Univariate Analysis Of Risk Factors Research Articles

Pancreatic volume and endocrine function changes following pancreaticoduodenectomy for peri-ampullary neoplasms: A retrospective single-center study utilizing pancreas volumetry.

We evaluated long-term pancreatic functional outcomes, including pancreatic volumetry after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for peri-ampullary neoplasm. We retrospectively reviewed 353 patients with a 12-month follow-up who underwent elective pancreaticoduodenectomies for peri-ampullary neoplasms at a single university hospital between January 2011 and December 2020. Perioperative and postoperative outcomes, long-term pancreatic endocrine functions, and pancreatic volume changes 12 month postoperatively were evaluated. The mean age was 65.4 years, and the sex ratio was 1.38. The patients with prediagnosed diabetes mellitus (DM) comprised 31.4%. The peri-ampullary neoplasm origins were: the pancreas (49.0%), common bile duct (27.2%), ampulla of Vater (18.4%), and duodenum (5.4%). The 1-week, and 3-, 6-, and 12-month postoperative proportions of patients with DM diagnosed before surgery combined with new-onset postoperative DM were 39.7%, 42.8%, 43.9%, and 49.6%, respectively. The preoperative and postoperative 1-week, and 3-, 6-, and 12-month mean pancreatic volumes were 82.3, 38.7, 28.1, 24.9, and 25.5 mL, respectively. Univariate risk factor analyses for new-onset DM after PD observed no significant difference between the 'No DM after PD' and 'New-onset DM after PD' groups. Following PD for peri-ampullary neoplasms, pancreatic endocrine functions and volumes continued to decrease for a minimum of 12 months. The current study did not identify any causal relationship between pancreatic endocrine dysfunction and pancreatic atrophy following PD.

The differential expression of AFF3 in cervical cancer and its correlation with clinicopathological features and prognosis

Background Cervical cancer (CC) is the second most common malignancy in women, and identifying biomarkers of CC is crucial for prognosis prediction. Here, we investigated the expression of AF4/FMR2 Family Member 3 (AFF3) in CC and its association with clinicopathological features and prognosis. Methods Tumour and adjacent tissues, along with clinicopathological features and follow-up information, were collected from 78 patients. AFF3 expression was assessed using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction and Western blotting. The correlation between AFF3 expression and CC symptoms was using chi-square test. The 5-year overall survival (OS) was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Univariate analysis of prognostic risk factors was conducted using the COX proportional hazards model, followed by multivariate COX regression analysis including variables with p < 0.01. Results AFF3 expression was downregulated in CC, and its levels were correlated with lymph node metastasis (LNM) and International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage. Patients with low AFF3 expression had a lower 5-year OS rate (52.78%, 19/36). Postoperative survival was reduced in patients with histological grade 3 (G3), myometrial invasion (depth ≥ 1/2), lymphovascular space invasion, LNM, and advanced FIGO stage. Low expression of AFF3 (HR: 2.848, 95% CI: 1.144–7.090) and histological grade G3 (HR: 4.393, 95% CI: 1.663–11.607) were identified as independent prognostic risk factors in CC patients. Conclusion Low expression of AFF3 and histological G3 are independent predictors of poor prognosis in CC patients, suggesting that AFF3 could serve as a potential biomarker for prognostic assessment in CC.

Tumor- and Radiation-Related Complications after Ruthenium-106 Brachytherapy in Small to Medium Uveal Melanomas (Part 1).

The purpose of this study was to analyze tumor-related complications after ruthenium-106 brachytherapy in patients with uveal melanoma, with respect to local tumor control, insufficient radiation response, enucleation, and metastasis rate. This retrospective study included 608 patients treated consecutively with ruthenium-106 brachytherapy between January 2008 and December 2010 at the Department of Ophthalmology, University Hospital Essen. The occurrence of radiation-induced results was analyzed by estimating the risk by applying the Kaplan-Meier method, i.e., the "time to event" analysis. The Cox model test was used for the univariate and multivariate risk factor analyses. The median follow-up was 51 months after primary treatment. Tumor recurrence was found in 21 patients (3.5%) and repeated treatment due to insufficient effect after the initial ruthenium-106 brachytherapy was performed in 40 patients (6.6%). The 5-year cumulative risk of recurrence was 4.0% and that of insufficient effect was 7.3%. Thirteen patients (2.1%) underwent a secondary enucleation; 8 because of a local recurrence and 5 because of severe post-brachytherapy complications. The cumulative enucleation risk was 2.3% after 5 years and 2.9% after 10 years, corresponding to eye preservation of 97.7 and 97.1%, respectively. In forty-two patients (7.2%), metastatic disease was diagnosed during the follow-up. The metastatic rate as calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method was 9.0, and 13.1% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Our study demonstrated that ruthenium-106 brachytherapy is an excellent treatment option for achieving local tumor control and eye preservation in well-selected patients. The metastatic rate is in agreement with that of previous studies analyzing small to medium size uveal melanomas.

Treatment-Related Complications and Functional Results after Ruthenium-106 Brachytherapy in Small to Medium Size Uveal Melanomas (Part 2).

To analyze the treatment-related complications after ruthenium-106 brachytherapy in patients with uveal melanoma in terms of radiation-induced optic neuropathy, maculopathy and retinopathy, radiation-related vitreous hemorrhage, and retinal detachment, as well as secondary glaucoma and radiogenic cataract. In addition, the course of visual acuity was analyzed. This retrospective study included 608 patients treated with ruthenium-106 brachytherapy between January 2008 and December 2010 at the Department of Ophthalmology, University Hospital Essen. The follow-up time was 11 years. The occurrence of the radiation-induced complications was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression was used for univariate and multivariate risk factor analyses. Hazard ratios were calculated for each variable. Regarding the complications, 34% (N = 207) of the patients had no reported side effects or complications during follow-up. Radiation optic neuropathy was observed in 18.8% (N = 114) of the patients, with a median time to onset of 16 months (range: 3 - 78 months). Radiation maculopathy occurred in 8.2% (N = 50) after a median time of 17 months (range: 3 - 67 months). Radiation retinopathy was observed in 20.1% (N = 122), with a median time to onset of 21 months (range: 6 - 67 months). Secondary glaucoma developed in 9.7% of the patients (N = 53) and radiogenic cataract in 46.8% (N = 227). Vitreous hemorrhage (11.8%, N = 72) and scleral necrosis (2.1%, N = 13) occurred relatively rarely. The observed radiogenic complication rate is comparable with that reported in previous studies.

Environmental and socio-demographic factors associated with cutaneous leishmaniasis in district Khyber, Pakistan; alarming spread of the disease to new foci

Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is a sand fly-borne infection of significant public health concern in Pakistan (endemic for CL). This study aimed to scrutinize the environmental and socio-economic risk factors for CL in district Khyber (located on Pak-Afghan border), Pakistan. Clinically confirmed 2881 CL case records for (January–December) 2017 and 2020 were obtained from district hospital. In addition, a questionnaire for CL risk factors assessment was administered to 525 households (175 in 2017 and 350 in 2020) in 40 villages throughout the district in a household survey. Higher number of CL cases were recorded in 2020 (N = 1824 belonging to 90 villages) compared to 2017 (N = 1057 from 42 villages). Highest number of CL patient cases were recorded in tehsil Jamrud (N = 2248, 39.01 %), followed by Landi Kotal (N = 398, 6.91 %) and Bara (N = 235, 4.08 %). Records showed higher number of CL cases in males (N = 1,659, 57.58 %) compared to females (N = 1,222, 42.41 %). In 2017 and 2020 the disease burden peaked in January. GIS-based spatial analyses of hospital records revealed that CL cases were abundant at 294-1,916 m elevation, in agriculture and range lands. Univariate logistic regression model analysis of risk factors suggested that higher education, family size >15, knowledge of CL, having family member/s that suffered from CL in the past, knowledge about biting time of sand flies, use of mosquito spray, presence of Afghan refugees in the village/s and living in mud-made houses increased the risk of acquiring CL. The multivariable logistic regression model showed none of the risk factors to be statistically significant. Findings of the study are crucial towards effective and targeted control of CL in district Khyber.

Analysis of tranexamic acid usage in adult spinal deformity patients with relative contraindications: does it increase the risk of complications?

Complex spinal deformity surgeries may involve significant blood loss. The use of antifibrinolytic agents such as tranexamic acid (TXA) has been proven to reduce perioperative blood loss. However, for patients with a history of thromboembolic events, there is concern of increased risk when TXA is used during these surgeries. This study aimed to assess whether TXA use in patients undergoing complex spinal deformity correction surgeries increases the risk of thromboembolic complications based on preexisting thromboembolic risk factors. Data were analyzed for adult patients who received TXA during surgical correction for spinal deformity at 21 North American centers between August 2018 and October 2022. Patients with preexisting thromboembolic events and other risk factors (history of deep venous thrombosis [DVT], pulmonary embolism [PE], myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, peripheral vascular disease, or cancer) were identified. Thromboembolic complication rates were assessed during the postoperative 90 days. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess thromboembolic outcomes in high-risk and low-risk patients who received intravenous TXA. Among 411 consecutive patients who underwent complex spinal deformity surgery and received TXA intraoperatively, 130 (31.6%) were considered high-risk patients. There was no significant difference in thromboembolic complications between patients with and those without preexisting thromboembolic risk factors in univariate analysis (high-risk group vs low-risk group: 8.5% vs 2.8%, p = 0.45). Specifically, there were no significant differences between groups regarding the 90-day postoperative rates of DVT (high-risk group vs low-risk group: 1.5% vs 1.4%, p = 0.98), PE (2.3% vs 1.8%, p = 0.71), acute MI (1.5% vs 0%, p = 0.19), or stroke (0.8% vs 1.1%, p > 0.99). On multivariate analysis, high-risk status was not a significant independent predictor for any of the thromboembolic complications. Administration of intravenous TXA during the correction procedure did not change rates of thromboembolic events, acute MI, or stroke in this cohort of adult spinal deformity surgery patients.

Uni- and Multivariate Analyses of Cancer Risk in Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: A Single-Center Experience.

Every year in Italy, about 60,000 new cases of nodular thyroid pathology are diagnosed, of which almost 30% are cytologically indeterminate (TIR3A/3B). The risk of malignancy reported in the literature on thyroid nodules ranges from 5% to 15% for TIR3A and from 15% to 30% for TIR3B. It is suspected that these percentages are higher in practice. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses of clinical risk factors. The medical records of 291 patients who underwent surgery for cytologically indeterminate nodular thyroid disease were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical parameters and preoperative serum markers were then compared between the benign nodular thyroid disease and thyroid cancer groups. For each patient, clinical characteristics, comorbidities, neck ultrasonographic features, and histological reports were statistically analyzed using Chi-squared and Fisher's exact tests. A total of 134 malignant neoplasms were found (46%), divided into 55 cases (35%) in the TIR3A group and 79 cases (59%) in the TIR3B group. Statistical analysis was not significant in both populations for both sex and age (TIR3A p-value = 0.5097 and p-value = 0.1430, TIR3B p-value = 0.5191 p-value = 0.3384), while it was statistically significant in patients with TIR3A nodules associated with thyroiditis (p-value = 0.0009). In addition, the patients with TIR3A and 3B nodules were stratified by ultrasound risk for the prediction of malignancy and it was significant (p = 0.0004 and p < 0.0001). In light of these results, it emerges that surgical treatment of nodular thyroid pathology with indeterminate cytology TIR3A should always be considered, and surgery for TIR3B is mandatory.

Abstract WP160: Mechanisms of Brain Hemorrhage in Chronic Kidney Disease

Introduction: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a risk factor for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and for worse outcomes following ICH. In this study, we examined the relationship between ICH and CKD, as well as intracranial arterial calcification (IAC) as an intermediate biomarker. We hypothesized that CKD is an independent risk factor for IAC burden, and that high IAC burden is an independent risk factor for ICH. Methods: A retrospective cohort of spontaneous ICH and non-ICH patients with non-contrast head CT imaging was identified. For each patient, eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate) along with age, sex, race, ethnicity, hypertension (HTN), diabetes (DM), heart disease, and hyperlipidemia were abstracted. A convolutional neural network was developed to automate quantification of IAC burden within the anterior and posterior circulation, and all results were visually verified for accuracy by an expert neuroradiologist. The relationship between eGFR and IAC was assessed with Pearson correlation and one-way ANOVA. Univariate analysis of ICH risk factors was evaluated using t-test and Chi-square, while multivariate models were analyzed using logistic regression. Results: Among the 717 patients in this study, 98 were ICH patients. In all patients, mean IAC burden increased significantly with CKD stage (p &lt; 0.01). Univariate analysis for IAC risk factors yielded statistically significant associations for eGFR (p &lt; 0.01) as well as age (p &lt; 0.01), HTN (p = 0.01), and African-American race (p = 0.02). In multivariate analysis, eGFR remained a significant independent predictor of IAC (p &lt; 0.01) along with HTN (p &lt; 0.01), DM (p &lt; 0.01), and race (p &lt; 0.01). Furthermore, IAC burden was significantly higher in ICH patients (15.4 mL vs. 8.7 mL, p = 0.02). In multivariate analysis, IAC remained a significant independent predictor of ICH (p &lt; 0.01) along with HTN (p &lt; 0.01), DM (p = 0.03), sex (p &lt; 0.01), and race (p &lt; 0.01). Conclusion: This is the first demonstration that eGFR predicts strictly quantified IAC, which then predicts ICH. These findings offer novel insights into determinants of IAC and mechanisms underlying the CKD-ICH relationship.

Predicting risk of postpartum hemorrhage associated with vaginal delivery of twins: A retrospective study.

Many studies have only focused on the risk factors for postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) in singleton vaginal deliveries and twin cesarean deliveries. We analyzed the factors of influencing PPH occurrence in twin vaginal deliveries and developed a nomogram for clinical application. This retrospective study included 274 pregnant women with twin pregnancies who were hospitalized for delivery from January 2014 to December 2018. The patients opted for vaginal delivery and experienced spontaneous labor. Univariate analysis of PPH risk factors was performed. Multivariate analysis was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to obtain relevant factors and build a prediction model, which was presented as a nomogram. The model was internally validated by bootstrap self-sampling method. Model accuracy was evaluated with the concordance index (C-index). There were 36 (13.14%) and 238 (86.9%) patients in the PPH and no PPH groups, respectively. Univariate analysis identified twin chorionicity, hypertensive disorders complicating pregnancy (HDCP), anemia in pregnancy, delivery mode of the second twin, oxytocin use during labor, postpartum curettage, cervical laceration, intrapartum fever, fibrinogen degradation products (FDP), and platelet count (PLT) as significant PPH factors. On multivariate analysis, HDCP, anemia in pregnancy, intrapartum fever, oxytocin use during labor, fetal distress, PLT, direct bilirubin, and FDP were noted as significant PPH factors and were included in the prediction model. A C-index of 0.816 was noted after internal validation, and the calibration curve showed good consistency. We developed a model to predict PPH risk in the vaginal delivery of twin pregnancies and visualized it with a nomogram that can be applied clinically to assess PPH risk and aid PPH prevention.

Visceral obesity determined in routine preoperative CT scans predicts risk of postoperative burst abdomen

Burst abdomen (BA) remains a severe postoperative complication after abdominal surgery. Obesity is a known risk factor for postoperative complications but objective parameters such as body mass index fail to predict BA after abdominal surgery. In recent literature, CT-derived body composition assessment could predict obesity-related diseases and surgical site infections. We report data from the institutional wound register, comparing patients with BA to a subgroup of patients without BA. The CT images were evaluated for intraabdominal and subcutaneous fat tissues. Univariate and multivariate risk factor analysis was performed in order to evaluate CT-derived obesity parameters as risk factor for BA. 92 patients with BA were compared to 32 controls. Patients with BA had significantly more visceral obesity (VO; p < 0.001) but less subcutaneous obesity (SCO) on CT scans. VO and SCO both were positively correlated with BMI (r = 0.452 and 0.572) but VO and SCO were inversely correlated (r = −0.189). Multivariate analysis revealed VO as significant risk factor for postoperative BA (OR 1.257; 95% CI 1.084–1.459; p = 0.003). Our analysis of patients with postoperative BA revealed VO as major risk factor for postoperative BA. Thus, preoperative CT scans gives valuable information on possible risk stratification.

Epidemiology and Clinical Outcomes of Hematologic Patients with Proven and Probable Invasive Fungal Infections: A Latin American Tertiary Care Centre Experience

Introduction Although diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for invasive fungal infections (IFI) have evolved in the last decade, their identification and management within patients with hematologic diseases (HD) continues to be a challenge. For this group, in addition to the increased risk of developing an IFI, mortality has been reported as high as 39.1%. The incidence and etiology vary across regions, suggesting an influence of patient-specific characteristics, environment, and clinician's practices. Literature regarding low- and middle-income countries, reflecting the real-world approach and management for this high-risk group is scarce. Our aim was to describe patients' clinical and microbiological characteristics, treatment strategies, and outcomes in a tertiary care hospital in Mexico City. Methods Retrospective single-center study that included all consecutive cases of IFI occurring in adult patients with HD or hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) between January 2013 and December 2019. We included only proven and probable cases of IFI according to the mycoses study group of the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) guidelines. Clinical data, diagnostic work-up, treatment modalities, and outcomes were extracted from the medical records. Results In a total of 119 patients, 129 IFIs were diagnosed; criteria were fulfilled for proven in 38% ( n = 49) and probable in 62% ( n = 80). The median age was 39 years (range, 18-87) and HD was acute leukemia at 46.5%. At the time of IFI, 83.7% had active HD and 82.2% were on active treatment. HSCTs were allogeneic in 11 patients and autologous in 2 patients. A 31.8% and 91.5% presented with at least one comorbidity and/or risk factor, respectively. Severe neutropenia was present in 67.4% with a median of 13 days (range, 0-167) from the start of neutropenia to IFI diagnosis. Additional characteristics are shown in Table 1. The median time from the HD/HSCT to IFI was 73 days (range, 0-1,598); 30.2% being diagnosed within the treatment induction phase. Identified pathogenswere Aspergillus sp in 62.4%, Candida sp in 21.3%, Mucor spin10.6%, Fusarium sp in 3.5%, and Histoplasma capsulatum in 2.1%. In 10 (7.8%) cases, fungal coinfection was identified. For proven cases, sites where the microorganism was isolated or identifiedwere: blood 48.3%, lung 25.9%, sinuses 13.8%, CSF 3.4%, bone marrow 3.4%, skin 1.8%,and others 3.4%. For probable IFI, sitesof infection were: lung 91.8%, sinuses 5.9%, and other 2.4%. A 92.8% of aspergillosis and 80% of mucormycosis infections were localized in the lungs, while 86.7% of candidiasis were identified in the blood. Forty-five (35.4%) patients were receiving antifungal prophylaxis (fluconazole n = 24, itraconazole n = 13, posaconazole n = 3, voriconazole n = 3, anidulafungin n = 2). Antifungal treatment was given to24 (96.1%) of patients; 5 died before IFI diagnosis. Frontline agents included voriconazole ( n = 62), amphotericin n = 26), anidulafungin ( n = 16), caspofungin ( n = 6), fluconazole ( n = 5), clinical trial (posaconazole vs. voriconazole, n = 5) itraconazole ( n = 3), and posaconazole ( n = 1). Overall survival (OS) at 6 weeks was 59.7% and at 12 weeks was 51.9%. Overall response rate (ORR) was 48.4% ( n=60) and 54.8% ( n=68) at 6 and 12 weeks, respectively. On univariate analysis risk factors associated with increased mortality at 12-weeks were: age &amp;gt;40 ( p=0.001), active HD ( p = 0.020), CVC 30 days prior to IFI ( p=0.032), IMV 30 days prior to IFI ( p=0.026), and admission to ICU 30 days prior to IFI ( p=0.009). Aspergillosis was associated with reduced 12-week mortality ( p=0.001).On multivariate analysis age &amp;gt;40 ( p=0.010) and aspergillosis (p =0.002) remained independently associated with increased and reduced mortality, respectively. Conclusion This study reports unique information regarding proven and probable IFI in hematologic patients diagnosed under EORTC 2020 guidelines. Our epidemiology was similar to that reported by other countries, including most common etiologic agents and a higher proportion of AL and on active chemotherapy patients.Mortality rates were higher, possibly explained by the exclusion of possible IFI cases, higher proportion of active primary disease, and limited antifungal prophylaxis. Better survival among patients with aspergillosis, suggest that current diagnostic tests lead to earlier diagnosis and treatment with an impact on patients' prognosis.

Risk factors for in-hospital mortality after emergency colorectal surgery in octogenarians: results of a cohort study from a referral center

PurposeThe objective of this study was to investigate predictive factors of mortality in emergency colorectal surgery in octogenarian patients.MethodsIt is a retrospective cohort study conducted at a single-institution tertiary referral center. Consecutive patients who underwent emergency colorectal surgery between January 2015 and January 2020 were identified. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using a logistic regression model.ResultsA total of 111 patients were identified (43 men, 68 women). Mean age was 85.7 ± 3.7 years (80–96). Main diagnoses included complicated sigmoiditis in 38 patients (34.3%), cancer in 35 patients (31.5%), and ischemic colitis in 31 patients (27.9%). An ASA score of 3 or higher was observed in 88.3% of patients. The mean Charlson score was 5.9. The Possum score was 35.9% for mortality and 79.3% for morbidity. The 30-day mortality rate was 25.2%. Univariate analysis of preoperative risk factors for mortality shows that the history of valvular heart disease (p = 0.008), intensive care unit provenance (p = 0.003), preoperative sepsis (p < 0.001), diagnosis of ischemic colitis (p = 0.012), creatinine (p = 0.006) and lactate levels (p = 0.01) were significantly associated with 30-day mortality, and patients coming from home had a lower 30-day mortality rate (p = 0.018). Intraoperative variables associated with 30-day mortality included ileostomy creation (p = 0.022) and temporary laparostomy (p = 0.004). At multivariate analysis, only lactate (p = 0.032) and creatinine levels (p = 0.027) were found to be independent predictors of 30-day mortality, home provenance was an independent protective factor (p = 0.004). Mean follow-up was 3.4 years. Survival at 1 and 3 years was 57.6 and 47.7%.ConclusionEmergency colorectal surgery is challenging. However, age should not be a contraindication. The 30-day mortality rate (25.2%) is one of the lowest in the literature. Hyperlactatemia (> 2mmol/L) and creatinine levels appear to be independent predictors of mortality.

Abstract 11810: Is the Presence of Statin Use Before Onset of Disease Associated With In-Hospital Mortality in Elderly Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction?

Introduction: The effect of statin on preventing cardiovascular events is clear, and aggressive lipid-lowering therapy with statins is strongly recommended for patients with coronary artery disease including of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Hypothesis: The relationship between in-hospital mortality of AMI and statin use before onset of AMI in the elderly patients is unknown, we thus assessed. Methods: The subjects were 207 consecutive AMI patients aged 65 years or older who underwent successful percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at Kagoshima university hospital between January 2015 and March 2021. We investigated the association between in-hospital mortality after PCI and baseline characteristics including Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score, which is widely used for estimating mortality in AMI patients. Results: Twenty-three patients (11%) died in-hospital. The mortality rate was significantly lower in patients who were taking statins at presentation compared to those who were not (3% vs. 16%, p=0.002). Univariate logistic regression analysis of risk factors for in-hospital mortality revealed that statin use before onset of AMI, level of serum albumin, level of high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and GRACE risk score were associated with in-hospital mortality. Multivariate logistic analysis models adjusted for age, statin use, level of serum albumin, level of hs-CRP, and GRACE risk score showed that statin use [Odd's ratio (OR): 0.13, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.02-0.81, p=0.029] and GRACE risk score (OR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06, p &lt;0.001) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. The optimal cut-off on the receiver-operating characteristic curve of GRACE risk score for predicting in-hospital mortality was 160. In addition, multivariate logistic analysis models using GRACE risk score ≥160 and non-use of statin before the onset of AMI showed greater risk of in-hospital mortality (HR 19.24; 95% CI 6.62-55.94; p &lt;0.001) after PCI as compared to patients with GRACE risk score &lt;160 and statins use. Conclusions: In elderly AMI patients undergoing PCI, statin use before the onset of AMI was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality, as was the GRACE risk score.

Analysis of clinical risk factors of failed electrical cardioversion in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter

BackgroundAlthough rhythm control could be the best for symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), some patients fail to achieve sinus rhythm (SR). This study aimed to identify clinical risk factors of failed electrical cardioversion (ECV).MethodsA total of 248 patients who received ECV for persistent AF or atrial flutter (AFL) were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were divided into three groups: Group 1 maintained SR for > 1 year, group 2 maintained SR ≤ 1 year after ECV, and group 3 failed ECV. SR maintenance was assessed using regular electrocardiography or Holter monitoring.ResultsPatients were divided into group 1 (73, 29%), group 2 (146, 59%), and group 3 (29, 12%). The mean age of patients was 60 ± 10 years, and 197 (79%) were male. Age, sex, and baseline characteristics were similar among groups. However, increased cardiac size, digoxin use, heart failure (HF), and decreased left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were more common in group 3. Univariate analysis of clinical risk factors for failed ECV was increased cardiac size [hazard ratio (HR) 2.14 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06–4.34, p = 0.030)], digoxin use [HR 2.66 (95% CI, 1.15–6.14), p = 0.027], HF [HR 2.60 (95% CI, 1.32–5.09), p = 0.005], LVEF < 40% [HR 3.45 (95% CI, 1.00–11.85), p = 0.038], and decreased LVEF [HR 2.49 (95% CI, 1.18–5.25), p = 0.012]. Among them, HF showed clinical significance only by multivariate analysis [HR 3.01 (95% CI, 1.13–7.99), p = 0.027].ConclusionsIncreased cardiac size, digoxin use, HF, LVEF < 40%, and decreased LVEF were related to failed ECV for persistent AF or AFL. Among these, HF was the most important risk factor. Further multi-center studies including greater number of participants are planned.

Occurrence of Sub-clinical mastitis and Associated Risk Factors in Lactating Goats in Selected Areas of Eastern Harerghe Zone, Oromia, Ethiopia

Subclinical mastitis reduces the quality and quantity of milk and is a disease of great economic and public health importance. A cross-sectional study was conducted to estimate the occurrence of subclinical mastitis, associated risk factors, and isolate of Staphylococcus aureus in lactating goats in the Eastern Hararghe zone, Ethiopia. A total of 384 lactating goats were sampled and screened by White Side test (WST) to detect subclinical mastitis. The study results revealed that animal and udder/halve level prevalence was 23.2% and 21.8% respectively, while 30 teats were found to be blind. Univariate analysis of the potential risk factors has depicted that mastitis was more prevalent in does with medium age, poor body condition, late lactation stage, does sample from Aweday, does mixing with others, closed housed goat, weakly manure removal and previous history of mastitis showed a statistically significant association with the proportion of subclinical mastitis (p &lt; 0.05). With multivariable analysis, age, lactation stage, and origin of sampled animals showed significant association with subclinical mastitis prevalence, and these factors continued significant in the multivariable logistic regression model after stepwise elimination (p &lt; 0.05). As a result, does in mid-age (OR=9.06, 2.24-36.60, late stage of lactation (OR=2.52, 1.21-5.24), and does sample from Aweday (OR=4.43, 1.37-14.38) were at higher risk of udder infections than younger age, early lactation and does sampled from Haramaya separately. In the present study, S. aureus has been isolated from 37.1% of goat milk. Antibiogram study results indicated that gentamicin and erythromycin were found to be the most effective drug against S. aureus. The present study has also demonstrated the existence of alarmingly high levels of antimicrobial resistance of S. aureus against chloramphenicol (100%), Vancomycin (87.5%), and Ampenciline (81.8%). The results of this study deep-rooted the importance of S. aureus as a possible cause of subclinical mastitis in goats and the spread of multiple drug-resistant S. aureus. It is therefore, recommended to prevent subclinical mastitis in the study area by considering potential risk factors, regular screening and microbiological examination of udder of lactating goats as well as judicious use of antimicrobials to treat subclinical mastitis.

Substance Use Disorder-Related Deaths and Maternal Mortality in New Mexico, 2015–2019

BackgroundIn recent decades, maternal mortality has increased across the U.S. Experiences of pregnant and postpartum people with Substance Use Disorder (SUD)-related deaths have not been previously evaluated in New Mexico. The aim of this study was to analyze risk factors related to substance use and explore substance use patterns among pregnancy-associated deaths in New Mexico from 2015 to 2019.MethodsWe conducted an analysis of pregnancy-associated deaths to assess the association between demographics, pregnancy factors, circumstances surrounding death, treatment of mental health conditions, and experiences with social stressors among Substance Use Disorder (SUD)-related and non-SUD-related deaths. We performed univariate analyses of risk factors using chi-square tests to assess the differences between SUD-related and non-SUD-related deaths. We also examined substance use at time of death.ResultsPeople with SUD-related deaths were more likely to die 43–365 days postpartum (81% vs. 45%, p-value = 0.002), have had a primary cause of death of mental health conditions (47% vs 10%, p < 0.001), have died of an overdose (41% vs. 8%, p-value = 0.002), have had experienced any social stressors (86% vs 30%, p < 0.001) compared to people with non-SUD-related deaths, and received treatment for SUD at any point before, during, or after pregnancy (49% vs. 2%, p < 0.001). The substances most used at time of death were amphetamines (70%), and most cases engaged in polysubstance use (63%).Conclusions for PracticeProviders, health departments, and community organizations must prioritize supporting people using substances during and after pregnancy to prevent death and improve quality of life for pregnant and postpartum people.

Lung cancer risk and exposure to air pollution: a multicenter North China case–control study involving 14604 subjects

BackgroundFor North Chinese lung cancer patients, there is limited study on the distribution of air pollution and smoking related features based on analyses of large-scale, high-quality population datasets. The aim of the study was to fully analyze risk factors for 14604 Subjects.MethodsParticipants and controls were recruited in 11 cities of North China. Participants’ basic information (sex, age, marital status, occupation, height, and weight), blood type, smoking history, alcohol consumption, history of lung-related diseases and family history of cancer were collected. PM2.5 concentration data for each year in each city of the study area from 2005 to 2018 were extracted based on geocoding of each person's residential address at the time of diagnosis. Demographic variables and risk factors were compared between cases and matched controls using a univariate conditional logistic regression model. Multivariate conditional logistic regression models were applied to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for risk factors in univariate analysis. The nomogram model and the calibration curve were developed to predict lung cancer probability for the probability of lung cancer.ResultsThere was a total of 14604 subjects, comprising 7124 lung cancer cases and 7480 healthy controls included in the study. Marital status of unmarried persons, people with a history of lung-related disease, corporate personnel and production /service personnel were protective factors for lung cancer. People younger than 50 years old, people who were smoking and quit smoking, people who had been drinking consistently, people with family history of cancer and PM2.5 exposure were proven to be a risk factor for lung cancer. The risk of lung cancer varied with sex, smoking status and air pollution. Consistent alcohol consumption, persistent smoking and smoking quit were risk factors for lung cancer in men. By smoking status, male was risk factor for lung cancer in never smokers. Consistent alcohol consumption added risk for lung cancer in never smokers. The combined effects of PM2.5 pollution exposure and ever smoking aggravated the incidence of lung cancer. According to air pollution, lung cancer risk factors are completely different in lightly and heavily polluted areas. In lightly polluted areas, a history of lung-related disease was a risk factor for lung cancer. In heavily polluted areas, male, consistent alcohol consumption, a family history of cancer, ever smokers and smoking quit were all risk factors for lung cancer. A nomogram was plotted and the results showed that PM2.5 was the main factor affecting the occurrence of lung cancer.ConclusionsThe large-scale accurate analysis of multiple risk factors in different air quality environments and various populations, provide clear directions and guidance for lung cancer prevention and precise treatment.

The perinatal outcomes of women treated for Asherman syndrome: a propensity score-matched cohort study.

Do the perinatal outcomes of patients following hysteroscopic treatment for Asherman syndrome (AS) differ from that of a control population? Perinatal complications including placental issues, high blood loss, and prematurity in women after treatment for AS should be considered as moderate to high risk, especially in patients who have undergone more than one hysteroscopy (HS) or repeated postpartum instrumental revisions of the uterine cavity (Dilation and Curettage; D&C). The detrimental impact of AS on obstetrics outcomes is commonly recognized. However, prospective studies evaluating perinatal/neonatal outcomes in women with AS history are sparse, and the characteristics accounting for the respective morbidity of AS patients remain to be elucidated. We conducted a prospective cohort study utilizing data from patients who underwent HS treatment for moderate to severe AS in a single tertiary University-affiliated hospital (enrolled between 01 January 2009 and March 2021), and who consequently conceived and progressed to at least 22nd gestational week of pregnancy. Perinatal outcomes were compared to a control population without an AS history, retrospectively enrolled concomitantly at the time of delivery for each patient with AS. Maternal and neonatal morbidity was assessed as well as the characteristics-related risk factors of AS patients. Our analytic cohort included a total of 198 patients, 66 prospectively enrolled patients with moderate to severe AS and 132 controls. We used multivariable logistic regression to calculate a propensity score to match 1-1 women with and without AS history based on demographic and clinical factors. After matching, 60 pairs of patients were analysed. Chi-square test was used to compare perinatal outcomes between the pairs. Spearman's correlation analysis was utilized to investigate the correlation between perinatal/neonatal morbidity and the characteristics-related factors of AS patients. The odds ratio (OR) for the associations was calculated by logistic regression. Among the 60 propensity matched pairs, the AS group more frequently experienced overall perinatal morbidity, including abnormally invasive placenta (41.7% vs 0%; P < 0.001), retained placenta requiring manual or surgical removal (46.7% vs 6.7%; P < 0.001), and peripartum haemorrhage occurrence (31.7% vs 3.3%; P < 0.001). Premature delivery (<37 gestational weeks) was reported more frequently also for patients with AS (28.3% vs 5.0%; P < 0.001). However, no increased frequency of intra-uterine growth restriction or worsened neonatal outcomes were observed in AS group. Univariable analysis of risk factors for AS group morbidity outcomes revealed that the main factor related to abnormally invasive placenta was two or more HS procedures (OR 11.0; 95% CI: 1.33-91.23), followed by two or more D&Cs preceding AS treatment (OR 5.11; 95% CI: 1.69-15.45), and D&C performed postpartum as compared to post abortion (OR 3.0; 95% CI: 1.03-8.71). Similarly, two or more HS procedures were observed as the most important factor for retained placenta (OR 13.75; 95% CI: 1.66-114.14), followed by two or more preceding D&Cs (OR 5.16; 95% CI: 1.67-15.9). Premature birth was significantly associated with the number of preceding D&Cs (OR for two or more, 4.29; 95% CI: 1.12-14.91). Although the cohort of patients with AS was enrolled prospectively, a baseline imbalance was intrinsically involved in the retrospective enrolment of the control group. However, to reduce the risk of bias, confounding factors were adjusted for using propensity score matching. The limitation to the generalization of our reported results is the single institution design in which all patients were treated for AS in one tertiary medical centre. Within our search scope, our study represents one of the first and largest prospective studies of perinatal and neonatal outcomes in moderate to severe AS patients with a prospectively analysis of the risks factors of characteristics significantly influencing reported morbidities among patients with AS. The study was supported by the Charles University in Prague [UNCE 204065] and by the institutional grant of The General Faculty Hospital in Prague [00064165]. No competing interests were declared. N/A.

Assessment of Factors Associated With Long-Term Hospitalization in Patients With a Deep Neck Infection.

Deep neck infection (DNI) is a severe infectious disorder of deep neck spaces that can cause serious complications. Long-term hospitalization is when a patient spends more time in the hospital than originally expected for a disease. There are few studies assessing the risk factors associated with long-term hospitalization for a DNI. This study investigated the factors causing DNI patients to experience long-term hospitalization. Long-term hospitalization is defined as a length of hospital stay exceeding 28 days (> 4weeks) in this research. A total of 362 subjects with a DNI between October 2017 and November 2022 were recruited. Among these patients, 20 required long-term hospitalization. The relevant clinical variables were assessed. In a univariate analysis, C-reactive protein (odds ratio [OR] = 1.003, 95% CI: 1.000-1.007, P = .044), involvement of ≥3 deep neck spaces (OR = 2.836, 95% CI: 1.140-7.050, P = .024), and mediastinitis (OR = 8.102, 95% CI: 3.041-21.58, P < .001) were significant risk factors for long-term hospitalization in DNI patients. In a multivariate analysis, mediastinitis (OR = 6.018, 95% CI: 2.058-17.59, P = .001) was a significant independent risk factor for long-term hospitalization for a DNI. There were no significant differences in pathogens between the patients with and without long-term hospitalization (all P > .05). However, the rates of no growth of specific pathogens were significantly different between patients with and without long-term hospitalization, and those with long-term hospitalization had greater rates of growth of specific pathogens (P = .032). The rate of tracheostomy in patients with long-term hospitalization was higher than for those without (P < .001). Nevertheless, the rates of surgical incision and drainage between patients with and without long-term hospitalization did not achieve statistical significance (P = .069). Deep neck infection (DNI) is a critical, life-threatening disease that could lead to long-term hospitalization. The higher CRP and involvement of ≥3 deep neck spaces were significant risk factors in univariate analysis, while concurrent mediastinitis was an independent risk factor associated with long-term hospitalization. We suggest intensive care and prompt airway protection for DNI patients with concurrent mediastinitis.

Efficacy of Reinforced Stapler Versus Hand-sewn Closure of the Pancreatic Stump During Pure Laparoscopic Distal Pancreatectomy to Reduce Pancreatic Fistula.

Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy (L-DP) is the standard procedure for treating left-sided pancreatic tumors. Stapler closure of the pancreas is the preferred method for L-DP; however, postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) remains a challenging problem. The present study aimed to compare the surgical outcomes of staple closure using a reinforcing stapler (RS) and transection using an ultrasonic dissector followed by hand-sewn (HS) closure in a fish-mouth manner in pure L-DP and to determine independent perioperative risk factors for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF). Among the 85 patients who underwent pure L-DP between February 2011 and August 2021, 80 of whom the pancreatic stump was closed with RS (n = 59) or HS (n = 21) were retrospectively investigated. Associations between potential risk factors and POPF were assessed using univariate analysis. The factors, of which the P value was determined to be <0.1 by univariate analysis, were entered into a multivariate regression analysis to ascertain independent predictive factors. The surgery time and estimated blood loss were not significantly different between the two groups. Overall, 13 patients (16.3%) developed CR-POPF (B = 12 and C = 1). The rate of CR-POPF was lower in RS than in HS; however, the difference was not statistically significant (RS vs HS: 11.9% vs 28.9%, P = 0.092). Consistent with the results for CR-POPF, the rate of Clavien-Dindo IIIa or more postoperative complications and the length of hospital stay were also not significantly different between the two groups (RS vs HS: 10.2, 12% vs 14.3%, 14d). In the univariate analysis of risk factors for CR-POPF, the pancreatic thickness at the transection site, procedure for stump closure, and estimated blood loss were associated with a significantly higher rate of CR-POPF. The multivariate analysis revealed that the pancreatic thickness at the transection site (cutoff: 12mm) was the only independent risk factor for CR-POPF (odds ratio: 6.5l, 95% CI: 1.4-30.4, P = 0.018). The rate of CR-POPF was much lower in RS than in HS for pancreatic thickness <12mm (RS vs HS: 4.1% vs 28.6%), whereas that was rather higher in RS than in HS for pancreatic thickness ≥12mm (RS vs HS: 50% vs 28.6%). RS closure was superior to HS closure for pancreatic thickness <12mm and for prevention of CR-POPF after pure L-DP. It is necessary to seek more reliable procedures for pancreatic stump closure in patients with a pancreatic thickness of ≥12mm.