Thromboembolic Risk Scores Research Articles

Rate and predictors of thromboprophylaxis in internal medicine wards: Results from the AURELIO study

BackgroundRandomized controlled trials suggest that prophylactic doses of anticoagulants effectively prevent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in hospitalized medical patients with high thromboembolic risk. However, no prospective studies exist regarding the real-world prevalence of prophylactic anticoagulant use. This prospective study aimed to determine the rate and predictors of thromboprophylaxis in an unselected population of patients hospitalized in medical departments. MethodsWe conducted a multicenter prospective observational study (AURELIO – rAte of venous thrombosis in acutely iLl patIents hOspitalized) to assess the rate of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in unselected acutely ill patients hospitalized in medical wards using compression ultrasound (CUS) at admission and discharge. Additionally, we evaluated the rate of pharmacological thromboprophylaxis administration in this population and analyzed the thrombotic risk by assessing RAMs (Risk Assessment Models) such as the IMPROVE-VTE and PADUA scores following the clinician's decision to administer thromboprophylaxis. Patients with IMPROVE-VTE scores ≥3 and/or PADUA scores ≥4 were classified as high thrombotic risk; those with IMPROVE-VTE scores <3 and/or PADUA scores <4 were classified as low risk. ResultsWe recruited 2371 patients (1233 males [52 %] and 1138 females [48 %]; mean age 72 ± 16 years). The median length of hospitalization was 13 ± 12 days. Overall, 442/2371 (18.6 %) patients received prophylactic parenteral anticoagulants (subcutaneous low weight molecular heparin or fondaparinux once daily) at admission. Assessing the thrombotic risk of the population recruited 1016 (42.9 %) patients were classified as high risk and 1354 (57.1 %) were low risk. Among high-risk patients, 339/1016 (33.4 %) received anticoagulant prophylaxis compared to 103/1354 (7.6 %) low-risk patients. During hospitalization, 9 patients developed DVT, comprising 7 asymptomatic and 2 symptomatic cases of proximal DVT. Of these, 3 patients were on anticoagulant prophylaxis, while 6 were not. Among the high-risk population, 7 out of 1016 patients (0.7 %) experienced proximal DVT during hospitalization, with 2 out of these 7 (28 %) receiving anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis. In the low-risk population, 2 out of 1354 patients (0.2 %) developed DVT, with 1 out of these 2 (50 %) receiving anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis. Age, heart or respiratory failure, pneumonia, active neoplasia, previous VTE, reduced mobility, and absence of kidney failure were more frequent in patients receiving prophylaxis. Multivariable logistic regression identified age (RR 1.010; CI 95 % 1002–1019; p = 0.015), heart/respiratory failure (RR 1.609; CI 95 % 1248–2075; p < 0.0001), active neoplasia (RR 2.041; CI 95 % 1222–2141; p < 0.0001), pneumonia (RR 1.618; CI 95 % 1557–2676; p < 0.0001), previous VTE (RR 1.954; CI 95 % 1222–3125; p < 0.0001), and reduced mobility (RR 4.674; CI 95 % 3700–5905; p < 0.0001) as independent predictors of thromboprophylaxis. ConclusionsThis study, conducted without pre-established thromboembolic risk scores, offers a comprehensive view of venous thromboembolism prophylaxis in medical patients with acute conditions hospitalized in internal medicine departments. It reveals that advanced age, heart or respiratory failure, active cancer, pneumonia, previous VTE, and reduced mobility are predictors that may influence the decision to administer thromboprophylaxis in these patients.

Favorable safety profile of NOAC therapy in patients after tricuspid transcatheter edge-to-edge repair.

Transcatheter edge-to-edge repair for severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is a new treatment option (t-TEER). Data on optimal antithrombotic therapy after t-TEER in patients with an indication for anticoagulation are scarce and evidence-based guideline recommendations are lacking. We sought to investigate efficacy and safety of novel oral anticoagulation (NOAC) and vitamin-K-antagonists (VKA) in patients undergoing t-TEER. Among 78 consecutive patients with t-TEER of severe TR, 69 patients were identified with concomitant indication for oral anticoagulation. Outcomes of these patients treated with NOAC or VKA were compared over a median follow-up period of 327 (177-460) days. Despite elevated thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores (CHA2DS2-VASc 4.2 ± 1.1, HEMORR2HAGES 3.0 ± 1.0 and HAS-BLED 2.1 ± 0.8), only one major bleeding incidence occurred under NOAC therapy. The risk for overall (NOAC 8% vs. VKA group 26%, p = 0.044) and major bleeding events (NOAC 2% vs. VKA 21%, p = 0.010) was significantly lower in the NOAC compared to the VKA group. No significant difference was found between NOAC and VKA treatment in terms of mortality (NOAC 18% vs. VKA 16%, p = 0.865) or the combined endpoint of death, heart failure hospitalization, stroke, embolism, thrombosis, myocardial infarction, and severe bleeding (NOAC 48% vs. VKA 42%, p = 0.801). A comparison between apixaban (n = 27) and rivaroxaban (n = 16) treated patients revealed no significant differences between NOAC substances (all bleeding events apixaban 7% vs. rivaroxaban 13%, p = 0.638). Results of this study indicate that NOACs may offer a favorable risk-benefit profile for patients with concomitant indication for anticoagulation therapy following t-TEER.

Validation of the International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism (IMPROVE) risk scores for venous thromboembolism and bleeding in an independent population

BackgroundMultiple guidelines recommend assessment of bleeding and venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk in adult medical inpatients to inform prevention strategies. There is no agreed-upon method for VTE and bleeding risk assessment. ObjectivesTo validate the International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism (IMPROVE) VTE and bleeding risk scores in an independent population. MethodsIn this retrospective study, we calculated the IMPROVE VTE and bleeding risk scores in medical inpatients admitted between 2010 and 2019 at the University of Vermont Medical Center (UVMMC). Patients were followed for in-hospital bleeding events while hospitalized and VTE events while hospitalized and for 3 months after discharge. We assessed calibration of the risk models by comparing the observed incidence of events in the UVMMC and IMPROVE populations across the published risk categories. We also assessed performance of the IMPROVE risk factors after refitting the models in the UVMMC population. Discrimination was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). ResultsVTE occurred in 270 (1.1%) of 23,873 admissions, with 92 (34%) occurring during admission, and bleeding occurred in 712 (4.7%) of 15,240 admissions. When the IMPROVE-VTE risk factors were refitted to the UVMMC data, the AUC was 0.64. When the IMPROVE bleeding risk factors were refitted to the UVMMC data, the AUC was 0.67. The IMPROVE-VTE score tended to overestimate risk at higher scores, and the IMPROVE bleeding score underestimated risk at lower scores and overestimated risk at higher scores. ConclusionWhile the refitted IMPROVE VTE and bleeding risk scores had reasonable model fit, the scores were poorly calibrated and did not reliably identify or differentiate patients at risk for VTE and bleeding. Different methods are needed for risk assessment of medical inpatients for VTE and bleeding risk.

Epidemiology, prognosis, and challenges in the management of hyperthyroidism-related atrial fibrillation.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common condition with a global estimated prevalence of 60 million cases, and the most common cardiac complication of hyperthyroidism, occurring in 5-15% of overtly hyperthyroid patients. Additionally, subclinical hyperthyroidism and high-normal free T4 have been associated with an increased risk in the development of AF. Hyperthyroidism-related AF is a reversible cause of AF, and the majority of patients spontaneously revert to sinus rhythm in 4-6 months during or after restoration of euthyroidism. Therefore, restoring thyroid function is an indispensable element in hyperthyroidism-related AF management. Rate control with beta-blockers consists another first-line therapy, reserving rhythm control in cases of persistent hyperthyroidism-related AF. It is still controversial whether hyperthyroidism is an independent risk factor of stroke in nonvalvular AF. As a result, initiating anticoagulation should be guided by the clinical thromboembolic risk score CHA2DS2-VASc score in the same way it is applied in patients with non-hyperthyroidism-related AF. Treatment with the novel direct oral anticoagulants appears to be as beneficial and may be safer than warfarin in patients with hyperthyroidism-related AF. In this review, we address the epidemiology, prognosis, and diagnosis of hyperthyroidism-related AF, and we discuss the management strategies and controversies in patients with hyperthyroidism-related AF.

Periprocedural Edoxaban Management and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Cardiovascular Procedures in the EMIT-AF/VTE Program.

Clinical trial registration number: NCT02950168, NCT02951039.

Revisiting and Refining the Body Mass Index- Based Thromboembolic Risk Score in Atrial Fibrillation: A Constructive Review.

Revisiting and Refining the Body Mass Index- Based Thromboembolic Risk Score in Atrial Fibrillation: A Constructive Review.

Survey of Using Oral Anticoagulants in Patient with Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation.

In Vietnam, there has been no survey conducted on the prescribing and monitoring practices of oral anticoagulants to ensure that patients with atrial fibrillation receive appropriate. Objective: Therefore, we conducted this research to clarify the aforementioned issue in our hospital. We carried out a cross-sectional study by reviewing outpatient electronic medical records at the University Medical Center in Ho Chi Minh City. Our study included 1087 patients aged 18 years or older diagnosed with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), who visited the Cardiology clinic between January 1st, 2021, and June 30th, 2021. Among the 1087 patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), 1036 were eligible for anticoagulant therapy. However, only 847 (81.8%) received prescriptions for either Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) (n=129, 15.2%) or Non-Vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) (n=718, 84.8%). NOAC prescriptions were more commonly found in patients aged 75 or older (adjusted odds ratio [OR]=2), those with health insurance coverage (adjusted OR=2.9), and in individuals with a history of hypertension (adjusted OR=2). On the contrary, patients with a farming occupation were less likely to be prescribed NOACs (adjusted OR=0.4). About 75% of patients adhered to the guidelines recommending close monitoring during anticoagulant treatment. Notably, inappropriate prescriptions were identified in 27.7% of cases, especially among those with no recorded body weight (which is necessary for precise dosing based on creatinine clearance), those without health insurance, those with undocumented CHA2DS2-VASc scores, or those who were concurrently using antiplatelet agents. A discrepancy persists between clinical guidelines and the actual practice in diagnosing and managing patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). It is crucial to prioritize the regular reevaluation of thromboembolic risk scores at follow-up appointments, ensure strict adherence to clinical monitoring standards, and align anticoagulant medication prescriptions with established guidelines.

Quality indicators in atrial fibrillation ablation (RIQAFA). A national registry from the Portuguese Association of Arrhythmology, Pacing and Electrophysiology (APAPE)

Introduction and ObjectivesAtrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia, with significant burden for patients. Catheter ablation is safe and superior for symptom improvement. The purpose of this work was to assess how clinical practice compares with current scientific evidence and quality indicators for AF ablation. MethodsThe Portuguese Association of Arrhythmology, Pacing and Electrophysiology conducted a prospective registry among Portuguese centers to assess clinical practice regarding management of patients referred for ablation and the methodology used in the procedures and related outcomes. ResultsA total of 337 patients were referred for ablation, 102 (37.91%) female, age 65 (56–70.8) years. The median CHADS2-VaSC2 thromboembolic risk score was 2 (1–3), and 308 (92.49%) were on anticoagulants. AF was mainly paroxysmal (224, 66.97%) and symptomatic (mEHRA score 3; 2–3). Before ablation most patients (273, 81.49%) underwent cardiac computed tomography and only 24 (7.36%) procedures were performed with uninterrupted anticoagulation. For ablation, Carto® (194; 59.15%) and Ensite® (55; 16.77%) were mainly used, and the preferential strategy was pulmonary vein isolation (316; 94.61%). Acute complications occurred in five (1.49%) patients, while most had symptom improvement at one month (200; 86.21%), sustained at one year. There were 40 (12.6%) relapses within 30 days and 19 (26.39%) at one year. ConclusionsIn a population of patients with AF referred for ablation in Portuguese centers, patient management is provided according to the best scientific evidence and there is a high standard of practice with respect to the quality of AF ablation practice.

Characteristics and outcomes in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk: subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry

Recently, a once-daily dose of edoxaban (15-mg) has been approved for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients aged ≥ 80 years, in whom standard oral anticoagulants are not recommended because of high bleeding risk (HBR), based on the ELDERCARE-AF trial. However, information regarding the characteristics and clinical outcomes among such patients is limited. Thus, this study aimed to clarify the characteristics and event rates in elderly patients with NVAF and HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria. Of the 7406 NVAF outpatients included in the J-RHYTHM Registry, 60 patients with creatinine clearance (CrCl) < 15 mL/min were excluded. The remaining 7346 patients (age, 69.7 ± 9.9 years; men, 70.9%; warfarin use, 78.7%) were divided into three groups: Group 1, aged < 80 years (n = 6165); Group 2, aged ≥ 80 years without HBR (n = 584); and Group 3, aged ≥ 80 years with HBR (at least one of the followings; CrCl, 15–30 mL/min, history of bleeding, body weight ≤ 45 kg, and antiplatelet use) (n = 597, eligible for 15-mg edoxaban). Patients in Group 3 had a higher prevalence of comorbidities, and therefore, both higher thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores than in the other groups. During the 2-year follow-up period, the incidence rates (per 100 person-years) of thromboembolism in Groups 1, 2, and 3 were 0.7, 1.5, and 2.1 (P < 0.001), major hemorrhage, 0.8, 1.2, and 2.0 (P < 0.001), and all-cause death, 0.8, 2.6, and 4.6 (P < 0.001), respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios of Group 3 were 1.64 (95% confidence interval 0.89–3.04, P = 0.116) for thromboembolism, 1.53 (0.85–2.72, P = 0.154) for major hemorrhage, and 1.84 (1.19–2.85, P = 0.006) for all-cause death compared with Group 1. The NVAF Patients aged ≥ 80 years with HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria were certainly at a higher adverse event risk, especially for all-cause death. Clinical trial registration: The J-RHYTHM Registry is registered in the University Hospital Medicine Information Network (UMIN) Clinical Trials Registry (unique identifier: UMIN000001569) http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/.

The Challenge of Managing Atrial Fibrillation during Pregnancy.

The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) during pregnancy increases with maternal age and with the presence of structural heart disorders. Early diagnosis and prompt therapy can considerably reduce the risk of thromboembolism. The therapeutic approach to AF during pregnancy is particularly challenging, and the maternal and fetal risks associated with the use of antiarrhythmic and anticoagulant drugs must be carefully evaluated. Moreover, the currently used thromboembolic risk scores have yet to be validated for the prediction of stroke during pregnancy. At present, electrical cardioversion is considered to be the safest and most effective strategy in women with hemodynamic instability. Beta-selective blockers are also recommended as the first choice for rate control. Antiarrhythmic drugs such as flecainide, propafenone and sotalol should be considered for rhythm control if atrioventricular nodal-blocking drugs fail. AF catheter ablation is currently not recommended during pregnancy. Overall, the therapeutic strategy for AF in pregnancy must be carefully assessed and should take into consideration the advantages and drawbacks of each aspect. A multidisciplinary approach with a "Pregnancy-Heart Team" appears to improve the management and outcome of these patients. However, further studies are needed to identify the most appropriate therapeutic strategies for AF in pregnancy.

The factors affecting the quality of life among women during the postpartum period

Objective: As healthcare has become increasingly patient-centered, outcomes such as disease-specific quality of life (QoL) have become increasingly important. This study aimed to determine the factors affecting the QoL of postpartum women and which factors make a difference and affect the QoL. Patients and Methods: A total of 175 postpartum mothers participated in this study. The Euro QoL 5 Dimension 5 Level (EQ 5D-5L) scale was used to measure the health-related QoL of postpartum women. Results: The QoL of women differed in age, delivery type, venous thromboembolism risk factors, parity, gravida, number of live births, and use of anticoagulant medication. According to multiple regression analyses, the “age” variable had a significant effect on the QoL. However, the variables of education, social security, employment status, and monthly income of the family were not significant determinants of QoL. Also, the “number of live births” variable did not significantly affect the QoL, other obstetric and clinical variables had a significant effect on the QoL. The gravida increased the QoL but the number of miscarriages and the venous thromboembolism risk score decreased the QoL. Conclusions: This study shows that, the QoL of women varies according to obstetric, socio-demographic, and clinical factors, and “age, gravida, the number of abortions and the venous thromboembolism risk score” variables have a significant effect on the QoL.

Thromboembolic risk scores in patients with non-obstructive coronary architecture with and without coronary slow flow: A case-control study

AimCoronary slow flow phenomenon (CSFP) detected on coronary angiography (CA) has been related to poor prognosis. We sought to examine the relationship between thromboembolic risk scores, routinely used in cardiology practice, and CSFP. MethodsThis single-center, retrospective, case-control study comprised 505 individuals suffering from angina and had verified ischemia between January 2021 and January 2022. Demographic and laboratory parameters were obtained from the hospital database. The following risk scores were calculated; CHA2DS2-VASc, M-CHA2DS2-VASc, CHA2DS2-VASc-HS, R2-CHA2DS2-VASc, M-R2-CHA2DS2-VASc, ATRIA, M-ATRIA, M-ATRIA-HSV. The overall population was divided into two groups; coronary slow flow and coronary normal flow. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to compare risk scores between patients with and without CSFP. Pairwise comparisons were then undertaken to test performance in determining CSFP. ResultsThe mean age was 51.7 ± 10.7 years, of whom 63.2% were male. CSFP was detected in 222 patients. Those with CSFP had higher rates of male gender, diabetes, smoking, hyperlipidemia, and vascular disease. All scores were higher in CSFP patients. Multivariable logistic regression analysis found that CHA2DS2-VASc-HS score was the most powerful determinant of CSFP among all risk schemes (for each one-point increase in score OR = 1.90, p < 0.001; for score of 2–3 OR = 5.20, p < 0.001; for score of >4 OR = 13.89, p < 0.001). Also, the CHA2DS2-VASc-HS score provided the best discriminative performance, with a cut-off value of ≥2 in identifying CSFP (AUC = 0.759, p < 0.001). ConclusionWe showed that thromboembolic risk scores may be associated with CSFP in patients with non-obstructive coronary architecture who underwent CA. The CHA2DS2-VASc-HS score had the best discriminative ability.

Predictive validation of existing bleeding and thromboembolic scores in elderly patients with comorbid atrial fibrillation and acute coronary syndrome.

The validation of various risk scores in elderly patients with comorbid atrial fibrillation (AF) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has not been reported. The present study compared the predictive performance of existing risk scores in these patients. A total of 1252 elderly patients with AF and ACS comorbidities (≥ 65 years old) were consecutively enrolled from January 2015 to December 2019. All patients were followed up for one year. The predictive performance of risk scores in predicting bleeding and thromboembolic events was calculated and compared. During the 1-year follow-up, 183 (14.6%) patients had thromboembolic events, 198 (15.8%) patients had BARC class ≥ 2 bleeding events, and 61 (4.9%) patients had BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events. For the BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events, discrimination of the existing risk scores was low to moderate, PRECISE-DAPT (C-statistic: 0.638, 95% CI: 0.611-0.665), ATRIA (C-statistic: 0.615, 95% CI: 0.587-0.642), PARIS-MB (C-statistic: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.584-0.639), HAS-BLED (C-statistic: 0.597, 95% CI: 0.569-0.624) and CRUSADE (C-statistic: 0.595, 95% CI: 0.567-0.622). However, the calibration was good. PRECISE-DAPT showed a higher integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) than PARIS-MB, HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and CRUSADE (P < 0.05) and the best decision curve analysis (DCA). For thromboembolic events, the discrimination of GRACE (C-statistic: 0.636, 95% CI: 0.608-0.662) was higher than CHA2DS2-VASc (C-statistic: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.584-0.639), OPT-CAD (C-statistic: 0.602, 95% CI: 0.574-0.629) and PARIS-CTE (C-statistic: 0.595, 95% CI: 0.567-0.622). The calibration was good. Compared to OPT-CAD and PARIS-CTE, the IDI of the GRACE score slightly improved (P < 0.05). However, NRI analysis showed no significant difference. DCA showed that the clinical practicability of thromboembolic risk scores was similar. The discrimination and calibration of existing risk scores in predicting 1-year thromboembolic and bleeding events were unsatisfactory in elderly patients with comorbid AF and ACS. PRECISE-DAPT showed higher IDI and DCA than other risk scores in predicting BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events. The GRACE score showed a slight advantage in predicting thrombotic events.

Postoperative Venous Thromboembolism in Colon and Rectal Cancer: Do Tumor Location and Operation Matter?

Existing venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk scores help identify patients at increased risk of postoperative VTE who warrant extended prophylaxis in the first 30 days. However, these methods do not address factors unique to colorectal surgery, wherein the tumor location and operation performed vary widely. VTE risk may extend past 30 days. Therefore, we aimed to determine the roles of tumor location and operation in VTE development and evaluate VTE incidence through 90 days postoperatively. Adult patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2021, at a single institution were identified. Patients were then stratified by cancer location and by operative extent. VTEs were identified using diagnosis codes in the electronic medical record and consisted of extremity deep venous thromboses, portomesenteric venous thromboses, and pulmonary emboli. A total of 6,844 operations were identified (72% segmental colectomy, 22% proctectomy, 6% total (procto)colectomy), and tumor location was most commonly in the ascending colon (32%), followed by the rectum (31%), with other locations less common (sigmoid 16%, rectosigmoid junction 9%, transverse colon 7%, descending colon 5%). The cumulative incidence of any VTE was 3.1% at 90 days with a relatively steady increase across the entire 90-day interval. Extremity deep venous thromboses were the most common VTE type, accounting for 37% of events, and pulmonary emboli and portomesenteric venous thromboses made up 33% and 30% of events, respectively. More distal tumor locations and more anatomically extensive operations had higher VTE rates. When considering extended VTE prophylaxis after colorectal surgery, clinicians should account for the operation performed and the location of the tumor. Further study is necessary to determine the optimal length of VTE prophylaxis in high-risk individuals.

A Novel Body Mass Index-Based Thromboembolic Risk Score for Overweight Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation.

A novel risk prediction model appears to be urgently required to improve the assessment of thrombotic risk in overweight patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We developed a novel body mass index (BMI)-based thromboembolic risk score (namely AB2S score) for these patients. A total of 952 overweight patients with NVAF were retrospectively enrolled in this study with a 12-month follow-up. The primary endpoint was 1-year systemic thromboembolism and the time to thrombosis (TTT). The candidate risk variables identified by logistic regression analysis were included in the final nomogram model to construct AB2S score. The measures of model fit were evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), C-statistic, and calibration curve. The performance comparison of the AB2S score to the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score was performed in terms of the AUC and decision analysis curve (DAC). The AB2S score was constructed using 7 candidate risk variables, including a 3-category BMI (25 to 30, 30 to 34, or ≥35 kg/m2). It yielded a c-index of 0.885 (95% CI, 0.814-0.954) and an AUC of 0.885 (95% CI, 0.815-0.955) for predicting 1-year systemic thromboembolism in patients with NVAF. Compared to the CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score, the AB2S score had greater AUC and DAC values in predicting the thromboembolic risk and better risk stratification in TTT (P <.0001, P =.082, respectively). Our results highlighted the importance of a BMI-based AB2S score in determining systemic thromboembolism risk in overweight patients with NVAF, which may aid in decision-making for these patients to balance the effectiveness of anticoagulation from the underlying thrombotic risk.

Comparison of thromboembolic risk scores for evaluating in-hospital events of COVID-19 patients.

Aim: To compare the effectiveness of thromboembolic risk scores in determining in-hospital events of COVID-19 patients. Methods: This retrospective study included a total of 410 consecutive COVID-19 patients. Scores including CHA2DS2-VASc-HS (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes mellitus, stroke/transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, sex, hyperlipidemia, smoking); modified R2CHA2DS2-VASc (CHA2DS2-VASc plus renal function), m-ATRIA (modified Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation score), ATRIA-HSV (ATRIA plus hyperlipidemia, smokingand vascular disease) and modified ATRIA-HSV were calculated. Participants were divided by in-hospital mortality status into two groups: alive and deceased. Results: Ninety-two (22.4%) patients died. Patients in the deceased group were older, predominantly male and had comorbid conditions. CHA2DS2-VASc-HS (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.31; p=0.011), m-R2CHA2DS2-VASc (aOR: 1.33; p=0.007), m-ATRIA (aOR: 1.18; p=0.026), ATRIA-HSV (aOR: 1.18; p=0.013) and m-ATRIA-HSV (aOR: 1.24; p=0.001) scores were all associated with in-hospital mortality. m-R2CHA2DS2-VASc and modified ATRIA-HSV had the best discriminatory performance. Conclusion: We showed that m-R2CHA2DS2-VASc and m-ATRIA-HSV scores were better than the rest in predicting mortality among COVID-19 patients.

Venous thromboembolism risk score during hospitalization in pregnancy: results of 10694 prospective evaluations in a clinical trial

ObjectivesHospitalization during pregnancy and childbirth increases the risk of Venous Thromboembolism Risk (VTE). This study applied a VTE risk score to all hospitalized pregnant women to ascertain its effectiveness in preventing maternal death from VTE until 3 months after discharge. MethodsIn this interventional study, patients were classified as low- or high-risk according to the VTE risk score (Clinics Hospital risk score). High-risk patients (score ≥ 3) were scheduled for pharmacological Thromboprophylaxis (TPX). Interaction analysis of the main risk factors was performed using Odds Ratio (OR) and Poisson regression with robust variance. ResultsThe data of 10694 cases (7212 patients) were analyzed; 1626 (15.2%, 1000 patients) and 9068 (84.8%, 6212 patients) cases were classified as high-risk (score ≥ 3) and low-risk (score < 3), respectively. The main risk factors (Odds Ratio, 95% Confidence Interval) for VTE were age ≥ 35 and < 40 years (1.6, 1.4–1.8), parity ≥ 3 (3.5, 3.0–4.0), age ≥ 40 years (4.8, 4.1–5.6), multiple pregnancies (2.1, 1.7–2.5), BMI ≥ 40 kg/m2 (5.1, 4.3–6.0), severe infection (4.1, 3.3–5.1), and cancer (12.3, 8.8–17.2). There were 10 cases of VTE: 7/1636 (0.4%) and 3/9068 (0.03%) in the high- and low-risk groups, respectively. No patient died of VTE. The intervention reduced the VTE risk by 87%; the number needed to treat was 3. ConclusionsThis VTE risk score was effective in preventing maternal deaths from VTE, with a low indication for TPX. Maternal age, multiparity, obesity, severe infections, multiple pregnancies, and cancer were the main risk factors for VTE.

Venous Thromboembolism Risk Score and Pregnancy.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major contributor to maternal morbidity and mortality worldwide. Pregnancy is associated with the development of a baseline hypercoagulable state. The two strongest risk factors for pregnancy-associated VTE are previous VTE and/or high risk thrombophilia. The others risk factors for VTE during pregnancy are well known such as maternal, pregnancy and delivery characteristics. Considering the variation in recommendation in guidelines and low-quality evidence on the prevention, diagnosis and treatment, practice differs between countries and clinical institutions. Some authors developed risk scores, enabling individualized estimation of thrombotic risk during pregnancy, and permitting implementation of a risk-adapted strategy for thromboprophylaxis during pregnancy and postpartum. This review describes the existing VTE risk scores during the antenatal and postnatal period. The important message beyond the score used is that all women should undergo VTE risk factor assessment. The use of a Computerized Clinical Decision Support System for VTE risk assessment should be explored in obstetrics.

Impact of mitral versus aortic bioprosthetic valve position on thromboembolism and bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation

BackgroundThe impact of valve position on thromboembolic and bleeding events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and bioprosthetic valves is uncertain. MethodsWe analyzed 159 patients with AF after surgical single-valve replacement from the BPV-AF registry (Retro) (UMIN000034198), which was a multicenter, retrospective, observational registry that enrolled 214 patients with AF and bioprosthetic valves to assess differences in bioprosthetic valve position. Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared on the basis of the position of aortic or mitral bioprosthetic valves. The primary efficacy endpoint was stroke or systemic embolism, and the primary safety endpoint was major bleeding. ResultsThere were 85 patients (53.5%) in the aortic valve (AV) group and 74 patients (46.5%) in the mitral valve (MV) group. The MV group had a lower body weight and a higher prevalence of prior major bleeding compared with the AV group. Thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores and the administration of antithrombotic agents were not significantly different between the groups. The primary efficacy endpoint was not significantly different [AV group: 8.2%; 2.25/100 person-years (PY); MV group: 4.1%; 1.01/100 PY] (log-rank, p = 0.23). The primary safety endpoint was significantly higher in the MV group (17.6%; 4.54/100 PY) compared with the AV group (5.9%; 1.59/100 PY) (log-rank, p = 0.049). The adjusted hazard ratio of the primary safety endpoint in the MV group relative to the AV group was 2.71 (95% confidence interval 0.86–8.54, p = 0.09). ConclusionsIn Japanese patients with AF and bioprosthetic valves, thromboembolic risk does not differ on the basis of valve position. Bleeding risk is higher in patients with MV bioprostheses, although valve position itself might not be an independent predictor for bleeding.

Validation of the Khorana Venous Thromboembolism Risk Score in Japanese Cancer Patients.

Although the Khorana venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk score (KRS) is well recognized as a simple VTE risk assessment method in patients with cancer, whether it is suitable for Asian populations is unclear. This study validated KRS for the prediction of VTE and investigated the value of the KRS in predicting mortality in Japanese patients with cancer. A body mass index value of 25kg/m2 or more was defined as obesity according to World Health Organization consensus. A total of 27,687 patients with cancer were subdivided into low- (0), intermediate- (1-2), and high-score (3) groups by the KRS. The primary and secondary endpoints were VTE and all-cause mortality, respectively. The prevalence of VTE was 1.7%, 7.3%, and 11.0% for low-, intermediate-, and high-score patients, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that the KRS significantly predicted VTE (area under the curve, 0.679; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.666-0.692; P< 0.001). The cutoff value for the KRS was 1.0. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the KRS was an independent predictor of VTE (odds ratio 1.766; 95%CI 1.673-1.865; P< 0.01). The cutoff value of the KRS for all-cause mortality determined by ROC analysis was 2.0. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a significantly higher incidence of mortality in the KRS≥2 group than in the KRS 0-1 group (log-rank: P< 0.01). The KRS was useful in Japanese patients with cancer and might be a potentially useful marker for theprediction of mortality. Establishing optimal scores for Japanese subjects is mandatory because of its low diagnosticability. (KUMAMON Cancer registry; UMIN000047554).