Surrogate Marker Research Articles

Noninvasive Surrogate for Physiologic Dead Space Using the Carbon Dioxide Ventilatory Equivalent: Testing in a Single-Center Cohort, 2017-2023.

We sought to evaluate the association between the carbon dioxide (co2) ventilatory equivalent (VEqco2 = minute ventilation/volume of co2 produced per min), a marker of dead space that does not require a blood gas measurement, and mortality risk. We compared the strength of this association to that of physiologic dead space fraction (VD/Vt = [Paco2-mixed-expired Pco2]/Paco2) as well as to other commonly used markers of dead space (i.e., the end-tidal alveolar dead space fraction [AVDSf = (Paco2-end-tidal Pco2)/Paco2], and ventilatory ratio [VR = (minute ventilation × Paco2)/(age-adjusted predicted minute ventilation × 37.5)]). Retrospective cohort data, 2017-2023. Quaternary PICU. One hundred thirty-one children with acute respiratory distress syndrome. None. All dead space markers were calculated at the same 1-minute timepoint for each patient within the first 72 hours of using invasive mechanical ventilation. The 131 children had a median (interquartile range, IQR) age of 5.8 (IQR 1.4, 12.6) years, oxygenation index (OI) of 7.5 (IQR 4.6, 14.3), VD/Vt of 0.47 (IQR 0.38, 0.61), and mortality was 17.6% (23/131). Higher VEqco2 (p = 0.003), VD/Vt (p = 0.002), and VR (p = 0.013) were all associated with greater odds of mortality in multivariable models adjusting for OI, immunosuppressive comorbidity, and overall severity of illness. We failed to identify an association between AVDSf and mortality in the multivariable modeling. Similarly, we also failed to identify an association between OI and mortality after controlling for any dead space marker in the modeling. For the 28-day ventilator-free days outcome, we failed to identify an association between VD/Vt and the dead space markers in multivariable modeling, although OI was significant. VEqco2 performs similarly to VD/Vt and other surrogate dead space markers, is independently associated with mortality risk, and may be a reasonable noninvasive surrogate for VD/Vt.

Drug Persistence and Incidence of Active Tuberculosis of Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha Inhibitors Versus Tocilizumab as the First-Line Biological Treatment in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Nationwide Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

Drug persistence may be a surrogate marker that reflects both long-term efficacy and safety in clinical settings, and tuberculosis (TB) is considered as one of the most important opportunistic infections after the biological treatment in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We aimed to compare drug persistence and incidence of TB between tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) inhibitors and tocilizumab in patients with RA using data from the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database. In this analysis, 5449 patients with RA who started TNFα inhibitors, such as adalimumab, etanercept, infliximab, and golimumab or tocilizumab, as the first-line biological therapy between January 2014 and December 2017 were analyzed and followed up until December 2019. Drug persistence was defined as the duration from initiation to first discontinuation, and TB was defined as the prescription of > 2 anti-TB medications after the initiation of biologics. TNFα inhibitors and tocilizumab were prescribed in 4202 (adalimumab, 1413; etanercept, 1100; infliximab, 769; golimumab 920) and 1247 patients with RA, respectively. During the analysis period, 2090 (49.7%) and 477 (38.3%) patients with RA discontinued TNFα inhibitors and tocilizumab, respectively, and 42 patients with RA developed TB (TNFα inhibitors, 33; tocilizumab, 9). After adjustment for confounding factors, TNFα inhibitors were significantly associated with a higher risk of discontinuation compared with tocilizumab (hazard ratio (HR) 1.63, p < 0.001). In subgroup analysis, all types of TNFα inhibitors, except for infliximab, demonstrated a significantly lower persistence rate compared with tocilizumab. There was no significant difference in TB incidence between tocilizumab and TNFα inhibitors. In subgroup analysis, infliximab has a significantly higher risk of TB compared with tocilizumab (HR2.84, p = 0.02). In this analysis, tocilizumab had longer persistence than TNFα inhibitors with a similar incidence of TB. Our analysis has limitations: (1) The HIRA database lacks clinical details like disease activity and joint damage extent, potentially influencing the analysis results. (2) Reasons for discontinuing biological agents were not available. (3) TB diagnoses may be inaccurate because of missing microbiological results. (4) We did not analyze the impact of treating latent TB infection on TB development post-biological treatment, despite mandatory screening in Korea.

Unveiling the Significance of Surrogate Markers of Insulin Resistance in Metabolic Health Assessment

Unveiling the Significance of Surrogate Markers of Insulin Resistance in Metabolic Health Assessment

NEUT-RI, a surrogate marker of NETosis is lower in patients with strong IgM antiphospholipid antibodies.

Antiphospholipid antibody syndrome (APS) is an acquired autoimmune disorder characterized by recurrent venous or arterial thrombosis and/or pregnancy complications. Recently, thrombotic APS was linked to increased neutrophil extracellular traps (NET) formation, suggesting an association between NETs and the severity of APS-related thrombosis. We performed a retrospective study on patients tested for presence of antiphospholipid antibodies (990 negative and 374 positive) to evaluate the association between the neutrophil activation state, estimated by the neutrophil reactive index (NEU-RI), a parameter routinely available from some haematology analysers, and antiphospholipid antibodies. We do not observe a difference in NEU-RI values between positive and negative patients globally. However, interestingly, we highlight an association between high titers of IgM and low NEU-RI values indicating a lower neutrophil activation. Our data are in line with the recent questioning about the putative clinical consistency of positive solid-phase aPL IgM.

Cardiac Biomarker Change at 1 Year After Tafamidis Treatment and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy.

Although tafamidis treatment improves prognosis in patients with wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, an optimal surrogate marker monitoring its therapeutic effect remains unclear. This study investigated the association between changes in cardiac biomarkers, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) during the first year after tafamidis treatment and clinical outcomes. In 101 patients with wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy receiving tafamidis at our institution, change in cardiac biomarkers from baseline to 1 year after tafamidis administration and its association with composite outcomes (composite of all-cause death and hospitalization attributable to heart failure) was assessed. During the follow-up period (median, 17 months), 16 (16%) patients experienced composite outcomes. The hs-cTnT level significantly decreased at 1 year after tafamidis treatment, unlike the BNP level. The frequencies of increased hs-cTnT and BNP levels were significantly higher in those with composite outcomes than in those without (44% versus 15%; P=0.01). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients in whom both hs-cTnT and BNP levels increased at 1 year after tafamidis had a higher probability of composite outcomes compared with those with decreased hs-cTnT and BNP levels (log-rank P<0.01). Cox regression analysis identified increased hs-cTnT and BNP levels at 1 year after tafamidis administration as an independent predictor of higher cumulative risk of composite outcomes. Deterioration in cardiac biomarkers during the first year after tafamidis treatment predicted a worse prognosis, suggesting the utility of serial assessment of cardiac biomarkers for monitoring the therapeutic response to tafamidis in patients with wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy.

Non-invasive biomarkers prognostic of decompensation events in NASH cirrhosis: a systematic literature review.

Liver cirrhosis due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a life-threatening condition with increasing incidence world-wide. Although its symptoms are unspecific, it can lead to decompensation events such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In addition, an increased risk for cardiovascular events has been demonstrated in patients with NASH. Pharmacological treatments for NASH cirrhosis are not yet available, one of the reasons being the lack in surrogate endpoints available in clinical trials of NASH cirrhosis. The feasibility of non-invasive prognostic biomarkers makes them interesting candidates as possible surrogate endpoints if their change following treatment would result in better outcomes for patients in future clinical trials of NASH cirrhosis. In this systematic literature review, a summary of the available literature on the prognostic performance of non-invasive biomarkers in terms of cardiovascular events, liver-related events, and mortality is outlined. Due to the scarcity of data specific for NASH cirrhosis, this review includes studies on NAFLD whose evaluation focuses on cirrhosis. Our search strategy identified the following non-invasive biomarkers with prognostic value in studies of NASH patients: NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF™), BARD (BMI, AST/ALT (alanine aminotransferase) ratio, diabetes), Hepamet Fibrosis Score (HFS), liver enzymes (AST + ALT), alpha-fetoprotein, platelet count, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), Lysyl oxidase-like (LOXL) 2, miR-122, liver stiffness, MEFIB (liver stiffness measured with magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) + FIB-4), and PNPLA3 GG genotype. The aim of the present systematic literature review is to provide the reader with a summary of the non-invasive biomarkers with prognostic value in NASH cirrhosis and give an evaluation of their utility as treatment monitoring biomarkers in future clinical trials.

Increases and decreases in liver stiffness measurements are independently associated with the risk of liver-related events in NAFLD.

The clinical significance of change in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in patients with NAFLD is not well-understood. We prospectively defined rates of progression to and regression from LSM-defined compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and their associations with liver-related events (LRE). Participants in the NASH Clinical Research Network NAFLD Database 2 and 3 studies were included. Progression to cACLD was defined as reaching LSM ≥10 kPa in participants with LSM < 10 kPa on initial VCTE; regression from cACLD was defined as reaching LSM < 10 kPa in participants with baseline LSM ≥ 10 kPa. LRE was defined ≥1 of the following: liver-related death, liver transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma, MELD>15, development of varices, or hepatic decompensation. Univariate and multivariable interval-censored Cox regression analyses were used to compare the cumulative LRE probability by LSM progression and regression status. In 1,403 participants, 89 LRE developed over a mean follow-up of 4.4 years with an LRE annual incidence rate of 1.5 (95% CI: 1.2-1.8). In participants at risk, progression to LSM ≥10 or ≥15 kPa occurred in 29% and 17%, whereas regression to LSM <10 or <15 Kpa occurred in 44% and 49%. Progressors to cACLD (≥10 kPa) experienced a higher cumulative LRE rate versus non-progressors [16% vs 4%, Adj.HR: 3.8, 95% CI [2.3-6.5], P < 0.01]. Regressors from cACLD (to LSM <10 kPA) experienced a lower LRE rate than non-regressors [7% vs 32%%, Adj.HR: 0.25, 95% CI [0.10-0.61], P < 0.01] CONCLUSIONS: Change in LSM over time is independently and bi-directionally associated with risk of LRE and is a non-invasive surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD. (Word count: 275) IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The prognostic value of change in LSM in patients with NAFLD is not well understood. In this large prospective study of patients with NAFLD and serial VCTE exams, baseline and dynamic changes in LSM were associated with the risk of developing liver-related events. LSM is a useful non-invasive surrogate of clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD.

Prediction of survival after neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancer – a retrospective analysis

PurposeThe aim of this retrospective analysis was to determine if the response to preoperative radio(chemo)therapy is predictive for survival among patients with locally advanced rectal cancer and may act as a potential surrogate endpoint for disease free survival and overall survival.ResultsEight hundred seventy-eight patients from five centers were analyzed. There were 304 women and 574 men; the median age was 64.7 years. 77.6% and 22.4% of patients received neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy or short-course radiotherapy, resulting in a pathological complete response in 7.3%. T-downstaging and N-downstaging occurred in 50.5% and 37% of patients after neoadjuvant therapy. In patients with T-downstaging, the 10-year DFS and 10-year OS were 64.8% and 66.8% compared to 37.1% and 45.9% in patients without T-downstaging. N-downstaging resulted in 10-year DFS and 10-year OS in 56.2% and 62.5% compared to 47.3% and 52.3% without N-downstaging. Based on routinely evaluated clinical parameters, an absolute risk prediction calculator was generated for 5-year disease-free survival, and 5-year overall survival.ConclusionT-downstaging and N-downstaging after neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy or short-course radiotherapy resulted in better DFS and OS compared to patients without response. Based on clinical parameters, 5-year DFS, and 5-year OS can be predicted using a prediction calculator.

Geospatial epidemiology of coronary artery disease treated with percutaneous coronary intervention in Crete, Greece

Coronary artery disease (CAD) constitutes a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is indicated in a significant proportion of CAD patients, either to improve prognosis or to relieve symptoms not responding to optimal medical therapy. Thus the annual number of patients undergoing PCI in a given geographical area could serve as a surrogate marker of the total CAD burden there. The aim of this study was to analyze the potential, spatial patterns of PCItreated CAD patients in Crete. We evaluated data from all patients subjected to PCI at the island's sole reference centre for cardiac catheterization within a 4-year study period (2013-2016). The analysis focused on regional variations of yearly PCI rates, as well as on the effect of several clinical parameters on the severity of the coronary artery stenosis treated with PCI across Crete. A spatial database within the ArcGIS environment was created and an analysis carried out based on global and local regression using ordinary least squares (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR), respectively. The results revealed significant inter-municipality variation in PCI rates and thus potentially CAD burden, while the degree and direction of correlation between key clinical factors to coronary stenosis severity demonstrated specific geographical patterns. These preliminary results could set the basis for future research, with the ultimate aim to facilitate efficient healthcare strategies planning.

Syndromic MEN1 Parathyroid Adenomas Consist of Both Subclonal Nodules and Clonally Independent Tumors

Abstract Background Primary hyperparathyroidism with parathyroid tumors is a characteristic presentation in Multiple Endocrine Neoplasia Type 1 (MEN1), historically referred to as "primary hyperplasia." The question of whether these tumors signify a multi-glandular clonal disorder or hyperplasia remains inconclusive. Loss of Menin protein expression serves as a reliable surrogate marker for biallelic inactivation and indicates a mutation in the MEN1 gene. The cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 1B (CDKN1B) gene, associated with MEN4, encodes the p27 protein, whose expression is inadequately explored in the context of syndromic MEN1. Aims The aim was to explore the molecular basis of syndromic MEN1 parathyroid adenomas, identifying hyperplasia, multiple independent clones, and the extent of Menin loss. Additionally, p27 expression was assessed to evaluate its potential in indicating a germline mutation, especially in distinguishing MEN4 as a clinical alternative to MEN1. Methods In this investigation, we examined histomorphology and protein expression of Menin and p27 in parathyroid adenomas from 25 patients in two independent, well-characterized MEN1 cohorts. Loss of heterozygosity (LOH) patterns were evaluated using fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) in one MEN1-associated parathyroid adenoma. Furthermore, next-generation sequencing (NGS) was conducted on eleven nodules from four MEN1 patients. Results Morphologically, the majority of MEN1 adenomas displayed multiple distinct nodules, characterized by predominantly lost Menin expression and reduced p27 protein expression. FISH analysis indicated that most nodules exhibited MEN1 loss, with or without centromere 11 loss. NGS demonstrated both subclonal evolution and the existence of clonally unrelated tumors. Conclusion Syndromic MEN1 parathyroid adenomas, therefore, consist of multiple clones with subclones, aligning with the current framework of the novel WHO classification of parathyroid tumors (2022). The observed loss of p27 expression in a significant fraction of MEN1 parathyroids emphasizes the need for caution when inferring MEN4 solely based on p27 expression.

Radiomics-based Analysis of Intestinal Ultrasound Images for Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Feasibility Study

Abstract Background The increasing adoption of intestinal ultrasound (IUS) for monitoring inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) by IBD providers has uncovered new challenges regarding standardized image interpretation and limitations as a research tool. Artificial intelligence approaches can help address these challenges. We aim to determine the feasibility of radiomic analysis of IUS images and to determine if a radiomics-based classification model can accurately differentiate between normal and abnormal IUS images. We will also compare the radiomic-based model’s performance to a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based classification model to understand which method is more effective for extracting meaningful information from IUS images. Methods Retrospectively analyzing IUS images obtained during routine outpatient visits, we developed and tested radiomic-based and CNN-based models to distinguish between normal and abnormal images, with abnormal images defined as bowel wall thickness &amp;gt;3mm or bowel hyperemia with modified Limberg score &amp;gt; 1 (both are surrogate markers for inflammation). Model performances were measured by area under the receiver operator curve (AUC). Results For this feasibility study, 125 images (33% abnormal) were analyzed. A radiomic-based model using XG boost yielded the best classifier model with average test AUC 0.98, 93.8% sensitivity, 93.8% specificity, and 93.7% accuracy. The CNN-based classification model yielded an average testing AUC of 0.75. Conclusions Radiomic analysis of IUS images is feasible, and a radiomic-based classification model could accurately differentiate abnormal from normal images. Our findings establish methods to facilitate future radiomic-based IUS studies that can help standardize image interpretation and expand IUS research capabilities.

A nation-wide medical record database study: Value of hepatitisB surface antigen loss in chronic hepatitisB patients in Japan.

HepatitisB surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance is considered to be one of the best surrogate endpoints of functional cure for hepatitisB virus (HBV) infection. However, evidence regarding the relationship between achieving HBsAg seroclearance or a low baseline HBsAg level, and long-term clinical outcomes in Japanese patients with chronic HBV infection remains to be confirmed in a real-world setting. A retrospective observational cohort study was performed with an electronic medical record database, including data from 230 hospitals across Japan. Chronic HBV infection was defined as two consecutive, positive HBsAg laboratory measurements for HBV infection. The date of the second positive was used as a baseline to identify subsequent HBsAg seroclearance and liver disease progression. In the database, 2523 patients with chronic HBV infection were identified as the chronic hepatitisB (CHB) cohort. Among the CHB cohort with an average observational period of 5.19±3.87years, 202 patients (8%) achieved HBsAg seroclearance after baseline. They had a lower risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.206, p<0.01) and cirrhosis (aHR 0.361, p<0.01). When the CHB cohort was stratified into two groups based on baseline HBsAg levels (<100IU/mL and ≥100IU/mL), patients with a lower baseline level of HBsAg (<100IU/mL) had a lower risk of developing liver disease (HCC aHR 0.600, p<0.01; cirrhosis aHR 0.618, p<0.05). These results confirm the clinical significance of HBsAg seroclearance and low HBsAg level at baseline with respect to long-term outcomes of patients with CHB in the Japanese population.

Defining Overweight and Obesity by Percent Body Fat instead of Body Mass Index.

Thresholds for overweight and obesity are currently defined by body mass index (BMI), a poor surrogate marker of actual adiposity (percent body fat, %BF). Practical modern technologies provide estimates of %BF but medical providers need outcome-based %BF thresholds to guide patients. This analysis determines %BF thresholds based on key obesity-related comorbidities, exhibited as metabolic syndrome (MetSyn). These limits were compared to existing BMI thresholds of overweight and obesity. Correlational analysis of data from cross sectional sampling of 16,918 adults (8,734 men and 8,184 women) from the US population, accessed by the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) public use datasets. Individuals measured by BMI as overweight (BMI>25 kg/m2) and with obesity (BMI>30 kg/m2) included 5% and 35% of individuals with MetSyn, respectively. For men, there were no cases of MetSyn below 18%BF, %BF equivalence to "overweight" (i.e., 5% of MetSyn individuals) occurred at 25%BF, and "obesity" (i.e., 35% of MetSyn individuals) corresponded to 30%BF. For women, there were no cases of MetSyn below 30%BF, "overweight" occurred at 36%BF, and "obesity" corresponded to 42%BF. Comparison of BMI to %BF illustrates the wide range of variability in BMI prediction of %BF, highlighting the potential importance of using more direct measures of adiposity to manage obesity-related disease. Practical methods of body composition estimation can now replace the indirect BMI assessment for obesity management, using threshold values provided from this study. Clinically relevant "overweight" can be defined as 25 and 36% BF for men and women, respectively, and "obesity" is defined as 30 and 42% BF for men and women.

Relationship between the longitudinal trajectory of the triglyceride-glucose index and the development of CKD: an 8-year retrospective longitudinal cohort study

BackgroundThe triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simple surrogate marker of insulin resistance, is significantly associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, there is limited research on the longitudinal trajectory of TyG index over time and its relationship with CKD.ObjectiveTo analyse the characteristics of the longitudinal trajectory of the TyG index over time and its association with the development of CKD in a health check-up population.MethodsParticipants who underwent at least three annual health check-ups at the Health Management Center of Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital from 2015 to 2022 were included in this retrospective cohort study. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The latent class mixed model (LCMM) was used to identify the TyG index trajectory of the study population. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the CKD incidence risk in different quartile groups and the association of changes in the TyG index trajectory with the development of CKD.ResultsA total of 4,921 participants were included in this study, and they were divided into four groups according to the quartiles of the baseline TyG index: Q1 (5.43-6.66), Q2 (6.67-7.04), Q3 (7.05-7.43), and Q4 (7.43-9.97). There was no difference in the risk of CKD occurrence among the TyG groups. Three different TyG index trajectories were identified in this study: a high-level group, middle-level stable group and low-level stable group, respectively. The incidence rate of CKD in the high-level TyG index trajectory group was 2.399 times greater than that in the low-level stable trajectory group (HR=2.399, 95% CI 1.167-4.935).ConclusionIndividuals with long-term exposure to high TyG index levels had a significantly greater risk of CKD. Routine monitoring of the TyG index and its longitudinal trend will aid in the risk stratification of CKD in the general population and will be helpful for CKD prevention and targeted management.

Mediation effect of body mass index on the association between serum magnesium level and insulin resistance in children from Mexico City.

Reduced serum magnesium (Mg) levels have been associated with obesity, insulin resistance (IR), type 2 diabetes, and metabolic syndrome in adults. However, in the children population, the evidence is still limited. In this cross-sectional study, we aimed to analyze the association of serum Mg levels with the frequency of overweight and obesity and cardiometabolic traits in 189 schoolchildren (91 girls and 98 boys) between 6 and 12 years old from Mexico City. Anthropometrical data were collected and biochemical parameters were measured by enzymatic colorimetric assay. Serum Mg level was analyzed by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was used as a surrogate marker to evaluate IR. Serum Mg level was negatively associated with overweight (Odds ratio [OR] = 0.377, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.231-0.614, p < 0.001) and obesity (OR = 0.345, 95% CI 0.202-0.589, p < 0.001). Serum Mg level resulted negatively associated with body mass index (BMI, β = -1.16 ± 0.26, p < 0.001), BMI z-score (β = -0.48 ± 0.10, p < 0.001) and TyG index (β = -0.04 ± 0.04, p = 0.041). Through a mediation analysis was estimated that BMI z-score accounts for 60.5% of the negative association of serum Mg level with IR (Sobel test: z = 2.761; p = 0.005). Our results evidence that BMI z-score mediate part of the negative association of serum Mg level and IR in Mexican schoolchildren.

Estimated pulse wave velocity in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and all-cause/cause-specific mortality.

Several reports show a significant association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and arterial stiffness (estimated pulse wave velocity [ePWV]) as a surrogate marker of vascular age. We investigate whether ePWV as arterial stiffness in MASLD is associated with all-cause/cause-specific mortality. This cohort study was based on the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1988-1994) and NHANES 2007-2014 and linked mortality datasets through 2019. Cox regression models assessed the association between ePWV categorized by quartile and all-cause/cause-specific mortality among individuals with MASLD. During the follow-up of a median of 26.3 years (interquartile range: 19.9-27.9), higher levels of ePWV among individuals with MASLD were associated with increased all-cause mortality, which remained significant after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, clinical, and metabolic risk factors. Furthermore, higher ePWV in MASLD was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality. There was a 44% (hazard ratio: 1.44, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.58) increase in all-cause mortality and a 53% (hazard ratio: 1.53, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.77) increase in cardiovascular mortality for every 1 m/s increase in ePWV in MASLD. However, there was no significant association between ePWV and cancer-related mortality. Sensitivity analyses using the NHANES 2007-2014 dataset showed results identical to the original analysis. Higher ePWV in MASLD was associated with a higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Screening for ePWV in individuals with MASLD may be an effective and beneficial approach to reducing all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Transcriptional Profiling Underscores the Role of Preprocurement Allograft Metabolism and Innate Immune Status on Outcomes in Human Liver Transplantation

Objective: The adverse effects of ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) remain a principal barrier to a successful outcome after lifesaving orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Gene expression during different phases of IRI is dynamic and modified by individual exposures, making it attractive for identifying potential therapeutic targets for improving the number of suitable organs for transplantation and patient outcomes. However, data remain limited on the functional landscape of gene expression during liver graft IRI, spanning procurement to reperfusion and recovery. Therefore, we sought to characterize transcriptomic profiles of IRI during multiple phases in human OLT. Methods: We conducted clinical data analyses, histologic evaluation, and RNA sequencing of 17 consecutive human primary OLT. We performed liver allograft biopsies at 4 time points: baseline (B, before donor cross-clamp), at the end of cold ischemia (CI), during early reperfusion (ER, after revascularization), and during late reperfusion (LR). Data were generated and then recipients grouped by post-OLT outcomes categories: immediate allograft function (IAF; n = 11) versus early allograft dysfunction (EAD; n = 6) groups. Results: We observed that CI (vs B) modified a transcriptomic landscape enriched for a metabolic and immune process. Expression levels of hallmark inflammatory response genes were higher transitioning from CI to ER and decreased from ER to LR. IAF group predominantly showed higher bile and fatty acid metabolism activity during LR compared with EAD group, while EAD group maintained more immunomodulatory activities. Throughout all time points, EAD specimens exhibited decreased metabolic activity in both bile and fatty acid pathways. Conclusions: We report transcriptomic profiles of human liver allograft IRI from prepreservation in the donor to posttransplantation in the recipient. Immunomodulatory and metabolic landscapes across ER and LR phases were different between IAF and EAD allografts. Our study also highlights marker genes for these biological processes that we plan to explore as novel therapeutic targets or surrogate markers for severe allograft injury in clinical OLT.

Using maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) to personalize taxane treatment and reduce toxicity.

Taxanes are a widely used class of anticancer agents that play a vital role in the treatment of a variety of cancers. However, toxicity remains a major concern of using taxane drugs as some toxicities are highly prevalent, they can not only adversely affect patient prognosis but also compromise the overall treatment plan. Among all kinds of factors that associated with taxane toxicity, taxane exposure has been extensively studied, with different pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters being used as toxicity predictors. Compared to other widely used predictors such as the area under the drug plasma concentration curve versus time (AUC) and time above threshold plasma drug concentration, maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) is easier to collect and shows promise for use in clinical practice. In this article, we review the previous research on using Cmax to predict taxane treatment outcomes. While Cmax and toxicity have been extensively studied, research on the relationship between Cmax and efficacy is lacking. Most of the articles find a positive relationship between Cmax and toxicity but several articles have contradictory findings. Future clinical trials are needed to validate the relationship between Cmax and treatment outcome and determine whether Cmax can serve as a useful surrogate endpoint of taxane treatment efficacy.

NT-proBNP for Predicting All-Cause Death and Heart Transplant in Children and Adults with Heart Failure.

Plasma N-terminal prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration is a heart failure (HF) biomarker in adults and children. Its prognostic value for HF-related events has been established only in adults. Therefore, weaimed to test the hypothesis that plasma NT-proBNP concentrations predicted the risk of heart transplantation or death in children with HF. We studied the medical records of 109 children with HF enrolled in the IBM Watson Explorys database and from 150 children enrolled in the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry (PCMR). Nonlinear regression was used to assess the relationship between plasma NT-proBNP concentrations and the risk of events in the two cohorts. All children in the PCMR cohort had dilated cardiomyopathy. The Explorys cohort also included children with congenital cardiovascular malformations. Median plasma NT-proBNP concentrations were 1250pg/mL and 184pg/mL in the Explorys and PCMR cohorts, respectively. The percentage of deaths/heart transplantations was 7%/22%, over 2years in the Explorys cohort and 3%/16% over 5years in the PCMR cohort. Mean estimates of plasma NT-proBNP concentration indicative of half-maximum relative risk for events (EC50 values) at 2 and 5years were 3730pg/mL and 4199pg/mL, respectively, values both close to the mean of 3880pg/mL established for adults with HF. The plasma NT-proBNP concentration is suitable for estimating relative risk of mortality and heart transplantation in children with HF, independent of etiology and shows similar relations to clinical outcomes as in adults, indicating its likely value as a surrogate marker both for adult and pediatric HF.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00005391 (May 26, 2000), NCT01873976 (June 10, 2013).

Low left ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral predicts normotensive shock in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Introduction In patients with intermediate-risk acute pulmonary embolism (PE) outcomes vary widely, with mortality rates ranging from 3-15% and rates of normotensive shock up to 30%.1-3 Current risk models don't fully capture those at higher risk and identify patients who may benefit from advanced therapies. The left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) velocity time integral (VTI), a surrogate marker of cardiac output, has been associated with increased mortality in acute PE.4 Our objective was to determine the association between LVOT VTI and its predictive value in identifying normotensive shock in this patient population. Methods Patients who underwent percutaneous mechanical thrombectomy (MT) between August 2020 and March 2023 at a large academic public hospital were considered for the study. Inclusion criteria comprised of normotensive patients (SBP ≥ 90 mmHg) with invasive measures of cardiac index (CI). VTI was obtained by pulsed wave doppler at the LVOT in either the apical 3 or apical 5 chamber view. The primary outcome was the association between LVOT VTI and normotensive shock and a cut off of 15 cm was used to examine this association based on prior studies.4 Results A total of 49 patients with intermediate-risk PE underwent MT, 16 patients had incomplete data, resulting in a final cohort of 33 patients (mean age: 57 ± 13yrs; 38% female). Patients with LVOT VTI of &amp;lt;15 cm were younger (53 vs 62 years p=0.02), had lower systolic blood pressure at presentation (122 vs 134 mmHg, p=0.047), higher heart rate (112.6 vs 96.2 beats/min, p=0.008), a higher composite shock score (CPES) (5 vs 3, p=0.012), lower cardiac index (1.9 vs 3.1 L/min/m2, p&amp;lt;0.001), a higher PASP (61.4 vs 48.9 mmHg, p=0.018), and higher rates of elevated lactate (90% vs 42%, p=0.027). LVOT VTI threshold of &amp;lt;15cm effectively identified patients with normotensive shock (90% vs 8% p&amp;lt;0.001). There was no statistically significant difference in the rates of saddle emboli, left ventricular ejection fraction, sPESI and BOVA scores in patients with VTI above or below 15cm. In patients with normotensive shock, 19/20 (95%) had LVOT VTI ≤ 15cm with a median of 13 cm (IQR 12, 14) (Figure). In patients without normotensive shock, 11/13 (84%) had LVOT VTI &amp;gt;15 with a median of 18 (IQR 17, 21). The area under the curve for LVOT VTI ≤ 15 cm in predicting normotensive shock was 0.89. The sensitivity and specificity of LVOT VTI ≤ 15 cm in predicting normotensive shock was 91.6% and 90.4% respectively. Conclusion Our study suggests that LVOT VTI is a reliable surrogate for cardiac output in patients with acute PE and can effectively identify those in the intermediate-risk group who are at risk for normotensive shock. A LVOT VTI &amp;lt;15cm may identify intermediate-risk patients at higher risk for hemodynamic decompensation and further studies are needed to evaluate whether these patients would benefit from upfront catheter-based therapies.