The impact of transverse load results in the loosening of bolted joints. The loosening condition is determined based on the transverse load and relevant parameters of the bolted joint. To efficiently forecast the loosening state of bolts under various transverse loads and relevant parameters, this study proposes a predictive model for the loosening state of bolted joints. Initially, the relationship between the loosening criteria and relevant parameters is established according to the bolt’s force conditions. Through elementary effect analysis, the high-dimensional representation model is improved, breaking down the loosening criteria function with high-dimensional parameter inputs into a series of low-dimensional functions. Subsequently, the prediction of the loosening state is achieved by training artificial neural networks to approximate multiple low-dimensional functions. The improved predictive model is utilized to determine the critical load for bolted joint loosening. Validation indicates the accuracy of the proposed model. Notably, the influence of the bearing friction coefficient and preload on the critical transverse load is more pronounced compared to the thread friction coefficient.
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