Upwelling-favorable Winds Research Articles

Revisiting historical trends in the Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems with a machine learning method

Eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUS) host very productive marine ecosystems that provide services to many surrounding countries. The impact of global warming on their functioning is debated due to limited long-term observations, climate model uncertainties, and significant natural variability. This study utilizes the usefulness of a machine learning technique to document long-term variability in upwelling systems from 1993 to 2019, focusing on high-frequency synoptic upwelling events. Because the latter are modulated by the general atmospheric and oceanic circulation, it is hypothesized that changes in their statistics can reflect fluctuations and provide insights into the long-term variability of EBUS. A two-step approach using Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) and Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering (HAC) algorithms was employed. These algorithms were applied to sets of upwelling events to characterize signatures in sea-level pressure, meridional wind, shortwave radiation, sea-surface temperature (SST), and Ekman pumping based on dominant spatial patterns. Results indicated that the dominant spatial pattern, accounting for 56%-75% of total variance, representing the seasonal pattern, due to the marked seasonality in along-shore wind activity. Findings showed that, except for the Canary-Iberian region, upwelling events have become longer in spring and more intense in summer. Southern Hemisphere systems (Humboldt and Benguela) had a higher occurrence of upwelling events in summer (up to 0.022 Events/km²) compared to spring (<0.016 Events/km²), contrasting with Northern Hemisphere systems (<0.012 Events/km²). Furthermore, long-term changes in dominant spatial patterns were examined by dividing the time period in approximately two equally periods, to compare past changes (1993-2006) with relatively new changes (2007-2019), revealing shifts in key variables. These included poleward shifts in subtropical high-pressure systems (SHPS), increased upwelling-favorable winds, and SST drops towards higher latitudes. The Humboldt Current System (HumCS) exhibited a distinctive spring-to-summer pattern, with mid-latitude meridional wind weakening and concurrent SST decreases. Finally, a comparison of upwelling centers within EBUS, focusing on changes in pressure and temperature gradients, meridional wind, mixed-layer depth, zonal Ekman transport, and Ekman pumping, found no evidence supporting Bakun’s hypothesis. Temporal changes in these metrics varied within and across EBUS, suggesting differential impacts and responses in different locations.

The Bonney Coast upwelling: How physical processes shape the feeding behaviour of blue whales

This study employs a fully coupled physical-biological model to explore the oceanic dynamics and phytoplankton production in one of Australia’s most prominent coastal upwelling systems, the Bonney Coast Upwelling, that has barely been studied before. The study focusses on how physical processes provide two different food sources for blue whales (Balaenoptera musculus), namely, krill (treated as nonbuoyant particles) and zooplankton, both feeding on phytoplankton. While plankton grows in the euphotic zone in response to nutrient enrichment on time scales of weeks, krill can only be transported into the region via ambient currents. Findings of this study suggest that phytoplankton blooms appear slowly in the main upwelling plume on timescales of 4-8 weeks. Dynamical influences from incoming coastal Kelvin waves significantly weaken or strengthen this classical upwelling plume and its plankton productivity. On the other hand, the upwelling-favourable wind induces a continuous coastal current that also extends eastward past the Bonney Coast. This current operates to transport and distribute krill (that cannot swim horizontally) westward along the shelf, which explains the apparent conundrum why blue whales also feed on the upstream side of the upwelling plume. The author postulates that the variability of both plankton production and the intensity of the upwelling flow (passing krill swarms along the shelf) control the feeding locations of blue whales and other baleen whales on Australia’s southern shelves.

A hotspot and mechanism of enhanced bottom intrusion on the southern New England shelf

Understanding the occurrence of the intrusion of open ocean water onto continental shelves has scientific significance and societal relevance as the intrusion can significantly disrupt the marine ecosystem and fisheries. High-resolution numerical modeling is used to investigate the spatiotemporal occurrence and mechanisms of highly anomalous bottom intrusions on the southern New England shelf. Based on multi-year numerical simulations, this study reveals a hotspot of cross-isobath bottom-intensified intrusions at a topographic trough. Examination of multiple events portrays a robust mechanism of locally enhanced bottom intrusions. Persistent upwelling-favorable winds set up an enhanced pressure gradient field at the topographic trough and drive the intrusion a large-distance onshore. Numerical experiments with and without the topographic trough show that the localized pressure gradient results from a combination of the shelf orientation and local bathymetry. Although highly anomalous waters on the shelf relate to wind forcing, correlations between the wind stress anomaly and bottom salinity anomaly at the location of the enhanced intrusion is modest, implying the need to incorporate other environmental factors to develop more deterministic prediction models for subsurface conditions on the shelf. The results have important implications for marine environment and fisheries management.

Forcing conditions of cross-shelf plumes on a wide continental shelf, Winyah Bay, South Atlantic Bight

Buoyant cross-shelf river plumes can extend far offshore through the combined effect of buoyancy and wind forcing, creating a critical land-ocean link in global biogeochemical cycles. On the Carolinas continental shelf, cross-shelf plume structure has been analyzed using satellite imagery, with forcing conditions represented by an estuarine Richardson number, wind stress, and alongshore pressure gradient. Three distinct cross-shelf plume patterns emerged, each occurring under an upwelling-favorable wind: (1) The separated plume, when a single filament of buoyant water spreads offshore (a prototypical cross-shelf plume structure); (2) The upwind-curving plume, which turns against the wind at some offshore distance and is created by stronger buoyancy forcing; and (3) The multi-lobe plume, which is partially trapped by the coast with multiple streaks protruding offshore and is created by stronger wind forcing, and further aided by a coincident alongshore pressure gradient force. The latter two regimes represent a low-wind, high discharge limit and a strong-wind limit of cross-shelf plumes. High-resolution satellite images reveal rich submesoscale variability associated with each plume type. Results suggest plume transport extends farthest offshore in low-energy separated plumes through a balance of weak buoyancy and weak wind forcing.

Biogeochemical Response of the Water Column of Concepción Bay, Chile, to a New Regime of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Variability

Concepción Bay is a socio-economic and ecologically important embayment whose hydrographic variability has been historically regulated by wind-modulated seasonal upwelling events during spring–summer and by freshwater from precipitation and river discharges during fall–winter. This system is subject to several anthropogenic and environmental strains due to the intense port activity and the increasing occurrence of extreme natural events. This study determines a new hydrographic regime and characterizes and analyzes the biogeochemical response of the water column to changes in rainfall and upwelling patterns. Despite the intrusion of nitrate-rich upwelled waters that enhance biological productivity remains more intense during spring–summer, the system remains fertilized year-long due to the occurrence of persistent upwelling pulses during fall–winter. The hydrographic structure presented a two-layer water column that was stratified thermally in spring–summer and primarily by freshwater inputs in fall–winter. Nevertheless, the regular pattern of the rainfall has changed (a decrease in precipitation and an increased frequency of extreme rainfall events), together with recurrent upwelling-favorable wind pulses during the non-upwelling season. This new regime has altered the seasonality of the physicochemical conditions and the structure of the microplanktonic communities, with productive and sanitary implications affecting the biogeochemical status of CB.

Upwelling-induced inflow pulses in a tropical bay during mid-summer drought

Bahía Santa Elena is a tropical bay located in the northern Pacific region of Costa Rica. This region experiences a period of reduced precipitation from July to August, known as mid-summer drought, induced by the intensification of northeastern winds from the Caribbean Low-Level Jet. Intensification of upwelling-favorable winds can cool surface waters adjacent to the bay, leading to a reduction in water temperatures within the bay, that alters the biological dynamics of coastal habitats. This study aims to analyze upwelling-induced inflow pulses in Bahía Santa Elena during mid-summer drought, focusing on the cooling effect of intensified upwelling-favorable winds and the subsequent warm water inflows following wind relaxation. We conducted two measuring campaigns from June to July in 2021 and in 2022. The first campaign consisted of a single acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) moored inside the bay. The second campaign consisted of two mooring deployments: an ADCP with a thermistor chain inside the bay and an ADCP installed at the inlet. Each campaign presented five distinct events of upwelled water inflows into the bay promoted by an offshore Ekman transport. Upwelling-favorable wind peaks were followed by a decrease in temperature of the water column. When the upwelling-favorable wind relaxed, a warm water pulse entered the bay. These events are expected to play an important role in biological processes within tropical bays adjacent to upwelling zones during mid-summer drought.

Spatiotemporal variability and drivers of modeled primary production rates in the Northern Humboldt Current System

A coupled physical-biogeochemical model was employed to explore the spatiotemporal dynamics of primary production (PP) rates within the Northern Humboldt Current System (NHCS). The coastal zone spanning 250 km from the shore, from 3°to 18°S, stands out as a highly productive upwelling region, exhibiting an average surface PP value of 2.5 mol C m−3 yr−1. Correspondingly, the average vertically integrated PP within the euphotic layer amounts to 13 mol C m−2 yr−1. In this context, summer emerges as the peak of productivity, yielding 18 mol C m−2 yr−1, while winter signifies the period of least productivity, with 9 mol C m−2 yr−1. Our study revealed that surface PP variability is primarily driven by changes in surface chlorophyll and phytoplanktonic biomass (mainly diatoms), followed by changes in photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) levels. During summertime, these three drivers contribute to substantial positive anomalies in surface PP. However, the reduction in nutrient availability resulting from weakened upwelling-favorable winds has a slight negative impact on surface PP rates. Yet, this decline is offset by a positive thermal effect during the warmer season. In contrast, during the winter season, a significant decrease in surface chlorophyll concentrations due to a vertical redistribution into a deeper mixed layer significantly diminishes surface PP. Furthermore, the reduction in both PAR levels and biomass concentrations has a comparable effect, further contributing to the decrease in surface PP rates during wintertime. At a depth of 20 m, changes in PP are primarily driven by variations between the opposing influences of PAR and chlorophyll concentrations. While PAR adheres to the seasonal cycle of warming and cooling throughout the year, chlorophyll-driven anomalies exhibit an inverse pattern to those at the surface, influenced by the vertical dilution effect within the mixed layer. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the complex interplay of drivers that govern PP dynamics across various depths within one of the world’s most productive marine regions.

Biogeochemistry of greenhouse gases in coastal upwelling systems: Processes and sensitivity to global change

Major coastal upwelling systems are among the most productive marine ecosystems in the world. They contribute disproportionately to the cycling of carbon and nutrients in the ocean and influence marine biogeochemistry beyond their productive regions. Characterized by intense microbial respiration (both aerobic and anaerobic), major coastal upwelling systems are also hotspots for the production and outgassing of potent greenhouse gases (GHG) such as CO2, N2O, and CH4. Quantifying and understanding these roles in the context of a changing climate is therefore a subject of great interest. Here we provide a short synthesis of the current knowledge of the contributions of major coastal upwelling systems to the cycling of GHG. Despite variations within and among different systems, low-latitude coastal upwelling systems typically act as a net carbon source to the atmosphere, while those at higher latitudes function as weak sinks or remain neutral regarding atmospheric CO2. These systems also significantly contribute to oceanic N2O and CH4 emissions, although the extent of their contribution to the latter remains poorly constrained. We also overview recent and future changes to upwelling systems in the context of a warmer climate and discuss uncertainties and implications for GHG production. Although rapid coastal warming is anticipated in all major coastal upwelling systems, the future changes in upwelling-favorable winds and their implications within the context of increased stratification are uncertain. Finally, we examine the major challenges that impede our ability to accurately predict how major coastal upwelling systems will respond to future climate change, and present recommendations for future research to better capture ongoing changes and disentangle natural and forced variability.

Widespread and increasing near-bottom hypoxia in the coastal ocean off the United States Pacific Northwest

The 2021 summer upwelling season off the United States Pacific Northwest coast was unusually strong leading to widespread near-bottom, low-oxygen waters. During summer 2021, an unprecedented number of ship- and underwater glider-based measurements of dissolved oxygen were made in this region. Near-bottom hypoxia, that is dissolved oxygen less than 61 µmol kg−1 and harmful to marine animals, was observed over nearly half of the continental shelf inshore of the 200-m isobath, covering 15,500 square kilometers. A mid-shelf ribbon with near-bottom, dissolved oxygen less than 50 µmol kg−1 extended for 450 km off north-central Oregon and Washington. Spatial patterns in near-bottom oxygen are related to the continental shelf width and other features of the region. Maps of near-bottom oxygen since 1950 show a consistent trend toward lower oxygen levels over time. The fraction of near-bottom water inshore of the 200-m isobath that is hypoxic on average during the summer upwelling season increases over time from nearly absent (2%) in 1950–1980, to 24% in 2009–2018, compared with 56% during the anomalously strong upwelling conditions in 2021. Widespread and increasing near-bottom hypoxia is consistent with increased upwelling-favorable wind forcing under climate change.

Spatial and temporal variations in the micronutrient Fe across the Peruvian shelf from 1984 to 2017

High dissolved iron (dFe) concentrations of the order of 10–100 nmol L−1 are a feature of waters influenced by sedimentary inputs in oxygen minimum zones (OMZ). However, the temporal development of dFe concentrations is poorly defined due to a general reliance on snapshot cross-shelf sections to study marine trace metal dynamics. Multiple cruise campaigns since the 1980s have investigated Fe dynamics over the Peruvian shelf, particularly between 9° S and 17°S where the shelf is broad, extremely productive and known to feature benthic dFe effluxes which are amongst the highest measured globally. This extensive long-term dataset uniquely allows us to study the interannual variability in dFe concentrations and their response to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. By combining data from 11 cruises during the period 1984–2017 we are able to evaluate dFe dynamics on interannual timescales in a major OMZ. The region where average dFe concentrations are sensitive to variations in ENSO is confined to a subsurface layer at depths between 50 and 150 m, particularly in the narrow coastal region within 50 km of the coastline. Subsurface dFe concentrations were generally low during El Niño events (0.7–15.4 nmol L−1) and relatively high with a wider range of variability during the cold ENSO phase (1.1–52.1 nmol L−1). Inverse relationships between wind speed and surface/subsurface dFe were evident. In the subsurface layer, this may be attributable to enhanced dFe offshore transport along isopycnals when upwelling-favorable winds relax in accordance with previously outlined theories. Surface layer (<40 m) dFe variability was likely associated with a dilution and/or oxidation effect depending on the strength of wind driven water column mixing. Upwelling brings macronutrient-rich water into the euphotic zone, but its intensity had a limited impact on upper layer dFe concentrations possibly due to the influence of an onshore geostrophic flow. Interannual variability in surface chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) was found to correlate with dFe concentration in the offshore zone of northern Peru. This is consistent with bioassay experiments and climatological residual nitrate concentrations which both indicate proximal Fe limitation of phytoplankton growth over and beyond the northern Peruvian shelf. Overall, our work highlights the importance of physical factors driving short-term variations in Fe availability in one of the world’s most economically important fishery regions and suggests that, despite pronounced spatial and temporal variability in dFe concentrations, the ENSO phase has an impact on dFe availability.

The effect of alongshore wind stress on a buoyancy current’s stability

Buoyancy fronts reach from the surface to the bottom over continental shelves, separating light inshore water from denser offshore water, and are known to be responsive to Ekman transport (and associated return flow at depth) driven by alongshore winds. The consequent changes in frontal structure are clearly related to changes in the gravitational Available Potential Energy (APE), so it is reasonable to expect that these winds will affect the eddy field that results from baroclinic instabilities. Idealized numerical experiments and scaling analyses are brought to bear on this problem. It is found that several days of wind-driven downwelling (which creates more nearly vertical isopycnals) generally leads to an enhancement in the time maximum of volume-averaged Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE). Upwelling-favorable winds (which tend to flatten isopycnals) usually lead to a decrease in APE, hence in eddy energy. The exception to this rule occurs when the winds are strong enough that an upwelling front forms inshore of the buoyant water, in which case APE and EKE may increase.

Revisiting the Relationship between the North Pacific High and Upwelling Winds along the West Coast of North America in the Present and Future Climate

Abstract The wind-driven circulation is an important driver of upwelling in the California Current System, a key factor in maintaining a productive ecosystem. In summer, the North Pacific high (NPH) dominates the atmospheric circulation, including the nearshore winds. The impact of the NPH on the surface winds along the North American west coast during summer is examined using the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) and the Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1) large ensemble of simulations. The strength, latitude, and longitude of the sea level pressure (SLP) and subsidence at 500 hPa are used to assess the NPH and its variability. While both the surface high pressure cell and subsidence are related to the interannual variability of the surface winds over the North Pacific, the strength of subsidence has a much larger effect on the coastal winds than the variability in SLP. Based on the mean of the 40 CESM simulations, future changes in upwelling also more strongly coincide with changes in subsidence than in SLP. Subsidence and southward upwelling-favorable winds increase off the Canadian coast, with the reverse occurring off the U.S. West Coast, by the end of the twenty-first century. In particular, the intermember correlation between the changes in the nearshore surface winds and the 500-hPa pressure vertical velocity reaches 0.75 and 0.87 in the southern and northern portions of the northeast Pacific, respectively. The effect of the subsidence on upwelling winds in the future is confirmed by the CESM2 large ensemble.

Moored Observations of the West Greenland Coastal Current along the Southwest Greenland Shelf

Abstract We present the first continuous mooring records of the West Greenland Coastal Current (WGCC), a conduit of fresh, buoyant outflow from the Arctic Ocean and the Greenland Ice Sheet. Nearly two years of temperature, salinity, and velocity data from 2018 to 2020 demonstrate that the WGCC on the southwest Greenland shelf is a well-formed current distinct from the shelfbreak jet but exhibits strong chaotic variability in its lateral position on the shelf, ranging from the coastline to the shelf break (50 km offshore). We calculate the WGCC volume and freshwater transports during the 35% of the time when the mooring array fully bracketed the current. During these periods, the WGCC remains as strong (0.83 ± 0.02 Sverdrups; 1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) as the East Greenland Coastal Current (EGCC) on the southeast Greenland shelf (0.86 ± 0.05 Sv) but is saltier than the EGCC and thus transports less liquid freshwater (30 × 10−3 Sv in the WGCC vs 42 × 10−3 Sv in the EGCC). These results indicate that a significant portion of the liquid freshwater in the EGCC is diverted from the coastal current as it rounds Cape Farewell. We interpret the dominant spatial variability of the WGCC as an adjustment to upwelling-favorable wind forcing on the West Greenland shelf and a separation from the coastal bathymetric gradient. An analysis of the winds near southern Greenland supports this interpretation, with nonlocal winds on the southeast Greenland shelf impacting the WGCC volume transport more strongly than local winds over the southwest Greenland shelf.

A study of the simulated climatological January mean upwelling in the northwestern Gulf of Alaska

In this research, we studied the upwelling in the northwestern Gulf of Alaska using the climatological January mean and data from the output of the Ocean General Circulation Model for Earth Simulator (OFES2). Specifically, we analyzed the upwelling in the regions where the Alaska Coastal Current (ACC) flows out of the Shelikof Strait (especially the part to the west of Kodiak Island) and where the ACC and the Alaskan Stream (AS) are confluent. In both regions, strong geostrophic currents and downwelling-favorable wind predominate in winter. Furthermore, there are freshwater discharges along the Alaskan coast and an observed mean current vertical shear in the ACC. We revealed that when the internal water stress is larger than the wind stress inside the study regions, this could be decisive in terms of the local horizontal velocity divergence and further upwelling, even if the region is away from the coast and lacks upwelling-favorable wind conditions. Geostrophic stress is part of the internal water stress and is a product of the geostrophic current shear (due to the thermal wind relation) and the vertical viscosity coefficient. The analysis indicated that a front with a large geostrophic stress may act as a “virtual wall” and contribute to local upwelling within a depth of approximately 100 m in the study regions. This process could provide a heuristic for understanding the distribution of pollock in the areas during February and March, which corresponds to the simulated upwelling region.

Temperature stratification in the Guanabara Bay and its relationship with wind-induced coastal upwelling off Cabo Frio, Brazil

This study investigates the mechanisms that control the occurrence of cold water intrusion events observed in Guanabara Bay, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. To achieve this, we used multiple time-series data comprising in-situ temperatures recorded at depths of 5 m and 20 m in three sites in the Guanabara Bay region, wind velocities from three meteorological stations along the Brazilian coast, and sea level data from a tidal gauge located in the interior of Guanabara Bay. We found that from October 2014 to May 2016, near-bed temperatures in Guanabara Bay were dominated by subinertial variability. We identified subinertial cold water events, defined by temperature values below 18 °C, that were associated with South Atlantic Central Water intrusions. We obtained a total of 21 cold water events during the 18-month (545-day) sampling period, corresponding to 92.5 days or 17% of the time. Additionally, we found statistically significant lag-adjusted correlation coefficients (0.37-0.95) between near-bed (20 m) temperatures in Guanabara Bay and alongshore winds from the Arraial do Cabo meteorological station, which act in the well-known Cabo Frio upwelling system along the coast. These upwelling-favorable winds led near-bed temperature values in Guanabara Bay by 12 to 56 h and provided the remote forcing mechanism for the cold water intrusions in Guanabara Bay. Locally, the shelf-bay intrusion velocity values ranged from 0.04 to 0.50 m⋅s−1, consistent with a gravity current enhanced by baroclinic pressure gradient, the local forcing mechanism. The cold water intrusions caused an increase in the vertical temperature stratification within Guanabara Bay, as verified for all analyzed events. We also identified subinertial oscillations due to Coastal Trapped Waves (CTWs) propagation from our sea level data records and evaluated their impacts on cold water events.

Impact of Synoptic Wind Intensification and Relaxation on the Dynamics and Heat Budget of the South Senegalese Upwelling Sector

Abstract In addition to their well-known seasonal cycle, eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUS) undergo modulation on shorter synoptic to intraseasonal time scales. Energetic intensifications and relaxations of upwelling-favorable winds with 5–10-day typical time scales can impact the EBUS dynamics and biogeochemical functioning. In this work the dynamical effects of wind-forced synoptic fluctuations on the South Senegalese Upwelling Sector (SSUS) are characterized. The region geomorphology is unique with its wide continental shelf and a major coastline discontinuity at its northern edge. The ocean response to synoptic events is explored using a modeling framework that involves applying idealized synoptic wind intensification or relaxation to a five-member climatological SSUS ensemble run. Model evaluation against sparse midshelf in situ observations indicates qualitative agreement in terms of synoptic variability of temperature, stratification, and ocean currents, despite a moderate but systematic bias in current intensity. Modeled synoptic wind and heat flux fluctuations produce clear modulations of all dynamical variables with robust SSUS-scale and mesoscale spatial patterns. A mixed layer heat budget analysis is performed over the continental shelf to uncover the dominant processes involved in SSUS synoptic variability. Modulations of horizontal advection and atmospheric forcing are the leading-order drivers of heat changes during either wind intensification or relaxation while vertical dynamics is of primary importance only in a very localized area. Also, modest asymmetries in the oceanic responses to upwelling intensification and relaxation are only identified for meridional velocities. This brings partial support to the hypothesis that synoptic variability has a modest net effect on the climatological state and functioning of upwelling systems dynamics.

Response of nutrients and primary production to high wind and upwelling-favorable wind in the Arctic Ocean: A modeling perspective

Both remote sensing and numerical models revealed increasing net primary production (NPP) in the Arctic Ocean due to declining sea ice cover and increasing ice-free days. The NPP increases in some parts of the Arctic Ocean are also hypothesized to link to high wind (&amp;gt;10 m/s) and upwelling-favorable wind, however, the mechanism remains unclear. Using Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) to investigate the relationship between NPP and wind, we found that the seasonal NPP are statistically correlated to high wind frequency (HWF) in the Barents (Br) and Southern Chukchi Seas (SC) due to their high subsurface nutrients in the 20-50 m layer. Five high and five low HWF years along a zonally averaged section were chosen to understand the spatial variation of the correlation between HWF, NO3, and NPP in the SC. During high HWF years, the decrease in subsurface NO3 exceeds its increase in surface, implying the utilization by biological productivity. A more positive response of NPP to HWF in north SC than south was also found because more subsurface nutrients were entrained into the surface by higher HWF. The NPP are statistically correlated to easterly wind frequency (EWF) in the Beaufort and Canada Basin (BC), where the stronger EWF-induced upwelling could bring up higher nutrients from &amp;gt;100 m depth. While the nutrients and NPP in the south BC are normally higher than in the north, an increase of EWF can further enhance the nutrients and NPP in the south much more than those in the north. Differences between five high and five low EWF years reveal that the increase of EWF is most important around the shelf break region, where NO3 and NPP are also most enhanced. The enhancement of NPP by higher HWF in the Br and SC is less than that by higher ice-free days ratio (IFR), while the enhancement of NPP by higher EWF in BC is of similar magnitude to that by IFR. As the trend of declining sea ice cover continues, it’s necessary to advance our understanding on the nutrients and NPP response to changing wind regimes in different Arctic regions.

Geostrophic flows control future changes of oceanic eastern boundary upwelling

Equatorward alongshore winds over major eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUSs) drive intense upwelling via Ekman dynamics, surfacing nutrient-rich deep waters and promoting marine primary production and fisheries. It is generally thought, dating back to Bakun’s hypothesis, that greenhouse warming should enhance upwelling in EBUSs by intensifying upwelling-favourable winds; yet this has not been tested. Here, using an ensemble of high-resolution climate simulations with improved EBUS representation, we show that long-term upwelling changes in EBUSs differ substantially, under a high-emission scenario, from those inferred by the wind-based upwelling index. Specifically, weakened or unchanged upwelling can coincide with intensified upwelling-favourable winds. These differences are linked to long-term changes of geostrophic flows that dominate upwelling changes in the Canary and Benguela currents and strongly offset wind-driven changes in the California and Humboldt currents. Our results highlight the controlling role of geostrophic flows in upwelling trends in EBUSs under greenhouse warming, which Bakun’s hypothesis overlooked.

Seasonal cycle of sea surface temperature in the tropical Angolan Upwelling System

Abstract. The Angolan shelf system represents a highly productive ecosystem. Throughout the year the sea surface is cooler near the coast than further offshore. The lowest sea surface temperature (SST), strongest cross-shore temperature gradient, and maximum productivity occur in austral winter when seasonally prevailing upwelling-favourable winds are weakest. Here, we investigate the seasonal mixed layer heat budget to identify atmospheric and oceanic causes for heat content variability. By using different satellite and in situ data, we derive monthly estimates of surface heat fluxes, mean horizontal advection, and local heat content change. We calculate the heat budgets for the near-coastal and offshore regions separately to explore processes that lead to the observed SST differences. The results show that the net surface heat flux warms the coastal ocean stronger than further offshore, thus acting to damp spatial SST differences. Mean horizontal heat advection is dominated by meridional advection of warm water along the Angolan coast. However, its contribution to the heat budget is small. Ocean turbulence data suggest that the heat flux, due to turbulent mixing across the base of the mixed layer, is an important cooling term. This turbulent cooling, being strongest in shallow shelf regions, is capable of explaining the observed negative cross-shore temperature gradient. The residuum of the mixed layer heat budget and uncertainties of budget terms are discussed.

Spatio-temporal variability of coastal upwelling using high resolution remote sensing observations in the Bay of Bengal

The work investigated the tempo-spatial variability of coastal upwelling through high-resolution High-Frequency (HF) radar-derived ocean current and other remote sensing observations on the northwest coast of the Bay of Bengal in 2018. Sea Surface Temperature (SST) showed a coastal upwelling signature only during April and May despite upwelling-favorable winds throughout the southwest monsoon. Stratified coastal water and coastal-trapped downwelling Kelvin waves suppressed the upwelling on the western coast from June. Improved fidelity was available from sea surface temperature (SST) and cross-shore surface current (CSSC) components of HF radar-derived ocean surface current, which showed strong consistency in detecting actual coastal upwelling from April to the first week of June. Coastal upwelling events consisted of six phases; three active phases and each followed by three break phases. The active phases of the coastal upwelling from SST lasted for about 15, 6, and 9 days, with a horizontal extension of 105 km, 75 km, and 140 km. The horizontal extension of strong positive CSSC during the first and third phases was over 135 km, while being 75 km during the second active phase. The duration of the active phase and the strong CSSC directly influence the horizontal extension of the upwelled colder water. High resolution (6.25 km) swath data helps to show that the weakening of wind shear near the coast started two days before the start of the second break phase in SST, which could not be captured in 25 km gridded winds. The altimetry track data of sea level anomalies obtained from different sensors for different days also captured the different upwelling phases. A large concentration of Chl-a near the coast, as observed in the chlorophyll-a monthly mean result, suggested the occurrence of coastal upwelling. However, the temporal variability could not be elucidated due to the low temporal coverage of Chl-a data. The active and break phases of the coastal upwelling are explained by associated air-sea interactions. This study suggests that HF radar data is beneficial for monitoring the high spatio-temporal variability of coastal upwelling, and high resolution swath data from the scatterometer is crucial for understanding the variability of coastal upwelling.