Background: Dupilumab and tralokinumab are biologics approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the treatment of patients with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis (AD), aged ≥6 months and ≥12 years, respectively. Dupilumab and tralokinumab have demonstrated efficacy and safety in clinical trials. However, no direct head-to-head trials have been performed to compare the efficacy of dupilumab vs tralokinumab. The Bucher indirect treatment comparison (ITC) is a robust, placebo-adjusted, and accepted method to evaluate the relative efficacy of drugs in the absence of direct comparisons. The objective of this analysis was to report results from a Bucher ITC comparing the efficacy of dupilumab+topical corticosteroid (TCS) vs tralokinumab+TCS at Week 16. Methods: The placebo-adjusted Bucher ITC included published data from the two similarly designed phase 3 trials, LIBERTY AD CHRONOS (NCT02260986) and ECZTRA 3 (NCT03363854). For both studies, data from the 16-week period were used, employing non-responder imputation, with the following doses: 300mg dupilumab every 2 weeks (q2w)+TCS or placebo+TCS, and 300mg tralokinumab q2w+TCS or placebo+TCS. The evaluated endpoints included the proportions of patients achieving an Investigator’s Global Assessment score 0/1 (IGA 0/1; clear/almost clear), 75% and 90% improvements from baseline in Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI-75 and EASI-90), ≥4-point improvement from baseline in the Peak Pruritus Numerical Rating Scale score (PP-NRS >4), and ≥4-point improvement from baseline in the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI >4). The Bucher ITC with the frequentist approach was performed using R software (v 4.20; netmeta package) with a fixed-effect model. Results were reported as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: A total of 801 patients (LIBERTY AD CHRONOS: placebo+TCS: 315; dupilumab+TCS: 106; ECZTRA 3: placebo+TCS: 127; tralokinumab+TCS: 253) were included in the Bucher ITC. Baseline disease characteristics indicated comparable severity between the two trial populations based on IGA and PP-NRS. However, CHRONOS showed slightly higher baseline EASI scores (median [Q1, Q3] score 30.9 [22.3, 41.6] vs. ECZTRA 3: 24.7 [18.4, 35.9]), while ECZTRA 3 showed slightly higher DLQI scores (median [Q1, Q3] score 18.0 [12.0, 23.0] vs. CHRONOS: 13.5 [8.0, 20.0]). Patients treated with dupilumab+TCS had a significantly higher likelihood of achieving IGA 0/1 (OR=2.49, 95%CI 1.24–5.00), EASI-75 (OR=3.21, 95%CI 1.66–6.19), EASI-90 (OR=2.92, 95%CI 1.41–6.02), PP-NRS ≥4 (OR=3.62, 95%CI 1.87–7.00), and DLQI ≥4 (OR=2.16, 95%CI 1.03–4.54) at Week 16 vs those treated with tralokinumab+TCS. Conclusions: A placebo-adjusted Bucher ITC showed that the likelihood of achieving improvements in signs, symptom, and quality of life is significantly higher for patients treated with dupilumab+TCS vs tralokinumab+TCS at Week 16.
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