Developing countries, particularly those with high ambient temperatures (HAT), are experiencing a surge in air conditioner (AC) installations. Fixed-speed ACs, which rely on on–off control, are the most used. However, fixed-speed ACs lack humidity control and experience compressor cycling, leading to poor thermal comfort and increased energy consumption. Variable-speed compressor technology eliminates compressor cycling, which increases the effective coefficient of performance, especially at part-load conditions. This study compares the transient performance of variable-speed and fixed-speed AC units in Cairo, Egypt, as an example of a HAT environment. During a 2-month experimental investigation, the variable-speed unit provided 41% electrical energy savings while maintaining a comfortable environment. Analytical modeling using a machine learning model trained by the experimental measurements predicted annual energy savings of 473 kWh/year and an overall electrical energy savings percentage of 30.5%. The study also explored different scenarios for implementing variable-speed ACs in Egypt, a developing HAT country. With a 60% market penetration for variable-speed AC as the most probable scenario, the electrical energy savings up to the year 2032 add to 1.33 TWh, leading to 79.3 million USD in cost savings and 2.64 MMT of CO2 emissions reduction.
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