The relationship between visible petroleum seepage and commercial subsurface reserves has been investigated by a study of the distribution of documented seeps in south-east Asia. This is accompanied and integrated with a broader global study. The intensity of flowing seepage is controlled largely by present day tectonics and by the timing of petroleum migration. When such influences are reduced by isolating sets of tectonically similar basins, correlations are found between numbers of seeps and basin reserves. At a sub-basinal scale, seeps are observed to concentrate over tectonic features such as active diapirs, active faults and uplifted basin margins. It is relatively rare for seeps to directly overlie major fields, although many seeps may be linked to downdip accumulations by long tortuous paths. The best seep-accumulation relationships are observed in active compressional and diapiric settings, particularly those involving shallow reservoirs. Seeps are rare where traps are buried beneath thick undisturbed overburdens. The prime value of visible seeps in most frontier basins lies at the regional level, in the clues they give to the nature, extent and quantitative hydrocarbon potential of a basin's source system.
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