Differential subsidence over a buried bedrock hill caused by rapid water-level decline resulted in a 400-ft (120 m) long earth fissure in a northeast Phoenix construction site in January, 1980. This is the first occurrence in the Paradise Valley basin, and the first within the city of Phoenix. Local water levels have declined more than 300 ft (90 m) accompanied by 3.44 ft (1.05 m) of measured subsidence, with indirect evidence for 5 ft (1.5 m). The depth to ground water is as much as 580 ft in the area. The maximum subsidence rate measured was 0.44 ft. (0.13 m) annually. Water levels began dropping in the mid-19509s, and subsidence began a decade later after 100 to 150 ft (30 to 45 m) of decline in water level. The subsidence bowl has grown about 2 mi 2 (5 km 2 ) annually, first mostly westward, and more recently north and east, with further expansion expected. More than 9 ft (3 m) of subsidence is possible. Gravity survey results suggest the fissure is associated with a bedrock hill buried at 150 ft (45 m) on a large pediment. Measured differential subsidence, after Assuring, occurred in a pattern similar to the inferred subsurface bedrock configuration, indicating that the fissure was coincident with surficial horizontal tensile maxima above the crest of the buried hill. Maximum annual strain and accumulated tensile strain at the time of Assuring were calculated at 0.01 percent and 0.06 percent, respectively. These data suggest future reactivation of the filled-in fissure, and on the basis of gravity measurements, probable lengthening of the fissure. Finite element analysis indicates maximum surficial tensile stress of 3,400 psf (1.4 kg/cm 2 ) and strain of 0.19 percent when Assuring occurred. The large pediment that underlies most of the study area is divided into a shallow inner part [less than 500 ft (150 m) deep] of moderate relief; and a deeper, outer part gently sloping northeastward from 500 to 1,000 ft (150 to 300 m). The pediment is separated from thick alluvial deposits toward the center of the valley by a major NW-SE normal fault. This subsurface configuration controls the spatial pattern of land subsidence, water-level decline, and future Assuring. Fissures may be localized in three geologic settings: 1) buried bedrock hills, 2) the hinge-line of subsiding areas, and 3) buried faults.
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