Forest Succession Research Articles

Land covers associated with forest expansion hot spots in the Nepal Himalaya

Abstract Many regions of the Himalaya are experiencing forest expansion, signifying a widespread forest transition across this fragile mountain system. In the Nepal Himalaya, forest expansion is increasingly attributed to the narrative of cropland abandonment driven by rural outmigration. Understanding forest change dynamics as consequences of land use changes is critical in the context of rural mountain societies such as Nepal, which exhibit complex interactions between forest, agriculture, and livelihoods. We analysed forest gain in Nepal from 2000–2019 to inquire where and when forests have expanded and what land covers transitioned into forests. We integrated spatiotemporal analysis of national land cover maps and photointerpretation of very high resolution (VHR) imagery to improve analytical estimates. The Middle Mountain physiographic region experienced the strongest hot spots of forest gains relative to the high mountains or lowlands. Visual interpretation of VHR showed that 68.8% of forest gains since 2000 occurred on shrubland, and 26.5% on cropland. The dominance of shrubland-forest transitions implied that shrubland is an intermediate stage in a multi-decadal succession process, or a semi-permanent state such as arrested succession. Notably however, we also detected cropland-forest transitions occurring as fast as 6–10 years, indicating the potential for rapid forest succession if biophysical conditions permit. Thus, variations in land cover transitions to forests in the hills implicated multiple pathways of forest regeneration, reflecting a variety of spatiotemporally explicit drivers. Our results differ from previous studies because VHR image analysis accounted for land cover classification errors and improved land cover quantification. Further research on spatially explicit mechanisms and drivers of forest gain are needed to understand the synergies of forest, agriculture, and livelihoods to inform land use land cover policies that could be leveraged to enhance rural mountain livelihoods.

Soil Properties Regulate Soil Microbial Communities During Forest Succession in a Karst Region of Southwest China

Natural vegetation restoration has emerged as an effective and rapid approach for ecological restoration in fragile areas. However, the response of soil microorganisms to natural succession remains unclear. To address this, we utilized high-throughput sequencing methods to assess the dynamics of soil bacterial and fungal communities during forest succession (shrubland, secondary forest, and primary forest) in a karst region of Southwest China. Our study revealed that bacterial α-diversity was significantly higher in secondary forest compared to both shrubland and primary forest. Intriguingly, the soil bacterial community in primary forest exhibited a closer resemblance to that in shrubland yet diverged from the community in secondary forest. Conversely, the soil fungal community underwent notable variations across the different forest stages. Furthermore, analysis of the microbial co-occurrence network revealed that, within these karst forests, the relationships among soil fungi were characterized by fewer but stronger interactions compared to those among bacteria. Additionally, soil properties (including pH, soil organic carbon, total nitrogen, moisture, and available potassium), soil microbial biomass (specifically phosphorus and nitrogen), and plant diversity were the drivers of soil bacterial community dynamics. Notably, soil pH accounted for the majority of the variations observed in the soil fungal community during karst forest succession. Our findings provide valuable insights that can inform the formulation of strategies for ecological restoration and biodiversity conservation in karst regions, particularly from a microbial perspective.

Ground Nesting Behavior of Aotus griseimembra: Rare Terrestrial Evidence in A Strictly Arboreal Species

We report a novel observation of ground nesting behavior in a couple of Aotus griseimembra within a successional inter-Andean Forest patch of Colombia. This behavior, previously unrecorded for strictly arboreal primates of the Genus Aotus, challenges conventional understanding. The monkeys exhibited typical species actions but sought refuge on the ground, possibly influenced by habitat alterations. Their visits to the ground sleeping site were monitored and confirmed the vulnerability to predators, competitors in the forest patch. These findings call the attention for further research into the response strategies of neotropical primates to environmental stressors and habitat disturbance.

Multifunctionality, social benefits, and engagement: insights for forest restoration success from a study case in Brazil

Social, economic, and ecological aspects must be considered for ecological restoration projects to be successful. Multifunctionality, achieved when restored ecosystems have multiple uses, is the desired goal for these projects. Understanding people's perceptions of forest restoration is essential to advance the debate on stakeholder acceptance and engagement. Based on a 30‐year case study of forest restoration on a university campus in Brazil, we assessed (1) how project objectives relate to contemporary multifunctionality and social attributes; (2) how the current state of the forest meets social goals; and (3) how stakeholders perceive the importance of the forest and the project itself. We used documents, interviews, and questionnaires, applying content analysis and narrative interpretation with the “social benefits wheel” and the “five‐star social system” to assess how the initial project objectives corresponded to contemporary social development goals and its progress toward social goals. The results revealed that socioecological goals were incorporated from the beginning of the project, ensuring a multifunctional approach. Respondents highlighted ecological, social, and cultural functions, with 84% expressing positive feelings toward the forest. Ecosystem services, especially regulatory and cultural benefits, were recognized as the most valuable. Although academic use was significant, nonmaterial values, such as cultural and emotional connections, were more prominent. The study concludes that a well‐planned restoration project involving the local community generates lasting support for ecological restoration. This information strongly supports Brazil's voluntary reforestation targets proposed in the Paris Agreement.

Nitrogen and phosphorus additions affect fruiting of ectomycorrhizal fungi in a temperate hardwood forest

The functioning of mycorrhizal symbioses is tied to soil nutrient status, suggesting that nutrient availability should influence the reproduction of mycorrhizal fungi. To quantify the effects of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) availability on ectomycorrhizal fungal fruiting, we collected >4000 epigeous sporocarps representing 19 families during the course of a season in a full factorial NxP addition experiment in six replicate forest stands. Nutrient effects on fruiting shifted as the season progressed, with early fruiting species responding more to P and late-fruiting species responding more to N. The composition of species fruiting in young successional forests differed more with nutrient addition than in mature forests. Sporocarp abundance and species richness were suppressed by N addition. This work shows that N and P availability affect ectomycorrhizal fungal fruiting, with these effects taking place within a context defined by stand age and the progression of fruiting across the season.

Divergent seed dispersal outcomes: Interactions between seed, disperser, and forest traits.

Animals disperse seeds in various ways that affect seed deposition sites and seed survival, ultimately shaping plant species distribution, community composition, and ecosystem structure. Some animal species can disperse seeds through multiple pathways (e.g., defecation, regurgitation, epizoochory), each likely producing distinct seed dispersal outcomes. We studied how seed traits (size and toughness) interact with disperser species to influence seed dispersal pathway and how this ultimately shapes the proportion of seeds deposited in various habitat types. We focused on three frugivorous species of duikers (African forest antelopes) in the Dja Faunal Reserve, a tropical rainforest in southern Cameroon. Duikers can both defecate and regurgitate seeds, the latter predominantly occurring during rumination at their bedding sites (or "nests"). We located duiker nests and dungs along 18 linear 1-km-transects to assess: (1) how seed traits affect the likelihood of dispersal via defecation versus regurgitation, (2) if defecated versus regurgitated seeds are deposited at different rates in different forest types (assessed by indigenous Baka), microhabitats, and forest structural attributes (measured by drone lidar), and (3) if these differ between three duiker species that vary in size and diel activity patterns. We found that duikers predominantly defecated small seeds (<3 mm length) and regurgitated larger and tougher seeds (>10 mm length), the latter including 25 different plant species. The three duiker species varied in their nesting habits, with nocturnal bay duikers (Cephalophus dorsalis) nesting in dense understory vegetation at proportions 3-4 times higher than Peter's and yellow-backed duikers (Cephalophus callipygus and Cephalophus silvicultor). As a result, bay duikers deposited larger regurgitated seeds at a higher rate in habitats with denser understory where lianas and palms predominate and near fallen trees. This directed regurgitation seed deposition likely plays an important and unique role in forest succession and structure. This study highlights the importance of ungulate seed dispersal by regurgitation, a vastly understudied process that could impact many ecosystems given the prevalence of ruminating ungulates worldwide.

Different responses of soil bacterial community to plant-plant interactions under organic-inorganic fertilizers affect seedling establishment during subalpine forest succession.

Rhizosphere bacterial community as a valuable indicator of soil quality and function, has been widespread studied. However, little knowledge is about the response of bacterial communities to plant-plant interaction and different fertilizers during secondary forest succession. We conducted a field pot experiment applying organic and inorganic fertilizers to monocultures and mixed cultures of dominant plant species from mid- to late-successional stages (Salix oritrepha, Betula albosinensis, and Picea asperata), and investigated the responses of plant growth and rhizosphere bacterial communities. Results indicated that growth rate of plant height varied among plant species, but no significant differences were observed in soil bacterial diversity and composition among plant species or inter-specific interactions under control. Compared to control, inorganic fertilizer resulted in increases in plant growth and the relative abundance of Proteobacteria, Patescibacteria, Bacteroidetes and Gemmatimonadetes, while simultaneously leading to decrease in the relative abundance of Acidobacteria, Actinobacteria, Chloroflexi, Rokubacteria and Planctomycetes. When grown with other species, the bacterial communities in the mixture resembled those of S. oritrepha in singular monoculture under inorganic fertilizer treatment, but plant growth was not affected by interspecific interaction. Unlike inorganic fertilizer, organic fertilizer significantly affected bacterial communities and increased bacterial diversity, but did not alter the effects of plant-plant interactions on bacterial communities. It was also observed that organic fertilizer facilitated later successional species' growth (P. asperata and B. albosinensis) by the mid-successional species (S. oritrepha), ultimately facilitating secondary forest succession. In addition, plants at different successional stages harbor specific bacterial communities to affect their growth, and the bacterial communities contributed more than soil properties to the variations in the plant growth of S. oritrepha and P. asperata though the bacterial communities were regulated by soil factors. This finding highlights the significance of the rhizosphere bacteria on plant growth and plant community succession. It also emphasize the importance of considering both plant-plant interactions and diverse fertilizer types in forest restoration efforts and provide valuable insights into optimizing agronomic practices for secondary forest succession.

Comparison of Foraging Strategies and Effects of the Wapiti and Siberian Roe Deer on Japanese Yew.

The foraging strategies of sympatric ungulates with similar ecological niches are important for understanding ecological niche differentiation, resource utilization, competition, and coexistence and for understanding the ecological impacts on plant communities in the ecosystem. The behavior of the wapiti (Cervus elaphus) and Siberian roe deer (Capreolus pygargus) foraging on Japanese yew (Taxus cuspidata) has affected its succession and renewal in the northeastern forests of China, which has become an urgent problem for the relevant departments. This study analyzed the foraging strategies of the wapiti and Siberian roe deer on Japanese yew from July 2021 to January 2024 using field investigations and infrared camera monitoring in the Muling National Nature Reserve, Heilongjiang Province, China. It was found that the wapiti and Siberian roe deer have different foraging strategies in terms of time, space, and behavior. Temporally, they both preferred to forage for the saplings of the Japanese yew during the winter season, the degree of overlap in foraging rhythms was medium (Dhat1 = 0.67), and the diurnal foraging activity index (D RAI) of the wapiti was larger than that of the Siberian roe deer. Spatially, the suitable foraging habitat of the Siberian roe deer was twice that of the wapiti, and their overlap was low in the location and direction of saplings and the distance of the seed tree. Behaviorally, the foraging intensity of the wapiti was high, and that of Siberian roe deer was low. Foraging reduced the average primary branch height, number of new branches, and length of lateral branches of saplings, and the influence of the wapiti was significantly greater than that of the Siberian roe deer. This study provides a scientific basis for solving the conservation and management problems of the deer animals foraging on Japanese yew and contributes to further understanding of the competition-coexistence mechanism of sympatric species.

Navigating neighborhoods: Density, size, and species diversity influences on tree survival in subtropical secondary forests

Neighborhood effects significantly impact individual tree survival through mechanisms of resource competition and species interactions within forest ecosystems. However, the specific impacts of these effects, particularly how biodiversity feedback affects survival across diverse life stages and spatial scales in subtropical secondary forests, remains insufficiently documented. To bridge this gap, we conducted an extensive analysis of neighborhood effects at different life stages and spatial scales in the subtropical secondary forests of the Wuyi Mountains in Southeast China, uncovering key insights into the community structure and dynamics. Our investigation over a five-year period encompassed all individuals within our study plot, quantifying effects of neighborhood density, individual size in resource competition, and species diversity in the neighborhood across various life stages. Employing mixed-effects models, we established quantitative relationships to assess the impact of these factors on tree survival at different spatial scales. Our findings confirmed that density dependence adversely affects sapling survival at smaller scales. As trees mature and spatial test scales expand, the detrimental effects of conspecific resource competition on individual mortality decrease, whereas heterospecific resource competition notably impairs survival probabilities in later successional stages, suggesting a shift from intraspecific to interspecific competition as the dominant influence on mortality during secondary succession. Additionally, we detected consistent patterns in conspecific and heterospecific density effects with increasing spatial scale. These effects transitioned from interspecific differences at smaller scales to more uniform positive effects at larger scales, which may be attributed to the strong spatial dependency of neighborhood density effects, potentially due to increased habitat heterogeneity. Furthermore, our study highlights the crucial role of heterospecific neighborhood effects in enhancing survival. We observed significant positive impacts of species diversity and heterospecific interactions on individual tree survival, particularly at smaller spatial scales during the sapling stage. Importantly, our research unveils significant variability in species sensitivity to different neighborhood effects, which change with life stage and spatial scale. This underscores the necessity of accounting for life stage variations among species and the influence of spatial heterogeneity on neighborhood effects such as density. Our findings delineate distinct competition mechanisms between the earlier and later phases of forest succession, emphasizing the distinctive recovery processes of subtropical secondary forests. These insights are essential for informing forest management and conservation strategies, ensuring a nuanced understanding of forest community dynamics.

Population dynamics and its relationship with functional traits in different succession stages of temperate mixed coniferous broad-leaved forest in Northeast China.

Functional traits regulate plant response to environmental changes, with consequences on population dynamics. However, how plant functional traits impact population dynamics, including growth, mortality, and recruitment, remains elusive in temperate forests across different successional stages. In this study, we compiled data on population dynamics and eight functional traits, encompassing hydraulic, wood, and leaf traits, from 35 species commonly found in a secondary poplar-birch forest and a broad-leaved Korean pine forest in Northeast China. We quantified the intrinsic relationships between plant population dynamics and assessed how plant functional traits influenced these dynamics. The results demonstrated a gradual increase in the correlation among population dynamics as forest succession progressed. In the secondary forest, tree growth rate and mortality rate were negatively correlated, while growth-death rate and growth-recruitment rate were not related. Conversely, in the broad-leaved Korean pine forest, there was a significant negative correlation between tree growth rate and mortality rate, as well as between growth rate and recruitment rate, while tree mortality rate positively correlated with recruitment rate. Additionally, functional traits effectively predicted population dynamics, but the predictive ability varied across successional stages. Functional traits, particularly xylem hydraulic traits (e.g., Huber value) and anatomical traits (e.g., mean xylem conduit diameter), were stronger predictors of tree growth, mortality, and recruitment rates at the late successional stage compared with the early stage. These findings indicated that population dynamics and functional traits exhibited strong regularity in the late successional stage of broad-leaved Korean pine forests.

Spatial structure and individual competition characteristics of secondary Mongolian oak mature forests in the mountainous area of eastern Liaoning Province, China.

The community structure of natural mature forests is determined by long-term forest succession, characterized by rational structure, rich biodiversity, and high ecological function. Understanding the spatial structure and formation mechanisms of mature forests is a fundamental prerequisite for forest management. We analyzed four structure parameters, including diameter structure, angular scale, size ratio, and mixture degree, as well as the Hegyi competition index, of secondary Quercus mongolica (Mongolian oak) mature forests in the mountainous area of eastern Liaoning Province. The results showed that Q. mongolica predominated the tree layer. In the sapling layer, Q. mongolica, Tilia amurensis, and Acer pictum were the dominant species. In the seedling layer, Acer pseudosieboldianum, T. amurensis, and A. amurensis dominated, with very few Q. mongolica seedlings. The overall diameter distribution of the stand showed an inverse "J" shape, while the diameter distribution of Q. mongolica, the dominant tree species, followed a normal distribution. The horizontal spatial structure of the stand was generally randomly distributed, with an average angle scale of 0.505, size ratio of 0.219, and mixture degree of 0.670 for Q. mongolica. From the perspective of spatial structure binary distribution, Q. mongolica individuals which had a random distribution exhibited greater growth advantages and higher levels of mixing, in comparison to other distribution types. Randomly distributed dominant and subdominant individuals made up nearly half individuals in the stand, and showed a high degree of mixing with surrounding trees. The stand-level individual tree competition index decreased with increasing diameter classes. When the diameter at breast height exceeded 20 cm, the competition index tended to stabilize (ΔCI<2). The competitive radius of individual Q. mongolica trees was 8 m, with intraspecific competition as the main pressure. Other species experienced competition pressure primarily from interspecific sources. Our results suggested that competition played an important role in shaping the spatial structure of secondary Q. mongolica mature forests.

Reconstructing the rapid transitions of ecosystems during the mid-late Holocene: A pollen record from Haixing wetland in Bohai Bay, North China

Vegetation in coastal regions is sensitive to climate and sea-level changes. However, currently there is still a lack of understanding about the stability of the Holocene coastal ecosystem and the rapid conversion processes of different coastal wetland ecosystems. In this study, the high-resolution vegetation succession history of the southwest coast of Bohai Bay during the mid-late Holocene was revealed, based on pollen analysis and REVEALS model, and the rate of vegetation change was estimated. Furthermore, the characteristics and mechanisms of different ecosystem changes were explored. The results indicate that there was a prolonged transition from shallow sea to lagoon before the formation of the Haixing wetland during the interval of 7500–4100 cal yr BP. The rate of watershed vegetation change increase significantly under the common influence of the 4.2 ka event and human activities, causing a regime shift in the mountain forest ecosystems and a decrease in landscape resilience. It was characterized by a substantial reduction in broad-leaved forests (from>30% to<5%), especially for Quercus (∼3%), which have not recovered to pre-event levels since the end of the 4.2 ka event. Since 3500 cal yr BP, the Haixing area was completely detached from the influence of the Bohai Sea, forming freshwater wetlands. The local vegetation rapidly shifted from alkali-tolerant communities that followed the sea retreat to freshwater marsh plant communities. During 2000–1100 cal yr BP, under the strong impact of human activities, the succession of forest and grassland communities in the basin became more frequent. The area of coastal salt marshes expanded, with salt-tolerant plant communities taking the absolute advantage. The wetland vegetation landscape became closer to the modern appearance. Overall, our study provides new evidence for understanding the rapid evolution of coastal ecosystems in East Asia influenced by a combination of climate, hydrology and humans. It will help guide the coastal regions in facing the challenges of future global climate changes.

Soil fungi lead to stronger ‘diminishing returns’ in fine‐root length versus mass allometry towards earlier successional tropical forests

Soil fungi lead to stronger ‘diminishing returns’ in fine‐root length versus mass allometry towards earlier successional tropical forests

Post-Pyrogenic Successions in Oak-Korean Pine Forests with Schisandra chinensis and Corylus mandshurica in Sikhote-Alin

This article discusses the results of long-term stationary studies of the formation and development of oak-cedar pine forests with magnolia berry and hazel growing in the Southern and Middle Sikhote-Alin. Considered here are the peculiarities of stands decline, seed-based reforestation, as well as the tree species growth and development courses during the process of reforestation successions in areas with different intensity of fire exposure. Following persistent ground fires, the stands decline is most intensive in the first 5 years, with decay rates and the number of surviving trees varying in different types of burnt areas. The most active seed-based reforestation occurs on post-fire sites mainly during the first 2 years, with birch, aspen and other early stage species predominating. The rate of annual growth of the young generation of trees is the most intensive on plots significantly damaged by fire, in serial species (birch, aspen, Maak’s bird cherry, etc.) they are an order of magnitude higher than in climax broadleaved and coniferous species. Determination of dominance indices, equally dependent on the numbers of undergrowth, thin and large trees, showed that during reforestation successions after both rapid and persistent lowland fires, the phytocenotic importance dynamics in Korean pine, Mongolian oak and other forest forming species has its own peculiarities.

Influence of photosynthetic active radiation on sap flow dynamics across forest succession stages in Dinghushan subtropical forest ecosystem

With the intensification of global change, forests are subjected to varying degrees of drought or high-temperature stress, which has an indelible impact on the growth of trees. However, knowledge on the response of sap flow to environmental changes in different types of forests is still rare, especially in China's subtropical forest ecosystem. Consequently, studying how different tree species regulate their sap flow in response to shifting environmental conditions is essential for understanding forest transpiration, water use efficiency, and drought stress resilience. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the sap flow dynamics of seven tree species in five forest plots, i.e., pine forest (PF), two types of mixed conifer-broadleaf forests (MF1+MF2), monsoon evergreen broadleaved forest (MEBF), and montane monsoonal evergreen broad-leaf forest (MOBF) at Dinghushan National Reserve in Southern China, using the heat dissipation probe technique and synchronous environmental factor recordings. Results demonstrated a significant influence of photosynthetic active radiation (PAR) on sap flow across all tree species, with mean PAR values ranging from over 1200 to 425 μmol m−2 s−1, establishing it as the principal driving factor. This observation underscores the heightened responsiveness or sensitivity of tree species to variations in PAR as the forest undergoes development and maturation. The correlation between vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and tree sap flow decreased as succession progressed. Moreover, the influence of soil water content (SWC) on sap flow stability against environmental changes increased. Similar patterns were also found between the two MF, with MF-2 displaying ecological characteristics and environmental conditions more closely aligned with those of the late-successional MEBF. The study reveals the intricate relationship between environmental factors and sap flow regulation in tree species within a subtropical forest ecosystem. Addressing a comparative gap in sap flow correlation among dominant tree species at Dinghushan, it establishes a hydro-physiological foundation for understanding tree species substitution during forest succession. The results provide key insights for forest management and climate-related research. Future studies should delve into the long-term implications of observed sap flow dynamics, exploring their impact on tree species adaptability amid ongoing environmental changes.

The changes in diversity of vegetation and foliar stable isotopes during the terrestrial plant succession of a subtropical forest and their ecological implications

The disturbed forest system can be restored through successional processes, where changes in the diversity of plant species serves as key indicators of processes. Meanwhile plant water use efficiency and nitrogen dynamics are important factors influencing photosynthesis-water coupling and nutrient stress in plants, respectively, during forest recovery. Analyzing these factors is crucial for understanding forest recovery and promoting sustainable ecosystem development. In this study, traditional vegetation surveys and biodiversity indices, along with foliar stable carbon and nitrogen isotope analyses, as well as nitrogen content analyses, were conducted in a subtropical forest with various successional stages following human and natural disturbances in Sichuan province, China. These analyses were used to assess species diversity patterns, evaluate water use efficiency, and assess nitrogen dynamics in primary, secondary, and artificial forests. The results showed distinct stage-specific differences in succession among forest types. Primary forests exhibited the highest successional stage but were limited by water stress and high nitrogen competition, with the highest δ13C values (i.e., −29.0 ‰), lowest δ15N values (i.e., −3.6 ‰), and the lowest nitrogen contents (i.e., 3.6 %) on average. Artificial forests had the lowest species diversity due to species dominance and nitrogen competition, with the lowest δ13C values (i.e., −29.7 ‰), relatively low nitrogen contents (i.e., 4.0 %), and high δ15N values (i.e., −1.8 ‰). Secondary forests, with longer recovery periods, reached higher successional stage due to sufficient nitrogen and water, which is indicated by the highest δ15N values and nitrogen contents (i.e., −1.7 ‰ and 4.5 %), and the relatively low δ13C values (i.e., −29.4 ‰), leading to accelerated vegetation growth. This study highlights not only the importance of analyzing plant diversity, but also the material cycles, especially water use efficiency, and nitrogen dynamics, to understanding forest recovery. These findings can support effective conservation and sustainable development of subtropical forest ecosystems.

Beta diversity subcomponents of plant species turnover and nestedness reveal drivers of community assembly in a regenerating subtropical forest.

Secondary forests represent a significant proportion of global forest cover, with over 70% of forests in East Asia classified as regenerating. While succession has been studied extensively in temperate systems, trajectories of subtropical succession remain poorly characterized in highly disturbed, urban-adjacent forests. Investigating the additive beta diversity components of turnover and nestedness may reveal community assembly mechanisms driving secondary succession. The present study investigates plant community assembly along a successional gradient from 7 to 70 years following the onset of succession in secondary subtropical forests in Hong Kong, China. Plant survey data for 28 plots were analysed, generating additive Simpsons turnover and nestedness beta diversity metrics. Dissimilarity matrices were generated and modelled as a function of environmental matrices including forest plant community age (years following onset of secondary succession), inter-community distance (metres), and soil moisture saturation (%) across three elevational bands using generalized dissimilarity models. Nonmetric multidimensional scaling of plant communities was conducted with Bray-Curtis dissimilarity matrices. Inter-community distance and successional age differentially influenced plant species turnover between lowland and Montane forest types. Models of nestedness found that plot age and soil moisture saturation were significant drivers of nestedness patterns in plant communities across elevational classes. Turnover represented a higher proportion of Sorensen beta diversity than nestedness, while ANOSIM found significant differentiation between plant communities at different successional stages. Turnover patterns suggest a deterministic model of community assembly, with strong patterns of species replacement between communities at fine spatial scales and successional stages, as well as clear compositional shifts between lowland and montane forest types. NMDS analysis and functional compositional assessments suggested a transition from early successional communities with a high proportion of shrub species, to later successional communities with a higher proportion of tree species, with an increase in species turnover with greater age dissimilarity.

Diversity, Stability, and the Forecast Challenge in Forest Lepidopteran Predictive Ecology: Are Multi-Scale Plant–Insect Interactions the Key to Increased Forecast Precision?

I report on long-term patterns of outbreak cycling in four study systems across Canada and illustrate how forecasting in these systems is highly imprecise because of complexity in the cycling and a lack of spatial synchrony amongst sample locations. I describe how a range of bottom-up effects could be generating complexity in these otherwise periodic systems. (1) The spruce budworm in Québec exhibits aperiodic and asynchronous behavior at fast time-scales, and a slow modulation of cycle peak intensity that varies regionally. (2) The forest tent caterpillar across Canada exhibits eruptive spiking behavior that is aperiodic locally, and asynchronous amongst regions, yet aggregates to produce a pattern of periodic outbreaks. In Québec, forest tent caterpillar cycles differ in the aspen-dominated northwest versus the maple-dominated southeast, with opposing patterns of cycle intensity between the two regions. (3) In Alberta, forest tent caterpillar outbreak cycles resist synchronization across a forest landscape gradient, even at very fine spatial scales, resulting in a complex pattern of cycling that defies simple forecasting techniques. (4) In the Border Lakes region of Ontario and Minnesota, where the two insect species coexist in a mixedwood landscape of hardwood and conifers, outbreak cycle intensity in each species varies spatially and temporally in response to host forest landscape structure. Much attention has been given to the effect of top-down agents in driving synchronizable population cycles. However, foliage loss, tree death, and forest succession at stem, stand, and landscape scales affect larval and adult dispersal success, and may serve to override regulatory processes that cause otherwise top-down-driven periodic, synchronized, and predictable population oscillations to become aperiodic, asynchronous, and unpredictable. Incorporating bottom-up effects at multiple spatial and temporal scales may be the key to making significant improvements in forest insect outbreak forecasting.

Trait-Mediated Variation in Seedling Performance in Costa Rican Successional Forests: Comparing Above-Ground, Below-Ground, and Allocation-Based Traits.

The interspecific relationship between functional traits and tree seedling performance can be inconsistent, potentially due to site-to-site or microsite variation in environmental conditions. Studies of seedling traits and performance often focus on above-ground traits, despite the importance of below-ground resource acquisition and biomass allocation to above versus below-ground functions. Here we investigate how varying environmental conditions across sites induce intraspecific variation in organ-level (above-ground, below-ground) and biomass allocation traits, affecting interspecific relationships between these traits and seedling performance. We analyzed trait expression for 12 organ-level and three allocation traits and their relationships with height growth (1716 seedlings) and mortality (15,862 seedlings) for 26 tree species across three sites along a forest successional gradient in Costa Rica. We found significant intraspecific differences across sites in all allocation traits, but only in three of seven above-ground and three of five below-ground organ-level traits. Allocation traits were better predictors of seedling performance than organ-level traits. Relationships between allocation traits and both growth and mortality varied among all sites, but for organ-level traits, only relationships with growth varied among sites. These results underscore that biomass allocation plays a key role in the earliest life stages of trees and that site-specific conditions can influence how functional traits mediate seedling establishment during succession.

Influence of wild ungulates on the secondary succession of an Apennine silver fir forest after windthrow

Windstorms are natural factors in vegetation dynamics, but their intensity is increasing and undermines the forest resilience. Post-event interventions depend on forest types and management purposes. To promote mixed stands that are less susceptible to windthrow than monocultures, natural tree regeneration is usually recommended. However, wild ungulates attracted by the increased food supply in the new clearings can influence the secondary succession and slow down vegetation recovery. The impact of ungulate pressure on secondary successions in blowdown areas is still poorly known, especially in Mediterranean areas, which is particularly vulnerable to climate stressors. We investigated this topic using a monospecific silver fir (Abies alba) forest of artificial origin in the Apennines as a model system. The forest was left to natural succession after a severe windthrow in 2015, offering the opportunity to establish an ungulate exclosure experiment to analyse vegetation changes over six years. For the whole plant community, cover and height, α-diversity (species richness, Shannon and evenness indexes), and species composition were recorded yearly, together with tree seedling density, in open and fenced plots at increasing distances from the forest edge. Ecological and functional traits (proportion of light-demanding and forest specialists, endo-/epi-zoochorous species), and life-forms of the community samples were also analysed. Overall, we found that ungulates significantly influenced the dynamic trajectories of secondary succession. The effects on plant cover and diversity were negative and increased with distance from the forest edge. The presence of ungulates favoured generalist species and endozoochorous taxa. However, distance from the forest edge strongly reduced the latter effect. The average density of tree seedlings was overall high (ca. 10,000/ha), but it was strongly reduced by ungulates for three deciduous species and A. alba, the most browsed species. Natural recolonization after windthrow in Apennine pure silver fir stands may favour the formation of mixed, less susceptible forests, but the current ungulate pressure slows down this process, especially in the areas furthest from the forest edge.