Upward-propagating Waves Research Articles

Opposite Trends in the Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere Between Mid‐Winter and Early Spring Linked to Surface Temperature Anomalies

AbstractTrends in the coupled stratosphere‐troposphere system during the 1979–2022 period are investigated in the Northern Hemisphere using reanalysis datasets. More upward planetary wave propagation in December is shown to precede the deceleration of the stratospheric polar vortex in January. This deceleration prevents the waves from continuing to propagate upward in February and favors an acceleration of the stratospheric polar vortex in March. This is associated with an increased Northern Hemisphere annular mode in March in the stratosphere and the troposphere. Trends show a moderate significance level because of strong interannual variability. Recent seasons whose anomalies project onto the trends are those for which wave‐1 anomaly constructively interferes with wave‐1 climatology in December, which occurs when there is warming in an area extending from Eastern Canada to Greenland and slight cooling over Eurasia. It shows the potential for predicting the springtime stratospheric polar vortex from wintertime wave‐1 anomalies.

Interannual Influence of Antarctic Sea Ice on Southern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling

AbstractWhile weakening of the boreal polar vortex may be caused by autumnal Arctic sea ice loss, less is known about the interannual influence of Antarctic sea ice on stratosphere‐troposphere coupling in the Southern Hemisphere. Identifying any relationship over the short satellite period is difficult due to sampling variability and anthropogenic modification of the austral polar vortex. To circumvent these issues, we use large ensembles of fixed boundary condition simulations from the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) and Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) to assess if and how interannual fluctuations in winter Antarctic sea ice influence spring planetary‐scale waves and the coupled stratosphere‐troposphere circulation. Low Antarctic sea ice conditions are found to modulate tropospheric stationary waves to project constructively onto the climatological stationary wave, enhancing upward planetary wave propagation into the austral polar stratosphere. In WACCM, the resulting vortex weakening coincides with development of negative Southern Annular Mode conditions during September–November.

Variations of Kelvin Waves around the Tropical Tropopause Inversion Layer from GNSS RO Measurements

Abstract In the present study, the tropical tropopause inversion layer (TIL) Kelvin waves are extracted from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) temperature data of multiple missions from January 2007 to December 2020. We focus on the variations of TIL Kelvin waves in two longitude regions, the Maritime Continent (MC; 90°–150°E) and the Pacific Ocean (PO; 170°–230°E). The results show that over both regions, ENSO leads to the opposite variations of TIL Kelvin wave temperature amplitude during different ENSO phases. Specifically, during La Niña, the strong (weak) deep convection over MC (PO) leads to strengthened (weakened) static stability. With enhanced easterly (westerly) winds and strengthened (weakened) static stability, the TIL Kelvin wave temperature amplitudes are stronger (weaker) over MC (PO). The opposite phenomenon occurs during El Niño. The zonal-mean zonal winds affect TIL Kelvin wave temperature amplitudes by two mechanisms. First, the prevalence of easterlies (westerlies) in the upper troposphere affects the upward propagation of Kelvin waves, resulting in stronger (weaker) TIL Kelvin wave temperature amplitudes over MC (PO). Second, the TIL Kelvin wave temperature amplitude peaks about 2 months before the zero-wind line of the descending westerly QBO phase occurs, due to dissipation on the critical line. Additionally, the rapid increase of zonal-mean static stability significantly affects the annual variation of TIL Kelvin wave temperature amplitudes. They both reach maxima during DJF and minima during JJA, which should be related to the annual cycles of temperature and ozone mixing ratio in the TIL. Significance Statement Recent studies indicate that the Kelvin wave temperature amplitudes in the tropical tropopause inversion layer (TIL) exhibit distinct characteristics compared with those in other height levels, while the modulation mechanisms of the TIL Kelvin waves need further investigation. The present study aims to study the differences in the variabilities and the modulation factors of TIL Kelvin waves over two longitude regions. Our findings suggest that the different responses of background conditions during ENSO phases influence the spatiotemporal distribution of the TIL Kelvin waves. Besides, the zonal winds and the static stability significantly affect the temporal variations of TIL Kelvin waves. Our work fills the research gap of TIL Kelvin waves and contributes to understanding the dynamics of tropical tropopause variations.

Roles of Gravity Waves in Preconditioning of a Stratospheric Sudden Warming

AbstractAs well as strong upward propagation of planetary waves from the troposphere, the state of the stratospheric mean flow has been recognized as a key factor for the occurrence of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs). The modification of the mean flow to a suitable state for an SSW occurrence is called “vortex preconditioning.” Recently, increasing attention has been paid to the role of gravity waves (GWs) in the preconditioning mechanism. However, because of the limited availability of data sets covering the whole neutral atmosphere, much uncertainty still exists in the role of GWs in the preconditioning. The aim of this study is to investigate the mechanism of modification of the mean flow in the stratosphere and mesosphere before SSWs from a climatological viewpoint and elucidate the role of GWs in it. We use two state‐of‐the‐art data sets covering the whole neutral atmosphere: a 17‐year medium‐resolution reanalysis data set and the output data from hindcast simulations performed with a GW‐permitting general circulation model. It is shown that the second principal component of the zonal‐mean zonal wind in the stratosphere and mesosphere tends to show a maximum prior to an SSW, characterizing preconditioning. GW forcing alters the structure of the upper part of the jet and contributes to the preconditioning along with planetary waves. Comparison of GW forcing between the reanalysis and GW‐permitting model suggests that the magnitude of parameterized GW forcing is approximately half that of the GW forcing in the polar upper stratosphere where the forcing is responsible for the preconditioning.

Exploring Mechanisms for Model‐Dependency of the Stratospheric Response to Arctic Warming

AbstractThe Arctic is estimated to have warmed up to four times faster than the rest of the globe since the 1980s. There is significant interest in understanding the mechanisms by which such warming may impact weather and climate at lower latitudes. One such mechanism is the “stratospheric pathway”; Arctic warming is proposed to induce a wave‐driven weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex, which may subsequently impact large‐scale tropospheric circulation. However, recent comprehensive model studies have found systematic differences in both the magnitude and sign of the stratospheric response to Arctic warming. Using a series of idealized model simulations, we show that this response is sensitive to characteristics of the warming and mean polar vortex strength. In all simulations, imposed polar warming amplifies upward wave propagation from the troposphere, consistent with comprehensive models. However, as polar warming strength and depth increases, the region through which waves can propagate is narrowed, inducing wave breaking and deceleration of the flow in the lower stratosphere. Thus, the mid‐stratosphere is less affected, with reduced sudden stratospheric warming frequency for stronger and deeper warming compared to weaker and shallower warming. We also find that the sign of the stratospheric response depends on the mean strength of the vortex, and that the stratospheric response in turn plays a role in the magnitude of the tropospheric jet response. Our results help explain the spread across multimodel ensembles of comprehensive climate models.

Opposite spectral properties of Rossby waves during weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events

Abstract. In this study we provide a systematic characterization of Rossby wave activity during the 25 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) and 31 strong polar vortex (SPV) events that occurred in the period 1979–2021, identifying the specific tropospheric and stratospheric waves displaying anomalous behaviour during such events. Space–time spectral analysis is applied to ERA5 data for this purpose, so that both the wavenumber and the zonal phase speed of the waves can be assessed. We find that SSW events are associated with a reduction in the phase speed of Rossby waves, first in the stratosphere and then in the troposphere; SPV events are tied to a simultaneous increase of phase speed across vertical levels. Phase speed anomalies become significant around the event and persist for 2–3 weeks afterwards. Changes of Rossby wave properties in the stratosphere during SSW and SPV events are dominated by changes in the background flow, with a systematic reduction or increase, respectively, in eastward propagation of the waves across most wavenumbers. In the troposphere, on the other hand, the effect of the background flow is also complemented by changes in wave properties, with a shift towards higher wavenumbers during SSW events and towards lower wavenumbers for SPV events. The opposite response between SSW and SPV events is also visible in the meridional heat and momentum flux co-spectra, which highlight from a novel perspective the connection between stratospheric Rossby waves and upward propagation of waves.

A Parameterization Scheme Accounting for Nonhydrostatic Effects on the Momentum Flux of Vertically Propagating Orographic Gravity Waves: Formulas and Preliminary Tests in the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS)

Abstract The momentum transport by orographic gravity waves (OGWs) plays an important role in driving the large-scale circulation throughout the atmosphere and is subject to parameterization in numerical models. Current parameterization schemes, which were originally developed for coarse-resolution models, commonly assume that unresolved OGWs are hydrostatic. With the increase in the horizontal resolution of state-of-the-art numerical models, unresolved OGWs are of smaller horizontal scale and more influenced by nonhydrostatic effects (NHE), thus challenging use of the hydrostatic assumption. Based on the analytical formulas for nonhydrostatic OGWs derived in our recent study, the orographic gravity wave drag (OGWD) parameterization scheme in the Model for Prediction Across Scales is revised by accounting for NHE. Global simulations with 30-km horizontal resolution are conducted to investigate NHE on the momentum transport of OGWs and their impacts on the large-scale circulation in boreal winter. NHE are evident in regions of complex terrain such as the Tibetan Plateau, Rocky Mountains, southern Andes, and eastern Antarctica. The parameterized surface wave momentum flux can be either reduced or enhanced depending on the relative importance of NHE and model physics–dynamics interactions. The NHE corrections to the OGWD scheme significantly reduce the easterly biases in the polar stratosphere of the Northern Hemisphere, due to both weakened OGWD in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere and suppressed upward propagation of resolved waves into the stratosphere. However, the revised OGWD scheme only has a weak influence on the large-scale circulation in the Southern Hemisphere during boreal winter.

The Role of the Stratosphere in Teleconnections Arising From Fast and Slow MJO Episodes

AbstractThe Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) can influence the extratropical circulation on timescales up to several weeks, with a dependence on the MJO characteristics: MJO episodes that propagate slowly across the Maritime Continent have a stronger impact on Euro‐Atlantic weather than fast MJO episodes. While the tropospheric pathway for MJO teleconnections with varying phase speeds is well understood, in this study, we investigate the contribution of the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric pathway for fast versus slow MJO episodes. During slow MJO episodes, Phases 5–6 lead to increased upward wave propagation in the North Pacific sector, and subsequently enhanced heat flux at 100 hPa, leading to the weakening of the polar vortex. The results suggest a clear role of stratosphere‐troposphere coupling for slow MJO episodes, which is proposed as a mechanism for anomalously strong positive polar cap height anomalies in MJO Phases 7–8.

The Predictability of the 2021 SSW Event Controlled by the Zonal‐Mean State in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere

AbstractSudden stratospheric warming (SSW) describes a disruption of the stratospheric polar vortex in the winter hemisphere. It affects not only the stratospheric circulation but also the surface climate for up to 2 months, serving as an important source of subseasonal‐to‐seasonal (S2S) predictability in midlatitudes. This study evaluates the predictability of the 2021 SSW and investigates the crucial factors that determine its predictability in the ECMWF and JMA S2S real‐time forecasts. In both models, only a subset of the ensemble members predicted the SSW at the lead time of about 2 weeks before the onset. By comparing the 10 ensembles with successful SSW predictions and those with failed predictions, we found that the ensembles predicting the SSW have relatively stronger wave fluxes from the upper troposphere to the stratosphere than the others. Stronger wave fluxes, particularly those of zonal wavenumber one, are not the result of the tropospheric precursors such as the Ural blocking and Aleutian cyclones but they result from the modulation of the wave propagation by the background state. In particular, the ensembles with failed SSW predictions tend to have a negative potential vorticity gradient in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, which limits the upward wave propagation into the stratosphere and provides an unfavorable condition for the SSW. This result suggests that not only the wave sources in the troposphere but also the background state in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere can modulate the predictability of SSW in S2S prediction models.

Increased Persistence in Winter-to-Spring Precipitation Anomalies over South China since the Late 1990s and the Possible Mechanisms

Abstract This study reveals that South China precipitation (SCP) anomalies tend to persist well from winter to the following spring after the late 1990s, favoring long-lasting drought or flood events over South China. Mechanism analysis indicates that the interdecadal changes in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the preceding November central Asian snow cover could contribute to the increased persistence of winter-to-spring SCP anomalies. ENSO has a stable impact on winter SCP, whereas its impact on spring SCP is significantly enhanced after the late 1990s. With a weakened intensity and faster decay rate in the recent two decades, the ENSO-related spring SST anomalies over the tropical Pacific are relatively weaker, inducing a weakened and more southward-located western North Pacific anticyclone. This further leads to an interdecadal migration of the spring rainfall belt anomaly, consequently favoring the persistence of winter-to-spring SCP anomalies after the late 1990s. Additionally, the impacts of November central Asian snow cover on winter and spring SCP are both strengthened after the late 1990s. In the most recent two decades, the snow-cover-related cooling effect has become stronger, which induces winter cyclonic anomalies over Lake Baikal, favoring increased winter SCP. In addition, increased snow cover excites upward-propagating waves from the troposphere to the stratosphere, consequently weakening the stratospheric polar vortex. In spring, the stratospheric polar vortex signals propagate downward and result in a negative Arctic Oscillation in the troposphere, favoring more spring SCP. Therefore, central Asian snow cover is also conductive to the persistence of winter-to-spring SCP anomalies after the late 1990s.

An analytical solution for the filtering effect of piles in two-layer soil

The aim of this work is to investigate the kinematic response of a floating pile (either free- or fixed-head) embedded in a two-layer soil subjected to upward-propagating seismic waves. Closed form analytical solutions are provided for the kinematic interaction factors, based on a Beam-on-Dynamic-Winkler-foundation (BDWF) model properly adjusted for the problem at hand. For the fixed-head pile case, a simplified solution to assess the pile-to-soil acceleration ratio is provided adopting the concept of average soil motion over an effective pile length. The proposed solutions compare well with rigorous elastodynamic Finite-Element analysis. Insight is given into the interpretation of the mechanisms regulating the reduction of design spectra as function of structural period. Finally, as an outcome of a wide parametric study, ready-to-use formulae are proposed for a rapid assessment of the pile-induced spectral reduction.

Interplay between Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation and Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex Warming

Abstract The boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) features more distinctive and complex propagation characteristics than its wintertime counterpart, the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). While the relationship between the MJO and the Arctic stratosphere during boreal winter has been widely documented, the linkage between the BSISO and the Antarctic stratosphere during austral winter has not been extensively discussed. Here, after identifying the Southern Hemisphere (SH) stratospheric polar vortex warming (SPVW) events, we reveal the bidirectional connection between BSISO and SPVW. Before onset of the SPVW events, the occurrence frequency and amplitude of BSISO phase 5 (P5) shows a significant increase. The most significant responses of the SH polar stratospheric temperature to the BSISO are found about 10 days after BSISO P5. Thus, to some extent, BSISO P5 can be regarded as a precursor to the SH SPVW event, which is attributed to the enhanced upward propagation and dissipation of planetary waves in the SH stratosphere induced by the BSISO P5. After onset of the SPVW events, a significant increase in the occurrence and amplitude of BSISO P6 is observed, corresponding to the enhanced convection over the South China Sea and southern Philippine Sea. Tropical upwelling associated with the strengthened Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC) induced by the SPVW tends to result in unstable circumstances in the tropical upper troposphere. Then the high correlation between static stability at 150 hPa and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies over the South China Sea and southern Philippine Sea provides robust evidence that the intensity of convective activity in the tropics can indeed be modulated by the variability in SH stratospheric polar vortex. Significance Statement The relationship between the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) and the Southern Hemisphere (SH) polar stratosphere remains unclear. After selecting the stratospheric polar vortex warming (SPVW) events, we reveal the two-way connection between BSISO and SPVW. Before the SPVW, the significant increase in occurrence and amplitude of BSISO phase 5 (P5) suggests that BSISO P5 can be regarded as a precursor to the weakened polar vortex. After the SPVW, the significant increase in occurrence and amplitude of BSISO phase 6 (P6) establishes that environmental alteration in tropical upper troposphere induced by the SPVW provides a favorable condition for the growth of ensuing convective activity. The results here help us better understand the potential link between stratospheric polar vortex and tropical intraseasonal oscillation.

Interannual Variability of the Mass-Weighted Isentropic Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation in the Northern Hemisphere Winter

Abstract The atmospheric general circulation diagnosed by the mass-weighted isentropic zonal mean exhibits an extratropical direct (ETD) circulation driven by eddy momentum transport. We investigated regional atmospheric modulations associated with the year-to-year variability of ETD circulation in boreal winter using a reanalysis dataset. Composite analyses showed that the interannual variability of ETD circulation accompanies a seesaw-like variation between the Aleutian low (AL) and Icelandic low (IL), which coincides with the Pacific–North American teleconnection pattern and North Atlantic dipole anomaly. A diagnosis using isentropic airmass fluxes representing the geographical Lagrangian mean motion indicated that the significant intensification of upper-tropospheric poleward warm airflow over the eastern North Pacific is responsible for the enhanced ETD circulation, together with the intensified equatorward lower cold airflow over East Asia and eastern North America. The resulting enhanced upward propagation of the stationary planetary waves corresponds to the intensification of the divergence of the Eliassen–Palm flux, which explains the modulated ETD circulation in view of the balance between the Coriolis force and eddy momentum flux convergence. These results suggest that the AL–IL seesaw promotes variations in the global general circulation, and the anomalous ETD circulation interacts with several teleconnection patterns involving the modulation of planetary waves through anomalous meridional heat transport by the basinwide-scale eddies.

Projected Strengthening Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Southern Hemisphere by CMIP5/6 Models

Abstract Using 20 quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-resolving models from phases 5/6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5/6), this study examines the projected Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropical response to the QBO. Nine of the 22 models simulate decelerated circumpolar westerlies during easterly QBO (EQBO) in the historical climate as is observed, though only ∼30% of the observed change is reproduced in the multimodel ensemble mean (MME) of these high-skill models. These high-skill models project an enhanced stratospheric QBO teleconnection for both emissions scenarios. Further, the stratospheric wind anomaly in high latitudes is projected to move to midlatitudes in future scenarios. The climatological subtropical jet is projected to strengthen, while tropical easterlies are projected to weaken. As a consequence, upward wave activity in the future appears to become more sensitive to the QBO phase. Enhanced upward propagation of waves in mid- to high latitudes during EQBO are much stronger in future scenarios than in historical simulations. The anomalous downwelling over the Antarctic, as part of the Brewer–Dobson deep branch response to EQBO, is also projected to strengthen, corresponding to increased warm anomalies. In future scenarios, the areal extent of the deep convective response to EQBO over the Maritime Continent widens and includes a sharper reduction in outgoing longwave radiation, albeit with southward expansion from Indonesia to Australia. The enhancement and spatial shift in the stratospheric polar vortex pathway and tropical convection pathway subsequently lead to changes in the tropospheric QBO signal. An annular mode–like response forms in the troposphere and near-surface in the present climate, whereas this pattern shifts farther equatorward in future projections with circulation anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean amplifying. Significance Statement The influence of the equatorial stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) has been reported to intensify in the Northern Hemisphere under climate change, even as the QBO wind magnitude weakens. It is still unknown whether the influence of the QBO on the Southern Hemisphere intensifies or weakens in a warm climate. Using simulations from multiple models, this study finds that the influence of the QBO on the Southern Hemisphere is projected to strengthen in most models even as the QBO weakens. Two QBO pathways are explored, including the stratospheric polar vortex route and the tropical convection pathway, both of which are projected to amplify in both the moderate- and high-emissions scenarios. In addition to the amplification of the QBO signals in the Southern Hemisphere extratropics, an equatorward shift of the maximum anomalies is also projected. That is, the maximum easterly anomalies in the Antarctic stratosphere during easterly QBO and the annular mode–like pattern in the troposphere or the near-surface shifts farther equatorward.

Magnetic field fluctuations in the shocked umbral chromosphere

Context.Umbral chromospheric observations show the presence of magnetoacoustic shocks. Several recent studies have reported magnetic field fluctuations associated with these shock waves. The mechanism behind these periodic magnetic field changes is still an unresolved question.Aims.We aim to study the properties and origin of magnetic field fluctuations in the umbral chromosphere.Methods.Temporal series of spectropolarimetric observations were acquired with the GREGOR telescope on 2017 June 18. The chromospheric and photospheric conditions, including the temporal evolution of the magnetic field, were derived from simultaneous inversions of the He I10 830 Å triplet and the Si I10 827 Å line using the HAZEL2 code. The oscillations were interpreted using wavelet analysis and context information from ultraviolet observations acquired with the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO/AIA) and the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS).Results.The chromospheric magnetic field shows strong fluctuations in the sunspot umbra, with peak field strengths of up to 2900 G. This inferred field strength is comparable to the magnetic field strength in the upper photosphere. Magnetic field and velocity umbral oscillations exhibit a strong coherence, with the magnetic field lagging the shock fronts detected in the velocity fluctuations. This points to a common origin of the fluctuations in both parameters, and the analysis of the phase shift between photospheric and chromospheric velocity is consistent with upward wave propagation. These results suggest that the strong inferred magnetic field fluctuations are caused by changes in the response height of the He I10 830 Å line to the magnetic field, which is sensitive to the high photosphere during and right after the shock. The analysis of extreme ultraviolet data shows a weak brightening in a coronal loop rooted in the umbra around the time of the measured magnetic field fluctuations. This coronal activity could possibly have some impact on the inferred fluctuations, but it is not the main driver of the magnetic field oscillations since they are found before the extreme ultraviolet event takes place.Conclusions.Chromospheric magnetic field fluctuations measured with the He I10 830 Å triplet arise due to variations in the opacity of the line. After strong shocks are produced by the propagation of slow magnetoacoustic waves, the response of the line to the magnetic field can be shifted down to the upper photosphere. This is seen as remarkably large fluctuations in the line-of-sight magnetic field strength.

Element Abundances in Impulsive Solar Energetic Particle Events

We outline and discuss a model for the enhanced abundances of trans-Fe elements in impulsive solar energetic particle (SEP) events, where large mass-dependent abundance enhancements are frequently seen. It comes about as a variation of the ponderomotive force model for the first ionization potential (FIP) effect, i.e., the increase in coronal abundance of elements like Fe, Mg, and Si that are ionized in the solar chromosphere relative to those that are neutral. In this way, the fractionation region is placed in the chromosphere and is connected to the solar envelope, allowing the huge abundance variations to occur, which might otherwise be problematic with a coronal fractionation site. The principal mechanism behind the mass-independent FIP fractionation becoming the mass-dependent impulsive SEP fractionation is the suppression of acoustic waves in the chromosphere. The ponderomotive force causing the fractionation must be due to torsional Alfvén waves, which couple much less effectively to slow modes than do shear waves, and upward-propagating acoustic waves deriving from photospheric convection must be effectively mode-converted to fast modes at the chromospheric layer, where Alfvén and sound speeds are equal, and subsequently totally internally reflected. We further discuss observations of the environments thought to be the source of impulsive SEPs and the extent to which the real Sun might meet these conditions.

Influence of Preconditioned Stratospheric State on the Surface Response to Displacement and Split Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

AbstractSudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) can affect tropospheric weather and climate, while the factors affecting the surface response to SSWs are not fully understood. This study shows the important effects of preconditioned stratospheric state on the surface response to displacement and split SSWs using ERA5 reanalysis and historical simulations from 12 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models. Both ERA5 and CMIP6 models show that preconditioned stratospheric signals (e.g., positive meridional potential vorticity gradient anomaly in the upper stratosphere) can promote the upward propagation of stratospheric planetary waves by decreasing the negative refractive index frequency before SSWs. The modulation of strong stratospheric preconditions causes larger upper‐stratospheric anomalies for subsequent SSWs and prominent barotropic downward impacts for split SSWs. Meanwhile, the strong preconditioned signals affect the preexisting tropospheric variability, masking the downward impacts of displacement SSWs. The surface response is thus weaker than that to displacement SSWs with weak preconditions.

Impacts of Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Stratospheric Isentropic Mixing Process

The present study investigates the influences of stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the intensity of stratospheric isentropic mixing based on ERA-Interim and MERRA-2 reanalysis products. It is found that isentropic mixing in the stratosphere is modulated by QBO and ENSO. An analysis of the QBO basis function in the multiple regression model reveals that isentropic mixing in the lower stratosphere is suppressed in the equatorial region in the WQBO phase, while the mixing enhances in the subtropical and mid-latitude regions. This result is not consistent with the Holton–Tan mechanism. However, isentropic mixing in the mid-latitudes becomes stronger in the middle stratosphere in the EQBO phase, which agrees well with the Holton–Tan effect. Composite analysis indicates that QBO-induced changes in the direction and speed of the stratospheric zonal wind can affect wave propagation and wave breaking. In the WQBO phase, zonal wind weakens, and a planetary wave is anomalously converging near 30°N, which leads to an increase in isentropic mixing; on the contrary, wind speed becomes large, and the upward propagation of planetary wave divergence, which lead to the isentropic mixing, becomes weak near 60°N. In the EQBO phase, the wind is relatively weak around 60°N, and the isentropic mixing is strong. Multiple regression analysis reveals the ENSO impact on the intensity of isentropic mixing, which shows weak mixing in the middle and high latitudes and strong mixing in the low latitudes of the lower stratosphere in the El Niño years. In the middle stratosphere, isentropic mixing enhances in the mid-latitude region due to intensified upward propagation of planetary waves but weakens in the polar region. Composite analysis reveals a clear relationship between the mixing strength zones of the El Niño and La Niña years with the position of the polar jet and changes in zonal wind speed.

Southern Hemisphere Response to the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the CMIP5/6 Models

Abstract Using 25 quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-resolving models from phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5/6), this study systematically explores the Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropical response to the QBO. The observed maximum stratospheric polar vortex–weakening response to the 20-hPa easterly QBO appears in the austral spring, which is reproduced qualitatively by seven models. The Eliassen–Palm (EP) flux convergence associated with enhanced upward propagation of waves from the SH midlatitude troposphere is also reasonably simulated following easterly QBO in these seven models. The Brewer–Dobson (BD) circulation response, especially its deep branch, has a large bias among models. The anomalous upwelling of the deep branch of the BD circulation and the cold anomalies are confined to midlatitudes above 20 hPa in reanalyses, while this deep branch is simulated to expand to the Antarctic stratosphere with unrealistically cold anomalies for some models. Models with a decent stratospheric pathway tend to simulate the observed negative Southern Annular Mode (SAM)-like response in the troposphere. Further, the largest enhanced convection center is observed over the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean and simulated by 12 models, most of which also simulate a more reasonable height anomaly pattern in the troposphere. The near-surface response to the QBO also resembles the SAM pattern with warm anomalies over eastern Antarctic, which are simulated by only five models. Seven models simulate the observed wet signals in the midlatitude southern Indo-Pacific Ocean, where an anomalous low develops. Overall, models with a better reproduction of the SH stratospheric polar vortex response exhibit a more reasonable near-surface response, though for all models the response is too weak. Significance Statement The equatorial stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) has been widely reported to influence the Northern Hemisphere. This paper focuses on the possible impact of the QBO on the Southern Hemisphere (SH) using 25 models. The maximum QBO signal in the Antarctic stratosphere forms in austral spring when the climatological vortex intensity has weakened relative to austral winter. The timing and magnitude of the QBO signal is simulated with different degrees of success by the 25 models, and those with a reasonable polar vortex response tend to better simulate the near-surface response. The QBO has another pathway for the extratropical circulation change via modifying tropical convection, and models also simulate a large spread in the tropical convection change associated with the QBO.

Studies of atmospheric waves by ground-based observations of OH(3–1) emission and rotational temperature using PRL airglow InfraRed spectrograph (PAIRS)

We present a grating based spectrograph, Physical Research laboratory (PRL) Airglow InfraRed Spectrograph (PAIRS) which provides rotationally resolved OH(3–1) band nightglow emissions in the 1.5–1.6 μm spectral region at a resolution of 0.001 μm @ 1.532 μm that enables estimation of corresponding OH rotational temperatures from Thaltej Campus, Ahmedabad (23.0° N, 72.6° E) in India. The data cadence of PAIRS is 100 s providing an opportunity to study small timescale oscillations present at the OH emission altitude. In a first case study we present a detailed characterization of terdiurnal, large- and small-timescale gravity wave (GW) induced oscillations applying Krassovsky's method to nocturnal variations of the OH(3–1) brightness and its rotational temperatures measured with PAIRS. The amplitudes, phases, Krassovsky parameters, and vertical wavelengths of the terdiurnal tide and GWs are calculated using a least square fitting and wavelet analysis techniques. We also demonstrate capabilities of PAIRS in estimating the characteristics of GWs with periodicities smaller than 30 min, which showed upward wave propagation. The PAIRS derived rotational temperatures for 28 nights of observations for the month of December 2020 show good correspondence with the temperatures obtained from SABER for the passes close to the observational station. PAIRS has been automated for carrying out observations in an unattended mode and data analysis schemes have been developed for the derivation of mesospheric temperatures. Thus, PAIRS provides an opportunity for the detailed investigation of tides and GWs, in general, and short timescale nocturnal MLT dynamics, in particular.