Uncertainties In Variables Research Articles

Sliding Mode Fault-Tolerant Control for Nonlinear LPV Systems with Variable Time-Delay

This paper presents a robust sliding mode fault-tolerant control (FTC) strategy for a class of linear parameter variant (LPV) systems with variable time-delays and uncertainties. First fault estimation (FE) is conducted using a robust sliding mode observer, synthesized to simultaneously estimate the states and actuator faults of LPV polytopic delayed systems. Second, a sliding mode FTC is developed, ensuring all states of the closed-loop system converge to the origin. This paper presents an integrated sliding mode FTC strategy to achieve optimal robustness between the observer and controller models. The integrated design approach offers several advantages over traditional separated FTC methods. Our novel approach is based on incorporating adaptive law into the design of the Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional to improve both robustness and performance. This is achieved by combining the concept of sliding mode control (SMC) with the Lyapunov–Krasovskii function under the H∞ criteria, which plays a key role in guaranteeing the stability of this class of system. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through a diesel engine example, which highlights the validity and benefits of the integrated and separated FTC strategy for uncertain nonlinear systems with time delays and the sliding mode control.

Combining graph theory and spatially-explicit, individual-based models to improve invasive species control strategies at a regional scale

ContextInvasive species cause widespread species extinction and economic loss. There is an increasing need to identify ways to efficiently target control efforts from local to regional scales.ObjectivesOur goal was to test whether prioritizing managed habitat using different treatments based on spatial measures of connectivity, including graph-theoretic measures, can improve management of invasive species and whether the level of control effort affects treatment performance. We also explored how uncertainty in biological variables, such as dispersal ability, affects measures performance.MethodsWe used a spatially-explicit, individual-based model (sIBM) based on the American bullfrog (Lithobates catesbeianus), a globally pervasive invasive species. Simulations were informed by geographic data from part of the American bullfrog’s non-native range in southeastern Arizona, USA where they are known to pose a threat to native species.ResultsWe found that total bullfrog populations and occupancy declined in response to all treatments regardless of effort level or patch prioritization methods. The most effective spatial prioritization was effort-dependent and varied depending on spatial context, but frequently a buffer strategy was most effective. Treatments were also sensitive to dispersal ability. Performance of treatments prioritizing habitat patches using betweenness centrality improved with increasing dispersal ability, while performance of eigenvalue centrality improved as dispersal ability decreased.ConclusionsWith the careful application of connectivity measures to prioritize control efforts, similar reductions in invasive species population size and occupancy could be achieved with less than half the effort of sub-optimal connectivity measures at higher effort rates. More work is needed to determine if trait-based generalities may define appropriate connectivity measures for specific suites of dispersal abilities, demographic traits, and population dynamics.

Scenario Generation Based on Ant Colony Optimization for Modelling Stochastic Variables in Power Systems

Uncertainty is an important subject in optimization problems due to the unpredictable nature of real variables in the power system area, which can condition the solution’s accuracy. The effective modelling of stochastic variables can contribute to the reduction in losses in the system under evaluation and facilitate the implementation of an effective response in advance. To model uncertainty variables, the most extended technique is the scenario generation (SG) method. This method evaluates possible combinations of complete curves. Classical scenario generation methods are founded on probability distributions or robust stochastic optimization. This paper proposes a novel approach for constructing scenarios using the Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm, referred to as ACO-SG. This methodology does not require a previous statistical study of uncertainty data to generate new scenarios. A historical dataset and the desired number of scenarios are the inputs inserted into the algorithm. In the case study, the algorithm used historical data from the Savona Campus Smart Polygeneration Microgrid of the University of Genoa. The approach was applied to generate scenarios of photovoltaic generation and building consumption. The low values of the Euclidean distance were used in order to check the validity of the scenarios. Moreover, the error deviation of the scenarios generated with the goal of daily power were 1.77% and 0.144% for the cases of PV generation and building consumption, respectively. The different results for both cases are explained by the characteristics of the specific cases. Despite these different results, both were significantly low, which indicates the capability of the algorithm to generate any kind of feature within curves and its adaptability to any case of SG.

Optimization of renewable energy-based integrated energy systems: A three-stage stochastic robust model

The integration of renewable energy into an integrated energy system (REIES) represents a promising approach to achieving clean and low-carbon energy consumption. However, the inherent uncertainty and variability of renewable energy sources and load demands present significant challenges to the operational efficiency and stability of REIES. To address these challenges, we propose a three-stage stochastic robust optimization (TRSRO) model. This model accounts for market electricity prices, source-load scenario probabilities, and output uncertainties to optimize system configurations in REIES. It also includes the optimization of power exchanges with the regional grid and strategic operational scheduling. Initial scenarios of uncertainty variables are generated using the spectral normalized conditional Wasserstein generative adversarial network (SNCWGAN), forming polyhedral uncertainty sets. Comprehensive norm constraints are then applied to capture probability distribution uncertainties within these sets. To improve the efficiency of solving the model, we introduce a two-layer column constraint generation algorithm, considering variable alternate iterations (TLCCG-VAI). The results demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve a 12.16 % reduction in total cost compared to the baseline method. Furthermore, the TLCCG-VAI algorithm reduces runtime by 82.97 % while maintaining the same level of solution accuracy.

Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models

Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) and general circulation models (GCMs) are heavily used to provide inputs to sectoral impact and multisector dynamic models, which include representations of energy, water, land, economics, and their interactions. Therefore, representing the full range of model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty, and interannual variability that ensembles of these models capture is critical to the exploration of the future co-evolution of the integrated human–Earth system. The pre-eminent source of these ensembles has been the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). With more modeling centers participating in each new CMIP phase, the size of the model archive is rapidly increasing, which can be intractable for impact modelers to effectively utilize due to computational constraints and the challenges of analyzing large datasets. In this work, we present a method to select a subset of the latest phase, CMIP6, featuring models for use as inputs to a sectoral impact or multisector dynamics models, while prioritizing preservation of the range of model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty, and interannual variability in the full CMIP6 ensemble results. This method is intended to help impact modelers select climate information from the CMIP archive efficiently for use in downstream models that require global coverage of climate information. This is particularly critical for large-ensemble experiments of multisector dynamic models that may be varying additional features beyond climate inputs in a factorial design, thus putting constraints on the number of climate simulations that can be used. We focus on temperature and precipitation outputs of CMIP6 models, as these are two of the most used variables among impact models, and many other key input variables for impacts are at least correlated with one or both of temperature and precipitation (e.g., relative humidity). Besides preserving the multi-model ensemble variance characteristics, we prioritize selecting CMIP6 models in the subset that preserve the very likely distribution of equilibrium climate sensitivity values as assessed by the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. This approach could be applied to other output variables of climate models and, possibly when combined with emulators, offers a flexible framework for designing more efficient experiments on human-relevant climate impacts. It can also provide greater insight into the properties of existing CMIP6 models.

Investigating the price determinants of the European Emission Trading System: a non-parametric approach

Understanding the intricacies of factors influencing European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS) market prices is paramount for effective policy making and strategy implementation. We propose the use of the Information Imbalance, a non-parametric measure recently introduced in the physics community for quantifying the degree to which a set of variables is informative with respect to another one, to study the relationships among macroeconomic, economic, uncertainty, and energy variables concerning EU ETS price between January 2014 and April 2023. Our analysis shows that in Phase 3, commodity-related variables such as the ERIX index are the most informative in explaining the behaviour of the EU ETS market price. Transitioning to Phase 4, financial fluctuations take centre stage, with the uncertainty in the EUR/CHF exchange rate emerging as a crucial determinant. These results reflect the disruptive impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and the energy crisis in reshaping the importance of the different variables. In addition to highlighting the shift in influential factors between Phase 3 and Phase 4, our findings underscore how macroeconomic volatility and energy disruptions have altered market dynamics. Notably, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the volatility in financial markets and fluctuations in energy demand and supply significantly affected the predictive power of different variables. Moreover, the energy crisis amplified the sensitivity of EU ETS prices to energy-related factors, reinforcing the importance of incorporating multiple dimensions into market analysis. Beyond variable analysis, we also propose to leverage the Information Imbalance to address the problem of mixed-frequency forecasting, and we identify the weekly time scale as the most informative for predicting the EU ETS price. Finally, we show how the Information Imbalance can be effectively combined with Gaussian Process regression for efficient nowcasting and forecasting using very small sets of highly informative predictors.

Re-Visiting the Co-movement between FinTech, Economic Policy Uncertainty, Governance Quality and Bank Variability in Pakistan: A Wavelet Coherence Approach

The recent literature about FinTech services in Pakistani commercial banks has grabbed much attention as these services have increased rapidly in the last few decades. This paper examines the co-movement between FinTech, economic policy uncertainty, bank- variability, and governance quality. The data was obtained from 2014-2020 on a monthly frequency. To address the relationship and co-movement, we have applied more advanced and sophisticated econometric models, autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL), and continuous wavelet (CTW) to investigate the relationship between the variables. These approaches provide flexibility of assumptions for time-series data and provide robust results. The results indicate a short and long-run symmetric relationship with a significant co-movement between the variables.

Impact of central bank digital currency uncertainty on international financial markets

Is the impact of central bank digital currency (CBDC) uncertainty on investment and financial stability significant? To address this pivotal question in the era of CBDC development, we employ a combination of models: the time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-VAR); the Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (BEKK-MGARCH) model, and wavelet quantile correlation (WQC) analysis. Based on the findings, macrofinancial variables significantly respond to CBDC uncertainty shocks, exhibiting time-varying, heterogeneous, and stage-specific characteristics. These effects are most pronounced in the short term, but diminish over the long term. Notably, the impact of CBDC uncertainty shocks on other financial variables exceeds the reverse impact. In addition, asymmetric volatility spillovers are found, suggesting complex interdependencies. The implication of the findings is that interactions between CBDC uncertainty and financial variables evolve across short-, medium-, and long-term horizons, emphasizing the need for central banks to adopt a flexible approach in CBDC design to alleviate market concerns and enhance overall financial stability.

Data-Driven State of Health Interval Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries

The accurate prediction of the state of health (SOH) for lithium-ion batteries is a key factor for improving the performance of battery management systems (BMS). However, traditional point prediction methods are difficult to effectively eliminate errors due to the uncertainty of variables and application environments. This paper presents a model for predicting the interval of lithium-ion batteries based on health indicators (HIs) during charging, which addresses the limitations of current point prediction in practical applications. First, twelve HIs are extracted from the current and voltage variables of the charging process. Secondly, feature selection is performed by random forest (RF) training, and the selected HIs are dimensioned using partial least squares (PLS). Finally, a long short-term memory network (LSTM) combined with quantile regression (QR) is used to derive the quantile values of the prediction points and each quantile is employed as input information for Gaussian kernel density estimation (KDE) to obtain the SOH probability density distribution. The experimental results based on the NASA PCOE Li-ion battery dataset and CALCE Li-ion battery dataset show that the SOH interval coverage is more than 90% and the average width of the interval is less than 0.294.

The Precision Improvement of Robot Integrated Joint Module Based on a New ADRC Algorithm

This article analyzes the factors causing the precision error of the robot joint module, such as gear meshing disturbance, output elastic deformation, and load mutation. An improved active disturbance rejection control (ADRC) algorithm is proposed to overcome the uncertainty of nonlinear factors and variables of this research topic. The output precision loss of the joint module is introduced as a new input variable of ADRC, combined with the input variable of torque current of the joint module. The extended state observer is redesigned, and the online estimation of disturbance is realized. According to the disturbance estimation results, the current loop algorithm of permanent magnet synchronous motors is improved to compensate the torque disturbance of the robot joint module. The experimental results show that the improved ADRC algorithm can obviously suppress the disturbance of the joint module, weaken the meshing error and torque output deformation of the harmonic reducer gear, and improve the control accuracy of the joint module.

The Synopsis of Soft Computing.

The traditional method of problem-solving, known as hard computing, is limited in its ability to handle modern digital technology and real-world problems accurately. Soft computing, a newer paradigm, offers a more versatile approach by utilizing multi-valued logic and human knowledge to solve complex, nonlinear problems efficiently. Unlike hard computing, soft computing can handle imprecise data and uncertainty effectively. This methodology has been successfully applied across various sectors, including scientific, industrial, and medical fields, providing more accurate results. Soft computing is good for its contributions to revolutionizing problem-solving techniques, being tolerant of imprecision, uncertainty, and linguistic variables, and offering approximate solutions to intricate problems.

Evaluation and projection of changes in temperature and precipitation over Northwest China based on CMIP6 models

AbstractNorthwest China is much more sensitive to climate warming, and the climate has varied rapidly from warm and drought to warm and humid conditions. In addition, due to the complex terrain of Northwest China, the methods and parameterization schemes of different CMIP6 models, these models are mostly applied to arid areas in Northwest China or Central Asia, lacking climate data for plateau areas and eastern Lanzhou, specifically in filtering CMIP6 models and evaluating applicable models. In this paper, 34 CMIP6 climate models are used to evaluate and forecast future trends in Northwest China under the SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios in the short, medium and long term. CMIP6 models of temperature and precipitation are identified by applying the interannual variability skill score (IVS) between CN05.1 datasets and historical CMIP6 models, which are suitable for Northwest China. Then, we assess the characteristics, warming and wetting deviations, and uncertainties in the prediction of climatic change according to CMIP6 models over Northwest China. The results show that CMIP6 models in precipitation and temperature applicable to Northwest China are AWI‐CM‐1‐1‐MR, BCC‐CSM2‐MR, FGOALS‐g3, INM‐CM4‐8, INM‐CM5‐0 and MRI‐ESM2‐0. The multi‐model ensemble mean (MMEM) has better capability than individual CMIP6 models in precipitation and temperature prediction. Spatiotemporal climatic change over Northwest China shows overall warming and wetting trends. The IVS provides the ability to estimate CMIP6 model simulation performance both temporally and spatially. The temperature simulation is quite good in the Tarim Basin and Hexi Corridor region, and the precipitation simulation is quite good in the plateau region, Altai Mountains, Tianshan Mountains and Hexi Corridor region. Cold and wet deviations occur in Northwest China due to the topography and few stations, which are common reasons. The main sources of uncertainties in temperature prediction during this century are model uncertainty (before the 2090s) and scenario variability (after the 2090s), and model uncertainty in precipitation for CMIP6 becomes the main source of uncertainty.

A semi-empirical model for online real-time control of NOX generation in diesel engines

Diesel NOX emission control is the main control content of diesel engines. Real-time high-precision NOX emission prediction model is the basic guarantee for (1) Diesel combustion management, (2) SCR after-treatment control, (3) OBD system. Existing models that rely exclusively on physical processes or data-driven artificial intelligence models fail to meet real-time requirements, while MAP look-up table-based models are poorly adapted and require extensive experiments for calibration. In this study, a new semi-empirical model for NOX emission prediction was developed, and the variables of the model were identified as exhaust temperature, engine speed, injected fuel mass flow rate, air intake mass flow rate, and exhaust oxygen mass flow rate, taking into account the mechanism of NOX generation in diesel engines as well as the requirement of real-time and direct measurability of the variables for on-line control. The influence of each variable on NOX was analyzed, the model structure of the NOX prediction model was determined, and the parameters of the prediction model were identified by least squares. The model is applied to real operating vehicles for validation and compared with a previous semiempirical model taken from the literature, and the results show that the overall accuracy of the proposed model is improved. Finally, the effect of variable uncertainty on the proposed model was assessed and it was found that the relative uncertainty in predicting NOX emissions ranged between 0 and 8% for sensor accuracies of [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] for exhaust temperature and intake air mass flow, respectively, suggesting that the sensor accuracy has a significant effect on the uncertainty of the model.

An uncertainty‐based evaluation of sulphuric compounds transport in reservoirs considering sensitivity analysis

AbstractDeepwater bodies such as dam reservoirs are among the most prominent water resources that supply societies' water demand. Hence, water quality in these resources requires continuous and meticulous monitoring. This study evaluated the water quality of Changuleh Dam, a dam under construction in western Iran, using the CE‐QUAL‐W2 model to predict fluctuations in sulphate (SO42−) and hydrogen sulphide (H2S) concentrations. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the dependence of model outputs on input variables. Additionally, an uncertainty analysis was performed using MATLAB to address the inherent uncertainties of the input variables through an ARIMA (2, 2, 1) time series model and Monte Carlo simulations. The results indicated a high sulphate concentration averaging 955.6 mg/l, considerably exceeding the drinking water standard of 400 mg/l, identifying the reservoir as a sulphate‐rich water resource. Seasonal fluctuations of H2S concentrations were also observed in the reservoir's anaerobic bed sediments, peaking at 87 mg/l. The sensitivity analysis showed that nitrate and total dissolved solids (TDS) varied more noticeably than dissolved oxygen (DO) at different depths, with the greatest variation at 50 m. This study highlights the critical need for continuous and meticulous monitoring of water quality in dam reservoirs to meet water supply standards.

Hope and Uncertainty Among Turkish Adults: Pathways to Subjective Well-Being

This cross-sectional research aimed to explore how intolerance of uncertainty and hope predict subjective well-being in adults, while accounting for demographic and other relevant psychological variables. The sample consisted of 822 adults, with 58.60% female and 41.40% male participants, aged 18 to 65 years (M = 36.21, SD = 12.76). Regression analysis indicated that both hope and intolerance of uncertainty significantly contributed to unique variance in subjective well-being, even after controlling for all other variables in the model. It was found that hope had a greater impact on subjective well-being, explaining an additional 15% of the variance, compared to intolerance of uncertainty, which accounted for an additional 2% of the variance. Furthermore, hope remained a significant predictor of subjective well-being even when controlling for intolerance of uncertainty and other relevant factors. These results underscore the importance of fostering hope as a distinct and independent factor that enhances subjective well-being, beyond the effects of intolerance of uncertainty and other variables.

Investigation of essential parameters for the design of offshore wind turbine based on structural reliability

The probabilistic-based design method is gradually gaining attention in the wind industry because it provides more accurate modeling of uncertainty variables than that of traditional methods. Unfortunately, the numerous uncertainty variables involved in structural design are major obstacles to the successful application of this method. Therefore, this study presents a sensitivity analysis (SA) of a benchmark monopile offshore wind turbine (OWT) to screen the top-ranking variables from the viewpoint of reliability. Primarily, a comprehensive reliability SA framework of OWT is proposed, in which a novel measurement of soil uncertainties is conducted using quantitative analysis from the perspective of soil structure interaction (SSI). Subsequently, a reliability SA is conducted to explore the crucial variables influencing the structural safety from the uncertain clusters. The results indicate that Young's modulus, structural geometry, and SSI have significant effects on the structural reliability of excessive vibration failure. The hydrodynamic and aerodynamic load variables exhibit the most prominent influence on excessive deflection failure. Additionally, the SSI uncertainties exhibit a non-negligible effect in affecting the structural reliability, i.e., the lateral bending stiffness shows more sensitivity to the normal operation cases, whereas the impact of joint stiffness is more remarkable in parked scenarios.

Confidence-based design optimization using multivariate kernel density estimation under insufficient input data

The uncertainty quantification of the input statistical model in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely investigated for accurate reliability analysis, and it could be estimated through its characteristics, cumulative experiences, and available data. However, uncertainty quantification of random variables in existing RBDO studies has exploited parametric distributions quantifying the uncertainty through the Bayes' theorem. In addition, a correlation between random variables is often underestimated due to a lack of knowledge and difficulty to describe the high-dimensional correlation. Hence, it has been a challenge to properly quantify input statistical model and its uncertainty. Therefore, a multivariate kernel density estimation (KDE) is employed to perform data-driven confidence-based design optimization (CBDO) for effective quantification of input model uncertainty. Any assumption on input distribution is not necessary since it is established only with the given input data. Moreover, the input model uncertainty due to insufficient data is quantified using bootstrapping and optimal adaptive bandwidth matrices through the Bayes’ theorem using cross-validation error. Consequently, the proposed CBDO with given input data is capable of finding a conservative optimum of RBDO accounting for both aleatory uncertainty of random variables and epistemic uncertainty induced by a limited number of input data through the multivariate KDE.

Cost Effectiveness of Definitive Treatment Strategies for Autonomously Functioning Thyroid Nodules.

Autonomously functioning thyroid nodules (AFTN) can be treated with antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine (RAI), thyroid lobectomy or radiofrequency ablation (RFA). Although surgery is most definitive, some patients require lifelong hormone supplementation. RFA avoids this sequela, but its efficacy depends on nodule size. This study aims to compare the relative cost-effectiveness of RAI, RFA and lobectomy for treatment of AFTNs. A Markov analysis model was created to simulate clinical outcomes, costs and utilities for three AFTN treatments: (1) thyroid lobectomy, (2) RAI, and (3) RFA. This mathematical model was created using published literature and modeling. Transition probabilities, utilities and costs were extracted from published literature, Medicare, and RedBook. The willingness to pay threshold was set to $100,000 per quality-adjusted life year. The model simulated 2-year outcomes, reflecting RFA literature. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to account for uncertainty in model variables. In the base model, RAI dominated both lobectomy and RFA, with lower estimated cost ($2000 vs. $9452 and $10,087) and higher cumulative utility (1.89 vs. 1.82 and 1.78 quality-adjusted life years). One-way sensitivity analyses demonstrated that relative cost-effectiveness between surgery and RFA was driven by the probability of euthyroidism after RFA and hypothyroidism after lobectomy. RFA becomes more cost-effective than surgery if the rate of euthyroidism after ablation is higher than 69% (baseline 54%). Based on published data, RAI is most cost-effective in treating most AFTN. Surgery is more cost-effective than RFA in most scenarios, but RFA may be more resource-efficient for smaller nodules with a high likelihood of complete treatment.

Life cycle assessment of photovoltaic panels including transportation and two end-of-life scenarios: Shaping a sustainable future for renewable energy

This research study addresses the growing environmental concerns associated with solar photovoltaic (PV) systems which is a pivotal component of renewable energy transition. The primary objective is to advance the comprehension of the environmental sustainability of solar PV technology, with a specific focus on the context of Mexico. This study applies a life cycle assessment (LCA) framework, employing an up-to-date methodology (ReCiPe 2016) and database (Ecoinvent 3.8) for midpoint and endpoint indicators in this problem by considering a specific focus on end-of-life and transportation scenarios which have been absent in the current state-of-the-art research. An LCA approach bridges the gap between midpoint and end-point indicators, bringing transparency to the environmental impact assessment. This research entails a cradle-to-grave LCA of a 1 kW crystalline silicon solar panel over a 25-year lifespan while adapting to ISO 14044 standards for LCA and encompassing both midpoint and end-point indicators, specifically including end-of-life and transportation scenario. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the variations in environmental indicators considering the life-cycle data. It is reported that recycling processes can cause a substantial mitigating effect on environmental impacts across multiple categories, leading to reductions of up to 89 % in mineral resource scarcity. Notably, the cell processing phase emerges as the most environmentally impactful stage, accounting for 37 % of the total impact. This high impact is predominantly attributed to silver usage and heightened electricity consumption. The sensitivity analysis revealed that various performance indicators exhibited differing degrees of sensitivity to uncertainty in the design variables, highlighting the importance of careful consideration, particularly in addressing theimpact on theecosystem, when aiming to reduce environmental impacts in the life cycle of silicon solar panels. Our results have also indicated that transportation significantly impacts resource protection, accounting for 15 % of the total impacts in this category, with lesser yet notable contributions to ecosystems and human health. The implications of this work suggest a need for stringent policies to fabricate complete solar photovoltaic modules in Mexico to reduce the environmental burden caused by transportation. Additionally, the insights from this study offer a gateway for the Mexican government to reform current energy transition policies by including multiple recycling scenarios for solar photovoltaic systems, ultimately leading to sustainable growth in this market.

Robust Adaptive Control Law Design for Enhanced Stability of Agriculture UAV used for Pesticide Spraying

In precision agriculture, such as crop spraying, controlling UAVs presents various challenges such as variable payload, inertial coefficient variation, influence of external disturbances such as wind gusts, and uncertainties associated with the dynamics. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a hybrid control technique that combines higher-order integral sliding mode control, fast-terminal sliding mode control, and adaptive law. The objective is to mitigate the effects of variable payload, external disturbances, and uncertainties while maintaining the stability and performance of the UAV during spraying. Initially, a mathematical model is constructed for a coaxial octocopter UAV that is fitted with a spraying tank. This model takes into account the variation in mass and moment of inertia. Then, a two-loop control structure is employed to attain control of both the translational and rotational axis of the UAV. The numerical simulations are performed on a nonlinear model of the agricultural UAV system and compared with neural network based sliding mode control and robust adaptive backstepping control schemes. The robustness of the proposed scheme is tested in wind gusts and sensor measurement error conditions. Finally, hardware-in-loop simulations are performed using the Pixhawk Orange Cube flight controller to validate the real-time capability of the proposed scheme.