To compare the number of new erosions in two metacarpophalangeal (MCP) joints over one year assessed by high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) and conventional radiography (CR). Furthermore, to estimate the diagnostic accuracy of erosive progression by CR with HR-pQCT as the reference standard. Paired sets of image data were available from patients with RA (n=310), who underwent HR-pQCT and CR, including the 2nd and 3rd MCP joints only of the dominant hand at baseline and at the one-year follow-up. Erosion number was determined using HR-pQCT and CR. Erosive volume was estimated from segmented HR-pQCT images, and erosion scores were obtained by the Sharp/van der Heijde method from CR. Erosive progression was defined as an increase in total erosion number or a study-specified increase in total erosive volume or total erosion score. At baseline, 250 erosions were identified by CR compared to 1864 erosions by HR-pQCT. After one year, 3 new erosions were detected by CR compared to 66 new erosions by HR-pQCT. Erosive progression was identified in 40 patients using HR-pQCT and in 3 patients using CR. With HR-pQCT as reference, CR had a sensitivity of 2.5% (95% CI: 0.1-13.2%) and a specificity of 99.3% (95% CI: 97.3-99.9%) for detecting erosive progression. HR-pQCT identified more than 20 times the number of new erosions, and more than 10 times as many patients with erosive progression than CR. HR-pQCT is a sensitive tool for monitoring new erosions and erosive progression over one year in RA.
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