Upper-tropospheric Westerly Jet Research Articles

Synergistic impacts of wintertime regional snow anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere on the summer rainfall pattern in China

Changes in winter snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) could have a profound impact on mid-latitude weather. Previous studies have focused on the role of regional, e.g. Eurasian or Tibetan, snow cover in summer precipitation anomaly, without considering the synergistic impacts of hemispheric wintertime snow. In this study, we find that the dominant pattern of the NH winter overall snow cover anomaly with a synergistic impact, has a stronger cross-seasonal association with the China’s summer rainfall pattern than regional snow cover anomaly. We summarize three synergistic impact paths of regional snow cover. One is extratropical path, that is the westerlies are affected by less snow in Europe through the snow-soil moisture-atmospheric feedback, and the influence is strengthened by less snow in Mongolia through enhanced temperature anomalies. The second is subtropical path, that is the meridional thermal difference anomaly caused by more snow anomaly on the Tibetan Plateau is strengthened by less Mongolian snow and then impacts the behavior of the upper-tropospheric westerly jet. Third, concurrently, more North American snow enhances the above two synergistic influence paths via the Circumglobal Teleconnection pattern. These three paths can be simultaneously reflected in the associated circulations of the first mode of NH snow cover. Their synergistic impacts eventually influence the meridional East Asia-Pacific pattern circulation anomalies in summer, leading to increased precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin. The cross-seasonal influences of synergistic effects of multiple regional snow anomalies can be identified by CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, particularly the impact of European snow cover.

Weakening of the Silk Road Pattern in August after the Mid-1990s

Abstract This study identified that the Silk Road pattern (SRP), which is a teleconnection pattern along the Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet, becomes significantly weakened in August after the mid-1990s. The SRP in August dominates the upper-tropospheric meridional wind variability over the Eurasian continent before the mid-1990s but does not afterward. Further results suggested that the summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO) and the South Asian rainfall play a role in inducing this decadal weakening of SRP. Before the mid-1990s, the SNAO is stronger and its southern pole is located over northwestern Europe but is weakened and its southern pole shifts southwestward afterward, resulting in the decadal weakening of its contribution to the SRP. In addition, the relationship between the SRP and South Asian rainfall is substantially weakened after the mid-1990s, which also contributes to the weakening of SRP.

Interannual Meridional Displacement of the Upper-Tropospheric Westerly Jet over Western East Asia in Summer

Interannual Meridional Displacement of the Upper-Tropospheric Westerly Jet over Western East Asia in Summer

Warmer SSTs in the Equatorial Eastern Pacific Delay the Seasonal March of the Asian–Pacific Summer Monsoon Onset

Abstract This study investigates the impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the seasonal evolution of the Asian–Pacific summer monsoon. The results show that during the summers when the SSTs in the equatorial eastern Pacific are above normal (i.e., during developing El Niño), the seasonal march of the Asian–Pacific summer monsoon is delayed. Specifically, the stepwise northeastward extension of the western North Pacific monsoon and the northward migration of East Asian and Indian monsoon are all delayed, resulting in rainfall deficiency in the western North Pacific and India, and more rainfall in the Yangtze River valley but less rainfall in North China due to the delayed northward migration and resultant prolonged rainy season in the Yangtze River valley. In addition, the seasonal march of the Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet, which is mainly characterized by the northward migration during the monsoon development, is also delayed, concurrent with the delayed march of monsoonal rainfall. During La Niña summers, however, the seasonal march of the monsoon and Asian jet does not exhibit clear variations, suggesting asymmetrical impacts between El Niño and La Niña. Furthermore, we explain these variations in the seasonal evolution of rainfall and jet and the asymmetrical impacts between El Niño and La Niña through the variations in tropical tropospheric temperatures and the resultant changes in meridional temperature gradient. Significance Statement The seasonal march of the Asian–Pacific summer monsoon exhibits large spatial and temporal variations, but shows some regular features such as stepwise northward migrations. The impacts of ENSO on the seasonal evolution of the components of Asian–Pacific summer monsoon have been shown in previous studies. However, there have been remarkable uncertainties in the previous results, and more emphasis has been put on the impacts of preceding ENSO. This study starts from El Niño and La Niña summers to reduce uncertainty caused by defining the seasonal march of the monsoon, and includes the variations in circulations that correspond well to monsoonal rainfall, making the conclusions more reliable.

Distinct intensity of 10–30-day intraseasonal waves over the North Pacific between early and late summers

The authors’ previous study identified the wave trains of intraseasonal oscillations, which are mainly in the band of 10–30 days, over the North Pacific during summer. The wave trains are zonally oriented and trapped along the upper-tropospheric westerly jet, and accordingly gain energy mainly through baroclinic energy conversion. In this study, the authors investigate the distinct features of the wave trains between early summer (1 June to 7 July) and late summer (8 July to 31 August), considering that the westerly jet experiences a remarkable subseasonal variation over the North Pacific during summer—that is, the jet is much stronger in early summer than late summer. The results indicate that the wave trains are stronger in early summer compared with late summer. Further analysis suggests that, in early summer, the wave trains can obtain energy more efficiently from the basic flow; or more exactly, stronger westerlies through baroclinic energy conversion.摘要我们之前的研究工作表明, 夏季北太平洋上空存在主导周期为10-30天的季节内波列, 波列纬向分布于上层西风急流带中, 并通过斜压能量转换从基本气流获取能量得到发展和维持. 由于西风急流在前夏(6月1日–7月7日)明显强于后夏(7月8日–8月31日), 因而, 在本研究中, 我们着重研究了波列在前, 后夏的不同特征. 研究结果表明, 波列强度在前夏明显强于后夏, 其原因在于波列在前夏能够通过斜压能量转换从更强的西风中获取更多的能量.

Physical processes of summer extreme rainfall interannual variability in eastern China: Part I—observational analysis

Extreme precipitation can have catastrophic effects in China by triggering floods, landslides, and other natural disasters. We measure extreme precipitation over eastern China by the maximum of five-day precipitation amount (Rx5day) in June, July, and August (JJA), which contributes more than 20% of the climate mean of JJA regional total precipitation. Based on the empirical orthogonal teleconnection (EOT) method, this work identifies four dominant regions of observed Rx5day interannual variability in eastern China: north-eastern China (EOT1), the southern lower reaches of the Yangtze valley (EOT2), southern China (EOT3) and the northern lower reaches of the Yangtze valley (EOT4). EOT1 extreme precipitation is related to a strong East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM), a weak monsoon front and a northward displaced upper-tropospheric westerly jet. EOT2 and EOT4 extreme precipitation are related to an enhanced and stable monsoon front and a strong western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH). The WNPSH associated with EOT4 is stronger than that associated with EOT2, which pushes the monsoon front further north. EOT3 represents extreme precipitation that is related to anomalous southerlies around the western ridge of the WNPSH. The southerlies transport warm and moist air to southern China and increase precipitation there. The four key regions and the related mechanisms are not sensitive to the EOT technique, as the EOT-based extreme precipitation patterns and circulation anomalies are confirmed using Self-Organising Maps (SOMs).

Asymmetric Relationship Between Mid-latitude Eurasian Circulation and Summer Rainfall in Hong Kong in Different Phases of ENSO

During the period 1979–2019, the interannual variation of summer rainfall in Hong Kong (HK), located on the South China coast, is weakly correlated with tropical forcing, including the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Instead, HK summer rainfall is strongly correlated with the mid-latitude circulation over the Urals and the preceding spring sea surface temperature (SST) over the North Atlantic (SST-Atl). The above relationship is stronger in negative ENSO summers, where the SST-Atl anomaly tends to persist from spring to summer. The persistence of the warm SST-Atl anomaly is associated with a Rossby wave train propagating from the North Atlantic to East Asia, with a low over the Urals and a high over the high latitudes of Asia. Correspondingly, the upper-tropospheric westerly jet in East Asia becomes stronger and shifts southward toward South China. The enhanced westerly wind over South China is accompanied by an anomalous Philippine Sea anticyclone, which transports more water vapor to the South China coast and causes more rainfall in HK. On the other hand, during positive ENSO summers, HK summer rainfall is affected by variation in the subtropical westerly jet over South China, which is related to water vapor transport from the Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal. This is also associated with a height anomaly over northeastern China and the spring sub-polar North Atlantic SST. Therefore, it is important to investigate the impact of mid-latitude forcing on summer rainfall on the South China coast.

Interannual Relationship between the West Asian and East Asian Jet Meridional Displacements in Summer

AbstractThe meridional displacements of the upper-tropospheric westerly jet streams over both West Asia and East Asia (WJMD and EJMD, respectively) in summer manifest as the leading pattern of the zonal wind anomalies over their local domains on the interannual time scale. This study identifies a significant interannual relationship between these two leading patterns, tending to displace in the same meridional direction, either northward or southward. It is shown that the Silk Road pattern, which is a zonal teleconnection pattern along the Asian jet, is an important modulator for the WJMD–EJMD relationship. Another factor is the precipitation anomalies over a broad tropical region, including the Indian subcontinent, the northern Indian Ocean, and the western North Pacific Ocean. Enhanced or suppressed tropical precipitation respectively induces a northward or southward displacement of the primary body of the jet stream from West Asia to East Asia, which contributes to the in-phase WJMD–EJMD relationship, as suggested by both the observations and simple model results. The SST anomalies associated with the tropical precipitation and in-phase WJMD–EJMD relationship are also discussed. The WJMD–EJMD relationship may have an important implication for identifying and explaining the teleconnections of rainfall and temperature over the broad area from West Asia to East Asia, and from the tropics to the extratropics.

Assessing Global and Regional Effects of Reconstructed Land-Use and Land-Cover Change on Climate since 1950 Using a Coupled Land–Atmosphere–Ocean Model

AbstractLand-use and land-cover change (LULCC) is one of the most important forcings affecting climate in the past century. This study evaluates the global and regional LULCC impacts in 1950–2015 by employing an annually updated LULCC map in a coupled land–atmosphere–ocean model. The difference between LULCC and control experiments shows an overall land surface temperature (LST) increase by 0.48 K in the LULCC regions and a widespread LST decrease by 0.18 K outside the LULCC regions. A decomposed temperature metric (DTM) is applied to quantify the relative contribution of surface processes to temperature changes. Furthermore, while precipitation in the LULCC areas is reduced in agreement with declined evaporation, LULCC causes a southward displacement of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) with a narrowing by 0.5°, leading to a tripole anomalous precipitation pattern over the warm pool. The DTM shows that the temperature response in LULCC regions results from the competing effect between increased albedo (cooling) and reduced evaporation (warming). The reduced evaporation indicates less atmospheric latent heat release in convective processes and thus a drier and cooler troposphere, resulting in a reduction in surface cooling outside the LULCC regions. The southward shift of the ITCZ implies a northward cross-equatorial energy transport anomaly in response to reduced latent/sensible heat of the atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere, where LULCC is more intensive. Tropospheric cooling results in the equatorward shift of the upper-tropospheric westerly jet in both hemispheres, which, in turn, leads to an equatorward narrowing of the Hadley circulation and ITCZ.

Meridional Displacement of the East Asian Upper-tropospheric Westerly Jet and Its Relationship with the East Asian Summer Rainfall in CMIP5 Simulations

As the first leading mode of upper-tropospheric circulation in observations, the meridional displacement of the East Asian westerly jet (EAJ) varies closely with the East Asian rainfall in summer. In this study, the interannual variation of the EAJ meridional displacement and its relationship with the East Asian summer rainfall are evaluated, using the historical simulations of CMIP5 (phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project). The models can generally reproduce the meridional displacement of the EAJ, which is mainly manifested as the first principal mode in most of the simulations. For the relationship between the meridional displacement of the EAJ and East Asian rainfall, almost all the models depict a weaker correlation than observations and exhibit considerably large spread across the models. It is found that the discrepancy in the interannual relationship is closely related to the simulation of the climate mean state, including the climatological location of the westerly jet in Eurasia and rainfall bias in South Asia and the western North Pacific. In addition, a close relationship between the simulation discrepancy and intensity of EAJ variability is also found: the models with a stronger intensity of the EAJ meridional displacement tend to reproduce a closer interannual relationship, and vice versa.

Close relationship between the East Asian westerly jet and Russian far East surface air temperature in summer

The interannual variability of the east asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet (EAJ) in summer is characterized by the meridional displacement of its axis, or a seesaw pattern of zonal wind anomalie...

Comparison between the interannual and decadal components of the Silk Road pattern

The Silk Road pattern (SRP), which is a teleconnection pattern along the Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet in summer, exhibits both interannual and decadal variabilities. Through the nine-year ...

Weakened Impact of the Indian Early Summer Monsoon on North China Rainfall around the Late 1970s: Role of Basic-State Change

Abstract Previous studies have found a link between north China and Indian rainfall during summer, with significantly increased rainfall in north China related to a stronger Indian summer monsoon. This link is weakened after the late 1970s, generally attributed to the reduced magnitude of interannual variability in the Indian summer rainfall. This study reveals a similar change in this rainfall link in early summer after the late 1970s. Related to a heavier Indian early summer rainfall, rainfall in north China enhances significantly before the late 1970s but not thereafter. The change in rainfall teleconnection is caused by the weakened impact on north China rainfall of a midlatitude wave train along the Asian jet in the upper troposphere. After the late 1970s, the portion of the wave train over East Asia displaces eastward, leading to an eastward shift in the associated ascending motion and, subsequently, enhanced rainfall from north China to the Yellow Sea. Moreover, the change in the midlatitude wave train is attributed to the change in the basic state over East Asia (i.e., a northward shift of the East Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet after the late 1970s). The latter reduces stationary Rossby wavenumber and increases wavelength of the midlatitude wave train, leading to an eastward shift of the wave train over East Asia. Therefore, in this study a mechanism is proposed for the change in early summer, different from the previous mechanism for the entire summer period.

Southern European rainfall reshapes the early-summer circumglobal teleconnection after the late 1970s

The summer circumglobal teleconnection (CGT), which crucially affects mid-latitude climate in the Northern Hemisphere, is generally characterized by a mid-latitude wave train along the strong upper-tropospheric westerly jet. In this study a significant change is identified in the spatial pattern of the early-summer CGT after the late 1970s: An additional high-latitude wave train has occurred over northern Eurasia. Based on observational evidences and simulation results with a linear baroclinic model, it is proposed that the post-1970s CGT change is induced by enhanced impact of rainfall over southern Europe (SE) after the late 1970s. Specifically, the mid-latitude wave train of CGT in early summer is dominated by Indian rainfall before the late 1970s but by both rainfall over India and SE after the late 1970s; the high-latitude wave train of CGT occurring after the late 1970s, however, is induced only by the SE rainfall. The coupled Indian and SE rainfall after the late 1970s, which is probably due to the basic flow change over the North Atlantic, induce both mid-latitude and high-latitude wave trains of the CGT.

Variation in summer surface air temperature over Northeast Asia and its associated circulation anomalies

This study investigates the interannual variation of summer surface air temperature over Northeast Asia (NEA) and its associated circulation anomalies. Two leading modes for the temperature variability over NEA are obtained by EOF analysis. The first EOF mode is characterized by a homogeneous temperature anomaly over NEA and therefore is called the NEA mode. This anomaly extends from southeast of Lake Baikal to Japan, with a central area in Northeast China. The second EOF mode is characterized by a seesaw pattern, showing a contrasting distribution between East Asia (specifically including the Changbai Mountains in Northeast China, Korea, and Japan) and north of this region. This mode is named the East Asia (EA) mode. Both modes contribute equivalently to the temperature variability in EA. The two leading modes are associated with different circulation anomalies. A warm NEA mode is associated with a positive geopotential height anomaly over NEA and thus a weakened upper-tropospheric westerly jet. On the other hand, a warm EA mode is related to a positive height anomaly over EA and a northward displaced jet. In addition, the NEA mode tends to be related to the Eurasian teleconnection pattern, while the EA mode is associated with the East Asia-Pacific/Pacific-Japan pattern.

Revisiting the second EOF mode of interannual variation in summer rainfall over East China

The second EOF (EOF2) mode of interannual variation in summer rainfall over East China is characterized by inverse rainfall changes between South China (SC) and the Yellow River–Huaihe River valleys (YH). However, understanding of the EOF2 mode is still limited. In this study, the authors identify that the EOF2 mode physically depicts the latitudinal variation of the climatological summer-mean rainy belt along the Yangtze River valley (YRRB), based on a 160-station rainfall dataset in China for the period 1951–2011. The latitudinal variation of the YRRB is mostly attributed to two different rainfall patterns: one reflects the seesaw (SS) rainfall changes between the YH and SC (SS pattern), and the other features rainfall anomalies concentrated in SC only (SC pattern). Corresponding to a southward shift of the YRRB, the SS pattern, with above-normal rainfall in SC and below-normal rainfall in the YH, is related to a cyclonic anomaly centered over the SC–East China Sea region, with a northerly anomaly blowing from the YH to SC; while the SC pattern, with above-normal rainfall in SC, is related to an anticyclonic anomaly over the western North Pacific (WNP), corresponding to an enhanced southwest monsoon over SC. The cyclonic anomaly, related to the SS pattern, is induced by a near-barotropic eastward propagating wave train along the Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet, originating from the mid–high latitudes of the North Atlantic. The anticyclonic anomaly, for the SC pattern, is related to suppressed rainfall in the WNP.

Predictability of the summer East Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet in ENSEMBLES multi-model forecasts

The interannual variation of the East Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet (EAJ) significantly affects East Asian climate in summer. Identifying its performance in model prediction may provide us another viewpoint, from the perspective of upper-tropospheric circulation, to understand the predictability of summer climate anomalies in East Asia. This study presents a comprehensive assessment of year-to-year variability of the EAJ based on retrospective seasonal forecasts, initiated from 1 May, in the five state-of-the-art coupled models from ENSEMBLES during 1960–2005. It is found that the coupled models show certain capability in describing the interannual meridional displacement of the EAJ, which reflects the models’ performance in the first leading empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode. This capability is mainly shown over the region south of the EAJ axis. Additionally, the models generally capture well the main features of atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies related to the interannual meridional displacement of the EAJ. Further analysis suggests that the predicted warm SST anomalies in the concurrent summer over the tropical eastern Pacific and northern Indian Ocean are the two main sources of the potential prediction skill of the southward shift of the EAJ. In contrast, the models are powerless in describing the variation over the region north of the EAJ axis, associated with the meridional displacement, and interannual intensity change of the EAJ, the second leading EOF mode, meaning it still remains a challenge to better predict the EAJ and, subsequently, summer climate in East Asia, using current coupled models.

Satellite measurements of the Madden–Julian oscillation in wintertime stratospheric ozone over the Tibetan Plateau and East Asia

We investigate the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal in wintertime stratospheric ozone over the Tibetan Plateau and East Asia using the harmonized dataset of satellite ozone profiles. Two different MJO indices—the all-season Real-Time multivariate MJO index (RMM) and outgoing longwave radiation-based MJO index (OMI)—are used to compare the MJO-related ozone anomalies. The results show that there are pronounced eastward-propagating MJO-related stratospheric ozone anomalies (mainly within 20–200 hPa) over the subtropics. The negative stratospheric ozone anomalies are over the Tibetan Plateau and East Asia in MJO phases 4–7, when MJO-related tropical deep convective anomalies move from the equatorial Indian Ocean towards the western Pacific Ocean. Compared with the results based on RMM, the MJO-related stratospheric column ozone anomalies based on OMI are stronger and one phase ahead. Further analysis suggests that different sampling errors, observation principles and retrieval algorithms may be responsible for the discrepancies among different satellite measurements. The MJO-related stratospheric ozone anomalies can be attributed to the MJO-related circulation anomalies, i.e., the uplifted tropopause and the northward shifted westerly jet in the upper troposphere. Compared to the result based on RMM, the upper tropospheric westerly jet may play a less important role in generating the stratospheric column ozone anomalies based on OMI. Our study indicates that the circulation-based MJO index (RMM) can better characterize the MJO-related anomalies in tropopause pressure and thus the MJO influence on atmospheric trace gases in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, especially over subtropical East Asia.

Impact of Tropical Pacific Precipitation Anomaly on the East Asian Upper-Tropospheric Westerly Jet during the Boreal Winter

Abstract The leading mode of boreal winter precipitation variability over the tropical Pacific for the period 1980–2010 shows a west–east dipole pattern with one center over the western North Pacific (WNP) and Maritime Continent and the other center over the equatorial central Pacific (CP). Observational evidence shows that the variability of the East Asian upper-tropospheric subtropical westerly jet (EAJ) has a significant correlation with precipitation anomalies over the WNP and CP and that tropical precipitation anomalies over WNP and CP have a distinct influence on the variation of the EAJ. A series of numerical experiments based on a linear baroclinic model are performed to confirm the influence of the heating anomalies associated with precipitation perturbations over the WNP and CP on the EAJ. The results of numerical experiments indicate that a heat source over the WNP can excite a northward-propagating Rossby wave train in the upper troposphere over East Asia and facilitate a poleward eddy momentum flux. It results in the acceleration of the westerlies between 30° and 45°N, which favors a northward displacement of the EAJ. The response induced by a heat sink over the CP features a zonal easterly band between 25° and 40°N, suggesting that the response to heat sink associated with negative precipitation anomalies over the CP may weaken the EAJ. A strengthened relationship was found between tropical Pacific precipitation and the EAJ since 1979. The modeling results suggest that the shift of mean states might be responsible for the strengthened EAJ–rainfall relationship after 1979.

Northern East Asian low and its impact on the interannual variation of East Asian summer rainfall

The strength of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated rainfall has been linked to the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH) and the lower-tropospheric low pressure system over continental East Asia (EA). In contrast to the large number of studies devoted to the WNPSH, little is known about the variability of the East Asian continental low. The present study delineates the East Asian continental low using 850-hPa geopotential height. Since the low is centered over northern EA (NEA), we refer to it as the NEA low (NEAL). We show that the intensity of the NEAL has large interannual variation, with a dominant period of 2–4 years. An enhanced NEAL exhibits a barotropic structure throughout the whole troposphere, which accelerates the summer-mean upper-tropospheric westerly jet and lower-tropospheric monsoon westerly to its south. We carefully identify the anomalous NEAL-induced rainfall anomalies by removal of the tropical heating effects. An enhanced NEAL not only increases rainfall locally in northern Northeast China, but also shifts the East Asian subtropical front northward, causing above-normal rainfall extending eastward from the Huai River valley across central-northern Japan and below-normal rainfall in South China. The northward shift of the East Asian subtropical front is attributed to the following processes without change in the WNPSH: an enhanced NEAL increases meridional pressure gradients and the monsoon westerly along the East Asian subtropical front, which in turn induces a cyclonic shear vorticity anomaly to its northern side. The associated Ekman pumping induces moisture flux convergence that shifts the East Asian subtropical front northward. In addition, the frequent occurrence of synoptic cut-off lows is found to be associated with an enhanced NEAL. Wave activity analysis indicates that the interannual intensity change of the NEAL is significantly associated with the extratropical Polar Eurasian teleconnection, in addition to the forcing of the tropical WNP heating.