Temporal Trends In Age Research Articles

Regional disparities, age-related changes and sex-related differences in knee osteoarthritis

BackgroundThe objective of the study is to analyse the regions, age and sex differences in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis (KOA).MethodsData were extracted from the global burden of diseases (GBD) 2019 study, including incidence, years lived with disability (YLD), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and risk factors. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the temporal trends in age standardized rate (ASR) of KOA. Paired t-test, paired Wilcoxon signed-rank test and spearman correlation were performed to analyze the association of sex disparity in KOA and socio-demographic index (SDI).ResultsThere were significant regional differences in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis. In 2019, South Korea had the highest incidence of knee osteoarthritis (474.85,95%UI:413.34–539.64) and Thailand had the highest increase in incidence of knee osteoarthritis (EAPC = 0.56, 95%CI = 0.54–0.58). Notably, higher incidence, YLD and DALYs of knee osteoarthritis were associated with areas with a high socio-demographic index (r = 0.336, p < 0.001; r = 0.324, p < 0.001; r = 0.324, p < 0.001). In terms of age differences, the greatest increase in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis was between the 35–39 and 40–44 age groups. (EAPC = 0.52, 95%CI = 0.40–0.63; 0.47, 95%CI = 0.36–0.58). In addition, there were significant sex differences in the disease burden of knee osteoarthritis (P < 0.001).ConclusionsThe incidence of knee osteoarthritis is significantly different with regions, age and sex.

Increasing age of multiple sclerosis onset from 1920 to 2022: a population-based study

ObjectiveTo study the age at onset of relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) during the past century.MethodsThis is a population-based cohort study of persons diagnosed with RRMS in Hordaland, Møre, and Romsdal counties, Western Norway, from 1920 to 2022. Individual patient data were available and assessed from previously conducted prevalence and incidence studies in addition to hospital records up until October 31, 2022. Participants were categorized according to onset period and analyzed for temporal trends in age at onset, time from onset to diagnosis, and distribution of onset over time.ResultsWe identified 3364 persons with confirmed RRMS. The mean age at onset significantly increased (p < 0.001) throughout the study period, despite a decrease in time from symptom onset to diagnosis (p < 0.001). The proportion of persons with MS onset after 50 years of age increased from 2.6% before 1970 to 11.9% after 2010. We also found a trend toward a bimodal distribution of age at onset that peaked at around 30 years and 40–45 years of age in the latest period.ConclusionAge at onset of MS significantly increased throughout the study period. This was mainly due to an increasing number of persons with MS, predominantly female, experiencing onset after 40–45 years of age. This bimodal distribution could indicate different susceptibility periods of MS or changes in exposure to risk factors during the observation period.

Temporal trends in age- and stage-specific incidence of colorectal adenocarcinomas in Germany

BackgroundA national colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programme was launched in 2002 in Germany. A comprehensive evaluation of the programme effectiveness using real-world data is still lacking. In addition, there are regional reports on increasing colorectal cancer incidence in younger populations. Therefore, we aimed to describe and compare the overall, age- and stage-specific incidence trends for colorectal, colon and rectal cancer.MethodsWe used data from seven population-based cancer registries in Germany. We report absolute and relative changes in incidence rates between the early screening phase (2003–2005) and the most recent time period available (2015–2017), as well as annual percent changes. We analysed incidences according to tumour site (colorectum, colon, and rectum) and to six age groups (young adults: 15–34, 35–39, 40–49, screening-entitled/older adults: 50–54, 55–69 and 70 + years old).ResultsIn our sample of 271,011 colorectal adenocarcinomas, about two-thirds were located in the colon and 95% of them occurred in the age group 50+ (50–54: 5%, 55–69: 32.8%, 70+: 57.2%). For the time period 2003–2005 the age-specific incidence rates of individuals in the age group 55–69 were about 76/100,00 for colon and 54/100,000 for rectal cancer (age group 70 + colon: 179/100,000; rectum: 84/100,000). The incidence rates in young adults were less than 13% of that of individuals in the age group 55–69 (< 5% of individuals aged 70+; <33% of individuals aged 50–54).Over time, incidence decreased in individuals at the age of 55+, for all subsites considered as well as for early and late stage cancers (with few exceptions), while incidence of young adult CRC (both early and late stage) increased steepest in the youngest age groups. For late stage rectal cancer, a shift was observed in all age groups from UICC stage IV to stage III being the most frequent stage.ConclusionsSix years after the introduction of the national colonoscopy screening program, late stage CRC incidence began to decline substantially in the screening-eligible age groups (55-69, 70+). It is likely that this decline and the increase in early stage CRC observed in younger age groups can be attributed to the program. Long lasting public awareness campaigns for CRC screening might have led to opportunistic screening in younger adults. Whether these benefits outweigh the possible harm of screening in younger age groups remains unclear.

Analysis and comparison of the trends in burden of rheumatic heart disease in China and worldwide from 1990 to 2019

ObjectivesThis study aimed to describe the temporal trends in age and gender burdens of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in China from 1990 to 2019, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and to compare them with the global burden of the disease.MethodsUsing open data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database from 1990 to 2019, this study analyzed the characteristics of RHD burden in China and worldwide, including changes in incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs. Joinpoint was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (95% CI) to reflect the trends in the burden of RHD. A comprehensive comparative analysis of the differences in RHD burden between China and the rest of the world was conducted from multiple dimensions, including age, gender, and time periods.ResultsFrom 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of RHD in China decreased from 29.62/100,000 to 23.95/100,000, while the global ASIR increased from 32.69/100,000 to 37.40/100,000. The age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) in China decreased from 446.15/100,000 to 390.24/100,000, while the global ASPR increased from 451.56/100,000 to 513.68/100,000. The age-standardized rates of mortality (ASMR) in China decreased from 18.11/100,000 to 4.04/100,000, while the global ASMR decreased from 8.94/100,000 to 3.85/100,000. The age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) in China decreased from 431.45/100,000 to 93.73/100,000, while the global ASDR decreased from 283.30/100,000 to 132.88/100,000. The AAPC of ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and ASDR in China was − 0.73%, -0.47%, -5.10%, and − 5.21%, respectively, while the AAPC of the global burden of RHD was 0.48%, 0.45%, -2.87%, and − 2.58%, respectively. The effects of age and gender on the burden of RHD were different. ASIR generally decreased with increasing age, while ASPR increased first and then decreased. ASMR and ASDR increased with increasing age. Women had higher incidence and mortality rates of RHD than men.ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2019, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of RHD in China decreased, indicating a relative reduction in the burden of RHD in China. The burden of RHD is age-related, with a higher prevalence observed in the younger population, a peak incidence among young adults, and a higher mortality rate among the elderly population. Women are more susceptible to RHD and have a higher risk of mortality than men. Given China’s large population and aging population, RHD remains a significant public health challenge in China.

Abstract WP169: Age And Sex Differences And Temporal Trend In Stroke Incidence In Latin America: A Systematic Review And Meta-analysis

Background: Studies suggest divergent temporal trends in stroke incidence in high income countries, with increasing rates in younger people, particularly women. No age- and sex-specific stroke incidence data are available for Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) regions, despite large populations undergoing rapid structural changes. Aim: To determine temporal trends in age and sex stroke incidence in LAC populations. Methods: A systematic review in accordance with MOOSE and PRISMA guidelines was undertaken with a modified Cochrane Stroke Group search strategy of MEDLINE, WOS, and LILACS databases, to identify relevant references for prospective observational studies with sex-disaggregated data on stroke incidence in LAC populations from January 1997 to December 2021. Two independent reviewers screened titles/abstracts, and reviewed selected full text articles. Random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the pooled overall crude stroke incidence and relative temporal rate ratio (RTTR) by age-groups in all and sex-disaggregated data. The Joanna Briggs Institute’s risk of bias assessment was applied. Results: Of 9242 identified records, 6 LAC studies (9 periods) were selected. Overall crude stroke incidence was higher in men than women (incidence [men:women] rate ratio [IRR] = 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.21 [I 2 =38.3%]). When analyzed for temporal trend, relative ratio of stroke incidence was greater in younger than older age-groups (&lt;55 vs. ≥55 years; RTTR=1.65, 95%CI 1.50-1.80), before compared to after, 2010. Overall, less favorable trends occurred in women (RTTR=1.98, 95%CI 1.75-2.21) than men (RTTR=1.42, 95%CI 1.22-1.63). Conclusions: Divergent temporal trends in stroke incidence are apparent in LAC, with less favorable trends in younger age-groups and especially in young women. Further studies are needed to understand these findings and establish strategies targeting prevention in younger populations.

Methods for conducting trends analysis: roadmap for comparing outcomes from three national HIV Population-based household surveys in Kenya (2007, 2012, and 2018)

BackgroundFor assessing the HIV epidemic in Kenya, a series of independent HIV indicator household-based surveys of similar design can be used to investigate the trends in key indicators relevant to HIV prevention and control and to describe geographic and sociodemographic disparities, assess the impact of interventions, and develop strategies. We developed methods and tools to facilitate a robust analysis of trends across three national household-based surveys conducted in Kenya in 2007, 2012, and 2018.MethodsWe used data from the 2007 and 2012 Kenya AIDS Indicator surveys (KAIS 2007 and KAIS 2012) and the 2018 Kenya Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (KENPHIA 2018). To assess the design and other variables of interest from each study, variables were recoded to ensure that they had equivalent meanings across the three surveys. After assessing weighting procedures for comparability, we used the KAIS 2012 nonresponse weighting procedure to revise normalized KENPHIA weights. Analyses were restricted to geographic areas covered by all three surveys. The revised analysis files were then merged into a single file for pooled analysis. We assessed distributions of age, sex, household wealth, and urban/rural status to identify unexpected changes between surveys.To demonstrate how a trend analysis can be carried out, we used continuous, binary, and time-to-event variables as examples. Specifically, temporal trends in age at first sex and having received an HIV test in the last 12 months were used to demonstrate the proposed analytical approach. These were assessed with respondent-specific variables (age, sex, level of education, and marital status) and household variables (place of residence and wealth index). All analyses were conducted in SAS 9.4, but analysis files were created in Stata and R format to support additional analyses.ResultsThis study demonstrates trends in selected indicators to illustrate the approach that can be used in similar settings. The incidence of early sexual debut decreased from 11.63 (95% CI: 10.95–12.34) per 1,000 person-years at risk in 2007 to 10.45 (95% CI: 9.75–11.2) per 1,000 person-years at risk in 2012 and to 9.58 (95% CI: 9.08–10.1) per 1,000 person-years at risk in 2018. HIV-testing rates increased from 12.6% (95% CI: 11.6%–13.6%) in 2007 to 56.1% (95% CI: 54.6%–57.6%) in 2012 but decreased slightly to 55.6% [95% CI: 54.6%–56.6%) in 2018. The decrease in incidence of early sexual debut could be convincingly demonstrated between 2007 and 2012 but not between 2012 and 2018. Similarly, there was virtually no difference between HIV Testing rates in 2012 and 2018.ConclusionsOur approach can be used to support trend comparisons for variables in HIV surveys in low-income settings. Independent national household surveys can be assessed for comparability, adjusted as appropriate, and used to estimate trends in key indicators. Analyzing trends over time can not only provide insights into Kenya’s progress toward HIV epidemic control but also identify gaps.

Racial disparities and trends in kidney transplant outcomes in patients with Alportsyndrome.

Registry data from Europe has shown an increase in age at end-stage kidney disease for patients with Alport syndrome in recent years. Whether a similar delay in transplant age has occurred in the United States for Alport patients across all racial/ethnic groups is unknown. We used data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) to identify 3,794 Alport patients transplanted between 12/1987 and 12/2017. We divided the study period into five equal eras to assess temporal trends in age at transplant, graft survival, and patient survival across racial groups using linear regression and Cox regression models. The mean age at transplant for Blacks (28.3 years; difference (Black vs. White): 8.9 years; p < 0.0001) and Hispanics (28.7 years; difference (Hispanics vs. White): 8.7 years; p <0.0001) was significantly younger compared with that of Whites. We observed a temporal increase in age at transplant for Whites but not for Blacks and Hispanics (p-value for interaction: 0.001). Black recipients were at a higher risk of graft loss (aHR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.47, 2.15; p<0.0001) and death (aHR: 1.73; 95% CI: 1.11, 2.69; p=0.02) compared with White recipients. We observed significant improvements in graft survival with each successive era (p<0.01). Temporal trends in graft survival (interaction p=0.46) were not modified by race. We found racial disparities in age at transplant and long-term graft survival for patients with Alport syndrome in the United States. The age at transplant increased over time for Whites but not Black and Hispanic patients.

Temporal Trend of Age at Diagnosis in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: An Analysis of the International Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry.

Background:Over the last 50 years, the epidemiology of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) has changed because of increased awareness and availability of advanced diagnostic tools. We aim to describe the temporal trends in age, sex, and clinical characteristics at HCM diagnosis over >4 decades.Methods:We retrospectively analyzed records from the ongoing multinational Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry. Overall, 7286 patients with HCM diagnosed at an age ≥18 years between 1961 and 2019 were included in the analysis and divided into 3 eras of diagnosis (<2000, 2000–2010, >2010).Results:Age at diagnosis increased markedly over time (40±14 versus 47±15 versus 51±16 years, P<0.001), both in US and non-US sites, with a stable male-to-female ratio of about 3:2. Frequency of familial HCM declined over time (38.8% versus 34.3% versus 32.7%, P<0.001), as well as heart failure symptoms at presentation (New York Heart Association III/IV: 18.1% versus 15.8% versus 12.6%, P<0.001). Left ventricular hypertrophy became less marked over time (maximum wall thickness: 20±6 versus 18±5 versus 17±5 mm, P<0.001), while prevalence of obstructive HCM was greater in recent cohorts (peak gradient >30 mm Hg: 31.9% versus 39.3% versus 39.0%, P=0.001). Consistent with decreasing phenotypic severity, yield of pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants at genetic testing decreased over time (57.7% versus 45.6% versus 38.4%, P<0.001).Conclusions:Evolving HCM populations include progressively greater representation of older patients with sporadic disease, mild phenotypes, and genotype-negative status. Such trend suggests a prominent role of imaging over genetic testing in promoting HCM diagnoses and urges efforts to understand genotype-negative disease eluding the classic monogenic paradigm.

Temporal trends in age at menarche and age at menopause: a population study of 312 656 women in Norway.

STUDY QUESTIONHave mean age at menarche or mean age at natural menopause changed from the 1939 birth cohort to the 1964 birth cohort?SUMMARY ANSWERWe estimated a minor decrease in mean age at menarche and an increase by nearly 3 years in mean age at natural menopause.WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADYIn the Western world, age at menarche decreased across birth cohorts from the early 1800s until the 1950s. Whether mean age at menarche has continued to decrease in birth cohorts after the 1950s remains uncertain. It is also uncertain whether mean age at natural menopause has changed across birth cohorts.STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATIONWe performed a retrospective population study of 312 656 women who were born in Norway during the years 1936–1964.PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODSThe data were obtained by two self-administered questionnaires from women who participated in the Norwegian breast cancer screening program (BreastScreen Norway) during the years 2006–2014. We used flexible parametric survival models with restricted cubic splines to estimate mean age at menarche, mean age at menopause and mean number of years between menarche and menopause according to the women’s year of birth. The women who were still having menstrual periods contributed with follow-up time until the time of data collection, and the women who had reported surgical removal of the uterus and/or both ovaries prior to natural menopause contributed with follow-up time until the time of surgery.MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCEThe mean age at menarche was 13.42 years (95% CI: 13.40–13.44 years) among women born during 1936–1939, and it was 13.24 years (95% CI: 13.22–13.25 years) among women born during 1960–1964. The mean age at natural menopause increased from 50.31 years (95% CI: 50.25–50.37 years) among women born during 1936–1939 to 52.73 years (95% CI: 52.64–52.82 years) among women born during 1960–1964. The mean number of years between menarche and menopause increased from 36.83 years (95% CI: 36.77–36.89 years) to 40.22 years (95% CI: 40.11–40.34 years).LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTIONInformation about age at menarche and age at menopause was based on self-reports.WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGSLate menopause is associated with increased risk of breast cancer but also with increased life expectancy. Thus, higher mean age at menopause may partly explain the increase in breast cancer incidence after menopause and the increase in life expectancy in recent time. Also, a longer interval between menarche and menopause could suggest that the number of years of female fecundity has increased.STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)This work was funded by the South-Eastern Norway Regional Health Authority [grant number 2016112 to M.S.G.] and by the Norwegian Cancer Society [grant number 6863294-2015 to E.K.B.]. The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Aging, Obesity, and the Incidence of Diverticulitis: A Population-Based Study

ObjectiveTo understand why the population-based incidence of diverticulitis has increased over time, we studied temporal changes in age, body mass index (BMI), and diverticulitis in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Participants and MethodsWe compared the BMIs of 2967 patients with diverticulitis and 9795 people without diverticulitis from January 1, 1980, through December 31, 2007. Because BMI is a surrogate for adipose tissue, computed tomographic estimations of abdominal fat content were compared between 381 diverticulitis cases and 381 age- and sex-matched controls. ResultsBetween 1980 and 2007, the prevalence of obesity increased from 12% to 49% in the population and from 19% to 40% in patients with diverticulitis (P<.001 for both). Temporal trends in age, BMI, and the increased incidence of diverticulitis in people with normal BMI accounted for 48%, 47%, and 20%, respectively, of corresponding trends in diverticulitis. The secular decline in the proportion of people with normal BMI was partly offset by an increased incidence of diverticulitis in such people. In the case-control study, BMI was greater in cases than in controls (P=.001). However, after incorporating abdominal visceral (odds ratio [OR], 2.4; 95% CI, 1.6-3.7) and subcutaneous (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.7-5.2) fat content (both associated with diverticulitis), BMI was associated with lower risk (OR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.7-0.8) of diverticulitis. ConclusionAging, increasing obesity, and the increased incidence of diverticulitis in people with normal BMI account for the temporal increase in diverticulitis. Rather than BMI per se, increased abdominal visceral and subcutaneous fat are independently associated with diverticulitis. The incidence of diverticulitis, which is among the most common gastrointestinal diagnoses in hospitalized patients, has increased markedly since 2000. This study suggests that aging, increasing obesity, and the increased incidence of diverticulitis in people with normal BMI account for the temporal increase in diverticulitis.

Temporal trends in age at ischemic stroke onset by ethnicity

PurposeTo explore temporal trends in age at first-ever ischemic stroke onset in a bi-ethnic, population-based study. MethodsCases of first-ever ischemic stroke (n = 3252) were identified in the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi Project (2000–2012). Demographics and risk factors were abstracted from medical records. Trends in age at stroke onset were assessed overall and by ethnicity (Mexican American [MA] and non-Hispanic white [NHW]) using generalized additive models. Differences by ethnicity were tested by including an interaction term between time and ethnicity. Models were run unadjusted and adjusted for age of the population at risk for stroke. ResultsMean age at first-ever ischemic stroke significantly decreased from an average of 71.7 years in 2000 to an average of 69.3 years in 2012 (p = .0043). Ethnicity significantly modified the temporal trends (p < .001) with declines greater in NHWs than in MAs; mean age was estimated to decrease from 74.8 to 71.3 over the 13 years for NHWs, whereas for MAs, mean age was estimated to decrease from 68.9 to 66.9 after adjusting for ethnic-specific average age of the population at risk. ConclusionsAverage age at first-ever stroke onset declined over time in this community. Efforts should be made to prevent stroke by controlling risk factors before and during midlife.

A.06 Trends in hospital admission and in-hospital mortality for atrial fibrillation related stroke in Canada

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke. In Canada, the contemporary burden of AF-related stroke is incompletely characterized. Our objective was to determine temporal trends in hospital admissions and in-hospital mortality for AF-related stroke in Canada from 2007 to 2015. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using Canadian national administrative data to identify admissions to hospital for stroke with comorbid AF between 2007 and 2015. We analyzed temporal trends in age- and sex-standardized proportion of admissions with comorbid AF and associated in-hospital mortality. Results: There were 222,100 admissions to hospital for ischemic (182,990) or hemorrhagic (39,110) stroke. The age-sex adjusted proportion of ischemic stroke admissions with comorbid AF increased from 16.2% to 20.5% (p for trend = 0.02) between 2007 and 2015, and was stable among hemorrhagic stroke. In-hospital mortality for ischemic stroke with comorbid AF decreased from 21.6% to 15.0% (p for trend = 0.001). Conclusions: Rates of hospital admission for ischemic stroke with comorbid AF have increased, while associated in-hospital mortality has decreased. These results identify AF as an important continued focus for stroke prevention. Our findings provide insight into current trends and highlight the need for continued focus on AF-related stroke.

Trends in Testosterone Replacement Therapy Use from 2003 to 2013 among Reproductive-Age Men in the United States

Although testosterone replacement therapy use in the United States has increased dramatically in the last decade, to our knowledge trends in testosterone replacement therapy use among reproductive-age men have not been investigated. We assessed changes in testosterone replacement therapy use and practice patterns among 18 to 45-year-old American men from 2003 to 2013 and compared them to older men. This is a retrospective, cross-sectional analysis of men 18 to 45 and 56 to 64 years old who were enrolled in the Truven Health MarketScan® Commercial Claims Databases throughout each given calendar year from 2003 to 2013, including 5,094,868 men in 2013. Trends in the yearly rates of testosterone replacement therapy use were calculated using Poisson regression. Among testosterone replacement therapy users, the Cochran-Armitage test was used to assess temporal trends in age, formulation type, semen analysis and serum testosterone level testing during the 12 months preceding the documented use of testosterone replacement therapy. Between 2003 and 2013, there was a fourfold increase in the rate of testosterone use among 18 to 45-year-old men from 29.2/10,000 person-years to 118.1/10,000 person-years (p <0.0001). Among testosterone replacement therapy users, topical gel formulations were initially most used. Injection use then doubled between 2009 and 2012 (23.5% and 46.2%, respectively) and surpassed topical gel use in 2013. In men 56 to 64 years old there was a statistically significant threefold increase in testosterone replacement therapy use (p <0.0001), which was significantly smaller than the fourfold increase in younger men (p<0.0001). In 2003 to 2013, testosterone replacement therapy use increased fourfold in men 18 to 45 years old compared to threefold in older men. This younger age group should be a focus for future studies due to effects on fertility and unknown long-term sequelae.

Temporal trends in age and size at maturation of four North Sea gadid species: cod, haddock, whiting and Norway pout

Younger ages and smaller sizes at maturation have been observed in commercial fish stocks over the last century. We establish that age and length at 50% proportion mature (i.e. the proportion of mature individuals in a population or the probability that an individual is mature) decreased from the 1970s to the 2000s in North Sea cod Gadus morhua, haddock Melanogrammus aeglefinus and whiting Merlangius merlangus, but not in Norway pout Trisopterus esmarkii. The potential contributions of demography, phenotypic plasticity and evolution to these trends were assessed. First, maturation trends were extricated from demographic effects and growth-dependent plasticity by estimating probabilistic maturation reaction norms (PMRNs). PMRN midpoints have significantly shifted downwards at most ages for cod, haddock and whiting, but not for Norway pout. Second, increased temperature and food abundance, loosened trophic competition and relaxed social pressure may also trigger growth-independent plasticity in maturation. Principal component regression of PMRN midpoints on annual estimates of relevant environmental vari- ables exhibiting a temporal trend suggest that, despite some evidence of environmental effects, PMRN trends were mostly independent of growth-independent plasticity in haddock, whiting and male cod, but not in female cod. According to these findings, evolution of maturation, potentially in response to fishing, is plausible in haddock, whiting and male cod, but unlikely for Norway pout, and does not explain trends in female cod maturation. In agreement with life-history theory, the maturation response was larger in fast-growing, late- and large-maturing species exhibiting moderate reproductive effort.

Abstract T P139: Rising Rates of the Metabolic Syndrome Among Stroke Survivors in the United States

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS), a constellation of cardiometabolic risk factors clustering together, affects &gt;47 million US adults and has been independently linked to primary and recurrent stroke risk. Prevalence and trends in MetS among stroke survivors in the United States are unknown. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate recent temporal trends in age and sex-specific MetS prevalence among adults with/without stroke in the US. METHODS: Prevalence of MetS was assessed among fasting adults ≥35 years who participated in National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 1999-2010 (n=9,343). Prevalence estimates were weighted to obtain nationally representative estimates (n=430,371,669). MetS was defined by the 2009 harmonized definition. Stroke was determined by self-report. RESULTS: In all groups except men 35-64 years, MetS prevalence was similar among adults with and without stroke in 1999-2002 (Table). MetS prevalence rates were flat from 1999 to 2010 among those without stroke, but increased among stroke survivors, such that up to 80% of men and 86% of women with stroke had MetS, with the greatest rise among the middle-aged. Stroke survivors aged 35-64 years were ~3 times more likely to have MetS than their counterparts without stroke (OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.60-6.55 for men and OR 2.55, 95% CI 1.45-4.50 for women). DISCUSSION: Due to a differential rise in MetS in stroke survivors over the last 10 years, as many as 9 out of 10 stroke survivors now have MetS, suggesting that Mets may increasingly be placing people at risk for stroke. Intensified efforts aimed at identifying and treating MetS, especially among middle-aged individuals, may be warranted to avert stroke risk.

Temporal Trends in Risk of Future Cardiac Events among Stroke Survivors in the United States

Long term, stroke survivors have a higher risk of death from cardiac causes than incident stroke. However, little is known about temporal trends in age- and gender-specific risk of future cardiac events among stroke survivors. To determine temporal trends in 10-year risk of future major cardiac events (measured using the Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Score) and components of the Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Score among a nationally representative population of stroke survivors in the United States. Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Score was assessed among individuals with a self-reported history of stroke (n = 748) who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys in the United States during the years 1988-1994 and 1999-2006. In both National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys waves, male stroke survivors had higher mean Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Scores than their female counterparts. This gender disparity was driven by the >64 years age group, where men had a threefold higher Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Scores compared to women (P < 0·01). Analysis of temporal trends revealed that mean Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Scores was lower in 1999-2006 compared to 1988-1994 in men (21% (standard error 1%) vs. 28% (standard error 0·2%), P = 0·01) and women (9% (standard error 1%) vs. 11% (standard error 1%), P = 0·06). Temporal comparisons revealed that diastolic blood pressure and total cholesterol levels were better in 1999-2006 compared to 1988-1994 for both genders. Male stroke survivors, particularly those over the age of 64, are at higher risk for future cardiac events than their female counterparts. For both genders, the risk of future cardiac events after stroke has declined in recent years; this reduction is most pronounced in men and likely due to improvements in blood pressure and cholesterol levels.

Body morphology and its impact on adolescent and pediatric gynecology, with a special emphasis on polycystic ovary syndrome

To provide the reader with a timely review of studies investigating the impact of body morphology and weight on pubertal maturation, impact of pubertal maturation on adult body morphology, and recent developments in the diagnosis and management of polycystic ovary syndrome. The temporal trends in age of onset of puberty and menarche, and prevalence of obesity, are presented. Timing of pubertal maturation and initial manifestations of puberty may impact adult adiposity and ponderosity, as well as predispose to conditions associated with adult morbidity. The polycystic ovary syndrome is the most common endocrinologic disorder, occurring in up to 10% of women. It is associated with insulin resistance, and substantial proportions of women with polycystic ovary syndrome, regardless of age or obesity status, have impaired glucose tolerance. Clinical and biochemical abnormalities seen in polycystic ovary syndrome may improve through utilization of insulin-sensitizing agents, although lifestyle changes provide more profound clinical improvements. We now understand better those factors associated with initiation of puberty, and pathophysiology of polycystic ovary syndrome. However, further longitudinal studies are needed.