This study investigated the leaf litter decomposition dynamics of Hayat-ul-Mir subtropical scrub forest in Pakistan. Litter bags were incubated for 360 days in the forest to elucidate the effect of elevation and incubation time and for 90 days in microcosms to investigate the effect of projected warming (+2.3°C and +4.5°C) and soil moisture (M15% and M20%) on litter decomposition. Site elevation significantly affected k and T50% while time affected mass loss, residual weight, remaining C and N at p < .01 in field. After 360 days of decomposition, ∼48% residual weight with 11.7 ± 0.4% of C and 1.07 ± 0.06% of N was observed in the litter bags. Higher elevations (850–1020 m) were recorded with low C and N mineralization compared to 600–850 m elevations indicating their potential for long term carbon storage. Warming (+4.5°C) significantly accelerated the pace of decomposition in microcosms with comparatively higher mass loss (+26%), k (+34%), and soil CO2 efflux (+50%) reducing T50% by 77 days than observed under ambient conditions (To). The effect of moisture was insignificant but comparatively, decomposition was high at M20%. The study concludes that future warming will significantly accelerate the pace of nutrient cycling reducing the carbon storage potential of this ecosystem.
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