Treatment Propensity Score Research Articles

Renin–angiotensin system inhibition and mortality in patients undergoing dialysis with coronary artery disease: insights from a multi-center observational study

ABSTRACT Background While the survival benefits of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) are firmly established in the general population, their efficacy within patient undergoing dialysis with coronary artery disease (CAD) remains controversial. Methods Between January 2015 and June 2021, 1168 patients undergoing dialysis with CAD were assessed from 30 tertiary medical centers. The primary outcome was all-cause death, and the secondary outcome was cardiovascular death. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM) were performed to account for between-group differences. Results Overall, ACEI or ARB were prescribed to 518 patients (44.3%) upon discharge. After a median follow-up of 22.2 months, 361 (30.9%) patients died, including 243 cardiovascular deaths. The use of ACEI or ARB was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause (25.3% vs 35.4%, hazard ratio [HR] 0.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.52–0.82, p < 0.001) and cardiovascular death (17.0% vs 23.8%; HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48–0.83, p = 0.001). These findings remained consistent across IPTW and PSM analyses. Sensitivity analyses for ACEI and ARB use separately yielded similar results. Conclusions Our findings suggested that among patients undergoing dialysis with CAD, ACEI or ARB use was associated with a lower risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death.

Evaluating the impact of brachytherapy duration on therapeutic outcomes in patients with cervical cancer

The total duration of radiotherapy for patients with cervical cancer should be limited to 56 days to optimize treatment outcomes. This study aimed to statistically evaluate the effects of extended radiotherapy duration on survival and complications in 649 patients with cervical cancer treated with brachytherapy at our institution from 2014 to 2019. All patients had undergone intensity-modulated external beam radiation therapy, with 525 receiving two-dimensional (2D) brachytherapy and 124 receiving three-dimensional (3D) brachytherapy. Using the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM), clinical data regarding treatment duration, survival outcomes, and complications were analyzed. PSM revealed that overall survival (OS) did not significantly differ between patients receiving prolonged treatment (&gt;56 days) and those receiving treatment for a standard duration (&lt;56 days) (P &gt; 0.05). However, among patients who had received 2D brachytherapy, prolonged treatment correlated with increased recurrence and metastasis risks (P &lt; 0.001); this trend was not evident in patients receiving 3D brachytherapy (P = 0.287). Higher FIGO stages were associated with worse OS and higher progression risks, which persisted post-IPTW adjustment. Extended radiotherapy duration was linked to a higher incidence of rectal and bladder reactions, particularly in the 2D group. Consequently, strictly controlling radiotherapy duration for patients receiving 2D brachytherapy is essential to reduce recurrence and metastasis risks. Close monitoring of rectal and bladder reactions is also recommended.

Experience-based transition to robotic surgery in an experienced program in minimally invasive hepatobiliary surgery.

The adoption of robotic techniques in liver surgery introduces significant challenges for their safe integration within hepatobiliary surgery units. This study is designed to investigate the complexities associated with establishing a robotic surgery program. Data on robotic hepatobiliary surgeries were prospectively collected from October 2021 to October 2023. Historical cohorts from the institutional experiences for comparison were hand-assisted (HALS) and purely laparoscopic procedures (PLS). Inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching were employed to compare outcomes between PLS and robotic resections. The learning curve for robotic surgeries was evaluated by the cumulative sum method. In this study, 454 patients were enrolled (113 robotic surgeries, 157 HALS, and 184 PLS). The posterosuperior segments resections were significantly higher in the robotic group (47.8%) compared to PLS (31.5%) and HALS (35.7%). There were no conversions in the robotic group, in PLS 2.7% and HALS 3.8%. The degree of difficulty according to the median of the IWATE score and IMM score was significantly higher in the robot group (p < 0.001 and p = 0.008, respectively). No significant differences in short-term outcomes were observed between robotic procedures and PLS in a matched subset of patients. Operative efficiency and blood loss improved significantly after the 75th robotic surgery patient, with high-difficulty cases (IWATE ≥ 10) incorporated from the beginning. This study suggests that robotic liver surgery in units with prior experience in minimally invasive liver surgery offers benefits, such as a lower conversion rate and a higher rate of successful difficult resections.

Percutaneous coronary intervention vs. medical therapy in patients on dialysis with coronary artery disease in China.

The available evidence regarding the benefits of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on patients receiving dialysis with coronary artery disease (CAD) is limited and inconsistent. This study aimed to evaluate the association between PCI and clinical outcomes as compared with medical therapy alone in patients undergoing dialysis with CAD in China. This multicenter, retrospective study was conducted in 30 tertiary medical centers across 12 provinces in China from January 2015 to June 2021 to include patients on dialysis with CAD. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause death, the individual components of MACE, and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium criteria types 2, 3, or 5 bleeding. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between PCI and outcomes. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM) were performed to account for potential between-group differences. Of the 1146 patients on dialysis with significant CAD, 821 (71.6%) underwent PCI. After a median follow-up of 23.0months, PCI was associated with a 43.0% significantly lower risk for MACE (33.9% [n=278] vs. 43.7% [n=142]; adjusted hazards ratio 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.71), along with a slightly increased risk for bleeding outcomes that did not reach statistical significance (11.1% vs. 8.3%; adjusted hazards ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval, 0.82-2.11). Furthermore, PCI was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities. Subgroup analysis did not modify the association of PCI with patient outcomes. These primary findings were consistent across IPTW, PSM, and competing risk analyses. This study indicated that PCI in patients on dialysis with CAD was significantly associated with lower MACE and mortality when comparing with those with medical therapy alone, albeit with a slightly increased risk for bleeding events that did not reach statistical significance.

Red Blood Cell Transfusion for Incidence of Retinopathy of Prematurity: Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study.

Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of visual impairment and blindness in preterm infants. This study sought to investigate the association between red blood cell (RBC) transfusion and ROP in very preterm infants (VPIs) to inform clinical strategies for ROP prevention and treatment. We designed a prospective multicenter cohort study that included VPIs and follow-up data from January 2017 to December 2022 at 3 neonatal clinical medicine centers. They were categorized into a transfusion group (infants who received an RBC transfusion within 4 wk) and a nontransfusion group. The relationship between RBC transfusion and ROP incidence was assessed using binary logistic regression, with subgroup analyses based on gestational age, birth weight, sex, and sepsis status. Inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching were applied to account for all potential confounding factors that could affect ROP development, followed by sensitivity analysis. The study included 832 VPIs, including 327 in the nontransfusion group and 505 in the transfusion group. The transfusion group had a lower average birth weight and gestational age and a greater incidence of ROP, ≥stage 2 ROP, and severe ROP. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the transfusion group had a significantly greater risk of ROP (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.70, 95% CI 1.14-2.53, P=.009) and ≥stage 2 ROP (aOR 1.68, 95% CI 1.02-2.78, P=.04) but not severe ROP (aOR 1.75, 95% CI 0.61-5.02, P=.30). The trend analysis also revealed an increased risk of ROP with an increasing number of transfusions and a larger volume of blood transfused (P for trend<.001). Subgroup analyses confirmed a consistent trend, with the transfusion group at a higher risk for ROP across all subgroups. Inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching analyses supported the initial findings. For VPIs, RBC transfusion significantly increases the risk of ROP, and the risk increases with an increasing number of transfusions and volume of blood transfused.

Treatment of positive catheter tip culture without bloodstream infections in critically ill patients. A case-cohort study from the OUTCOMEREA network

PurposeThis study aimed to evaluate the impact on subsequent infections and mortality of an adequate antimicrobial therapy within 48 h after catheter removal in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with positive catheter tip culture.MethodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from 29 centers of the OUTCOMEREA network. We developed a propensity score (PS) for adequate antimicrobial treatment, based on expert opinion of 45 attending physicians. We conducted a 1:1 case-cohort study matched on the PS score of being adequately treated. A PS-matched subdistribution hazard model was used for detecting subsequent infections and a PS-matched Cox model was used to evaluate the impact of antibiotic therapy on mortality.ResultsWe included 427 patients with a catheter tip culture positive with potentially pathogenic microorganisms. We matched 150 patients with an adequate antimicrobial therapy with 150 controls. In the matched population, 30 (10%) subsequent infections were observed and 62 patients died within 30 days. Using subdistribution hazard models, the daily risk to develop subsequent infection up to Day-30 was similar between treated and non-treated groups (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62–1.89, p = 0.78). Using Cox proportional hazard models, the 30-day mortality risk was similar between treated and non-treated groups (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.45–1.74, p = 0.73).ConclusionsAntimicrobial therapy was not associated with decreased risk of subsequent infection or death in short-term catheter tip colonization in critically ill patients. Antibiotics may be unnecessary for positive catheter tip cultures.

Comparison of Weighting Methods to Understand Improved Outcomes Attributable to Public Health Nursing Interventions.

The complex work of public health nurses (PHNs) specifically related to mental health assessment, intervention, and outcomes makes it difficult to quantify and evaluate the improvement in client outcomes attributable to their interventions. We examined heterogeneity across parents of infants served by PHNs receiving different interventions, compared the ability of traditional propensity scoring methods versus energy-balancing weight (EBW) techniques to adjust for the complex and stark differences in baseline characteristics among those receiving different interventions, and evaluated the causal effects of the quantity and variety of PHN interventions on client health and social outcomes. This retrospective study of 4,109 clients used existing Omaha System data generated during the routine documentation of PHN home visit data. We estimated the effects of intervention by computing and comparing weighted averages of the outcomes within the different treatment groups using two weighting methods: (a) inverse probability of treatment (propensity score) weighting and (b) EBWs. Clients served by PHNs differed in baseline characteristics with clients with more signs/symptoms. Both weighting methods reduced heterogeneity in the sample. EBWs were more effective than inverse probability of treatment weighting in adjusting for multifaceted confounding and resulted in close balance of 105 baseline characteristics. Weighting the sample changed outcome patterns, especially when using EBWs. Clients who received more PHN interventions and a wider variety of them had improved knowledge, behavior, and status outcomes with no plateau over time, whereas the unweighted sample showed plateaus in outcomes over the course of home-visiting services. Causal analysis of PHN-generated data demonstrated PHN intervention effectiveness for clients with mental health signs/symptoms. EBWs are a promising tool for evaluating the true causal effect of PHN home-visiting interventions.

Fairtrade coffee and the path to prosperity: a study of smallholder farmers in Bener Meriah Regency

Abstract This study delves into the causal effect of Fairtrade affiliation on coffee productivity. It employs treatment effect and propensity score matching models, utilizing data gathered from 128 randomly selected smallholder coffee farmers in Bener Meriah Regency. This study significantly expands our understanding of the role Fairtrade affiliation plays in boosting the productivity of smallholder coffee farms, all the while ensuring it has no adverse effects on the environment and its underlying factors. The findings unequivocally demonstrate that Fairtrade affiliation leads to a substantial increase in coffee productivity. Expanding Fairtrade’s reach emerges as a crucial strategy to bolster the positive impact on coffee farmers.

Intravenous Acetaminophen Versus Ketorolac for Prehospital Analgesia: A Retrospective Data Review

BackgroundParenteral ketorolac and intravenous (IV) acetaminophen have been used for prehospital analgesia, yet limited data exist on their comparative effectiveness. Study ObjectivesTo evaluate the comparative effectiveness of IV acetaminophen and parenteral ketorolac for analgesia in the prehospital setting. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cross-sectional evaluation of patients receiving IV acetaminophen or parenteral ketorolac for pain management in a large suburban EMS system between 1/1/2019 and 11/30/2021. The primary outcome was change in first to last pain score. Subgroup analysis was performed on patients with traumatic pain. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM) to estimate the treatment effect of acetaminophen versus ketorolac among all patients and the subgroup of those with traumatic pain. ResultsOf 2178 patients included, 856 (39.3%) received IV acetaminophen and 1322 (60.7%) received parenteral ketorolac. The unadjusted mean change in pain score was −1.9 (SD 2.4) for acetaminophen group and −2.4 (SD 2.4) for ketorolac. In the propensity score analyses, there was no statistically significant difference in pain score change for the acetaminophen group versus ketorolac among all patients (mean difference, IPTW: 0.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] −0.16, 0.37; PSM: 0.15, 95% CI −0.13, 0.43) and among those with traumatic pain (unadjusted: 0.18, 95% CI −0.35, 0.72; IPTW: 0.23, 95% CI −0.25, 0.71; PSM: −0.03, 95% CI −0.61, 0.54). ConclusionsWe found no statistically significant difference in mean pain reduction of IV acetaminophen and parenteral ketorolac for management of acute pain.

The association between low serum calcium level and new-onset atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting.

This study aims to investigate the relationship between serum calcium (SC) levels and the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. This retrospective, observational cohort study consecutively enrolled patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting in Beijing Anzhen Hospital from January 2018 to December 2021. Patients with a previous history of atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter or requiring concomitant cardiac surgery were excluded. A logistic regression model was used to determine predictors of POAF. Multivariable adjustment, inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching were used to adjust for confounders. Moreover, we conducted univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses on preoperative and postoperative SC and ionized SC levels. The analysis encompassed 12 293 patients. The POAF rate was significantly higher in patients with low SC level than those without (1379 [33.9%] vs 2375 [28.9%], P < 0.001). Low SC level was associated with an increased odds ratio of POAF (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.27 [1.18-1.37], P < 0.001). Inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching analyses confirmed the results. The increased POAF rate in low SC level group still existed among subgroup analysis based on different age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, CHA2DS2-VASc and magnesium. Low SC level indicates elevated POAF risk in patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery even after the adjustment for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, echocardiographic parameters and laboratory markers.

Impact of tree planting on household well-being: evidence from the central highlands of Vietnam

Household land use decisions in the tropics have a wide range of outcomes and impacts on economic development, environmental conservation, and social development. This study seeks to contribute to this debate by examining the effects of tree planting on poverty alleviation and welfare improvement in Vietnam. We employ a combination of multinomial endogenous treatment effect and propensity score matching, using survey data collected from 239 households in 11 communes in Vietnam’s Central Highlands region. We find that households engaged in tree planting can increase their income and alleviate poverty compared to non-engaging households. Specifically, long-term cashew plantations provide early harvests and have proven to be a preferred crop for households dealing with immediate livelihood needs. However, short-term acacia timber crops contribute insignificantly to poverty reduction and may be more suitable for households with greater financial resources. The policy implication underscores the importance of interventions tailored to support impoverished households with urgent livelihood needs. Prioritizing immediate necessities is crucial before households can invest in long-term tree planting.

Low-Intensity Statin Plus Ezetimibe Versus Moderate-Intensity Statin for Primary Prevention: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study in Asian Population.

While moderate-intensity statin therapy is recommended for primary prevention, statins may not be utilized at a recommended intensity due to dose-dependent adverse events, especially in an Asian population. However, evidence supporting the use of low-intensity statins in primary prevention is limited. We sought to compare clinical outcomes between a low-intensity statin plus ezetimibe and a moderate-intensity statin for primary prevention. This population-based retrospective cohort study used the Korean nationwide claims database (2002-2019). We included adults without atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases who received moderate-intensity statins or low-intensity statins plus ezetimibe. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke. The safety outcomes were liver and muscle injuries and new-onset diabetes mellitus (DM). We used standardized inverse probability of treatment weighting (sIPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM). In the sIPTW model, 1717 and 36 683 patients used a low-intensity statin plus ezetimibe and a moderate-intensity statin, respectively. In the PSM model, each group included 1687 patients. Compared with moderate-intensity statin use, low-intensity statin plus ezetimibe use showed similar risks of the primary outcome (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.81-1.12 in sIPTW and HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 0.87-1.56 in PSM model). Low-intensity statin plus ezetimibe use was associated with decreased risks of liver and muscle injuries (subHR [sHR] = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.74-0.96 and sHR = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.77-0.97 in sIPTW; sHR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.72, 0.96 and sHR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.72-0.94 in PSM model, respectively). For new-onset DM and hospitalization of liver and muscle injuries, no difference was observed. Low-intensity statin plus ezetimibe may be an alternative to moderate-intensity statin for primary prevention. Our findings provide evidence on safety and efficacy of statin therapy in Asian population.

Aspirations, ambitions and the adoption of diverse fruit trees – a case study of the livelihood effects in Kenya

Current food production systems all over the world face numerous challenges. Particularly smallholder farming in sub-Saharan Africa is in substantial need of sustainable solutions. Yet, the adoption of already existing sustainable agricultural practices such as agroforestry often remains low. This paper aims to deepen the understanding of smallholders’ decision-making processes for agroforestry adoption. Using the example of a CIFOR-ICRAF agroforestry project (Fruit Tree Portfolios), we examine the associated influences of ambition and livelihood aspirations on adoption and assess the impact of agroforestry on household well-being. We conduct several statistical analyses, including a logistic regression on the influence of ambitions and aspirations on adoption, and a linear regression with endogenous treatment effects and propensity score matching to assess the impact of adoption on well-being. The analyses are based on a primary data set collected from rural Kenyan households that participated in the project in 2021.We confirm the inverted U-shaped relationship between ambition and the willingness to take proactive steps, in this case the adoption of agroforestry, and emphasize its relevance for decision-making processes. In addition, livelihood aspirations towards off- or on-farm activities promoted the likelihood of adoption. Due to the versatility of integrating fruit trees into farms, they can serve both market- and food security-oriented purposes and thus supporting livelihoods in multiple ways. This is confirmed by the positive results of adoption on household well-being in terms of food security and household income. In summary, the inclusion of cognitive factors such as ambition and livelihood aspirations can help explain the adoption decisions of smallholder households and support inclusive and customized project designs. In the long term, these findings could have the potential to ensure that development interventions are adopted more successfully.

Mechanical ventilation as a major driver of COVID-19 hospitalization costs: a costing study in a German setting

BackgroundWhile COVID-19 hospitalization costs are essential for policymakers to make informed health care resource decisions, little is known about these costs in western Europe. The aim of the current study is to analyze these costs for a German setting, track the development of these costs over time and analyze the daily costs.MethodsAdministrative costing data was analyzed for 598 non-Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients and 510 ICU patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at the Frankfurt University hospital. Descriptive statistics of total per patient hospitalization costs were obtained and assessed over time. Propensity scores were estimated for length of stay (LOS) at the general ward and mechanical ventilation (MV) duration, using covariate balancing propensity score for continuous treatment. Costs for each additional day in the general ward and each additional day in the ICU with and without MV were estimated by regressing the total hospitalization costs on the LOS and the presence or absence of several treatments using generalized linear models, while controlling for patient characteristics, comorbidities, and complications.ResultsMedian total per patient hospitalization costs were €3,010 (Q1 – Q3: €2,224—€5,273), €5,887 (Q1 – Q3: €3,054—€10,879) and €21,536 (Q1 – Q3: €7,504—€43,480), respectively, for non-ICU patients, non-MV and MV ICU patients. Total per patient hospitalization costs for non-ICU patients showed a slight increase over time, while total per patient hospitalization costs for ICU patients decreased over time. Each additional day in the general ward for non-ICU COVID-19 patients costed €463.66 (SE: 15.89). Costs for each additional day in the general ward and ICU without and with mechanical ventilation for ICU patients were estimated at €414.20 (SE: 22.17), €927.45 (SE: 45.52) and €2,224.84 (SE: 70.24).ConclusionsThis is, to our knowledge, the first study examining the costs of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Germany. Estimated costs were overall in agreement with costs found in literature for non-COVID-19 patients, except for higher estimated costs for mechanical ventilation. These estimated costs can potentially improve the precision of COVID-19 cost effectiveness studies in Germany and will thereby allow health care policymakers to provide better informed health care resource decisions in the future.

Safety and efficacy of NOAC vs. VKA in patients treated by PCI: a retrospective study of the FRANCE PCI registry.

Dual antithrombotic therapy (DAT) combining oral anticoagulation (OAC), preferentially Non-vitamin K antagonist OAC (NOAC) and single antiplatelet therapy (SAPT) for a period of 6-12 months is recommended after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with an indication for OAC. To compare outcomes between vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and NOAC-treated patients in the nation-wide France PCI registry. All consecutive patients from the France PCI registry treated by PCI and discharged with OAC between 2014 and 2020 were included and followed one-year. Major bleeding was defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) classification ≥3 and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) as the composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and ischemic stroke. A propensity-score analysis was used. Of the 7,277 eligible participants, 2,432 (33.4%) were discharged on VKA and 4,845 (66.6%) on NOAC. After propensity-score adjustment, one-year major bleeding was less frequent in NOAC vs. VKA-treated participants [3.1% vs. 5.2%, -2.1% (-3.6% to -0.6%), p = 0.005 as well as the rate of MACE [9.2% vs. 11.9%, -2.7% (-5.0% to -0.4%), p = 0.02]. One-year mortality was also significantly decreased in NOAC vs. VKA-treated participants [7.4% vs. 9.9%, -2.6% (-4.7% to -0.5%), p = 0.02]. The area under ROC curves of the anticoagulant treatment propensity score was estimated at 0.93, suggesting potential indication bias. NOAC seems to have a better efficacy and safety profile than VKA. However, potential indication bias were found.

Adjuvant Chemotherapy and Outcomes in Older Adult Patients With Biliary Tract Cancer

The association of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) with survival in the general population of patients with resected biliary tract cancer (BTC) remains controversial. As such, the role of this treatment in the treatment of older adult patients (aged ≥70 years) needs to be evaluated. To describe the patterns of use of AC and compare survival outcomes of AC and observation in older adult patients following resection of BTC. This retrospective cohort study included 8091 older adult patients with resected BTC with data available in the National Cancer Database from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2019. Patients were divided into 2 cohorts: AC and observation. The AC cohort was subdivided into single-agent and multiagent AC treatment. Adjuvant chemotherapy vs observation following BTC resection. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) of patients who received AC compared with observation following resection of BTC as evaluated using Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models. Inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching were performed to address indication bias. Between 2004 and 2019, of 8091 older adult patients with resected BTC identified (median [range] age, 77 [70-90] years; 5136 women [63.5%]; 2955 men [36.5%]), only one-third (2632 [32.5%]) received AC. There was an increase in the use of AC across the study period from 20.7% (n = 495) in 2004 to 2009 to 41.2% (n = 856) in 2016 to 2019. Age 80 years or older (odds ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.25-0.33; P < .001) and gallbladder primary site (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.61-0.83; P < .001) were associated with a lower odds of AC. Following inverse probability of treatment weighting, as a composite, AC was not associated with improved survival (median OS, 20.5 months; 95% CI, 19.2-21.7 months) compared with observation (median OS, 19.0 months; 95% CI, 18.1-20.3 months). A longer median OS was associated with single-agent AC (21.5 months; 95% CI, 19.9-24.0 months) but not multiagent AC (19.1 months; 95% CI, 17.5-21.1 months) compared with observation (median OS, 17.3 months; 95% CI, 16.1-18.4 months). This improvement in OS with single-agent AC was not apparent on multivariable analysis (hazard ratio [HR], 0.97; 95% CI, 0.89-1.05; P = .44). However, age at diagnosis of 80 years or older (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.28-1.42; P < .001) and treatment at nonacademic centers (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07-1.20, P < .001) were associated with worse OS. In this cohort study of older adult patients, AC was not associated with an improvement in survival compared with observation following BTC resection. These findings suggest the need for further study of AC for older adult patients who may benefit after curative intent surgery for BTC.

Inverse probability of treatment weighting with generalized linear outcome models for doubly robust estimation.

There are now many options for doubly robust estimation; however, there is a concerning trend in the applied literature to believe that the combination of a propensity score and an adjusted outcome model automatically results in a doubly robust estimator and/or to misuse more complex established doubly robust estimators. A simple alternative, canonical link generalized linear models (GLM) fit via inverse probability of treatment (propensity score) weighted maximum likelihood estimation followed by standardization (the -formula) for the average causal effect, is a doubly robust estimation method. Our aim is for the reader not just to be able to use this method, which we refer to as IPTW GLM, for doubly robust estimation, but to fully understand why it has the doubly robust property. For this reason, we define clearly, and in multiple ways, all concepts needed to understand the method and why it is doubly robust. In addition, we want to make very clear that the mere combination of propensity score weighting and an adjusted outcome model does not generally result in a doubly robust estimator. Finally, we hope to dispel the misconception that one can adjust for residual confounding remaining after propensity score weighting by adjusting in the outcome model for what remains 'unbalanced' even when using doubly robust estimators. We provide R code for our simulations and real open-source data examples that can be followed step-by-step to use and hopefully understand the IPTW GLM method. We also compare to a much better-known but still simple doubly robust estimator.

An Indirect Comparison of Elranatamab's Progression-Free Survival and Overall Survival from Magnetismm-3 Versus Real-World External Control Arms in Triple-Class Refractory Multiple Myeloma

BACKGROUND Elranatamab(ELRA) is a BCMAxCD3 bispecific antibody being investigated for the treatment of relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (MM). The phase 2 MagnetisMM-3 (MM-3; NCT04649359) trial was single-armed; the aim of this study was to contextualize the efficacy data from MM-3 with two real-world (RW) external control arms. METHODS We conducteda retrospective cohort study to indirectly compare the efficacy observed in MM-3 Cohort A (BCMA-naïve; N=123) from the March 2023 data cut (approximately 15 months of follow-up) with two US-based oncology electronic health record databases, COTA and Flatiron Health (FH), as external controls. MM-3 inclusion (eg, prior MM diagnosis, ECOG≤2, refractory to ≥1 PI, ≥1 IMiD, and ≥1 anti-CD38) and exclusion (I/E) criteria (eg, plasma cell leukemia, smoldering MM) were applied to each RW database to obtain comparable patient populations across sources. After imposing MM-3 I/E criteria, we conducted comparisons between data sources on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) using Kaplan-Meier estimators or Cox proportional hazard models (“unweighted analyses”) and restricted mean survival time (RMST) analyses in instances where the proportional hazards assumption was violated. We used additional Cox proportional hazard models, Kaplan-Meier estimators, or semi-parametric models implementing inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), doubly robust, and propensity score (PS) matching analyses to adjust for any remaining imbalances across cohorts on confounding variables (eg, age, comorbidities, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) score, International Staging System (ISS), prior lines/refractoriness, cytogenetic risk, extramedullary disease [COTA only], lab values). RESULTS N=123 patients from MM-3 Cohort A were compared with the 239 and 152 patients identified from the COTA and FH databases, respectively. Treatment regimens in the RWD sources included various combinations of PIs (carfilzomib- and bortezomib-based regimens were each used by 43% and 15% of patients, respectively), IMiDs (lenalidomide- and pomalidomide-based regimens were used by 9% and 41% of patients, respectively), and mAbs (daratumumab- and isatuximab-based regimens were used by 32% and 1% of patients, respectively), among other agents (eg, selinexor-based regimens were used by 5% of patients). Across unweighted, IPTW, doubly robust, and PS matching analyses, ELRA was associated with significantly longer PFS than RW physicians' choice of treatment from both COTA and FH (hazard ratios [HRs] ranged from 0.37 to 0.57; see Table 1). Similarly, across unweighted, IPTW, doubly robust, and PS matching analyses, ELRA was associated with significantly longer OS than RW physicians' choice from COTA (HRs ranging from 0.46 to 0.65) and longer OS across unweighted (RMST difference at 15 months = 1.70) and PS matching analyses (HR = 0.60) than RW physicians' choice from FH. IPTW and doubly robust methods indicated only directionally longer OS for ELRA than RW physician's choice from FH (RMST difference at 15 months = 0.72 and HR = 0.66, respectively). CONCLUSIONS Among BCMA-naïve patients who resemble those enrolled in the MM-3 trial, those treated with ELRA exhibit significantly longer PFS and OS compared with real-world treatments.

Unravelling the influence and mechanism of agricultural inputs on rural poverty vulnerability: Evidence from China

Agricultural inputs have a significant catabatic effect on rural poverty at present. However, few studies have assessed whether agricultural inputs inhibit the intending probability of being vulnerable to rural poverty, referred to as poverty vulnerability. Poverty vulnerability studies, which focus on the likeli-hood of poverty among households in the future, have forward-looking and prognostic features in poverty research. Such research provides essential tools for describing mechanisms that can eradicate poverty. This study investigates the impact of agricultural inputs on rural poverty vulnerability and the mechanisms of action, using data from the 2015 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS). The empirical results show that agricultural inputs significantly suppress the probability of rural poverty vulnerability. The results hold after replacing the poverty criterion, poverty vulnerability criterion, and core explanatory variables. To overcome the endogeneity problem created by possible reverse cau-sality and omitted variables in the baseline model, this study uses the instrumental variables method to test endogeneity. The study also applies a treatment effects model and propensity score matching method to estimate and address any endogeneity problems due to explanatory variables. The findings also remain robust and significant after addressing the endogeneity problem. Further analyses indicate that the inhibitive effect of agricultural inputs on rural poverty vulnerability is mainly achieved through increased agricultural yields, improved physical health, and increased opportunities for entre-preneurial behavior. A heterogeneity analysis finds that the inhibitive effect of agricultural inputs on poverty vulnerability is more pronounced in Midwest China, in households with physically healthy household heads, and in families whose leaders have risk preferences. Our findings provide empirical evidence that can help inform forward-looking and prognostic policies for developing countries when formulating anti-poverty strategies.

Long-term risk of reoperation after modular hemiarthroplasty

BackgroundIt is unclear whether unipolar (UHA) or bipolar (BHA) hemiarthroplasty should be the preferred treatment of femoral neck fracture (FNF).AimWe investigated the reoperation rate at 13 years post-fracture after BHA and UHA as treatment of FNF, including a subgroup analysis of individuals who survived 5 years or more, and described the reasons for reoperation after BHA and UHA respectively.MethodsIn an observational cohort study on prospectively collected national register data, 16,216 BHA and 22,186 UHA were available for matching. A propensity score for treatment with bipolar HA was estimated using logistic regression. Matching was done using the 1:1 nearest neighbor matching without replacement. Of the 16,216 BHA patients, 12,280 were matched to a UHA control. A subgroup analysis based on the matched sample excluded individuals who died within 5 years and comprised 3,637 individuals with BHA and 3,537 with UHA. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used.ResultsIn the Kaplan-Meier analysis, 92% of the BHA group was free from reoperation at 13 years (95% CI 0.91–0.93), compared to 92% in the UHA group (CI 0.89–0.94). BHA was associated with more reoperations until 3 years. Reoperation due to infection was most common after BHA, n = 212 (1.7%) compared to n = 141 (1.1%) after UHA. Dislocation led to reoperation in 192 of the BHA cases (1.6%) and in 157 of the UHA cases (1.3%). Acetabular erosion/pain occurred in 0.1% and 0.4%. Amongst those surviving ≥ 5 years, 93% of the BHA group was free from reoperation (CI 0.92–0.94) at 13 years, 92% after UHA (CI 0.90–0.94). BHA had more reoperations during the 1st year only. The causes for reoperations showed similar rates except for acetabular erosion/pain. Here the BHA group had 2 cases (0.1%), the UHA had 39 (1.1%).ConclusionWith a modular hemiarthroplasty relatively few patients need a reoperation. During the first years, there is a higher reoperation rate after BHA compared to UHA. Thereafter, no differences are seen. In patients who survive ≥ 5 years after the fracture there are more reoperations due to acetabular erosion after UHA, but crude numbers are extremely low, and the total reoperation rate is not affected.