Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a serious diabetes-related complication. While guidelines recommend use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists to mitigate cardiorenal risk in high-risk patients, the benefit of early initiation of these agents relative to other commonly prescribed glucose-lowering agents in patients at lower baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains less clear. Methods: This retrospective observational study emulated an idealized target trial using claims data from OptumLabs® Data Warehouse to test the comparative association of treatment with a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitor, SGLT2 inhibitor, GLP-1 receptor agonist, or sulfonylurea on a primary kidney composite outcome of incident CKD stages 3-5, kidney failure, or need for kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and moderate CVD risk. A secondary composite outcome included all components of the primary composite outcome plus death. Results: A total of 364,714 adults ≥21 years of age initiating treatment with a DPP-4 inhibitor (N=78,843), GLP-1 receptor agonist (N=42,049), SGLT2 inhibitor (N=45,466), or sulfonylurea (N=198,356) were identified. Relative to DPP-4 inhibitor, SGLT2 inhibitor (HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.67-0.74; P˂0.001) and GLP-1 receptor agonist (HR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.83-0.92; P˂0.001) treatment was superior for the primary composite outcome. Similarly, SGLT2 inhibitor (HR: 0.69; CI: 0.66-0.73) and GLP-1 receptor agonist (HR: 0.86; CI: 0.82-0.91) treatment was associated with risk reductions for the primary outcome relative to sulfonylurea treatment. When comparing SGLT2 inhibitor to GLP-1 receptor agonist therapy, SGLT2 inhibitors were superior for the primary composite outcome (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.75-0.76; P˂0.001). Similar findings were observed for the secondary composite outcome across all comparisons. Conclusions: SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were superior to DPP-4 inhibitors and sulfonylurea for preventing kidney complications in a T2D population with moderate baseline CVD risk.
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