Back to table of contents Previous article Next article Communications and UpdatesFull AccessTranscranial Stimulation for Psychosis: The Relationship Between Effect Size and Published FindingsIris E. Sommer, M.D., Ph.D., Andre Aleman, M.D., Ph.D., Christina W. Slotema, M.D., Ph.D., and Dennis J.L.G. Schutter, Ph.D.Iris E. SommerUtrecht, NetherlandsSearch for more papers by this author, M.D., Ph.D., Andre AlemanGroningen, NetherlandsSearch for more papers by this author, M.D., Ph.D., Christina W. SlotemaThe Hague, NetherlandsSearch for more papers by this author, M.D., Ph.D., and Dennis J.L.G. SchutterUtrecht, NetherlandsSearch for more papers by this author, Ph.D.Published Online:1 Nov 2012https://doi.org/10.1176/appi.ajp.2012.12060741AboutSectionsPDF/EPUB ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack Citations ShareShare onFacebookTwitterLinked InEmail To the Editor: We read with interest the article by Brunelin et al. (1) in the July issue, which described the application of transcranial direct-current stimulation (tDCS) in the treatment of both auditory hallucinations and negative symptoms simultaneously. Fifteen patients received 10 tDCS treatments and another 15 patients received sham stimulation. An effect size of 1.58 was reported for refractory hallucinations, which is remarkably large when compared with the effect sizes of antipsychotic medication (0.4–0.6). The effect size for negative symptoms was also larger than 1.Clinical trials involving nonconvulsive brain stimulation in schizophrenia were first introduced in 1999. Initial effect sizes were very large while samples were small. Some years later, large negative studies were published. To date, 17 placebo-controlled transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) studies on hallucinations have been published. The mean weighted effect size is now around 0.3 (2). Yet, the negative correlation between effect size and year of publication suggests that over time, the mean effect size may become smaller.The trend of effect sizes for new techniques decreasing over time is by no means specific for TMS or tDCS. It is a general trend that can be observed when new treatments are introduced (3). For example, when selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) were introduced for depression, effect sizes greater than 1 were reported, which created their legacy as a wonder drug. Over the course of 20 years, the mean effect size of SSRIs decreased to around 0.3. A similar trend was demonstrated for cognitive-behavioral therapy (4).This trend likely results from publication bias. A remarkably high effect size suggests the discovery of a new wonder treatment. Studies with such findings are therefore easily published in high-impact journals (5). In contrast, studies of similar sample size with marginally or nonsignificant findings are less likely to be accepted for publication. Usually, after some years, negative studies with large sample sizes become available. This is when meta-analyses start to detect a decrease in efficacy.In this view, the Brunelin et al. study (1) is exemplary of an initial placebo-controlled study applying a new technique: it included a small sample, found remarkably large effects, and is published in a high-impact journal.We sincerely hope that tDCS is the exception to the rule—as a cheap, safe, and highly effective method to treat both refractory hallucinations and negative symptoms is most welcome. However, given the previous observations for other new treatments, it is realistic to expect that 10 years from now the mean weighted effect size of tDCS will be around 0.3.Utrecht, NetherlandsGroningen, NetherlandsThe Hague, NetherlandsUtrecht, NetherlandsThe authors report no financial relationships with commercial interests.References1 Brunelin J, Mondino M, Gassab L, Haesebaert F, Gaha L, Suaud-Chagny MF, Saoud M, Mechri A, Poulet E: Examining transcranial direct-current stimulation (tDCS) as a treatment for hallucinations in schizophrenia. Am J Psychiatry 2012; 169:719–724Link, Google Scholar2 Slotema CW, Aleman A, Daskalakis ZJ, Sommer IE: Meta-analysis of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in the treatment of auditory verbal hallucinations: update and effects after one month. Schizophr Res (Epub ahead of print, Sep 29, 2012)Google Scholar3 Munafò MR, Flint J: How reliable are scientific studies? Br J Psychiatry 2010; 197:257–258Crossref, Medline, Google Scholar4 Cuijpers P, Smit F, Bohlmeijer E, Hollon SD, Andersson G: Efficacy of cognitive-behavioral therapy and other psychological treatments for adult depression: meta-analytic study of publication bias. Br J Psychiatry 2010; 196:173–178Crossref, Medline, Google Scholar5 Siontis KC, Evangelou E, Ioannidis JP: Magnitude of effects in clinical trials published in high-impact general medical journals. Int J Epidemiol 2011; 40:1280–1291Crossref, Medline, Google Scholar FiguresReferencesCited byDetailsCited ByCortical folding abnormalities in patients with schizophrenia who have persistent auditory verbal hallucinationsEuropean Neuropsychopharmacology, Vol. 28, No. 2Schizophrenia Research, Vol. 201Systematic Reviews, Vol. 5, No. 1Therapeutic Applications of rTMS for Psychiatric and Neurological Conditions5 June 2015Transcranial direct current stimulation als behandeling voor auditieve hallucinaties21 May 2015 | Neuropraxis, Vol. 19, No. 3Transcranial magnetic stimulation, transcranial direct current stimulation and electroconvulsive therapy for medication-resistant psychosis of schizophreniaCurrent Opinion in Psychiatry, Vol. 28, No. 3, Vol. 129Frontiers in Psychology, Vol. 6Molecular Neurobiology, Vol. 49, No. 1Clinical Psychopharmacology and Neuroscience, Vol. 11, No. 3 Volume 169Issue 11 November 2012Pages 1211-1211 Metrics PDF download History Accepted 1 August 2012 Published online 1 November 2012 Published in print 1 November 2012
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