Tohoku-Oki Megathrust Earthquake Research Articles

Potential Seismic Hazard in Seoul, South Korea: A Comprehensive Analysis of Geology, Seismic, and Geophysical Field Observations, Historical Earthquakes, and Strong Ground Motions

ABSTRACT A series of moderate-size (Mw 4.0–6.0) earthquakes occurred in South Korea after the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku–Oki megathrust earthquake, incurring public concern about possible occurrence of devastating earthquakes in Seoul—the capital city of South Korea, where historical seismic damage was reported. The seismicity is distributed in Seoul, being dominated by strike-slip earthquakes. The fault planes are oriented in north-northeast–south-southwest, which is a favorable direction to respond to the ambient stress field. Higher rates of seismicity are observed in the northwestern Seoul at depths of <10 km. Micro-to-small earthquakes occur episodically in the central Seoul along the Chugaryeong fault system that traverses Seoul in north–south. Seismic, geophysical, and geological properties illuminate the fault structures. Stochastic modeling of ground motions reproduces the seismic damages of historical earthquakes reasonably, supporting the occurrence of devastating historical earthquakes in Seoul. The seismicity distribution, focal mechanism solutions, geological features, and seismic and geophysical properties suggest the possible presence of earthquake-spawning blind faults in Seoul. The peak ground motions are assessed for moderate-size scenario earthquakes (Mw 5.4 with focal depth of 7 km) at six representative subregions in Seoul. The upper bounds of peak ground accelerations reach ∼11 m/s2. The seismic damage potentials for moderate-size earthquakes are high in most areas of Seoul, particularly around river sides covered by alluvium.

Geologic and Geophysical Evidence of Repeated Normal Faulting on the Itozawa Fault—the Source of the Mw 6.6 Iwaki Earthquake Triggered by the Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Megathrust Earthquake, Northeast Japan

ABSTRACT The 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake ruptured the 500 km long and 200 km wide convergent plate margin between the North American and Pacific plates, and changed the crustal stress field and triggered widespread seismic activity in northeast Japan. In particular, many crustal earthquakes struck the southern Fukushima area. The largest inland normal-faulting earthquake with Mw 6.6 occurred on the northwest-trending Yunodake fault and the north-northwest-trending Itozawa fault on 11 April 2011. The coseismic surface ruptures appeared along the previously identified active and presumed active faults. To investigate the near-surface structure of the Itozawa fault, we conducted ground-penetrating radar (GPR) profiling across the fault, and two drilling surveys on its hanging-wall and footwall blocks. The GPR survey line about 50 m long was located near the previous trenching site. The GPR two-way travel-time sections were collected by common-offset modes by 50 and 100 MHz GPR systems. We acquired common midpoint ensembles on both sides of the surface rupture for depth conversion of the time sections. The resulting GPR sections show detailed subsurface structures to a depth of about 7 m. We identified event horizons for the 2011, penultimate, antepenultimate, and preantepenultimate earthquakes, indicating that the Itozawa fault has ruptured repeatedly as a normal fault. The vertical displacements during these earthquake events, obtained from the GPR sections, were about 0.8, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.7 m, respectively. These observations suggest that the coseismic surface offset amount on the Itozawa fault varies greatly. The recurrence intervals of surface-rupturing earthquakes on the Itozawa fault, calculated from the previous research and this study, are much longer than those of giant interplate earthquakes along the Japan trench, such as the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. We conclude that not every giant earthquake along the Japan trench triggers a rupture of the Itozawa fault.

Seismic Hazard Assessment for the Korean Peninsula

ABSTRACTThe Korean Peninsula is located in a stable intraplate region with low-seismicity rates and long recurrence intervals of major earthquakes. Recent moderate-size earthquakes demonstrate possible occurrence of seismic damages in the Korean Peninsula. A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis based on instrumental and historical seismicity is applied for the Korean Peninsula. Three seismotectonic province models are used for area sources. Seven ground-motion prediction equations calibrated for bedrock condition are considered. Fault source models are not applied due to poor identification of active faults. A 500 yr long historical record of earthquakes includes moderate and large earthquakes of long recurrence intervals. The influences of model parameters are reflected through a logic-tree scheme. The process and results are verified by Monte Carlo ground-motion level simulation and benchmark tests. Relatively high-seismic hazards are modeled in the northwestern, south-central, and southeastern Korean Peninsula. The horizontal peak ground accelerations reach ∼0.06, 0.09, 0.13, 0.21, and 0.28g for periods of 25, 50, 100, 250, and 500 yr, respectively, with exceedance probability of 10%. Successive moderate-size earthquakes since the 11 March 2011 Tohoku–Oki megathrust earthquake have temporarily increased the seismic hazards in the southeastern peninsula.

Nucleation process of the 2011 northern Nagano earthquake from nearby seismic observations

The 2011 magnitude (M) 9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake was followed by seismicity activation in inland areas throughout Japan. An outstanding case is the M6.2 Northern Nagano earthquake, central Japan, occurred 13-h after the megathrust event, approximately 400 km away from its epicenter. The physical processes relating the occurrence of megathrust earthquakes and subsequent activation of relatively large inland earthquakes are not well understood. Here we use waveform data of a dense local seismic network to reveal with an unprecedented resolution the complex mechanisms leading to the occurrence of the M6.2 earthquake. We show that previously undetected small earthquakes initiated along the Nagano earthquake source fault at relatively short times after the Tohoku-oki megathrust earthquake, and the local seismicity continued intermittently until the occurrence of the M6.2 event, being likely ‘modulated’ by the arrival of surface waves from large, remote aftershocks off-shore Tohoku. About 1-h before the Nagano earthquake, there was an acceleration of micro-seismicity migrating towards its hypocenter. Migration speeds indicate potential localized slow-slip, culminating with the occurrence of the large inland earthquake, with fluids playing a seismicity-activation role at a regional scale.

One-off deep crustal earthquake swarm in a stable intracontinental region of the southwestern Korean Peninsula

A deep crustal strike-slip earthquake swarm that occurred in the intracontinental region of the southwestern Korean Peninsula is investigated. The earthquakes are detected using matched filter analysis. The hypocenters are then refined, showing more than 500 micro to small strike-slip earthquakes concentrated on a fault plane with dimensions of 500 m by 300 m at a depth of ~21 km. The low temperature in the source depth facilitates the seismicity. The earthquake swarm was transiently active for 15 days from 25 April 2020 to 12 May 2020, presenting a high seismicity rate with a Gutenberg-Richter b value of 2.01 (±0.05). The earthquake swarm began in the central area and expanded outward with time. The spatiotemporal seismicity distribution reflects bilateral rupture. The focal mechanism solutions suggest a left-lateral strike-slip fault with a strike of 103.6∘ ± 3.2∘ and a dip of 73.3∘ ± 11.7∘. The spatial distribution of seismicity generally agrees with the focal mechanism solutions. The orientation of the inverted stress field agrees with the ambient stress field, suggesting that the earthquake swarm occurred as a consequence of ambient lithostatic stress loading. Coulomb stress changes suggest that the stress increased in the directions of WNW-ESE and NNE-SSW from the fault. The transiently active earthquake swarm began to occur after the 2011 MW9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake, suggesting a rapid release of accumulated stress in response to changes in the properties of the medium caused by the megathrust earthquake.

Geological structures controlled the rupture process of the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in the Northeast Japan Arc

By interpreting the 2D/3D seismic survey data acquired in the surrounding ocean areas of the Northeast (NE) Japan Arc, we clarified the detailed geological structure and demonstrated that the basic structure in the hanging-wall plate of the subduction system consists of many structural blocks (segments) separated by NW–SE trending large transcurrent faults (strike-slip faults). This structural configuration showed a close relationship with the distribution of foreshocks, mainshock, and aftershocks, coseismic slip models of the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake, coseismic slip area of M-7 class earthquakes, quasi-static slip rates, back slip rate, and seismic tomography images. In addition, the coseismic slip models revealed that the trenchward forearc of the structural blocks between the Offshore Hidaka tectonic line and the Honjo-Sendai tectonic line fitted well with the coseismic slip area of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. These findings suggest that the structural blocks bounded by these two tectonic lines slipped rapidly trenchward when the mainshock occurred. The M7 earthquakes were also concentrated along these two tectonic lines, thereby suggesting a close relationship between seismic activity and the inherited geological structure of the overriding plate in the NE Japan forearc.

Spatiotemporal Seismicity Evolution and Seismic Hazard Potentials in the Western East Sea (Sea of Japan)

The earthquakes in the western East Sea (Sea of Japan) mostly occur in the continental margin off the east coast of the Korean Peninsula. The seismic hazard potentials in and around the western Ease Sea are studied based on analyses of tectonic structures, seismicity features, earthquake source properties, Coulomb stress changes, and strong ground motions. The earthquake source mechanisms suggest that paleo-rifting structures in the western East Sea were activated by the current stress field. A low stress cumulation rate results in the occurrence of earthquakes with long recurrence intervals. The background seismicity suggests that earthquakes with magnitudes $$M_w$$ 5.0, 6.0, and 7.0 may occur within every $$\sim $$ 44, $$\sim $$ 336, and $$\sim $$ 2550 years at 95 % confidence level. The spatial distribution of earthquakes changes with time. Most earthquakes are clustered within $$\sim $$ 60 km from the coast. The seismicity analysis indicates an apparent increase of moderate-size ( $$M_w$$ 3–5) earthquakes since the 2011 $$M_w$$ 9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake. Static stress changes by moderate-size inland earthquakes induce offshore events. The seismicity and Coulomb stress changes suggest high seismic potentials around the western margin of the Ulleung basin. Earthquakes with magnitudes $$M_w$$ 6.0–7.0 in the western East Sea may produce peak ground accelerations of 0.2 g within the distance of $$\sim $$ 40–80 km, which includes the coastal regions.

Surface rupture and characteristics of a fault associated with the 2011 and 2016 earthquakes in the southern Abukuma Mountains, northeastern Japan, triggered by the Tohoku-Oki earthquake

The 2011 Tohoku-Oki offshore subduction earthquake (Mw 9.0) triggered many normal-type earthquakes inland in northeastern Japan. Among these were two very similar normal-faulting earthquakes in 2011 (Mw 5.8) and 2016 (Mw 5.9), which created surface ruptures along the newly named Mochiyama fault within the southern Abukuma Mountains, northeastern Japan, where no active faults had been previously mapped by interpretation of aerial photographs. We conducted field surveys in this area immediately after both earthquakes, and we performed trench excavations and observations of fault fracture zones after the 2016 event. These activities were complemented by an interferometric synthetic aperture radar analysis that mapped the areas of deformation and locations of surface discontinuities for both events. The combined results document the coseismic behavior of the Mochiyama fault during both events. Subtle tectonic geomorphic features associated with the fault were evident in a lidar digital elevation model of the area, and layered structures of gouge were documented in the field. These lines of evidence indicate repeated activity at shallow crustal levels and the possibility of Quaternary activity. In addition, our trench excavations revealed at least one faulting event before 2011. Our comparison of paleoseismic records on this and two other normal faults in the Abukuma Mountains suggests that great earthquakes in the Japan Trench supercycle of 500–700 years do not consistently trigger ruptures on these faults, and the case of 2011, in which the Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake triggered all three faults, is a rare occurrence.

Time-advanced occurrence of moderate-size earthquakes in a stable intraplate region after a megathrust earthquake and their seismic properties

The distance-dependent coseismic and postseismic displacements produced by the 2011 MW9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake caused medium weakening and stress perturbation in the crust around the Korean Peninsula, increasing the seismicity with successive ML5-level earthquakes at the outskirts of high seismicity regions. The average ML5-level occurrence rate prior to the megathrust earthquake was 0.15 yr−1 (0.05–0.35 yr−1 at a 95% confidence level), and the rate has increased to 0.71 yr−1 (0.23–1.67 yr−1 at a 95% confidence level) since the megathrust earthquake. The 2016 ML5-level midcrustal earthquakes additionally changed the stress field in adjacent regions, inducing the 15 November 2017 ML5.4 earthquake. The successive 2016 and 2017 moderate-size earthquakes built complex stress fields in the southeastern Korean Peninsula, increasing the seismic hazard risks in the regions of long-term stress accumulation. The increased seismic risks may continue until the medium properties and stress field are recovered.

Crustal stress field perturbations in the continental margin around the Korean Peninsula and Japanese islands

Seismic activity and focal mechanisms are governed by the effective stress field that is a combined result of regional tectonic processes and local stress perturbation. This study investigates the regional variation in the stress field in the eastern continental margin of the Eurasian plate around the Korean Peninsula and Japanese islands using a damped stress inversion technique based on the focal mechanism solutions of regional earthquakes. The dominant compressional stress is directed ENE–WSW around the Korean Peninsula and eastern China, E–W at the central East Sea and northern and southern Japan, NW–SE at central Japan, and N–S around the northern Nankai trough. The dominant compression direction changes rapidly in the East Sea and Japanese islands, which may be due to the combined effects of tectonic loading in the subduction zones off the Japanese islands and the India-Eurasia plate boundary. The crustal stress fields around the subduction zones off the Japanese islands present characteristic depth-dependent orientations. The orientations of the largest horizontal stress components, σH, in the subduction zones are subparallel with the plate convergence directions at shallow depths. The σH orientations are observed to rotate clockwise with the depth owing to slab subduction and lithospheric deformation. The regional stress field around the Japanese islands was perturbed temporally by the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake. The regional stress field was recovered in a couple of years. The stress field and tectonic structures are mutually affected, causing stress field distortion and a localized mixture of earthquakes in different faulting types.

Dynamic seismic response of a stable intraplate region to a megathrust earthquake

The 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake produced strong ground motions with a peak ground acceleration of 1.52cm/s2 in the Korean Peninsula, inducing large dynamic-stress changes in the crust. Sixty-one triggered earthquakes with magnitudes of 0.5–2.5 including 17 unusual, spatially-clustered events were identified from continuous seismic record sections of dense seismic networks for 18h following the megathrust earthquake. The triggered earthquakes occurred in regions of high seismicity. The earthquake occurrence frequency increased after the megathrust earthquake, keeping the Gutenberg-Richter b value invariant. The seismic occurrence rates decreased with time following a modified Omori law. The focal mechanism solutions of triggered earthquakes are consistent with those observed before the megathrust earthquake. An unusual earthquake swarm displays apparent migration with a speed of 28.6±4.4m/h. The changes in pore fluid pressure induced by strong seismic waves may have caused the triggering of earthquakes. The duration and strength of dynamic triggering may be highly dependent on the magnitude and distance of megathrust earthquake.

Gas pathways and remotely triggered earthquakes beneath Mount Fuji, Japan

Large earthquakes sometimes trigger local seismicity that is distal to their rupture zones. Various mechanisms for this triggered seismicity have been proposed, based on either the static stress change or ground shaking from seismic waves, but local geological structure is rarely studied to discern why this seismicity is remotely induced. We present the results of a joint three-dimensional resistivity and isotopic analysis of the groundwater system surrounding Mount Fuji, Japan, where increased seismicity was observed following the A.D. 2011 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake. An electrically conductive zone and high concentrations of magmatic gases (He and CO2) correspond to the zone of triggered seismicity. In contrast, a contribution of magmatic water is not suggested from 2H (deuterium, D) and 18O isotope ratios. These results suggest that the earthquakes were triggered within a fractured zone through which magmatic gases preferentially migrated. We hypothesize that the upwelling of gas-rich hydrous fluids and/or gas bubbles occurred along this fracture pathway, causing an increase in the pore pressure and triggering the resultant earthquake sequence.

Tsunamigenic Earthquakes at Along-dip Double Segmentation and Along-strike Single Segmentation near Japan

A distinct difference of the earthquake activity in megathrust subduction zones is pointed out, concerning seismic segmentations in the vicinity of Japan—that is, the apparent distribution of earthquake hypocenters characterized by Along-dip Double Segmentation (ADDS) and Along-strike Single Segmentation (ASSS). ADDS is double aligned seismic-segmentation of trench-ward seismic segments along the Japan Trench and island-ward seismic segments along the Pacific coast of the Japan Islands. The 2011 Tohoku-oki megathrust earthquake of Mw9.0 occurred in ADDS. In the meantime, the subduction zone along the Nankai Trough, the western part of Japan, is the source region of a multiple rupture of seismic segments by the 1707 Houei earthquake, the greatest earthquake in the history of Japan. This subduction zone is narrow under the Japan Islands, which is composed of single aligned seismic-segmentation side by side along the Nankai Trough, which is typical of ASSS. Looking at the world seismicity, the 1960 and 2010 Chile megathrusts, for example, occurred in ASSS, whereas the 1952 Kamchatka and the 1964 Alaska megathrusts occurred in ADDS. These megathrusts in ADDS result from the rupture of strong asperity in the trench-ward seismic segments. Since the asperity of earthquakes in ASSS is concentrated in the shallow part of subduction zones and the asperity of frequent earthquakes in ADDS is in deeper parts of the island-ward seismic segments than those of ASSS, there must be a difference in tsunami excitations due to earthquakes in ADDS and ASSS. An analysis was made in detail of tsunami and seismic excitations of earthquakes in the vicinity of Japan. Tsunami heights of ASSS earthquakes are about two times larger than those of ADDS earthquakes with the same value of seismic moment. The reason for this different tsunami excitation is also considered in relation to the seismic segmentations of ADDS and ASSS.

Unusual low-angle normal fault earthquakes after the 2011 Tohoku-oki megathrust earthquake

A few low-angle normal fault earthquakes at approximately the depth of the plate interface, with a strike nearly parallel to the trench axis, were detected immediately after the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake. After that, however, no such normal fault events have been observed until the occurrence of the 2014 M W 6.6 Fukushima-oki earthquake. Here we analyze the teleseismic body waveforms of the 2014 Fukushima-oki earthquake. We first compare the observed teleseismic body waves of the 2014 Fukushima-oki earthquake with those of the largest previous low-angle normal fault aftershock (M W 6.6), which occurred on 12 March 2011, and then estimate the centroid depth and moment tensor solution of the 2014 Fukushima-oki earthquake. The teleseismic body waves and moment tensor solution of the 2014 Fukushima-oki earthquake are similar to those of the 2011 normal fault aftershock, which suggests that the 2014 Fukushima-oki earthquake occurred at a similar depth and had a similar mechanism to that of the 2011 aftershock. We detected five low-angle normal fault aftershocks at approximately the depth of the plate interface, with a strike nearly parallel to the trench axis, and confirmed that all of them except for the 2014 Fukushima-oki earthquake occurred within 17 days after the mainshock. The occurrence of these low-angle normal fault events is likely to reflect the reversal of shear stress due to overshooting of slip during the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake. We speculate that a fast but heterogeneous recovery of stress state at the plate interface may explain why these events preferentially occurred immediately after the megathrust event, while one of them occurred with a significant delay. In order to better understand the characteristics of stress state in the crust, we have to carefully observe the ongoing seismic activity around this region.

Interrogation of the Megathrust Zone in the Tohoku-Oki Seismic Region by Waveform Complexity: Intraslab Earthquake Rupture and Reactivation of Subducted Normal Faults

Results from the 2011 Mw 9.1 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake display a complex rupture pattern, with most of the high-frequency energy radiated from the downdip edge of the seismogenic zone and very little from the large shallow rupture. Current seismic results of smaller earthquakes in this region are confusing due to disagreements among event catalogs on both the event locations (>30 km horizontally) and mechanisms. Here we present an in-depth study of a series of intraslab earthquakes that occurred in a localized region near the downdip edge of the main shock. We explore the validity of 1D velocity model and refine earthquake source parameters for selected key events by performing broadband waveform modeling combining regional networks. These refined source parameters are then used to calibrate paths and further simulate secondary source properties, such as rupture directivity and fault dimension. Calculation of stress changes caused by the main event indicate that the region where these intraslab events occurred are prone to thrust events. This group of intraslab earthquakes suggest the reactivation of a subducted normal fault, and are potentially useful in enhancing our understanding on the downdip shear zone and large outer-rise events.

Seismic Hazard Assessment for Japan after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Mega-Thrust Earthquake (Mw9.0)

Seismic Hazard Assessment for Japan after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Mega-Thrust Earthquake (Mw9.0)

Displacement Above the Hypocenter of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake

The moment magnitude (M(w)) = 9.0 2011 Tohoku-Oki mega-thrust earthquake occurred off the coast of northeastern Japan. Combining Global Positioning System (GPS) and acoustic data, we detected very large sea-floor movements associated with this event directly above the focal region. An area with more than 20 meters of horizontal displacement, that is, four times larger than those detected on land, stretches several tens of kilometers long along the trench; the largest amount reaches about 24 meters toward east-southeast just above the hypocenter. Furthermore, nearly 3 meters of vertical uplift occurred, contrary to observed terrestrial subsidence.

Shallow Dynamic Overshoot and Energetic Deep Rupture in the 2011 M w 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake

Strong spatial variation of rupture characteristics in the moment magnitude (M(w)) 9.0 Tohoku-Oki megathrust earthquake controlled both the strength of shaking and the size of the tsunami that followed. Finite-source imaging reveals that the rupture consisted of a small initial phase, deep rupture for up to 40 seconds, extensive shallow rupture at 60 to 70 seconds, and continuing deep rupture lasting more than 100 seconds. A combination of a shallow dipping fault and a compliant hanging wall may have enabled large shallow slip near the trench. Normal faulting aftershocks in the area of high slip suggest dynamic overshoot on the fault. Despite prodigious total slip, shallower parts of the rupture weakly radiated at high frequencies, whereas deeper parts of the rupture radiated strongly at high frequencies.

Rupture process of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki mega-thrust earthquake (M9.0) inverted from strong-motion data

[1] We investigate the rupture process of the M9.0 Tohoku-Oki mega-thrust earthquake using the relatively low-frequency strong-motion records (0.01–0.125 Hz) observed at 36 K-NET and KiK-net stations, the epicentral distances of which range from 120 km to 400 km. The fault model is a rectangular plane, the length and width of which are 510 km along the Japan Trench and 210 km along subducting direction of the Pacific Plate, respectively. We perform the multi-time-window inversion analysis with a 30 × 30 km2 subfault. The derived slip model has one large slip area. This area extends from the region around the hypocenter to the shallow part of the fault plane and further to the north and south along the trench axis, located far off southern Iwate, Miyagi, and northern Fukushima prefectures. The seismic moment is 4.42 × 1022 Nm (Mw 9.0) and the maximum slip is 48 m. The slips near the coast are relatively small, except off Miyagi prefecture, which experienced a slip greater than 5 m. The shallow large slip area, which continuously ruptured from 60 s to 100 s after the initial break, radiated seismic waves rich in very-low-frequency content (<0.02 Hz). The rupture after 100 s propagating to the southern fault area, contributes to the distinct phases observed for Fukushima and Ibaraki prefectures. The relationship between the proposed rupture model and the feature of the acceleration waveforms is not straightforward and suggests the frequency dependency of the seismic wave radiation.