The Mission-Aransas Estuary is the wintering ground for the only sustained wild population of the endangered whooping crane (Grus americana), and blue crabs (Callinectes sapidus) are an important component of their diet as well as being a major food source for important sport fishes such as the red and black drum. Blue crabs also support a commercial crabbing industry, and fisheries data indicate that blue crab populations have been declining since the 1980s. Possible factors leading to decline in blue crab populations include overfishing, increased populations and predation by regulated sport fishes, reduced freshwater inflows into estuaries, and reduced larval recruitment. Little is known about blue crab recruitment dynamics in this region, but restricted passes between coastal estuaries and the Gulf of Mexico along with extended periods of drought that often lead to hypersaline conditions in coastal bays may limit larval recruitment from the Gulf into the bays. To investigate blue crab larval recruitment patterns, citizen scientist volunteers used hogshair settlement collectors to sample five monitoring sites over a four year period. Results show that large numbers of blue crab megalopae are common in nearshore waters of the Gulf of Mexico, but only a small fraction (∼1%) recruit into the estuary. Peak periods of ingress into the estuary occur during fall and winter months, with C. sapidus primarily contributing to the fall peak and C. similis dominating the winter peak. Increased salinity in the estuary during droughts may reduce the ability of blue crab larvae to detect and enter passes into the estuary.
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