Older men with high bone turnover have faster bone loss. We assessed the link between the baseline levels of bone turnover markers (BTMs) and the prospectively assessed bone microarchitecture decline in men. In 825 men aged 60-87yr, we measured the serum osteocalcin (OC), bone alkaline phosphatase (BAP), N-terminal propeptide of type I procollagen (PINP), and C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX-I), and urinary total deoxypyridinoline (tDPD). Bone microarchitecture and strength (distal radius and distal tibia) were estimated by high-resolution pQCT (XtremeCT, Scanco Medical) at baseline and then after 4 and 8yr. Thirty-seven men took medications affecting bone metabolism. Statistical models were adjusted for age and BMI. At the distal radius, the decrease in the total bone mineral density (Tt.BMD), cortical BMD (Ct.BMD), cortical thickness (Ct.Thd), and cortical area (Ct.Ar) and failure load was faster in the highest vs the lowest CTX-I quartile (failure load: -0.94 vs -0.31% yr-1, P < .001). Patterns were similar for distal tibia. At the distal tibia, bone decline (Tt.BMD, Ct.Thd, Ct.Ar, Ct.BMD, and failure load) was faster in the highest vs the lowest tDPD quartile. At each skeletal site, the rate of decrease in Tb.BMD differed between the extreme OC quartiles (P < .001). Men in the highest BAP quartile had a faster loss of Tt.BMD, Tb.BMD, reaction force, and failure load vs the lowest quartile. The link between PINP and bone decline was poor. The BTM score is the sum of the nos. of the quartiles for each BTM. Men in the highest quartile of the score had a faster loss of cortical bone and bone strength vs the lowest quartile. Thus, in the older men followed prospectively for 8yr, the rate of decline in bone microarchitecture and estimated bone strength was 50%-215% greater in men with high bone turnover (highest quartile, CTX-I above the median) compared to the men with low bone turnover (lowest quartile, CTX-I below the median).
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