Twitter Sentiment Research Articles

Integrating Twitter Sentiment with ML Models for Enhanced Stock Forecasting

This research investigates the integration of Twitter sentiment analysis with machine learning models, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Facebook Prophet, and Neural Prophet, to enhance the accuracy of stock market predictions. While these models are accurate in capturing long-term trends and seasonality, they often fail when exploring the short-term volatility in stock prices. By using real-time social media sentiments, we aim to improve short-term prediction accuracy. Sentiment data from Twitter, extracted and classified using NLP techniques, was integrated with the models to predict stock prices for Apple Inc. (AAPL), Paramount Global (PARA), and BP plc (BP) over the period 2016-2024. The study compares the performance of the models using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Results show that Neural Prophet stood the best in terms of its accuracy and efficiency in stock predictions when compared to LSTM and Facebook Prophet, reducing RMSE by 25% and MAE by 20%. While the integration of sentiment analysis improved prediction accuracy, limitations remain in predicting the scale of sudden market changes. The findings highlight the potential of sentiment analysis in stock prediction but also call for further model enhancements to fully address short-term market volatility.

Application of Machine Learning Techniques to Classify Twitter Sentiments Using Vectorization Techniques

The advancements in social networking have empowered open expression on micro-blogging platforms like Twitter. Traditional Twitter Sentiment Analysis (TSA) faces challenges due to rule-based or dictionary algorithms, dealing with feature selection, ambiguity, sparse data, and language variations. This study proposed a classification framework for Twitter sentiment data using word count vectorization and machine learning techniques to reduce the difficulties faced with annotated sentiment-labelled tweets. Various classifiers (Naïve Bayes (NB), Decision Tree (DT), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Logistic Regression (LR), and Random Forest (RF)) were evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and specificity. Random Forest outperformed the others with an Area under Curve (AUC) value of 0.96 and an average precision (AP) score of 0.96 in sentiment classification, especially effective with minimal Twitter-specific features.

Determining Twitter Trending Hashtags and Sentiments Associated via Machine Learning Approaches

Determining Twitter Trending Hashtags and Sentiments Associated via Machine Learning Approaches

Siamese Graph Convolutional Split-Attention Network with NLP based Social Sentimental Data for enhanced stock price predictions

Predicting stock market behavior using sentiment analysis has become increasingly popular, as customer responses on platforms like Twitter can influence market trends. However, most existing sentiment-based models struggle with two major issues: inaccuracy and high complexity. These problems lead to frequent prediction errors and make the models difficult to implement in real-time trading systems. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a new method called Siagra-ConSA-HSOA (Siamese Graph Convolutional Split-Attention Network with NLP-based Social Sentiment Data). Two data sources feed the model: specifically, NIFTY-50 Stock Market and real-time Twitter sentiment. Through Natural Language Processing (NLP), the raw data is pre-processed and key features are extracted before they are fused into a unified dataset using a cross-domain transformer, namely CDSFT, and then Circle-Inspired Optimization Algorithm (CIOA) selects the most important features from this dataset. This decreases the complexity of the model without losing essential information. Finally, a Graph Convolutional Split-Attention Network (SGCSAN) for promisingly predicting whether the stock prices are going to hit the ground and fly high again or is going to nosedive with Humboldt Squid Optimization Algorithm (HSOA) is introduced to further improve accuracy with lesser error generation. The proposed model Siagra-ConSA-HSOA achieved 99.9% accuracy and 99.8% recall in the testing stage, meaning that such a model performs better than the current approaches both in prediction accuracy and efficiency. Thus, this is a glimmer that the model shall be able to overcome some of the main problems with the current techniques used in predicting the behavior of the stock market.GitHub Repository: https://github.com/jramans2/Siamese-GCN-SplitAttention-Stock-Prediction.git

SOCIAL MEDIA SENTIMENT AND STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE US HI-TECH COMPANIES

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the effects of social media sentiment, measured by Twitter-based uncertainty index, on the stock market volatility of the US technology companies. Design/methodology/approach: Methodologically, we employ the quantile regression model. Our findings reveal that the volatility of Amazon, Apple, Google and IBM stocks are sensitive to the variations in twitter-based economic and market uncertainties (i.e., TEU and TMU indexes). Findings: We observe significant influences at both lower and upper quantiles. Thus, for both high and low volatility regimes, the information on twitter-based uncertainty indexes can be used to predict the market volatility of these leading hi-tech companies. Moreover, TEU and TMU indexes exert positive effects on the stock price implied volatility implying that the variance of these technology firms experiences an upward trend as the social media uncertainty rises. Originality/value: While numerous studies have focused on the influence of social media (e.g., Facebook, twitter etc.) on investment strategies, the impact of twitter sentiments on the risk linked to hi-tech firms remains understudied. Hence, investors participating in the technology sectors could use our findings for managing portfolio risk.

Twitter sentiment analysis using ensemble of multi-channel model based on machine learning and deep learning techniques

Twitter sentiment analysis using ensemble of multi-channel model based on machine learning and deep learning techniques

A Machine Learning Approach for Sentiment Analysis Using Social Media Posts

Sentiment analysis on Twitter provides organizations and persons with quick and effective instrument to observe the public's perceptions of them and their competition. A modest number of assessment datasets have been produced in recent years to check the efficiency of sentiment analysis algorithms on Twitter. Researchers offer a review of eight publicly accessible as well as manually annotated assessment datasets for analyzing Twitter sentiment in this research. As a result of this evaluation, we demonstrate that is a widespread weakness of many when using these datasets performing at sentiment analysis the objective (entity) level is indeed the absence of different sentiment classifications across tweets as well as the objects contained in them.[1], As an example all of that "I love my iPhone but I despise my iPad." Could be marked with a made-by-mixing classify however the object iPhone contained within this Twitter post should be annotated with just a label with an optimism. To get around this restriction and enhance existing assessment We have datasets that provide STS-Gold a novel assessment of datasets in which tweets or objects (entities) remain tagged separately hence might show alternative opinion labels. Though research furthermore compares the various datasets on multiple characteristics such as an entire quantity of posts as well as vocabulary size and sparsity.[2] In addition, look at pair by pair relationships between these variables and how they relate to sentiment classifier performance on various data. In this study we used five different classifiers and compared them and, in our experiment, we found that the bagging ensemble classifier performed best among them and have an accuracy level of 94.2% for the GASP dataset and 91.3% for the STS-Gold dataset.

Does Twitter happiness predict bullish markets? A study of the US stock markets

The evolving literature on using Twitter to capture investor sentiment suggests that stock market performance is linearly associated with Twitter's public mood. We investigate whether investor sentiment determined by the Twitter sentiment index (TSI) has a nonlinear predictive power for stock market behaviour. Using a dataset of seven US stock markets, we apply the cointegration techniques to show the relationship between Twitter sentiment and stock market behaviour. The results suggest a dynamic nonlinear cointegrating relationship. During the short run, Twitter happiness has a substantial effect on stock market indices, while in the long run, it has a moderating effect. Twitter happiness has a dominant effect on the US stock market indices than unhappy Twitter. These results highlight Twitter's growing role in predicting the stock market behaviour and show that the TSI acts as a better predictor of investor sentiment.

Analysis of Public Sentiment Towards Celebrity Endorsment On Social Media Using Support Vector Machine

Analysis of public sentiment towards celebrity endorsements on social media is very important to understand the public's response to promotional campaigns involving celebrities. In this study, we combine the VADER labeling method with the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method to analyze public sentiment toward celebrity endorsements on social media. Data is taken from various social media sources such as Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook. The data is pre-processed to ensure data accuracy and relevance and then labeled with the VADER method to determine the positive, negative, or neutral sentiment of the text. The labeled data is then extracted for features and used to train the SVM model. The trained SVM model is then validated using test data to measure its accuracy and performance. The results of the analysis provide useful insight into public sentiment towards celebrity endorsements on social media and can provide recommendations for stakeholders regarding this matter. Overall, combining the VADER labeling method with SVM in analyzing public sentiment towards celebrity endorsements on social media shows more accurate results and can provide practical benefits in marketing and promotional strategies. The results shown using the Support Vector Machine method with a ratio of 80:20 can provide average precision results of 77%, recall of 100%, f1-score of 87%, and accuracy of 76.92%. Twitter application user sentiment shows that 77% (338 data) of Twitter user reviews provide positive sentiment and 23% (119 data) provide negative sentiment reviews from a total of 517 data. Suggestions from researchers are that in future research they can add more data to make modeling easier to provide higher accuracy values. Using other classification and performance evaluation methods, such as Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, Fuzzy, or Deep Learning. Use other data processing tools, such as RapidMiner, Jupyter Notebook, RStudio, or others.

Market resilience in turbulent times: a proactive approach to predicting stock market responses during geopolitical tensions

PurposeThe Indian stock market can be tricky when there's trouble in the world, like wars or big conflicts. It's like trying to read a secret message. We want to figure out what makes investors nervous or happy, because their feelings often affect how they buy and sell stocks. We're building a tool to make prediction that uses both numbers and people's opinions.Design/methodology/approachHybrid approach leverages Twitter sentiment, market data, volatility index (VIX) and momentum indicators like moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and relative strength index (RSI) to deliver accurate market insights for informed investment decisions during uncertainty.FindingsOur study reveals that geopolitical tensions' impact on stock markets is fleeting and confined to the short term. Capitalizing on this insight, we built a ground-breaking predictive model with an impressive 98.47% accuracy in forecasting stock market values during such events.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors' knowledge, this model's originality lies in its focus on short-term impact, novel data fusion and high accuracy. Focus on short-term impact: Our model uniquely identifies and quantifies the fleeting effects of geopolitical tensions on market behavior, a previously under-researched area. Novel data fusion: Combining sentiment analysis with established market indicators like VIX and momentum offers a comprehensive and dynamic approach to predicting market movements during volatile periods. Advanced predictive accuracy: Achieving the prediction accuracy (98.47%) sets this model apart from existing solutions, making it a valuable tool for informed decision-making.

Public opinion and Chinese exports: evidence from Twitter sentiment analysis

This paper employs web-crawling and sentiment analysis techniques to quantify public opinion and then investigates its effects on Chinese exports to trading partners during 2007–2019. The empirical results show that, after the control of possible reverse causality, negative China-related public opinion is associated with decreased exports. This relationship could be nurtured through three channels namely consumer preference, economic policy uncertainty and political conflicts. Further analysis reveals that the observed relationship is especially prevalent in developed markets and non-participatory countries of the Belt and Road Initiative as well as for industrial and capital-intensive products. In addition, it is found that political relation is positively associated with exports and plays a mitigating role in the negative relationship between public opinion and exports. Our findings have important policy implications. Policy makers are encouraged to think outside the box and exploit soft power of country image to promote exports.

From Tweets to Streets: Observational Study on the Association Between Twitter Sentiment and Anti-Asian Hate Crimes in New York City from 2019 to 2022.

Anti-Asian hate crimes escalated during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, limited research has explored the association between social media sentiment and hate crimes toward Asian communities. This study aims to investigate the relationship between Twitter (rebranded as X) sentiment data and the occurrence of anti-Asian hate crimes in New York City from 2019 to 2022, a period encompassing both before and during COVID-19 pandemic conditions. We used a hate crime dataset from the New York City Police Department. This dataset included detailed information on the occurrence of anti-Asian hate crimes at the police precinct level from 2019 to 2022. We used Twitter's application programming interface for Academic Research to collect a random 1% sample of publicly available Twitter data in New York State, including New York City, that included 1 or more of the selected Asian-related keywords and applied support vector machine to classify sentiment. We measured sentiment toward the Asian community using the rates of negative and positive sentiment expressed in tweets at the monthly level (N=48). We used negative binomial models to explore the associations between sentiment levels and the number of anti-Asian hate crimes in the same month. We further adjusted our models for confounders such as the unemployment rate and the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic. As sensitivity analyses, we used distributed lag models to capture 1- to 2-month lag times. A point increase of 1% in negative sentiment rate toward the Asian community in the same month was associated with a 24% increase (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.24; 95% CI 1.07-1.44; P=.005) in the number of anti-Asian hate crimes. The association was slightly attenuated after adjusting for unemployment and COVID-19 emergence (ie, after March 2020; P=.008). The positive sentiment toward Asian tweets with a 0-month lag was associated with a 12% decrease (IRR 0.88; 95% CI 0.79-0.97; P=.002) in expected anti-Asian hate crimes in the same month, but the relationship was no longer significant after adjusting for the unemployment rate and the emergence of COVID-19 pandemic (P=.11). A higher negative sentiment level was associated with more hate crimes specifically targeting the Asian community in the same month. The findings highlight the importance of monitoring public sentiment to predict and potentially mitigate hate crimes against Asian individuals.

Analyzing Customer Sentiment and Brand Perception: A Comparative Study of Nike

This research paper investigates the role of social media in shaping brand perception and fostering community among customers, with a specific focus on Nike and its subsidiary Converse. Leveraging insights from a case study on footwearnews.com, we explore how Nike has successfully utilized social media platforms to enhance its market position, capturing 57% of the top footwear brand share. In contrast, Converse has struggled, contributing only 7% to the overall sales in the last season. To identify factors contributing to this disparity, we conduct a Twitter sentiment analysis comparing Converse with its major competitor, Vans. This study aims to uncover the underlying issues affecting Converse's market performance and provide actionable recommendations for leveraging social media to improve brand perception and sales.

Tweeting during the Pandemic in New York City: Unveiling the Evolving Sentiment Landscape of NYC through a Spatiotemporal Analysis of Geolocated Tweets

ABSTRACT This article explores the relationship between spatial factors, socioeconomic conditions, and Twitter (now called X) sentiment in New York City (NYC) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using Twitter data, the study investigates how sentiment varied across different geographies. It examines whether sentiment scores, unemployment rates, and COVID-19 hospitalization rates in NYC zip codes revealed spatial associations. The research employs sentiment analysis, a natural language processing technique used to algorithmically determine the emotional tone of a text, on a database of geo-located tweets spanning January to December 2020. The findings reveal a shift towards more negative sentiment during the initial year of the pandemic. Moreover, the study uncovers variations in sentiment trends across boroughs and zip codes. Additionally, a zip code-level fixed-effects model demonstrates a statistically significant relationship between sentiment scores and unemployment rates. In summary, this article makes a two-fold contribution: firstly, it adds a spatial lens to the scholarly debate regarding the use of Twitter data as an indicator of publicly expressed sentiment; secondly, it provides empirical evidence on the spatial interconnectedness of sentiment, health (hospitalization), and socioeconomic factors (unemployment). Overall, this research sheds light on the nuanced relationship between sentiment and space during the COVID-19 pandemic in NYC.

Mental health and exercise during the COVID-19 pandemic: A Twitter sentiment analysis.

Beyond its immediate health consequences, the COVID-19 pandemic led to an exacerbation in the mental health of the global population. Regular exercise and its lack thereof are also known to affect mental health. Tweets and their content analysis can provide information about aspects of users' lives including their health habits and mental health. The purpose of this study was to examine individuals' exercise habits and mental health during the pandemic by means of sentiment and correlational analyses. These results indicate that, while exercise and mental health tweets were more COVID-focused in the first 12 months of the pandemic, exercise tweets became more exercise-focused, and mental health tweets became more mental-health-focused eventually during the pandemic. Efforts to increase exercise participation in individuals may prove beneficial. Further research needs to examine the effects of exercise on mental health in the aftermath of COVID-19.

Fine-Grained Sentiment Classification Using Generative Pretrained Transformer

Social media platforms have seen a significant increase in the number of users and content in recent years. Owing to the increased usage of these platforms, incidents of teasing, provocation—both positive and negative—and harassment, and community attacks have increased tremendously. There is an urgent need to automatically identify such content or tweets that can hamper the well-being of an individual or society. Analyzing social media messages from Twitter and Facebook has become the focus of sentiment analysis in recent years, which formerly focused on online product evaluations. Sentiment analysis is used in a wide range of fields besides product reviews, including harassment, stock markets, elections, disasters, and software engineering. After the tweets have been preprocessed, the extracted features are categorized using classifiers like decision trees, logistic regression, multinomial nave Bayes, support vector machines, random forests, and Bernoulli nave Bayes, as well as deep learning techniques like recurrent neural network (RNN) models, long short-term memory (LSTM) models, bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) models, and convolutional neural network (CNN) model for sentiment analysis. In this paper, different techniques are compared to classify Twitter tweets into three categories: “positive,” “negative,” and “neutral.” We proposed a novel data-balancing technique for text classification. A text classification technique is proposed for analyzing textual data using the Generative Pretrained Transformer model owing to its contextual understanding and more realistic data generation capability. Comparative analysis of different Machine learning and Deep learning models are performed with and without data balancing. The experiments show that the accuracy and F1-measure of the Twitter sentiment classification classifier are improved. The proposed ensemble has outperformed and achieved an accuracy of 90%, precision of 88%, and 81% F1 score.

COMPARISON OF DEEP LEARNING TECHNIQUES FOR TEXTUAL SENTIMENT ANALYSIS

Examining the opinions of the people might provide us with valuable knowledge. Sentiment analysis is a method for analyzing textual data that helps find subjective information, such as opinions and feelings that individuals or groups have expressed. It improves our understanding of human language using deep learning and natural language techniques. Several deep learning models, including RNNs, LSTMs, GRUs, and their bidirectional variants, are compared in this work. Three publicly available datasets - the imdb_reviews, Twitter Sentiment Dataset, and Emotions dataset were used in the investigation. Accuracy performance is evaluated for six deep learning models. According to experimental studies, bidirectional structures outperform their unidirectional counterparts in most cases. Across several datasets, the bidirectional models continuously produced the best accuracy.

Handling Class Imbalance for Indonesian Twitter Sentiment Analysis A Comparative Study of Algorithms

Handling Class Imbalance for Indonesian Twitter Sentiment Analysis A Comparative Study of Algorithms

An Optimized Approach for Emotion Detection in Real- Time for Twitter Sentiment Analysis with Natural Language Processing

An Optimized Approach for Emotion Detection in Real- Time for Twitter Sentiment Analysis with Natural Language Processing

A Review of Deep Learning Models for Twitter Sentiment Analysis: Challenges and Opportunities

A Review of Deep Learning Models for Twitter Sentiment Analysis: Challenges and Opportunities