Force Health Protection programs in the U.S. Air Force endeavor to sustain the operational readiness of the warfighters. We have previously identified hundreds of chemical substances of interest and toxicity reference value (TRV) knowledge gaps that constrain risk based-decision-making for potential exposures. Multiple approaches to occupational TRV estimation were used to generate possible guideline values for 84 compounds (18% of the substances of interest). These candidate TRVs included values from international databases, chemical similarity (nearest neighbor) approaches, empirical adjustments to account for duration differences, quantitative activity relationships, and thresholds of toxicological concern. This present work describes derivation of provisional TRVs from these candidate values. Rodent bioassay-derived long-term worker Derived No-Effect Levels (DNELs) were deemed presumptively the most reliable, but only 19 such DNELs were available for the 84 substances with TRV gaps. In the absence of DNELs, the quality of the approaches and consistency among candidate values were key elements of the weight of evidence used to select the most suitable guideline values. The use of novel nearest-neighbor approaches, empirical adjustment of short term TRVs, and occupational exposure bands were found to be options that would allow occupational TRV estimation with reasonable confidence for nearly all substances evaluated.
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