Chinese population, thereby facilitating paternal lineage classification, familial searching and other forensic applications.

Evaluation of an in-house PCR for diagnosing scrub typhus along with a preliminary study of genotypic characterization of Orientia tsutshugamushi circulating in Chhattisgarh: A prospective clinico-microbiological study

PurposeScrub typhus, caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi (O. tsutsugamushi) present nonspecific clinical features during manifestation of acute undifferentiated febrile illness (AUFI) to render its early diagnosis difficult. Accordingly, this study was undertaken to assess an in-house groEL PCR versus IgM ELISA for the diagnosis of scrub typhus and to genotypically characterise the randomly selected scrub typhus positive cases. MethodsBlood samples, collected from two hundred twenty one (221) AUFI cases were subjected to groEL PCR and IgM ELISA for diagnosis of scrub typhus. Eleven randomly selected PCR positive cases were processed for DNA sequencing to determine the genetic diversity of O. tsutsugamushi in Chhattisgarh. ResultsScrub typhus prevalence of 35.2% were detected among AUFI cases using both in-house groEL PCR and IgM ELISA. PCR alone showed sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 66.6% (CI: 55.08–76.94), 100% (CI: 90 to 100),100% (CI: 93.15 to 100) and 57.37% (CI: 44.05 to 69.96) while for IgM ELISA, these parameters were 62.8% (CI: 51.13–73.50), 100% (CI: 90 to 100), 100% (CI: 92.75 to 100) and 54.68% (CI: 41.75 to 67.18) respectively. PCR and ELISA could detect scrub typhus in 37.2% and 33.3% cases, when tested alone. groEL PCR detected the O. tsutsugamushi throughout the course of infection. Phylogenetic analysis depicted 5 of 11 positive cases belonged to Kuroki, Japan strain of O. tsutsugamushi, followed by Gilliam and Karp strain in 4 and 2 cases respectively. ConclusionScrub typhus should be considered in differential diagnosis of AUFI. groEL PCR may aid on to IgM ELISA test for optimum laboratory diagnosis of scrub typhus by its implementation especially in seronegative cases. Predominance of Kuroki-like strain followed by Gillian and Karp strains of O. tsutsugamushi in Chhattisgarh confirm variable geographical distribution of O. tsutsugamushi and provide the baseline epidemiological data which will eventually be used to help the researchers for developing better diagnostic tests and vaccine covering the predominant genotypes.

Histomorphological Study of Non Neoplastic Skin Lesions: A Retrospective Approach

Introduction: Non-neoplastic skin disorders encompass a wide spectrum of pathological processes which show age, sex and geographical variation in distribution. Histopathological examination continues to play an invaluable role in diagnosis and management of non neoplastic skin disorders. The present study aims to analyse the histomorphological spectrum of non-neoplastic skin lesions received in a tertiary care hospital, to study their age and sex distribution and to classify the lesions into categories that predict clinically important attributes. Material and Methods: The current study is an observational retrospective study conducted in Department of Pathology in a Tertiary Care Hospital in South Gujrat. 205 skin specimen of non neoplastic skin lesions received over a period of one year (February 2019 to January 2020) were studied. Results: Among 205 cases of non neoplastic skin lesions, male predominance was seen. 21-30 years and 31-40 years were the most common age group. Infectious disorders were the most common category (73 cases) followed by non-neoplastic cutaneous cysts (72 cases). Epidermoid cyst was the common skin lesion closely followed by Leprosy. Borderline Tuberculous was the most frequent subtype of leprosy. Leprosy was most common in 21-30 years age group. Most common vesicobullous disease was Spongiotic Dermatitis followed by Pemphigus Vulgaris. Psoriaform and lichenoid dermatitis showed equal incidence. Conclusion: Heterogeneity in the clinical presentation of skin diseases makes histopathological examination a gold standard technique for final diagnosis. Cutaneous cysts and infectious formed the bulk of cases. Leprosy was the most common non cystic non neoplastic skin lesion of our study.

Prevalence of Chronic Polypharmacy in Community-Dwelling Elderly People in Poland: Analysis of National Real-World Database Helps to Identify High Risk Group.

Introduction: Multimorbidity often comes with age, making elderly people particularly prone to polypharmacy. Polypharmacy, in turn, is a risk factor for adverse drug reactions, drug-drug interactions, non-adherence to medication, negative health outcomes, and increased healthcare services utilization. The longer the exposure to polypharmacy is, the higher the risk of these consequences is. Therefore, a detailed assessment of the prevalence and drivers of chronic polypharmacy in the elderly is particularly important. Aim of study: To find out the prevalence of chronic polypharmacy in the elderly population of Poland, and to characterize the subgroup with the highest risk of this problem, using real-world data. Methodology: A retrospective analysis of data on dispensation and healthcare services utilization held by the national payer organization for the year 2018. Chronic polypharmacy was defined as possession, as a result of dispensation, of five or more prescribed drugs within 80% of each of the consecutive 6 months. Results: Chronic polypharmacy was found in 554.1 thousand patients, i.e. in 19.1% of the national 65+ cohort. On average, those patients were 76 years old, and 49.3% of them were female. The vast majority (68.6%) continued their polypharmacy for the period of the whole year. There was a marked variation in geographical distribution of chronic polypharmacy with the highest value of 1.7 thousand per 100,000 inhabitants in the Łódź Voivodeship. Patients exposed to chronic polypharmacy filled prescriptions from 4.5±2.36 healthcare professionals. The average number of drugs they used was 8.3±3.84 DDD per patient per day. The most often prescribed drugs were Metformin, Atorvastatin and Pantoprazole. The average annual hospitalisation rate in those patients was 1.03±2.4. Conclusion: This study was the first of this kind involving a nationwide assessment of chronic polypharmacy in Polish elderly people. We found that this problem affected one fifth of Polish older adults and it remains stable due to its direct relation to chronic conditions. Thus, our results confirm that this phenomenon is highly important for the national health policy and requires relevant interventions. The planned introduction of pharmaceutical care in Poland is expected to help in solving the problem.

789 HIGH RESOLUTION ESOPHAGEAL MOTILITY: VARIABLE GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION IN A LARGE MEXICAN COHORT

Abstract High resolution esophageal manometry (HREM) has been in use for about a decade. However, there is no available information regarding geographical or regional differences in diagnostic outcome. Aim Characterize the indications, demographics and diagnostic outcome of HREM in a diverse population of Mexico. Methods Data was collected from four major referral centers representing diverse geographical areas of Mexico: central—Mexico City (two centers, years 2016-2020), south (Veracruz, years 2015-2020) and north (Monterrey, years 2013—2020). All consecutive cases referred for HREM were entered into a data base and analyzed using Chicago 3 classification. Data was evaluated using chi-square to compare frequencies among groups. Results 2,932 patients included: Central n = 877(29.9), North n = 1003(34.2), South n = 1052(35.9). Mean age 47.9(11-93), women 1,795(61.2), men 1,137(38.8). Nationwide, the most common indications for testing were: GERD n = 1677(57.2), followed by dysphagia 587(20), atypical GERD 244(8.3), post-operative GERD 230(7.9), chest pain 114(3.9), and post-operative dysphagia 78(2.8). HREM was normal in 1,468(49.9) patients. Table shows the diagnostic distribution among centers: Central-Mexico had more abnormal cases 531(60.5) (p &amp;lt; 0.0.001) vs 407(40.6) North and 532(50.6) South. Achalasia was more commonly diagnosed in the South n = 104(19.5) whereas outlet obstruction 39(967) p &amp;lt; 0.001 and spastic disorders were more common in the North 47(11.8) p = 0.002. Weak peristaltic disorders were more common in Central-Mexico 369(78.8) p &amp;lt; 0.001. Conclusion This study represents the first large comparative multicenter HREM data base project in Mexico. In this cohort, most patients receiving HREM are women and those whose indication was GERD. These findings indicate variable regional geographical distribution of HERM diagnosis. Our study suggests that further investigation into the causes and epidemiological distribution of motility disorders is warranted.

Abstract 634: Targeting metastatic brain germinoma using PDOX tumor models with sequential metastases

Abstract Introduction. Intracranial germ cell tumor is an Asian-centric tumor, showing great variation in geographical distribution, with an incidence 5-8 fold greater in Asia/East Asia, than Western countries. Germinoma is one histological subtype of intracranial germ cell tumors. Current standard of care for germinoma, is chemoradiotherapy. Metastatic/recurrent germinoma have poor prognosis. There is currently no targeted therapy. Purpose: To create patient-derived orthotopic xenograft (PDOX) models of distant metastases in brain germinoma beyond brain boundaries to recapitulate sequential metastases of original patient tumors. These tumor models will serve as clinically accurate metastatic models for preclinical testing, replicating patient's pattern of tumor progression/metastases. There is a lack of such metastatic brain tumor models in the field. c-KIT is the most common mutation in germinoma. We evaluated preclinical efficacy of a c-KIT inhibitor. Experimental Procedures. Most PDOX brain tumor models are created by implanting patient-derived tumor cells in cerebrum/cerebellum. Germinoma originates from pineal gland/suprasellar region. We implanted germinoma cells nearer location of tumor origin. We were successful and achieved consistent tumor implantation into this location (100% post-surgery survival, 0% surgical mortality, 0% post-surgical neurological deficits). Summary. We successfully established two models with sequential metastases. Model 1 was created from metastatic cells from spinal recurrence (Patient 1) post-chemo-radiotherapy. This model faithfully created skull base metastases in 100% of murine replicas (n=9). Both tumor cells from brain and skull base metastases (n=7) were serially transplantable. Our findings were replicated (n=5) and consistent. Model 2 was created from metastatic cells of cerebrospinal fluid dissemination (Patient 2). Brain surface metastases were formed recapitulating patient tumor. Both models recapitulated a similar path of metastases in craniospinal axis, corresponding to respective patients. c-KIT inhibitor, was effective in significantly prolonging animal survival in Model 2 (p=0.0046) but not in Model 1 (p=0.0541). In Model 2, c-kit inhibition in-vivo was efficacious and resulted in 3-fold effect, (1) Significantly improved animal survival, (2) Macroscopically reduced frequency, severity of brain surface metastases (Controls=50%, Treated=14%, lesser in severity), (3) Microscopically reduced tumor burden to minimal residual disease limited to cerebrospinal fluid outline. Control mice brains were largely replaced by tumor bulk, while treated mice had minimal residual tumor burden. Conclusions. Understanding metastatic patterns in such aggressive models is relevant in biologic targeting for preclinical studies and clinical decision to extend radiotherapy field in recurrent disease. Citation Format: Shiying Huang, Sekar Karthik, Jack M Su, Qi Lin, YuChen Du, Ching C Lau, Adesina Adekunle, Angela Major, Kam-Man Hui, M. Tarek Elghetany, Xiaonan Li, Wan-Yee Teo. Targeting metastatic brain germinoma using PDOX tumor models with sequential metastases [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 634.

Epidemiology of Bovine Pestiviruses Circulating in Italy.

Pestiviruses are widespread and economically important pathogens of cattle and other animals. Pestivirus A (formerly known as Bovine viral diarrhea virus 1, BVDV-1), Pestivirus B (Bovine viral diarrhea virus 2, BVDV-2), and Pestivirus H (HoBi-like pestivirus, HoBiPeV) species are infecting primarily cattle. Like other RNA viruses, pestiviruses are characterized by a high degree of genetic variability. This high rate of variability is revealed by the existence of a number of viral subgenotypes within each species. In cattle, the highest number of pestivirus subgenotypes has been documented in European countries, particularly in Italy. The aim of this review is to report an up-to-date overview about the genetic diversity of pestiviruses in Italian cattle herds. All three bovine pestiviruses species have been identified in cattle population with variable frequency and geographical distribution. The genetic diversity of Italian pestiviral strains may have diagnostic and immunological implications, affecting the performance of diagnostic tools and the full cross-protection elicited by commercially available vaccines. Implementation and strengthening of coordinated approaches for bovine pestivirus control in Italy are recommended. Therefore, it would be extremely important to increase control and restriction measures to the trade of cattle and biological products of bovine origin, including those containing fetal bovine serum.

Detection of Giardia intestinalis assemblages A and B among children from three villages in the West Delta region, Egypt using assemblage specific primers.

Giardia intestinalis is a common diarrheagenic parasite infecting children globally. It has been classified into eight morphologically identical but genetically distinct genotypes. Human infection is mainly associated with A and B assemblages with variable geographical distribution. The present work aimed to study the epidemiology of assemblages A and B in children inhabiting different areas in Lower Egypt. Stool samples were collected from 315 children and examined microscopically for parasitic infections. Giardia positive samples were genotyped using tpi assemblage specific primers. The prevalence of Giardia was 18.1% among the examined children. Mixed assemblages A and B was more common (47.4%) than single assemblage B (36.8%) or A (15.8%). The distribution of different genotypes was significantly associated with the residence area, animal contact, and handwashing habits. A non-significant association was observed between Giardia assemblages and the clinical manifestations. Assemblage B is the predominant genotype among Egyptian children. The distribution of different Giardia assemblages is strongly associated with the studied area and the habits of its people.

Spatiotemporal expansion of human brucellosis in Shaanxi Province, Northwestern China and model for risk prediction.

BackgroundHuman brucellosis imposes a heavy burden on the health and economy of endemic regions. Since 2011, China has reported at least 35,000 human brucellosis cases annually, with more than 90% of these cases reported in the northern. Given the alarmingly high incidence and variation in the geographical distribution of human brucellosis cases, there is an urgent need to decipher the causes of such variation in geographical distribution.MethodWe conducted a retrospective epidemiological study in Shaanxi Province from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2018 to investigate the association between meteorological factors and transmission of human brucellosis according to differences in geographical distribution and seasonal fluctuation in northwestern China for the first time.ResultsHuman brucellosis cases were mainly distributed in the Shaanbei upland plateau before 2008 and then slowly extended towards the southern region with significant seasonal fluctuation. The results of quasi-Poisson generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) indicated that air temperature, sunshine duration, rainfall, relative humidity, and evaporation with maximum lag time within 7 months played crucial roles in the transmission of human brucellosis with seasonal fluctuation. Compared with the Shaanbei upland plateau, Guanzhong basin had more obvious fluctuations in the occurrence of human brucellosis due to changes in meteorological factors. Additionally, the established GAMM model showed high accuracy in predicting the occurrence of human brucellosis based on the meteorological factors.ConclusionThese findings may be used to predict the seasonal fluctuations of human brucellosis and to develop reliable and cost-effective prevention strategies in Shaanxi Province and other areas with similar environmental conditions.

Evolving insights into penile cancer pathology and the eighth edition of the AJCC TNM staging system.

The majority of penile malignant tumors are squamous cell carcinomas. They are pathologically defined as epithelial neoplasms originating in the squamous cells of the inner mucosal lining of the glans, coronal sulcus or foreskin. Tumor location and site of origin is preferentially in glans (70%) followed by foreskin (25%) and coronal sulcus (5%). Despite the variable geographic distribution, pathological features of penile carcinomas in areas of high- and low-risk are similar. Penile tumors are morphologically heterogeneous. A major advance, based on biological, etiological and prognostic factors, is the 2016 WHO classification separating epithelial penile neoplasia, precancerous and invasive, in non-HPV and HPV-related.

Interannual variation in the coastal distribution of a juvenile gadid in the northeast Pacific Ocean: The relevance of wind and effect on recruitment

AbstractDrift of propagules occurs within many populations inhabiting flow fields. This affects the number of propagules that rejoin their source population (recruitment) and plays a role in adaptive spatial redistribution. We focus on the cause and consequence of interannual variation in geographic distribution of population density among five cohorts of young‐of‐the‐year (age‐0) juvenile walleye pollock Gadus chalcogrammus in the western Gulf of Alaska (GOA). The coastal GOA is a wind‐driven advective system. Walleye pollock spawn during spring and their eggs and larvae drift southwestward; by late summer, age‐0 juveniles are variously distributed over the shelf. We found that high population densities of age‐0 juveniles (ca. 6 months old) near the southwestward exit of the Alaska Coastal Current from the GOA corresponded with high abundance of larvae from the major spawning area upstream, but did not translate into high abundance at older ages. Further, offshore and upwelling‐favorable winds were associated with the high downstream abundance and presumed export. In contrast, downwelling‐favorable (northeasterly) wind during and shortly after spawning (April–May) was associated with high recruitment at age 1. Finally, we found that recruitment also increased with apparent retention of age‐0 juveniles in favorable habitat upstream near the main spawning area. We hypothesize that wind‐related retention in superior upstream habitat favors recruitment. Our results argue for including wind‐driven transport in future walleye pollock recruitment models. We encourage more work on the juvenile stage of marine fishes aimed at understanding how transport and species‐specific habitat suitability interact to affect population response to large‐scale forcing.

The global distribution of lymphatic filariasis, 2000–18: a geospatial analysis

SummaryBackgroundLymphatic filariasis is a neglected tropical disease that can cause permanent disability through disruption of the lymphatic system. This disease is caused by parasitic filarial worms that are transmitted by mosquitos. Mass drug administration (MDA) of antihelmintics is recommended by WHO to eliminate lymphatic filariasis as a public health problem. This study aims to produce the first geospatial estimates of the global prevalence of lymphatic filariasis infection over time, to quantify progress towards elimination, and to identify geographical variation in distribution of infection.MethodsA global dataset of georeferenced surveyed locations was used to model annual 2000–18 lymphatic filariasis prevalence for 73 current or previously endemic countries. We applied Bayesian model-based geostatistics and time series methods to generate spatially continuous estimates of global all-age 2000–18 prevalence of lymphatic filariasis infection mapped at a resolution of 5 km2 and aggregated to estimate total number of individuals infected.FindingsWe used 14 927 datapoints to fit the geospatial models. An estimated 199 million total individuals (95% uncertainty interval 174–234 million) worldwide were infected with lymphatic filariasis in 2000, with totals for WHO regions ranging from 3·1 million (1·6–5·7 million) in the region of the Americas to 107 million (91–134 million) in the South-East Asia region. By 2018, an estimated 51 million individuals (43–63 million) were infected. Broad declines in prevalence are observed globally, but focal areas in Africa and southeast Asia remain less likely to have attained infection prevalence thresholds proposed to achieve local elimination.InterpretationAlthough the prevalence of lymphatic filariasis infection has declined since 2000, MDA is still necessary across large populations in Africa and Asia. Our mapped estimates can be used to identify areas where the probability of meeting infection thresholds is low, and when coupled with large uncertainty in the predictions, indicate additional data collection or intervention might be warranted before MDA programmes cease.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Mapping the relative risk of weight disorders in children and adolescents across provinces of Iran: the CASPIAN-V study.

Background: This study aimed to find possible spatial variation in children’s weight disorders and in predicting the spatial distribution. Methods: The study population of this ecological study consisted of 7-18-year-old students living in 30 provinces of Iran. We used Besag, York and Mollie (BYM) model, a Bayesian model, to study the relative risk (RR) of underweight and excess weight (overweight and obese). The model was fitted to data using OpenBUGS (3.2.1) software. Results: The highest RR of underweight was found in southeastern provinces. Whereas, the highest RR of excess weight was documented in northern, northwestern and capital provinces.Sistan-Balouchestan (RR=1.973; Bayesian confidence interval [BCI]: 1.682, 2.289), Hormozgan(RR=1.482; BCI: 1.239, 1.749), South Khorasan (RR=1.422; BCI: 1.18, 1.687) and Kerman(RR=1.413; BCI: 1.18, 1.669) had the highest RR of underweight. Mazandaran (RR=1.366; BCI:1.172,1.581), Gilan (RR=1.346; BCI: 1.15,1.562), Tehran (RR=1.271; BCI: 1.086,1.472) and Alborz (RR=1.268; BCI: 1.079,1.475) provinces are high risk regions for excess weight. Conclusion: The significant variations in geographical distribution of weight disorders are because of various sociodemographic and ethnic differences. The current findings should be considered in health policy making in different regions of the country.