Subtropical Western North Pacific Research Articles

Diversity of 10–20-day propagation of genesis potential index and its roles in tropical cyclogenesis over the South China Sea

The genesis potential index (GPI) is used to quantify the major large-scale environmental parameters associated with tropical cyclogenesis (TCG). It is demonstrated that the 10–20-day GPI dominates the intraseasonal variability of the GPI over the South China Sea (SCS) from June to September during 1979–2021. The spatiotemporal evolutions of the 10–20-day GPI in the TCG processes show distinct diverse characteristics. Through extended empirical orthogonal function (EEOF) analysis and spatial correlation coefficients, the 10–20-day GPI propagation characteristics of the TCG processes are mainly classified into 3 categories: WN-Pattern, N-Pattern, and W-Pattern. The WN-Pattern originates from the tropical western North Pacific (WNP), then gradually intensifies and propagates northwestward to the northern SCS. The N-Pattern moves northward from Indonesia to the central-northern SCS and distinctly strengthens from 2 days before the cyclogenesis. The W-Pattern features westward propagation from the subtropical WNP to the northern SCS. These three propagating patterns correspond to the respective locations of SCS TCG. In the GPI terms of these three patterns, the low-level absolute vorticity and mid-level relative humidity are considered as the dominant environmental factors. Furthermore, the significant cyclonic circulation anomalies and water vapor flux anomalies are well coordinated with the 10–20-day GPI in all the three patterns, constituting favorable dynamical and thermodynamic conditions for the SCS TCG. This study may be beneficial for deeper comprehension of the subseasonal large-scale environmental factors about SCS TCG.

Distinct response of Asian summer monsoon circulation and precipitation to orbital forcing during six Heinrich events

Climatic fingerprint of Heinrich (H) events was characterized by widespread megadroughts over the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) region accompanied by systemic weakening of the ASM. However, recent studies of hydroclimate proxies suggest huge spatial discrepancies in precipitation over the ASM region during some H events, characterized by increased precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley contrasting with the prevalent megadroughts across the whole ASM region. The mechanism responsible for the spatial discrepancies in precipitation and the relationship between local precipitation and the ASM intensity remain elusive. In this study, we investigate the response of the ASM circulation and precipitation to orbital forcing during six H events based on simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. The results show that changes in insolation alone can induce spatial discrepancies in precipitation over the ASM region during the H events. During the H1, 3, 4, 5, 6 events, the amplification of the land-sea pressure contrast in response to a positive interhemispheric insolation gradient (30°N-30°S) during boreal summer intensifies moisture transport from the adjacent oceans to the ASM region. The ensuing moisture divergence, combined with anomalous downdrafts, results in decreased precipitation in the South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM) region, but converse scenario for the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) region. During the H2 event, the increased precipitation across the Yangtze River Valley sharply contrasts the widespread drought over the ASM region, attributing to an anticyclone anomaly over the subtropical Western North Pacific and a cyclone anomaly over Japan and Korea. Moisture budget analysis shows that the dynamic effect, especially the vertical term, rather than the thermodynamic effect, is the dominant control of precipitation changes over the ASM region. Our results also suggest that despite the synchronous variation in the strength of the EASM and SASM in response to orbital forcing, the EASM should not be regarded as an eastward and northward extension of the SASM. Furthermore, our model simulates a weak correlation between the monsoon intensity and precipitation in the SASM region in response to orbital forcing, calling for caution in employing precipitation to reconstruct SASM intensity on orbital time scale.

Spatiotemporal variations in vertical profiles of Fukushima-derived 137Cs in the Kuroshio-Oyashio confluence region from 2011 to 2018: Implications for local water mass dynamics and basin-scale circulations

Tracking the processes of the spread of Fukushima-derived 137Cs (137CsF) contributes to a better understanding of North Pacific water dynamics. In this study, the vertical distributions of 137Cs and 90Sr in the Kuroshio-Oyashio confluence region were investigated in May 2018, and 137CsF was separated from the background 137Cs by exploiting the constant global fallout 137Cs/90Sr ratio. To the north of 35°N, 137CsF peaked in the upper 100 m layer, whereas in and just south of the Kuroshio Extension (KE), 137CsF exhibited subsurface peaks at depths of 300–500 m. The T/S diagram indicated that the 137CsF maxima were distributed mainly within the range of lighter central mode water (L-CMW) during May 2018, even in and just south of the KE. We found that anticyclonic (cyclonic) eddies can promote (prevent) the intrusion of 137CsF into the ocean interior. In addition, the high activity of regional anticyclonic eddies in the upstream KE resulted in the modification of 137CsF-rich subtropical mode water (STMW) to L-CMW. Temporal changes in the 137CsF vertical profiles and inventories revealed that 137CsF in transitional and subarctic regions has increased since July 2014, implying the existence of additional sources of 137CsF after July 2014, whereas 137CsF in and just south of the KE has remained constant since July 2014, indicating that the 137CsF entrained by STMW has recirculated in the western subtropical gyre. The comparison between surface 137CsF concentrations in transitional and subarctic regions and those observed in Oyashio waters during 2018 did not support the return of 137CsF to our study area via the western or whole subarctic gyre by May 2018. In contrast, the sea surface height distributions from 2016 to 2017 provide clear evidence that the warm-core rings and quasistationary Isoguchi western jet generated from the Kuroshio Current and KE intruded into the transitional region and even into the subarctic region. Therefore, we concluded that a portion of the 137CsF that subducted into the subtropical western North Pacific during 2011–2012 have entered the transition zone and even the subarctic region since 2016. These results not only enhance our understanding of the protracted spread and fate of 137CsF in the North Pacific but also provide important insights into North Pacific water mass circulation and mixing patterns.

Summer marine heatwaves in the tropical Indian Ocean associated with an unseasonable positive Indian Ocean Dipole event 2012

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are anomalously warm events that profoundly affect climate change and local ecosystem. During the summer of 2012 (June–September), intense MHWs occurred in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) concurrently with an unseasonable positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) event. The MHW metrics (duration, frequency, cumulative intensity and maximum intensity) were characterized by northwestward–slanted patterns from west Australia to the Somalia coast. The analysis confirmed that these MHWs were closely associated with the unseasonable pIOD 2012. The weakening of Western North Pacific Subtropical High and strengthening of Australian High in spring induced an interhemispheric pressure gradient that drove two anticyclonic circulation patterns over the eastern TIO. The first anticyclonic circulation featured cross–equatorial wind anomalies from south of Java to the South China Sea/Philippine Sea, which led to strong upwelling off Sumatra–Java during the subsequent summer. The second anticyclonic circulation excited downwelling Rossby waves that propagated from the southeastern TIO to the western TIO. Thus, downwelling in the western pole and upwelling in the eastern pole led to a strong pIOD event peaking in summer, namely, the unseasonable pIOD 2012. These downwelling Rossby waves deepened the thermocline by more than 60 m and caused anomalous surface warming, thereby contributing to the occurrences of MHWs. With the development and peak of the unseasonable pIOD 2012, anomalous atmospheric circulation transported moisture from the TIO to the subtropical Western North Pacific (WNP), favoring a strong cyclonic anomaly that profoundly affected the summer monsoon rainfall over the subtropical WNP. This study provides some perspectives on the role of pIOD events in summer climate over the Indo–Northwest Pacific region.

Interannual variation of the westward ridge point of the Western Pacific subtropical high in boreal winter

This study adopts a novel dynamic index of the westward ridge point (WRP) of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) to investigate the interannual variation of the WPSH in boreal winter. The WRP index based on the theory of gradient wind approximation is particularly suitable for boreal winters. The WRP index comprises two dimensions that depict the zonal and meridional movement of the WPSH, respectively. There is a significant positive correlation between the zonal WRP index and the meridional WRP index. When the WPSH gets stronger, the WRP and the WPSH shift equatorward while advancing westward, and vice versa. The zonal and meridional shifts of the WPSH have distinct impact on the climate anomalies in the western North Pacific and East Asia. The northward shift of the WPSH characterizes a cyclonic-anticyclonic pair over western North Pacific, whereas the eastward shift of the WPSH characterizes a cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical western North Pacific. The anomalies of precipitation and surface air temperature vary accordingly. The meridional shift of the WPSH is closely associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies. The WRP index also demonstrates robust predictability in the hindcast data from ENSEMBLES, suggesting its far-reaching potential for climate prediction.

Recent shortening of the mature tropical cyclone stage over the western North Pacific

AbstractThis study investigates long‐term trends related to the mature stage duration of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) during June–November between 1982 and 2021. There is a significant shortening in the mean duration of the WNP mature TC stage, which is defined as the period when a TC is within 5 kt of its lifetime maximum intensity. This shortening is induced by a significant (weak) poleward migration in the starting (ending) location of the WNP mature TC stage, which can be further explained by changes in environmental conditions. From 1982 to 2021, there have been significant increases in maximum potential intensity and 700–500‐hPa relative humidity over most of the WNP, which has broadly expanded the TC‐favorable area poleward. Consequently, WNP TCs can start their mature stages and reach their lifetime maximum intensities at higher latitudes. By contrast, there are only weak changes in 850‐hPa relative vorticity and 850–200‐hPa vertical wind shear (VWS). Given the dominant role of VWS in modulating the TC weakening rate, the TC‐suppressive area over the subtropical WNP has shown lesser changes, thus leading to insignificant changes in the ending location of the mature TC stage.

Siberian vegetation growth intensifies monsoon precipitation in southern East Asia in late spring and early summer

Regional hydrological cycle responding to rising temperatures can have significant influences on society and human activities. We suggest a new perspective on East Asia’s enhanced precipitation amount that emphasizes the role of Siberian surface warming. Increased vegetation greenness in late spring and early summer in eastern Siberia, which may be a response to global warming, acts to warm the surface by reducing the surface albedo with an increase in net absorbed shortwave radiation. Subsequently, eastern Siberia warming leads to the strengthening of anti-cyclonic atmospheric circulation over inner East Asia as well as the subtropical western North Pacific high via thermal forcing and the enhanced land-sea thermal contrast, respectively. Consequently, the anticyclonic circulation over inner East Asia transports much drier and cooler air to southern East Asia. This leads to favorable conditions for increased precipitation in combination with an increased tropical moisture flux from the subtropical western North Pacific high. Therefore, continuous Siberian vegetation growth has a potential influence on the future precipitation amount in the subtropics through vegetation–atmosphere coupled processes.

Multiple-Time-Scale Variations of the Record-Breaking Pre-Summer Rainfall over South China in 2022

Abstract South China encountered an exceptionally heavy pre-summer rainy season in 2022 with the regional precipitation ranking first in the past 44 years. This study aims to analyze the multiple-time-scale variations of precipitation in this pre-summer rainy season to shed light on the complex dynamics influencing pre-summer precipitation over South China. The findings reveal that the variation of precipitation was dominated by the 10–20-day oscillation during April–May, while interannual variation and trend during May–June. The 10–20-day oscillation of precipitation in pre-summer rainy season in South China demonstrates a strong association with cold-air activity, which can be traced back to the propagation of disturbances along a teleconnection, which represents the dominant mode of intraseasonal atmospheric circulation over Eurasia in high latitudes during April–May. This teleconnection plays a crucial role in facilitating cold-air invasion and triggering precipitation over East China and South China. The interannual component of abnormal precipitation is strong during May–June of 2022. It is primarily attributed to the abnormal highs in the lower troposphere over the subtropical western North Pacific and Japan. These abnormal highs are likely stimulated by the combined influences of Eurasian teleconnection propagation and cooling sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific in the third year of a consecutive La Niña event. However, the universality of the impact of Eurasian teleconnection propagation on the abnormal high over Japan on interannual scale necessitates further investigation. Furthermore, there is a significant upward trend in pre-summer rainfall over South China, accounting for 38% of the total anomaly observed in 2022.

Continuous southwestward spread of Fukushima-derived 137Cs in the subtropical western North Pacific and its intrusion flux into the South China Sea

We provide transect profiles of 137Cs and 90Sr along 146.5°E, 136°E and 21°N in the subtropical western North Pacific (WNP) during May 2018. Exploiting the constant global fallout 137Cs/90Sr ratio, we separated Fukushima-derived 137Cs (137CsF) from background 137Cs. At most stations, 137CsF exhibited only one subsurface peak at 300 m depth, corresponding to subtropical mode water (STMW); however, at 25–28°N along 146.5°E and 25–26°N along 136°E, 137CsF exhibited two subsurface peaks, with another peak occurring at 500 m depth, corresponding to lighter central mode water (L-CMW). Temporal changes in 137CsF vertical profiles showed that 137CsF entrained by STMW has recirculated within the western subtropical gyre, while 137CsF entrained by L-CMW has turned southwestward and arrived the western basin in 2018. In the Luzon Strait, the entrance to the South China Sea (SCS), subsurface 137Cs increased since 2013 and peaked in approximately 2018. The estimated amount of 137CsF entering the SCS during 2013–2019 was 0.33 ± 0.10 PBq, equivalent to 1.7–2.2% of total leakage of 137CsF into the ocean. These results enhance our understanding of the protracted spread and fate of 137CsF in the subtropical WNP.

Distinct Features of Atmospheric Rivers over the Western North Pacific in Post–El Niño and Non-Post–El Niño Summers

Abstract An atmospheric river (AR) is a highly accumulated line of moisture, which often preconditions heavy rainfall events. Considering the short-lived nature of ARs, we aim to understand their characteristics over the western North Pacific (WNP) in boreal summer, focusing on the difference between the post–El Niño (pEN) and non-post–El Niño (npEN) cases in weekly segments rather than the seasonal mean. We found that during AR-active weeks in pEN summers, a meridional dipole pattern of anomalous geopotential height with a more westward-extended WNP subtropical high dominates, favoring AR activity over southern China to the central Pacific. In npEN summers, in contrast, a zonal dipole pattern with an anomalous low over southeast China and an anomalous high over subtropical WNP is pronounced during the AR-active weeks, which is accompanied with warm sea surface temperature anomalies and greater downward shortwave radiation to the southeast of Japan. Such anomalous circulation leads to enhanced AR occurrence over the northern South China Sea (SCS) to Japan. The above differences in the AR features between the two cases appear as the distinct regionality in the AR-related rainfall over eastern China and Japan. Temporal decompositions reveal that both seasonal mean and submonthly variations play dominant roles in the anomalous circulation during AR-active weeks in pEN summers, while the submonthly variations are more pronounced in npEN summers. Further analysis also suggests that tropical cyclones could impact AR occurrence in both cases with different patterns of atmospheric responses, inducing remarkable AR enhancement over the northern SCS in npEN summers.

Unraveling prokaryotic diversity distribution and functional pattern on nitrogen and methane cycling in the subtropical Western North Pacific Ocean

Prokaryotes play an important role in marine nitrogen and methane cycles. However, their community changes and metabolic modifications to the concurrent impact of ocean warming (OW), acidification (OA), deoxygenation (OD), and anthropogenic‑nitrogen-deposition (AND) from the surface to the deep ocean remains unknown. We examined here the amplicon sequencing approach across the surface (0–200 m; SL), intermediate (200–1000 m; IL), and deep layers (1000–2200 m; DL), and characterized the simultaneous impacts of OW, OA, OD, and AND on the Western North Pacific Ocean prokaryotic changes and their functional pattern in nitrogen and methane cycles. Results showed that SL possesses higher ammonium oxidation community/metabolic composition assumably the reason for excess nitrogen input from AND and modification of their kinetic properties to OW adaptation. Expanding OD at IL showed hypoxic conditions in the oxygen minimum layer, inducing higher microbial respiration that elevates the dimerization of nitrification genes for higher nitrous oxide production. The aerobic methane-oxidation composition was dominant in SL presumably the reason for adjustment in prokaryotic optimal temperature to OW, while anaerobic oxidation composition was dominant at IL due to the evolutionary changes coupling with higher nitrification. Our findings refocus on climate-change impacts on the open ocean ecosystem from the surface to the deep-environment integrating climate-drivers as key factors for higher nitrous-oxide and methane emissions.

Impact of Subtropical ISO Propagation Routes on Summertime Submonthly Wave Patterns and Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific

Abstract This study examined the impact of northward- and westward-propagating summertime intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) on submonthly wave patterns and tropical cyclones (TCs) in the subtropical western North Pacific. In the ISO westerly phase, submonthly wave patterns associated with the northward-propagating ISO appeared to be more energetic and most of the corresponding TCs maintained their wind speed for a relatively long period. Perturbation kinetic energy exhibited a stronger maximum in the ISO northward mode than in the westward mode. The analysis of barotropic conversion in the ISO northward mode revealed that an increase in barotropic conversion can be attributed to a strong association between the perturbation zonal wind component and the background flow. Therefore, submonthly wave patterns moving in a direction similar to that of the northward-propagating ISO continuously extracted energy from the background flow to the south of the submonthly base region. However, in the westward mode, the ISO propagating in a direction almost perpendicular to the submonthly wave pattern tracks not only altered the direction of the wave pattern but also created a background environment that was detached from submonthly perturbations. Thus, the background flow transferred less energy to submonthly wave patterns, resulting in shorter TC durations in the ISO westward mode than in the northward mode. Significance Statement In this study, we focused on the northward and westward ISO propagation routes in the subtropical western North Pacific to investigate their impact on the submonthly wave pattern and TCs. This is important because the ISO propagating behavior can change the background flow for the submonthly wave pattern. The results showed that the northward ISO tended to enhance the wave pattern through strengthening the background component of the barotropic conversion. TCs associated with submonthly wave patterns tended to maintain their intensity longer in the ISO northward mode. The wave pattern associated with the westward-propagating ISO remained weaker.

Application of the Self-Organizing Map Method in February Temperature and Precipitation Pattern over China: Comparison between 2021 and 2022

In this study, we compared two anomalous wet February periods in 2021 and 2022 in China. The same anomalies appeared in the spatial distribution of precipitation, with anomalous precipitation centered over the southeast coast. However, temperature discrepancies appeared in most of China, with anomalously high temperatures in 2021 and lower temperatures in 2022. Both instances of increased precipitation were attributed to warm and moist advection from the south, with transport in 2021 being partly enhanced by the South China Sea cyclone, whereas transport in 2022 was mainly due to the subtropical western North Pacific anticyclone. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to compare and analyze temperature and precipitation anomalies in February 2021 and 2022 using the self-organizing map method. Warm events in East Asia and cold events in Siberia and the Tibetan Plateau types were obtained by mode 1, which contained 2021. Mode 6 exhibited opposite warm types in Siberia and cold types in southern Asia, including February temperature and precipitation anomalies in 2022. Based on the results of this study, we can conclude that precipitation anomalies in February 2021 and 2022 occurred under different temperature and circulation anomalies, and both were influenced by La Niña events. Autumn sea ice loss in the Barents Sea contributed significantly to warm and rainy events in February 2021. However, the cold and rainy events of February 2022 were closely related to the strengthening of the Siberian High.

Transport pathways of carbon monoxide from Indonesian fire pollution to a subtropical high-altitude mountain site in the western North Pacific

Abstract. Dry conditions associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are known to have caused major fire pollution events and intense carbon emissions over a vast spatial expanse of Indonesia in October 2006 and 2015. During these two events, a substantial increase in the carbon monoxide (CO) mixing ratio was detected by in situ measurements at Lulin Atmospheric Background Station (LABS; 23.47∘ N 120.87∘ E; 2862 ma.s.l.) in Taiwan, which is the only background station in the subtropical western North Pacific region. Compared to the long-term October mean (2006–2021), CO was elevated by ∼ 47.2 ppb (parts per billion; 37.2 %) and ∼ 36.7 ppb (28.9 %) in October 2006 and 2015, respectively. This study delineates plausible pathways for the CO transport from Indonesia to LABS using Measurement of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT) CO observations and Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis products (winds and geopotential height – GpH). Two simultaneously occurring transport pathways were identified, namely (i) horizontal transport in the free troposphere and (ii) vertical transport through the Hadley circulation (HC). The GpH analysis of both events revealed the presence of a high-pressure anticyclone over the northern part of the South China Sea (SCS), which played an important role in the free-tropospheric horizontal transport of CO. In this scenario, CO in the free troposphere is transported on the western edge of the high-pressure system and then driven by subtropical westerlies to LABS. Simultaneously, uplifted CO over Indonesia can enter the HC and be transferred to subtropical locations such as LABS. The vertical cross section of the MOPITT CO and MERRA-2 vertical pressure velocity supported the transport of CO through the HC. Furthermore, the results revealed a distinct HC strength in two events (higher in 2006 compared to 2015) due to the different ENSO conditions. Overall, the present findings can provide some insights into understanding the regional transport of pollution over Southeast Asia and the role of climate conditions on transport pathways.

Impact of the interannual variability of the South China Sea monsoon trough on tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific

AbstractThe present study reveals the impact of the interannual variability of the South China Sea monsoon trough (SCSMT) on tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the South China Sea (SCS) and the western North Pacific (WNP) from June to August during the period of 1958–2019. The SCSMT can influence TC genesis and occurrence through affecting the large‐scale environmental conditions and barotropic energy conversion. The intensification of the SCSMT can lead to enhanced low‐level vorticity and upper‐level divergence, decreased vertical wind shear, and increased midlevel humidity over the northern SCS and subtropical WNP. The strengthening of the SCSMT is accompanied by an intensification and eastward extension of the WNP monsoon trough and eastward retreat of the WNP subtropical high. All these changes associated with the SCSMT are favourable for TC genesis and occurrence over the north SCS and WNP. More TCs form over the WNP around 20° N, while higher TC occurrence frequency appears over the north SCS and WNP north of 20° N. Diagnostic results of eddy kinetic energy distribution and barotropic energy conversion provide a possible explanation for the impact of the SCSMT on TC activity. The synoptic‐scale disturbances are more active in the WNP region north of 20° N which might lead to an increase in TC occurrence frequency. While the barotropic energy conversion is intensified in the northern SCS and east of Philippines, more eddy energy converted from the mean flow is favourable for TC genesis. The meridional shear of mean zonal wind and the meridional convergence of mean meridional wind, which are related with the interannual variability of the SCSMT, primarily contribute to the barotropic energy conversion.

Modulations of El Niño-Southern oscillation on tropical cyclone activity affecting Taiwan

Tropical cyclone (TC) activity affecting Taiwan and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibit systematic relationships in the July–September season. El Niño events can induce more [EN(more TC)] or fewer [EN(fewer TC)] TCs affecting Taiwan, but fewer TCs are dominantly caused by La Niña events [LN(fewer TC)]. In the EN(more TC) type, a meridionally stratified circulation pattern exists consisting of a westward-extending anomalous cyclone in the south over the western North Pacific (WNP) and anomalous anticyclonic shears in the north. Consequently, TC genesis tends to increase in the tropical WNP south of 20oN and decrease to the north. Increases of northward and northwestward TC movement from the tropical WNP toward the subtropical northwestern WNP result in more TCs affecting Taiwan. Variability features of TC activity and large-scale oceanic-atmospheric patterns in the LN(fewer TC) type are generally opposite to those of the EN(more TC) type. In the EN(fewer TC) type, an anomalous cyclone elongates northwestward from the tropical WNP toward Taiwan and Japan. TC genesis increases in the tropical WNP east of 150°E. These TCs exhibit enhanced northward movement. In the 120o-150°E region, suppressed TC formation is followed by reduced westward TC movement from the WNP toward Taiwan, leading to fewer TCs affecting Taiwan. For atmospheric circulation variability in the WNP, both the monsoon trough (MT) and western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) weaken in the LN(fewer TC) type, but intensify in the EN(more TC) type. A significant southeastward intensification of the MT and an eastward retreat of the WPSH occur in the EN(fewer TC) type.

Distribution and Production of N2O in the Subtropical Western North Pacific Ocean During the Spring of 2020

Nitrous oxide (N2O) is an important greenhouse gas emitted in significant volumes by the Pacific Ocean. However, the relationship between N2O dynamics and environmental drivers in the subtropical western North Pacific Ocean (STWNPO) remains poorly understood. We investigated the distribution of N2O and its production as well as the related mechanisms at the surface (0–200 m), intermediate (200–1500 m), and deep (1500–5774 m) layers of the STWNPO, which were divided according to the distribution of water masses. We applied the transit time distribution (TTD) method to determine the ventilation times, and to estimate the N2O equilibrium concentration of water parcels last in contact with the atmosphere prior to being ventilated. In the surface layer, biologically derived N2O (ΔN2O) was positively correlated with the apparent oxygen utilization (AOU) (R2 = 0.48), suggesting that surface N2O may be produced by nitrification. In the intermediate layer, ΔN2O was positively correlated with AOU and NO3− (R2 = 0.92 and R2 = 0.91, respectively) and negatively correlated with nitrogen sinks (N*) (R2 = 0.60). Hence, the highest ΔN2O value in the oxygen minimum layer suggested N2O production through nitrification and potential denitrification (up to 51% and 25% of measured N2O, respectively). In contrast, the deep layer exhibited a positive correlation between ΔN2O and AOU (R2 = 0.92), suggesting that the N2O accumulation in this layer may be caused by nitrification. Our results demonstrate that the STWNPO serves as an apparent source of atmospheric N2O (mean air−sea flux 2.0 ± 0.3 μmol m-2 d-1), and that nitrification and potential denitrification may be the primary mechanisms of N2O production in the STWNPO. We predict that ongoing ocean warming, deoxygenation, acidification, and anthropogenic nitrogen deposition in the STWNPO may elevate N2O emissions in the future. Therefore, the results obtained here are important for elucidating the relationships between N2O dynamics and environmental changes in the STWNPO and the global ocean.

Impact of the North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Tripole on the Northwestern Pacific Weak Tropical Cyclone Frequency

Abstract Previous studies focused on the intense TCs in the central-southeastern western North Pacific (WNP), whose variability is intimately linked to El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the extratropical sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the Pacific. Compared with them, weak TCs (WTCs) are more numerous and form farther northwestward. The great number of WTCs and thereby the landfall cases may also cause huge damage to countries in Southeast Asia. However, their modulators are far from fully understood. Our research emphasizes the delayed impact of the early spring North Atlantic tripole SSTA (NAT) on the WTC formation frequency through the “capacitor” effect of sea ice (SIC) and SST in the Barents Sea. Detailed analysis indicates that a positive NAT may modulate an anomalous high in the Barents Sea–North Europe and decrease the local low cloud cover. Thus, more downward solar radiation tends to heat the local SST and decrease the SIC. This warmer Barents Sea could maintain through the typhoon season and excite a significant southeastward wave train, with several centers in the Arctic, central Asia, and East Asia. The abnormal easterly wind to the south of the anticyclone in East Asia facilitates the cyclonic anomaly in the South China Sea, the Philippines, and the subtropical WNP, which reinforces the local monsoon trough and favors the WTC formation there. A physical-based empirical model is developed for the WTC frequency, and hindcast is performed from 1979 to 2018. It shows the early spring NAT effectively improves the prediction skill for the WTC frequency, which can be considered as a crucial source of predictability for WTCs. Significance Statement Previous studies have focused on the western North Pacific intense TCs. The great number of weak TCs (WTCs) and thereby the landfall cases may also cause huge damage. However, modulators for WTCs have not been fully understood. This research emphasizes the potential impact of the early spring North Atlantic tripole SSTA (NAT) pattern on the WTC frequency through the persistent sea ice and sea surface temperature in the Barents Sea. By considering the NAT signal, the seasonal forecasting skill for WTC frequency is effectively improved. Therefore, the NAT signal may help better understand the WTC variability about 1–2 seasons in advance.

Insights into aerosol chemical composition and optical properties at Lulin Atmospheric Background Station (2862 m asl) during two contrasting seasons

Continental outflows from peninsular Southeast Asia and East Asia dominate the widespread dispersal of air pollutants over subtropical western North Pacific during spring and autumn, respectively. This study analyses the chemical composition and optical properties of PM10 aerosols during autumn and spring at a representative high-altitude site, viz., Lulin Atmospheric Background Station (23.47°N, 120.87°E; 2862 m a.s.l.), Taiwan. PM10 mass was reconstructed and the contributions of major chemical components were also delineated. Aerosol scattering (σsp) and absorption (σap) coefficients were regressed on mass densities of major chemical components by assuming external mixing between them, and the site-specific mass scattering efficiency (MSE) and mass absorption efficiency (MAE) of individual components for dry conditions were determined. NH4NO3 exhibited the highest MSE among all components during both seasons (8.40 and 12.58 m2 g−1 at 550 nm in autumn and spring, respectively). (NH4)2SO4 and organic matter (OM) accounted for the highest σsp during autumn (51%) and spring (50%), respectively. Mean MAE (mean contribution to σap) of elemental carbon (EC) at 550 nm was 2.51 m2 g−1 (36%) and 7.30 m2 g−1 (61%) in autumn and spring, respectively. Likewise, the mean MAE (mean contribution to σap) of organic carbon (OC) at 550 nm was 0.84 m2 g−1 (64%) and 0.83 m2 g−1 (39%) in autumn and spring, respectively. However, a classification matrix, based on scattering Ångström exponent, absorption Ångström exponent, and single scattering albedo (ω), demonstrated that the composite absorbing aerosols were EC-dominated (with weak absorption; ω = 0.91–0.95) in autumn and a combination of EC-dominated and EC/OC mixture (with moderate absorption; ω = 0.85–0.92) in spring. This study demonstrates a strong link between chemical composition and optical properties of aerosol and provides essential information for model simulations to assess the imbalance in regional radiation budget with better accuracy over the western North Pacific.

Tropical origins of the record-breaking 2020 summer rainfall extremes in East Asia

The East Asian countries have experienced heavy rainfalls in boreal summer 2020. Here, we investigate the dynamical processes driving the rainfall extremes in East Asia during July and August. The Indian Ocean basin warming in June can be responsible for the anticyclonic anomalies in the western North Pacific (WNP), which modulate the zonally-elongated rainfalls in East Asia during July through an atmospheric Rossby wave train. In August, the East Asian rainfall increase is also related to the anticyclonic anomalies in the subtropical WNP, although it is located further north. The north tropical Atlantic warming in June partly contributes to the subtropical WNP rainfall decrease in August through a subtropical teleconnection. Then the subtropical WNP rainfall decrease drives the local anticyclonic anomalies that cause the rainfall increase in East Asia during August. The tropical Indian Ocean anomalously warmed in June and the subtropical WNP rainfall decreased in August 2020, which played a role in modulating the WNP anticyclonic anomalies. Therefore, the record-breaking rainfall extremes in East Asia that occurred during summer 2020 can be explained by the teleconnections associated with the tropical origins among the Indian, Pacific, and Atlantic Oceans and their interbasin interactions.