Tree-ring Stable Isotope Research Articles

The collapse of the Ming Dynasty actually began with the Wanli megadrought: Insights from a hydroclimate reconstruction based on tree-ring δ18O over the past 460 years

Climate change has played a pivotal role in shaping Chinese history, especially during the Ming Dynasty. Previous studies have focused primarily on the Chongzhen megadrought, which is widely considered as the primary climatic perturbation behind the demise of the Ming Dynasty. However, relatively little is known about other severe drought events and their potential impact on the dynasty collapse. Additionally, the characteristics of an exceptional climatic anomaly termed the “Late Ming Weak Monsoon Period” are unclear. In this study, we reconstructed the historical variations of Palmer Drought Severity Index for July–September based on tree-ring stable oxygen isotopes (δ18O) from 1556 CE to 2015 CE in southwest Chinese Loess Plateau. Our study reveals a significant weakening of the Asian summer monsoon between 1561 CE and 1661 CE, consistent with the Late Ming Weak Monsoon Period, and unravels its structural characteristics in detail. Our reconstruction also captures a distinct humidification trend over northwest China since the early 2000s. Notably, in addition to the well-known Chongzhen megadrought, our study records the severe Wanli megdrought (1585–1590 CE) during the late Ming Dynasty, an event that rarely featured in earlier studies, exhibiting comparable duration and severity to the Chongzhen megadrought. Further analysis indicates that Wanli megadrought may have served as an early trigger for the collapse of the Ming Dynasty. Furthermore, our analysis implicates the El Niño–Southern Oscillation as a contributing factor in both the Wanli and Chongzhen megadroughts, and thus to the ultimate collapse of the Ming Dynasty by affecting the Asian summer monsoon intensity.

Methodological constrains of tree-ring stable isotope chronologies

Tree-ring stable isotope (TRSI) chronologies that combine information from living and relict wood have the potential to capture long-term trends that might be missing in traditional tree-ring width and maximum latewood density measurements. Our understanding of the possible effects of different methods to develop TRSI chronologies is, however, still incomplete. Here, we compare and evaluate five such methods applied to three multi-millennial-long oxygen isotope (δ18O) TRSI datasets from central Europe, the European Alps and Japan: (a) raw data, (b) cohort correction, (c) interactive mean correction, (d) outlier correction, and (e) series normalization. We show that the spectral properties preserved in the final TRSI chronologies not only depend on the data used, but also on the techniques applied. Method (a) is particularly prone to outliers if the sample size is low. Method (b) may create artificial steps and trends when single measurement series share similar start dates and/or when end and start dates are systematically skewed. Methods (c) and (d) yield similar results for annually resolved data, yet (d) is more suitable for temporally pooled datasets and less sensitive to potential biological age effects. Method (e) removes any low-frequency signal. Our findings demonstrate the risks and rewards of different TRSI chronology development techniques that must be carefully adapted to both, the data used and the question posed.

Tree-ring hydrological research in the Himalaya: State of the art and future directions

Recent developments in tree-ring research offer great potential for reconstructing past climate changes; determining the frequencies of natural hazards; and assessing the availability of freshwater resources over timescales that extend well into the pre-instrumental period. Here, we review the state of dendrochronological research in the Himalaya and outline future directions for tree-ring-based hydrological reconstructions in a region that has a pressing societal need to understand the causes and consequences of past, present and future changes in the hydrological cycle. We used ‘tree ring’ and ‘Himalaya’ as keywords to identify scholarly articles from the Web of Science that were published between 1994 and 2022. The resulting 173 publications were separated by their spatial coverage into the western, central and eastern Himalaya, as well as their scientific purpose (e.g. reconstructing growth-climate relationships, temperature, precipitation, streamflow, floods, droughts, etc.). Our analysis shows that dendrochronological research in the Himalaya primarily focused on understanding growth-climate relationships using annual tree-ring widths measurements obtained for coniferous species, and their application in climate reconstructions. Reconstructions of hydrological processes such as streamflows, and extremes such as glacial and landslide lake outburst floods, have received less attention. Recent advances in dendrochronology, including blue intensity (BI), quantitative wood anatomy (QWA), and tree-ring stable isotopes (TRSI) should be combined to improve the resolution and accuracy of hydrological reconstructions in all parts of the Himalaya. Such studies may allow us to better understand the effects of climate change and the Himalayan water resources for its lowland surroundings. They may also facilitate decision-making processes for mitigating the impacts of climate change on natural hazards, and for better managing water resources in the region.

Rising utilization of stable isotopes in tree rings for climate change and forest ecology

Analyses of stable isotopes (C, O, H) in tree rings are increasingly important cross-disciplinary programs. The rapid development in this field documented in an increasing number of publications requires a comprehensive review. This study includes a bibliometric analysis-based review to better understand research trends in tree ring stable isotope research. Overall, 1475 publications were selected from the Web of Science Core Collection for 1974–2023. The findings are that: (1) numbers of annual publications and citations increased since 1974. From 1974 to 1980, there were around two relevant publications per year. However, from 2020 to 2022, this rose sharply to 109 publications per year. Likewise, average article citations were less than four per year before 1990, but were around four per article per year after 2000; (2) the major subjects using tree ring stable isotopes include forestry, geosciences, and environmental sciences, contributing to 42.5% of the total during 1974–2023; (3) the top three most productive institutions are the Chinese Academy of Sciences (423), the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (227), and the University of Arizona (204). These achievements result from strong collaborations; (4) review papers, for example, (Dawson et al., Annu Rev Ecol Syst 33:507–559, 2002) and (McCarroll and Loader, Quat Sci Rev 23:771–801, 2004), are among the most cited, with more than 1000 citations; (5) tree ring stable isotope studies mainly focus on climatology and ecology, with atmospheric CO2 one of the most popular topics. Since 2010, precipitation and drought have received increasing attention. Based on this analysis, the research stages, key findings, debated issues, limitations and directions for future research are summarized. This study serves as an important attempt to understand the progress on the use of stable isotopes in tree rings, providing scientific guidance for young researchers in this field.

Thawing permafrost can mitigate warming-induced drought stress in boreal forest trees

Perennially frozen soil, also known as permafrost, is important for the functioning and productivity of most of the boreal forest, the world's largest terrestrial biome. A better understanding of complex vegetation-permafrost interrelationships is needed to predict changes in local- to large-scale carbon, nutrient, and water cycle dynamics under future global warming. Here, we analyze tree-ring width and tree-ring stable isotope (C and O) measurements of Gmelin larch (Larix gmelinii (Rupr.) Rupr.) from six permafrost sites in the northern taiga of central Siberia. Our multi-parameter approach shows that changes in tree growth were predominantly controlled by the air and topsoil temperature and moisture content of the active soil and upper permafrost layers. The observed patterns range from strong growth limitations by early summer temperatures at higher elevations to significant growth controls by precipitation at warmer and well-drained lower-elevation sites. Enhanced radial tree growth is mainly found at sites with fast thawing upper mineral soil layers, and the comparison of tree-ring isotopes over five-year periods with different amounts of summer precipitation indicates that trees can prevent drought stress by accessing water from melted snow and seasonally frozen soil. Identifying the active soil and upper permafrost layers as central water resources for boreal tree growth during dry summers demonstrates the complexity of ecosystem responses to climatic changes.

Assessing earlywood-latewood proportion influence on tree-ring stable isotopes

Tree-ring stable isotopes are typically measured in latewood cellulose to mitigate potential carry-over effects from previous year storage pools. The isotopic composition of individual tree-ring segments is thought to include considerable intra-annual variability. This sampling strategy may be complicated by steep intra-annual isotope gradients that can rival the inter-annual variability, however. Consistent sampling of latewood material may not always be possible due to low sample availability or high prevalence of narrow rings or low amounts of latewood because of species-specific changes in ring width. Therefore, years that contain samples with higher portions of non-latewood (earlywood) material may influence the final chronology of isotopic variability. Here, we analyze the potential influence that changing earlywood and latewood components of individual tree rings can have on stable carbon and oxygen records from Quercus spp. and Pinus heldreichii chronologies. Analysis of stable isotopes in oak tree rings with varying amounts of latewood show no statistically significant differences in the range of isotopic composition, nor any major differences when considering the same calendric year. Similar results were found for the pine data, when comparing stable isotope measurements with earlywood-to-latewood ratio and maximum density. We argue that this simple approach should be applied to any long-term tree-ring stable isotope record in order to provide a better understanding of the potential biases that could arise from previously recorded intra-annual variability in the wood.

Central European Agroclimate over the Past 2000 Years

Abstract Central Europe has experienced a sequence of unprecedented summer droughts since 2015, which had considerable effects on the functioning and productivity of natural and agricultural systems. Placing these recent extremes in a long-term context of natural climate variability is, however, constrained by the limited length of observational records. Here, we use tree-ring stable oxygen and carbon isotopes to develop annually resolved reconstructions of growing season temperature and summer moisture variability for central Europe during the past 2000 years. Both records are independently interpolated across the southern Czech Republic and northeastern Austria to produce explicit estimates of the optimum agroclimatic zones, based on modern references of climatic forcing. Historical documentation of agricultural productivity and climate variability since 1090 CE provides strong quantitative verification of our new reconstructions. Our isotope records not only contain clear expressions of the medieval (920–1000 CE) and Renaissance (early sixteenth century) droughts, but also the relative influence of temperature and moisture on hydroclimatic conditions during the first millennium (including previously reported pluvials during the early third, fifth, and seventh centuries of the Common Era). We conclude that Czech agricultural production has experienced significant extremes over the past 2000 years, which includes periods for which there are no modern analogs. Significance Statement As temperatures increase, droughts are becoming a growing concern for European agriculture. Our study allows recent extremes to be contextualized and helps to better the understanding of potential drivers. Stable carbon and oxygen isotopes in oak tree rings were analyzed to reconstruct year-to-year and longer-term changes in both temperature and moisture over central Europe and the past 2000 years. We combine these proxy-based climate reconstructions to model how well crops were growing in the past. The early fifth and the early sixteenth centuries of the Common Era were most likely characterized by extreme conditions beyond what has been experienced in recent decades. Our reconstructions of natural variability might be used as a baseline in projections of future conditions.

The North American Monsoon buffers forests against the ongoing megadrought in the Southwestern United States.

The US Southwest has been entrenched in a two-decade-long megadrought (MD), the most severe since 800 CE, which threatens the long-term vitality and persistence of regional montane forests. Here, we report that in the face of record low winter precipitation and increasing atmospheric aridity, seasonal activity of the North American Monsoon (NAM) climate system brings sufficient precipitation during the height of the summer to alleviate extreme tree water stress. We studied seasonally resolved, tree-ring stable carbon isotope ratios across a 57-year time series (1960-2017) in 17 Ponderosa pine forests distributed across the NAM geographic domain. Our study focused on the isotope dynamics of latewood (LW), which is produced in association with NAM rains. During the MD, populations growing within the core region of the NAM operated at lower intrinsic and higher evaporative water-use efficiencies (WUEi and WUEE , respectively), compared to populations growing in the periphery of the NAM domain, indicating less physiological water stress in those populations with access to NAM moisture. The disparities in water-use efficiencies in periphery populations are due to a higher atmospheric vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and reduced access to summer soil moisture. The buffering advantage of the NAM, however, is weakening. We observed that since the MD, the relationship between WUEi and WUEE in forests within the core NAM domain is shifting toward a drought response similar to forests on the periphery of the NAM. After correcting for past increases in the atmospheric CO2 concentration, we were able to isolate the LW time-series responses to climate alone. This showed that the shift in the relation between WUEi and WUEE was driven by the extreme increases in MD-associated VPD, with little advantageous influence on stomatal conductance from increases in atmospheric CO2 concentration.

Tree-rings stable isotope (δ18O and δ2H) based 368 years long term precipitation reconstruction of South Eastern Kashmir Himalaya

The hydroclimatic variability in Kashmir Himalaya is influenced by the western disturbances and the Indian Summer Monsoon. To investigate long-term hydroclimatic variability, 368 years tree-ring oxygen and hydrogen isotope ratios (δ18O and δ2H) extending from 1648 to 2015 CE were analysed. These isotopic ratios are calculated using five core samples of Himalayan silver fir (Abies pindrow) collected from the south-eastern region of Kashmir valley. The relationship between the long and short periodicity components of δ18O and δ2H suggested that physiological processes had a minimum effect on the tree-ring stable isotopes in Kashmir Himalaya. The δ18O chronology was developed based on the average of five-individual tree-ring δ18O time series covering the time span of 1648–2015 CE. The climate response analysis revealed the strongest and most significant negative correlation between tree ring δ18O and precipitation amount from the previous year's December to current year's August (D2Apre). The reconstructed D2Apre (D2Arec) explains precipitation variability from 1671 to 2015 CE and is supported by historical and other proxy-based hydroclimatic records. The reconstruction has two distinguishing features: first, it is characterized by stable wet conditions during the last phase of Little Ice Age (LIA) i.e., from 1682 to 1841 CE; and second, the southeast Kashmir Himalaya had experienced drier conditions as compared to recent and historical period with intense pluvial events since 1850. The present reconstruction shows, there have been more extreme dry events than extreme wet events since 1921. A tele-connection is observed between D2Arec and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) of the Westerly region.

Differences in the Responses of Tree-Ring Stable Carbon Isotopes of L. sibirica and P. schrenkiana to Climate in the Eastern Tianshan Mountains

The eastern Tianshan Mountains are located in the arid interior of Asia, where tree growth is especially sensitive to climate. The ratio of stable carbon isotopes (δ13C) in the tree rings can provide information on changes in atmospheric CO2 concentrations, water availability, and physiological processes within the tree. In particular, the use of tree-ring δ13C values as a proxy for past atmospheric CO2 concentrations has gained widespread acceptance. In this study, detrended stable carbon isotope chronologies (13Ccorr) of Larix sibirica Ledeb. and Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey was established using tree-ring samples from high elevations in the eastern Tianshan Mountains of Xinjiang, China. The relationships between the tree-ring 13Ccorr and different climatic factors were explored using the correlation function and collinearity analysis. Our results demonstrate that the tree-ring δ13Ccorr of L. sibirica is significantly and negatively correlated with precipitation and relative humidity during the growing season. The main climate factor affecting the stable carbon isotope fractionation of L. sibirica during the growing season is relative humidity during the growing season. The tree-ring δ13Ccorr of P. schrenkiana is significantly and negatively correlated with the mean temperature, mean minimum temperature, precipitation, and vapor pressure deficit from the end of the previous growing season and throughout the current growing season, especially in summer. However, it is significantly and positively correlated with relative humidity, indicating that the relationship between the climate factors and the tree-ring stable carbon isotope fractionation of P. schrenkiana is more complex. Further analysis showed that summer temperature and summer precipitation jointly controlled the tree-ring stable carbon isotope fractionation of P. schrenkiana at a high elevation. This research has important implications for our understanding of past and future climate change, as well as for the development of effective strategies to mitigate and adapt to these changes. This study also contributed to the development of a more in-depth understanding of the effects of climate change on tree growth in extremely arid environments and provided evidence to support effective forest management in arid regions.

The effects of intrinsic water-use efficiency and climate on wood anatomy.

Climate warming may induce growth decline in warm-temperate areas subjected to seasonal soil moisture deficit, whereas increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration (Ca) is expected to enhance tree growth. An accurate understanding of tree growth and physiological processes responding to climate warming and increasing Ca is critical. Here, we analyzed tree-ring stable carbon isotope and wood anatomical traits of Pinus tabuliformis from Qinling Mountains in China to understand how lumen diameter (LD) determining potential hydraulic conductivity and cell-wall thickness (CWT) determining carbon storage responded to climate and Ca. The effects of climate and Ca on intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE) were isolated, and iWUE values due to only-climate (iWUEClim) and only-CO2 effects (iWUECO2) were obtained. During a low-iWUE period, the influences of climate on earlywood (EW) LD and latewood (LW) CWT prevailed. During a high-iWUE period, CO2 fertilization promoted cell enlargement and carbon storage but this was counteracted by a negative influence of climate warming. The limiting direct effects of iWUEClim and indirect effects of climate on EW LD were greater than on LW CWT. P. tabuliformis in temperate forests will face a decline of growth and carbon fixation, but will produce embolism-resistant tracheids with narrow lumen responding to future hotter droughts.

European tree-ring isotopes indicate unusual recent hydroclimate

In recent decades, Europe has experienced more frequent flood and drought events. However, little is known about the long-term, spatiotemporal hydroclimatic changes across Europe. Here we present a climate field reconstruction spanning the entire European continent based on tree-ring stable isotopes. A pronounced seasonal consistency in climate response across Europe leads to a unique, well-verified spatial field reconstruction of European summer hydroclimate back to AD 1600. We find three distinct phases of European hydroclimate variability as possible fingerprints of solar activity (coinciding with the Maunder Minimum and the end of the Little Ice Age) and pronounced decadal variability superimposed by a long-term drying trend from the mid-20th century. We show that the recent European summer drought (2015–2018) is highly unusual in a multi-century context and unprecedented for large parts of central and western Europe. The reconstruction provides further evidence of European summer droughts potentially being influenced by anthropogenic warming and draws attention to regional differences.

Climate impacts on tree-ring stable isotopes across the Northern Hemispheric boreal zone

Boreal regions are changing rapidly with anthropogenic global warming. In order to assess risks and impacts of this process, it is crucial to put these observed changes into a long-term perspective. Summer air temperature variability can be well reconstructed from conifer tree rings. While the application of stable isotopes can potentially provide complementary climatic information over different seasons.In this study, we developed new triple stable isotope chronologies in tree-ring cellulose (δ13Ctrc, δ18Otrc, δ2Htrc) from a study site in Canada. Additionally, we performed regional aggregated analysis of available stable isotope chronologies from 6 conifers' tree species across high-latitudinal (HL) and - altitudinal (HA) as well as Siberian (SIB) transects of the Northern Hemispheric boreal zone.Our results show that summer air temperature still plays an important role in determining tree-ring isotope variability at 11 out of 24 sites for δ13Ctrc, 6 out of 18 sites for δ18Otrc and 1 out of 6 sites for δ2Htrc. Precipitation, relative humidity and vapor pressure deficit are significantly and consistently recorded in both δ13Ctrc and δ18Otrc along HL.Summer sunshine duration is captured by all isotopes, mainly for HL and HA transects, indicating an indirect link with an increase in air and leaf temperature. A mixed temperature-precipitation signal is preserved in δ13Ctrc and δ18Otrc along SIB transect. The δ2Htrc data obtained for HL-transect provide information not only about growing seasonal moisture and temperature, but also capture autumn, winter and spring sunshine duration signals. We conclude that a combination of triple stable isotopes in tree-ring studies can provide a comprehensive description of climate variability across the boreal forest zone and improve ecohydrological reconstructions.

Regional tree-ring oxygen isotope deduced summer monsoon drought variability for Kumaun-Gharwal Himalaya

The precipitation in the Kumaun-Gharwal (Uttarakhand) Himalaya (KGH) is predominantly regulated by the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and has been declining over the last century. However, because of limited historical data, it is difficult to place this recent decreasing trend in the context of pre-anthropogenic influences and understand a fuller range of hydroclimate scenarios for the region. Thus, we developed a 508-year regional tree-ring stable oxygen isotope (δ18OTR) record for multiple coniferous taxa (Abies spectabilis, Cedrus deodara and Picea smithiana) for the KGH, which spanned 1508–2015 CE. The δ18OTR record explained 35.8% of instrumental June–August Palmer Drought Severity Index (JJAPDSI) variance modelled from a nearby meteorological station. The JJAPDSI reconstruction shows regional coherency with both instrumental and proxy-based independent hydroclimatic records providing confidence that it is a reliable proxy to assess the long term hydroclimatic variability of the region. We identified decreasing strength of JJAPDSI reconstruction in KGH during recent decades indicating intensified drought. This is in the context of pre-anthropogenic influences and understand a fuller range of hydroclimate scenarios for the region. The δ18OTR also has coherency with Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variability illustrating the broader teleconnections that influence the regional hydroclimate.

Impacts of climate and tree morphology on tree-ring stable isotopes in central Mongolia.

Recent climate extremes in Mongolia have ignited a renewed interest in understanding past climate variability over centennial and longer time scales across north-central Asia. Tree-ring width records have been extensively studied in Mongolia as proxies for climate reconstruction, however, the climate and environmental signals of tree-ring stable isotopes from this region need to be further explored. Here, we evaluated a 182-year record of tree-ring δ13C and δ18O from Siberian Pine (Pinus sibirica Du Tour) from a xeric site in central Mongolia (Khorgo Lava) to elucidate the environmental factors modulating these parameters. First, we analyzed the climate sensitivity of tree-ring δ13C and δ18O at Khorgo Lava for comparison with ring-width records, which have been instrumental in reconstructing hydroclimate in central Mongolia over two millennia. We also compared stable isotope records of trees with partial cambial dieback ('strip-bark morphology'), a feature of long-lived conifers growing on resource-limited sites, and trees with a full cambium ('whole-bark morphology'), to assess the inferred leaf-level physiological behavior of these trees. We found that interannual variability in tree-ring δ13C and δ18O reflected summer hydroclimatic variability, and captured recent, extreme drought conditions, thereby complementing ring-width records. The tree-ring δ18O records also had a spring temperature signal and thus expanded the window of climate information recorded by these trees. Over longer time scales, strip-bark trees had an increasing trend in ring-widths, δ13C (and intrinsic water-use efficiency, iWUE) and δ18O, relative to whole-bark trees. Our results suggest that increases in iWUE at this site might be related to a combination of leaf-level physiological responses to increasing atmospheric CO2, recent drought, and stem morphological changes. Our study underscores the potential of stable isotopes for broadening our understanding of past climate in north-central Asia. However, further studies are needed to understand how stem morphological changes might impact stable isotopic trends.

Inter-annual and intra-annual tree-ring oxygen isotope signals in response to monsoon rainfall in northwestern Thailand

We present a new teak ( Tectona grandis L.f.) tree-ring stable oxygen isotope (δ18OTR) chronology from Mae Tuen (MT) site, Tak province, northwestern Thailand at inter-annual (167-year, A.D.1850–2016) and intra-annual (A.D.2006–2016) timescales. The inter-annual δ18OTR chronology showed a significant negative correlation ( r = −0.678, p < 0.01) with the May–October amount of regional rainfall obtained from CRU TS4.03. We established a linear regression model that explained 46.0% of the actual rainfall variance and reconstructed monsoon season rainfall back to A.D.1850. The seasonal variations in moisture conditions were reflected in inter-annual δ18OTR variability. The rainfall amount and δ18O in precipitation (δ18Op) mainly controlled intra-annual variations in teak δ18OTR. These results show that the variation in Thai teak δ18OTR is dominated by rainfall, highlighting the strength of δ18OTR as a monsoon rainfall proxy.

Permafrost degradation alters the environmental signals recorded in tree-ring lignin methoxy group δ2H in northeastern China

Climate warming has profoundly altered the status of permafrost and has caused extensive permafrost degradation in the Northern Hemisphere. However, long-term observations investigating the hydrological dynamics of permafrost and its ecological effects on plant growth are lacking. Previous studies have reported tree-ring stable hydrogen isotope ratios of lignin methoxy groups (δ2HLM) as an archive of hydrological signals. This study sampled tree-ring cores from a Larix gmelinii forest in Nanwenghe Forest Park, Northeastern China, and separately measured the tree-ring δ2HLM for earlywood and latewood from 1900 to 2020. Earlywood and latewood δ2HLM values, as well as the difference between them, showed no significant long-term trend from 1900 to 1987; however, they both exhibited significant increasing trends since 1988 at rates of 2.6 ‰ and 4.9 ‰ per decade, respectively. This variance changes the magnitude of the difference between the two chronologies and can be explained by the shift in source water δ2H values during tree growth. Based on a structural equation model analysis, when the influence of permafrost melting weakened due to permafrost degradation, the growing season temperature was better recorded in latewood δ2HLM through the effects of precipitation δ2H from July to September. Based on the environmental response of tree-ring δ2HLM in the permafrost region, permafrost degradation influences the source water δ2H values of trees, thereby affecting the expression of temperature signals in tree-ring δ2HLM. The novel results in this study provide a new perspective on permafrost degradation based on the dynamic responses of tree-ring δ2HLM to source water δ2H during permafrost degradation.

A 230-Year Summer Precipitation Variations Recorded by Tree-Ring δ18O in Heng Mountains, North China

To explore the history of the changes in monsoon precipitation and their driving mechanisms in the context of global warming, climatology studies using tree-ring stable oxygen isotopes (δ18O) were carried out in Shanxi Province, China. Based on a tree-ring δ18O series from Pinus tabulaeformis Carr. on Heng Mountain, a 230-year June–July precipitation sequence from 1784 to 2013 AD was reconstructed that explained 45% of the total variance (44% after adjusting the degrees of freedom). The reconstructed sequence captured the characteristics of the variations in precipitation. Periods of drought occurred mainly in 1820–1840 AD, 1855–1865 AD, 1895–1910 AD, 1925–1930 AD, and 1970–1995 AD, and wet periods occurred mainly in 1880–1895 AD, 1910–1925 AD, and 1935–1960 AD. The dry and wet years in the precipitation reconstruction corresponded well to the years in which disaster events were documented in historical records. A spatial correlation analysis with Climatic Research Unit (CRU)-gridded precipitation data indicated that the reconstructed precipitation provided good regional representation and reflected large-scale June–July precipitation changes in northern China. In addition, the reconstructed precipitation sequence was also significantly correlated with the dry and wet index (DWI) and other tree-ring dry/wet reconstructions from the surrounding areas. The correlation between the reconstructed precipitation and the Asian monsoon index showed that the precipitation can indicate the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon. Moreover, a significant negative correlation was found between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the reconstructed precipitation. At the decadal scale, the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the positive phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) may co-promote summer precipitation in the study area.

Variable Response in Alpine Tree-Ring Stable Isotopes Following Volcanic Eruptions in the Tropics and Iceland

The importance of the stable isotopes in tree rings for the study of the climate variations caused by volcanic eruptions is still unclear. We studied δ18O, δD, δ13C stable isotopes of larch and cembran pine cellulose around four major eruptions with annual resolution, along with a superposed epoch analysis of 34 eruptions with 5-year resolution. Initial analysis of the tropical Tambora (1815 CE) and Samalas (1257 CE) eruptions showed a post-eruption decrease in δ18O values attributed to post-volcanic cooling and increased summer precipitation in Southern Europe, as documented by observations and climate simulations. The post-volcanic cooling was captured by the δD of speleothem fluid inclusion. The δ18O decrease was also observed in the analysis of 34 major tropical eruptions over the last 2000 years. In contrast, the eruptions of c. 750, 756, and 764 CE attributed to Icelandic volcanoes left no significant responses in the cellulose isotopes. Further analysis of all major Icelandic eruptions in the last 2000 years showed no consistent isotopic fingerprints, with the exception of lower post-volcanic δ13C values in larch. In summary, the δ18O values of cellulose can provide relevant information on climatic and hydroclimatic variations following major tropical volcanic eruptions, even when using the 5-year resolution wood samples of the Alpine Tree-Ring Isotope Record database.

Stable isotopes reveal differences in climate sensitivity and physiological responses between dieback and healthy trees in a shelter forest

Tree-ring stable isotopes provide insights into the drought-induced eco-physiological mechanisms of forests. We investigated the growth of poplar and Mongolian pine trees decline in the Three-North Shelter Forest, and analyzed the differences in tree-ring width (TW), δ13C, δ18O, and intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE) between dieback and healthy trees. An R package was used to quantify the relative contributions of climatic and physiological factors to growth. Both TW and basal area increment were lower for the dieback poplar and Mongolian pine than for the healthy trees.δ13C, δ18O, and iWUE were higher for the dieback poplar than for the healthy individuals; there were no significant differences in Mongolian pine. The measured iWUE for healthy poplar, healthy and dieback Mongolian pine were consistent with the modeled iWUE for Ci/ Ca scenario, indicating the stomata were open and Ci increased along with Ca. In contrast, the measured iWUE was higher for the dieback poplar than for the healthy individuals, which was consistent with the constant Ci scenario and partial stomatal closure. A significant decreasing Ci/Ca was detected only for the dieback poplar, reflecting the diversity in the leaf gas-exchange strategies of the two species. Pearson coefficients showed that on the annual timescale, tree growth was significantly negatively correlated with temperature, VPD, and iWUE, but positively correlated with SPEI. Moreover, the relationships between TW and stable isotopes and stomatal regulation, which differed in the two species, were affected by the dieback process. Furthermore, iWUE andδ18O had the highest and lowest relative contributions to TW, respectively. The relative contribution of meteorological factors (Tem, VPD and SPEI) to the growth was significantly lower than that of physiological factors (iWUE and δ18O). Compared with the healthy controls of both species, the dieback trees were less sensitive to climate conditions, but the effects of physiological activities on growth were greater. These results provide a better understanding of the climate sensitivity and physiological responses of trees under long-term drought conditions.