Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar Research Articles

Prediction Method for Dynamic Subsidence Basin in Mining Area Based on SBAS-InSAR and Time Function

Dynamic predictions of surface subsidence are crucial for assessing ground damage and protecting surface buildings. Based on Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology, a method for making dynamic predictions of large-scale surface subsidence in mining areas can be established; however, the problem of phase coherence loss in InSAR data makes it impossible to predict the complete dynamic subsidence basin. In this study, a method combining the WeiBull time function and the improved probabilistic integral method (IPIM) model was established based on the PIM model, and a method for predicting the dynamic subsidence basin in the mining area was proposed by integrating the IPIM and the combined WeiBull time function. Time-series subsidence data, obtained using SBAS-InSAR, were used as fitting data, and the parameters of the combined WeiBull function were inverted, pixel by pixel, to predict the dynamic subsidence of the working face in the study area. Based on the predicted surface subsidence results of a certain moment in the working face, the parameters of the IPIM model were inverted to predict the subsidence value in the incoherent region. The subsidence predictions of the combined WeiBull time function and the IPIM model were fused using inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation to restore the complete subsidence basin in the mining area. This method was tested at the Wannian Mine in Hebei, and the obtained complete subsidence basin was compared with the measured data, with an absolute error range of 0 to 10 mm. The results show that the dynamic subsidence basin prediction method for the SBAS-InSAR mining area, involving the combination of the IPIM model and the combined WeiBull model, can not only accurately fit the time series of surface observation points affected by mining but also accurately restore the subsidence data in the incoherent region to obtain complete subsidence basin information in the mining area.

Advanced risk assessment framework for land subsidence impacts on transmission towers in salt lake region

To ensure the continuous transmission of clean energy for electricity, transmission towers often traverse geologically challenging terrains. This is particularly evident in the Salt Lake region, where the convergence of unique geological attributes and environmental stressors leads to recurrent land subsidence incidents, jeopardizing the integrity of power lines. In light of the prohibitive costs associated with indiscriminate remedial actions, precision in risk assessment and management is imperative to streamline these interventions. The objective of this study is to propose an accurate and effective framework for assessing the risk of land subsidence for power transmission towers. To achieve this, by utilizing the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology and cross-validation from field investigations, representative sample disaster datasets of surface deformation points of transmission towers are obtained in the first. Two optimization approaches for susceptibility modeling were employed to further enhance the susceptibility model for land subsidence and obtain high-precision susceptibility results along the transmission towers. Then, combined on-site damage investigation with SBAS-InSAR technology to conduct subsidence vulnerability analysis of transmission towers. Finally, the ultimate outcome of this process was the development of a risk assessment matrix based on spatial probability (susceptibility) and damage scales (vulnerability), aimed at more accurately assessing land subsidence risk. This framework could identify the spatial distribution of subsidence susceptibility in transmission towers exposed to potential damage, which could be followed by a more detailed transmission tower-based vulnerability and risk assessment. The method has been successfully applied in the Salt Lake area, and the susceptibility results based on the Grey Wolf Optimization-Random Forest (GW0-RF) model have shown the best modeling effect, and the area under of receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.95. The vulnerability results show that 105 towers have been most severely damaged by land subsidence The risk distribution map shows that the central part of the Salt Lake area is the core zone for future land subsidence risk management. A total of 101 towers are in the high and very high risk level. The insights garnered from this investigation furnish a comprehensive understanding of the risk landscape for transmission towers, underpinning future-focused design, planning, and management strategies.

GNSS and Sentinel-1 InSAR Integrated Long-Term Subsidence Monitoring in Quetta and Mastung Districts, Balochistan, Pakistan

Land subsidence (LS) is a global phenomenon that has affected several urban centres around the world such as Jakarta (Indonesia), Mexico City (Mexico), Xi’an (China), and Iron County (US). It has mainly been attributed to anthropogenic activities such as groundwater exploitation, especially in unconsolidated aquifer systems rich in highly compressible clay and silt. The platy clay minerals rearrange into horizontal stacks after dewatering, leading to a volume change due to overburden. In this study, land subsidence is investigated in the Quetta and Mastung districts, Balochistan, Pakistan, by employing Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), and groundwater level (GWL) variations. This study represents the first attempt in Pakistan to measure the long-term land subsidence by fusing GNSS and InSAR data for improved validity. InSAR data from the Sentinel-1 satellite in the Ascending (195 scenes) and Descending (183 scenes) tracks were used to analyse LS from December 2015 to December 2022. High-accuracy Trimble NetRS GNSS receivers were used in five locations from October 2006 to December 2022. An average subsidence ranging from 3.2 cm/y to 16 cm/y was recorded in the valley mainly due to the GWL decline and clay-rich sediments, which are prone to compaction due to dewatering. An accumulative LS of 2 m was recorded by the permanent GNSS station in central Quetta from October 2008 to January 2023 (14.2 years). An acceleration in the subsidence from 12 cm/y to 16.6 cm/y after 2016 was recorded by the continuous GNSS. Additionally, the InSAR and GNSS values were compared for validation, resulting in a good correlation between both techniques. A GWL decline ranging from 1.7 m to 6 m was recorded by the piezometers in Quetta during the period 1987–2022. Large- and small-scale fissures were observed in the study area during the surveys. These fissures are responsible for damage to the city’s infrastructure and aquifer contamination. The subsidence profile also agrees with the subsurface lithology. Our assessment concludes that Quetta may be the fastest-sinking metropolitan city in Pakistan. The overexploitation of groundwater and the population explosion may be the main contributing factors for the land subsidence.

Analysis and Prediction of Urban Surface Transformation Based on Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar and Sparrow Search Algorithm-Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory Model.

With the acceleration of urbanisation, urban areas are subject to the combined effects of the accumulation of various natural factors, such as changes in temperature leading to the thermal expansion or contraction of surface materials (rock, soil, etc.) and changes in precipitation and humidity leading to an increase in the self-weight of soil due to the infiltration of water along the cracks or pores in the ground. Therefore, the subsidence of urban areas has now become a serious geological disaster phenomenon. However, the use of traditional neural network prediction models has limitations when examining the causal relationships between time series surface deformation data and multiple influencing factors and when applying multiple influencing factors for predictive analyses. To this end, Sentinel-1A data from March 2017 to February 2023 were used as the data source in this paper, based on time series deformation data acquired using the small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique. A sparrow search algorithm-convolutional neural network-long short-term memory (SSA-CNN-LSTM) neural network prediction model was built. The six factors of temperature, humidity, precipitation, and ground temperature at three different depths below the surface (5 cm, 10 cm, and 15 cm) were taken as the input of the model, and the surface deformation data were taken as the output of the neural network model. The correlation between the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the ground subsidence in urban areas and various influencing factors was analysed using grey correlation analysis, which proved that these six factors contribute to some extent to the deformation of the urban surface. The main urban area of Hohhot City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, was used as the study area. In order to verify the efficacy of this neural network prediction model, the prediction effects of the multilayer perceptron (MLP), backpropagation (BP), and SSA-CNN-LSTM models were compared and analysed, with the values of the correlation coefficients of the feature points of A1, B1, and C1 being in the range of 0.92, 0.83, and 0.93, respectively. The results show that compared with the traditional MLP and BP neural network models, the SSA-CNN-LSTM model achieves a higher performance in predicting time series surface deformation data in urban areas, which provides new ideas and methods for this area of research.

Prediction of airport runway settlement using an integrated SBAS-InSAR and BP-EnKF approach

The prediction of surface settlement occupies a crucial role in achieving effective catastrophe prevention and mitigation, as well as facilitating the maintenance of airport runways. Given the challenges associated with the manual collection of settlement data and the suboptimal timeliness of the Back Propagation (BP) technique in neural networks, this study proposes an integrated prediction method that combines the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) with BP. This study focuses on the processing of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) pictures obtained from the ascending orbit of the Sentinel-1A satellite. The Small Baseline Subset Interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology is employed to derive the settlement time series on the runway of Kangding Airport. Moreover, three sites with high coherence within the primary settlement region are employed to assess the dependability of the model after the expansion of the data by cubic spline interpolation. The findings of the study indicate that both the BP-EnKF and BP models exhibit favorable outcomes in predicting airport runway settlement. However, following the alteration of data caused by external environmental influences, the BP-EnKF model has superior adaptability to variations in data. It has been shown that the BP-EnKF model exhibits a prediction accuracy that surpasses the BP model by 9.25%.

Research on Time Series Monitoring of Surface Deformation in Tongliao Urban Area Based on SBAS-PS-DS-InSAR.

As urban economies flourish and populations become increasingly concentrated, urban surface deformation has emerged as a critical factor in city planning that cannot be overlooked. Surface deformation in urban areas can lead to deformations in structural supports of infrastructure such as road bases and bridges, thereby posing a serious threat to public safety and creating significant safety hazards. Consequently, research focusing on the monitoring of urban surface deformation holds paramount importance. Interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR), as an important means of earth observation, has all-day, wide-range, high-precision, etc., characteristics and is widely used in the field of surface deformation monitoring. However, traditional solitary InSAR techniques are limited in their application scenarios and computational characteristics. Additionally, the manual selection of ground control points (GCPs) is fraught with errors and uncertainties. Permanent scatterers (PS) can maintain high interferometric coherence in man-made building areas, and distributed scatterers (DS) usually show moderate coherence in areas with short vegetation; the combination of DS and PS solves the problem of manually selecting GCPs during track re-flattening and regrading, which affects the monitoring results. In this paper, 45 Sentinel-1B data from 16 February 2019 to 14 December 2021 are used as the data source in the urban area of Horqin District, Tongliao City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, for example. A four-threshold (coherence coefficient threshold, FaSHPS adaptive threshold, amplitude divergence index threshold, and deformation velocity interval) GCPs point screening method for PS-DS, as well as a Small Baseline Subset-Permanent Scatterers-Distributed Scatterers-Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-PS-DS-InSAR) method for selecting PS and DS points as ground control points for orbit refinement and re-flattening, are proposed. The surface deformation results obtained using the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) and the SBAS-PS-DS-InSAR proposed in this paper were comparatively analysed and verified. The maximum cumulative line-of-sight settlements were -90.78 mm and -83.68 mm, and the maximum cumulative uplifts are 74.94 mm and 97.56 mm, respectively; the maximum annual average line-of-sight settlements are -35.38 mm/y and -30.38 mm/y, and the maximum annual average uplifts are 25.27 mm/y and 27.92 mm/y. The results were evaluated and analysed in terms of correlation, mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The deformation results of the two InSAR methods were evaluated and analysed in terms of correlation, MAE, and RMSE. The errors show that the Pearson correlation coefficients between the vertical settlement results obtained using the SBAS-PS-DS-InSAR method and the GPS monitoring results were closer to 1. The maximum MAE and RMSE were 13.7625 mm and 14.8004 mm, respectively, which are within the acceptable range; this confirms that the monitoring results of the SBAS-PS-DS-InSAR method were better than those of the original SBAS-InSAR method. SBAS-InSAR method, which is valid and reliable. The results show that the surface deformation results obtained using the SBAS-InSAR, SBAS-PS-DS-InSAR, and GPS methods have basically the same settlement locations, extents, distributions, and temporal and spatial settlement patterns. The deformation results obtained using these two InSAR methods correlate well with the GPS monitoring results, and the MAE and RMSE are within acceptable limits. By comparing the deformation information obtained using multiple methods, the surface deformation in urban areas can be better monitored and analysed, and it can also provide scientific references for urban municipal planning and disaster warning.

Monitoring of land subsidence by combining small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar and generic atmospheric correction online service in Qingdao City, China

Monitoring of land subsidence by combining small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar and generic atmospheric correction online service in Qingdao City, China

Impact of precipitation on Beishan landslide deformation from 1986 to 2023

Investigating the response of landslide activity to climate change is crucial for understanding the disastrous effects of climate change on high mountains. However, the lack of long-term, spatial–temporal consistent measurement of landslide activity prohibits the study of this relationship. In this work, we used two methods to derive the time series of a landslide’s deformation and study its relationship with precipitation in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. The small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) method with Sentinel-1A images is first applied to derive time series of the landslide’s deformation from 2020 to 2021. A recently developed method to derive cumulative deformations of optical images was used with Landsat 5 and Sentinel-2 images to derive the long-term deformation time series from 1986 to 2023. Centimeter-scale deformations detected by using the InSAR method are mainly located in the upper and eastern parts of the landslide, whereas meter-scale deformations detected by using the optical method are in the middle of the landslide. Time-series results from both methods show that intra-annual initiations of the landslide’s deformation occurred in rainy months (from July to October). Although there seems to be no direct relations between inter-annual deformations and precipitation, significant displacements since 2020 occurred after exceptionally wet years from 2018 (with a record-breaking precipitation year in 2020). With optical images, we found that the maximum cumulative deformation of the landslide has been >35 m since 1986 with major deformations (>20 m) found after 2020, which may indicate an imminent risk to the Lijie town near the toe of the landslide. With climate change, increased precipitation is expected in future, which may trigger more similar landslides in the vicinity of this region. This work demonstrates an executable framework to assess landslide hazard risk under climate change.

Analyzing gully erosion and deposition patterns in loess tableland: Insights from small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS InSAR)

The fragile Loess Plateau of China suffers substantial gully erosion. It is imperative to elucidate gully erosion patterns for implementing effective erosion control strategies. However, high spatiotemporal resolution quantification of gully dynamics remains limited across the Loess Plateau landscape. We utilized the small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS InSAR) technique to investigate the phenomenon of gully erosion and deposition on the Dongzhiyuan tableland, which sits within the vast expanse of the Loess Plateau in China, over the period spanning 2020–2022. The tableland edges subsided while gully bottoms uplifted due to sedimentation. Low elevations underwent active deformation. Slope, aspect, and curvature modulated uplift and subsidence patterns by affecting runoff and sediment transport. Gentle downstream slopes displayed enhanced sedimentation. Southern gullies showed pronounced uplift compared to northern gullies. Heavy rainfall triggered extensive erosion followed by rapid uplift, reflecting an adaptive oscillation between erosion and deposition. Basin hydrology correlated with spatial patterns of deformation. Vegetation cover above 60 % of the maximum substantially increased InSAR error. Our study reveals intricate spatiotemporal behaviors of erosion and deposition in loess gullies using time-series InSAR. The findings provide new insights into gully geomorphology and evolution, and our study quantifies gully erosion and deposition patterns at high spatiotemporal resolution, enabling identification of the most vulnerable areas and prioritization of conservation efforts.

Investigation of groundwater induced land subsidence in Ludhiana City using InSAR and Sentinel-1 data

Land Subsidence (LS) is a vertically downward motion of land surface due to various reasons such as natural processes and anthropogenic activities especially excessive exploitation of groundwater. LS has adverse effects on substantial infrastructural damage, severe environmental problems, extensive economic losses, and significant societal impacts. In this study, we investigated the LS of Ludhiana city, a densely populated, largest and major industrial city of Punjab state, India. We presented a comprehensive methodology of Short BAseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBASInSAR) for LS measurement using an open-source computational environment. We generated 197 interferograms from 65 Sentinel-1A images acquired in descending pass between September 2019–July 2022 for deriving radar line of sight (LOS) displacement time-series and mean LOS velocity. Deformation results showed that the southern, and south-eastern parts of the city had been consistently moving downward with a mean subsidence rate of 24.7 mm/yr, while in western, few small patches in eastern and northern regions it ranges from 2 to 21 mm/yr, 3–20 mm/yr and 4–16 mm/yr respectively. The standard deviation of mean LOS velocity was observed between 0.7 and 3.3 mm/yr with majority values < 2 mm/yr. SBASInSAR results were compared with six Groundwater Level (GWL) wells observations, and both measurements generally agreed well at GWL locations (W1–W6) except W1–W2. For assessing the influence of groundwater change on LS, a correlation analysis was performed, and correlation of 0.50, 0.47, 0.81, 0.77, 0.84, and 0.64 was observed at GWL stations (W1–W6) respectively. Overall comparison of InSAR and GWL measurements are found in good agreement and significantly correlated, which can provide sufficiently detailed information about LS.

Linking ground ice and glacier melting to lake volume change in the Dogai Coring watershed on the Tibetan Plateau

The Dogai Coring Lake on the Tibetan Plateau, with widespread permafrost and glaciers in the watershed, has expanded rapidly between 2014 and 2020. However, it remains unclear how much melting water from permafrost and glaciers contributes to the increase in lake volume. This study quantifies the potential amount of water released by the melt of permafrost and glaciers, and assesses the fraction of water storage gains in the lake offset by the loss from the cryosphere (i.e., ground ice and glaciers). The small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) method was used to derive the spatiotemporal changes in surface deformation, which then assisted the estimation of the potential water release from ground ice melting. The glacier mass balance was estimated using a geodetic method with ASTER DEMs. Results show that 51.3 % of the region experienced subsidence with rates in the range of 5–20 mm∙a−1 during 2014–2020. Ground ice melting released water at a rate of 35.1 × 106 m3∙a−1, accounting for ∼19.3 % of the increase in lake volume. The glacier mass loss rate was estimated to be − 0.69 ± 0.04 m w.e. yr−1 (113.6 ± 7.3 × 106 m3∙a−1), contributing ∼62.5 % to the lake volume increase. Our results show that the water storage loss in the cryosphere has largely (∼80 %) offset the water storage gain in the lake, suggesting that cryospheric meltwater is an important factor regulating water budget change of the lake watershed.

Identification and hazard analysis of landslides triggered by earthquakes and rainfall

This study aims to utilize the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique and Google Earth optical remote sensing images to analyze the area within 20 km around the epicenter of a 3.9 magnitude earthquake that occurred in Tanchang County, Gansu Province, on December 28, 2020. The objective is to identify potential landslides induced by the earthquake, assess their scale, and determine their impact range. The results of the study reveal the successful identification of two potential landslides in the 20 km radius around the epicenter. Through time-series deformation analysis, it was observed that these potential landslides were significantly influenced by both the earthquake and rainfall. Further estimation of these potential landslides indicates maximum depths of 7.4m and 14.1m for the failure surfaces, with volumes of 9.02 × 104m3 and 25.5 × 104m3, respectively. Finally, based on the simulation analysis of Massflow software, the maximum thickness of soil accumulation in the final accumulation area after sliding of the potential landslide in Shangyaai is 12m, the area of the final accumulation area is 1.75 × 104m2, and the farthest movement distance is 1124 m. The maximum thickness of soil accumulation in the final accumulation area after sliding of the potential landslide in Wangshancun is 8m, the area of the final accumulation area is 7.89 × 104m2, and the farthest movement distance is 742m.

The Detection and Control Factor Analysis of Active Landslides in Guizhou Province, China, Using Sentinel-1 SAR Imagery

Catastrophic landslides occur frequently in Guizhou Province, China, and the landslides in this area have special geomorphological, geological, and anthropogenic features. In order to detect and explore the distribution pattern and control factors of active landslides in Guizhou, firstly, a total of 693 active landslides throughout Guizhou Province were mapped based on the deformation rate, which was obtained by spatiotemporal filtering and Intermittent Small Baseline Subset (ISBAS) Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) techniques. Then, the relationships between the detected landslides and elevation, aspect, slope gradient, and stratigraphic lithology were analysed. Moreover, it was found that the landslides were mainly concentrated in three stratigraphic combinations, that is T1f~P2l−d, T1f~T1yn, and T2g~T1yn. Thereafter, the correlation coefficients between the landslide density and elevation and distance to the stratigraphic boundary were 0.54 and −0.19, indicating that the distribution of landslides was significantly controlled by the elevation and the boundary of specific stratigraphic combinations. Finally, we chose a typical landslide to explore how landslide development was controlled by the combined effects of elevation and stratigraphy by using ascending and descending InSAR results. We revealed that landslides occurred primarily in areas with a steep slope and a stratigraphy characterized by mudstone and sandstone.

Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Monitoring and Modeling through Integrating Multiple Remote Sensing Methods and HEC-RAS

The Shishapangma region, situated in the middle of the Himalayas, is rich in glacial lakes and glaciers. Hence, glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) have become a top priority because of the severe threat posed by GLOFs to the downstream settlements. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of GLOF hazards using multi-source remote sensing datasets and designs a flood model considering the different breaching depths and release volumes for the Galong Co region. Based on high-resolution optical images, we derived the expanding lake area and volume of glacial lakes. We monitored deformation velocity and long-term deformation time series around the lake dam with Small BAseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR). The glacier thinning trend was obtained from the difference in the Digital Elevation Model (DEM). We identified potential avalanche sources by combining topographic slope and measurable deformation. We then carried out flood modeling under three different scenarios using the hydrodynamic model HEC-RAS for Galong Co, which is formed upstream of Nyalam. The results show that the Nyalam region is exposed to high-intensity GLOFs in all scenarios. The larger breaching depth and release volumes caused a greater flow depth and peak discharge. Overall, the multiple remote sensing approaches can be applied to other glacial lakes, and the modeling can be used as a basis for GLOF mitigation.

Improving the Understanding of Landslide Development in Alpine Forest Regions Using the InSAR Technique: A Case Study in Xiaojin County China

Employing a small baseline subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) and hotspot analysis, this study identified 81 potential landslides in a 768.7 km2 area of Xiaojin county, eastern Tibetan Plateau. Subsequent time-series deformation analysis revealed that these potential landslides are in the secondary creep stage. The newly identified landslides were compared to a landslide inventory (LI), established through field surveying, in terms of causative factors, including altitude, slope, relief amplitude, distance to river, distance to road, and slope curvature. From the comparison, the InSAR technique showed the following advantages: (1) it identified 25 potential landslides at high altitudes (&gt;3415 m) in addition to the low-altitude landslides identified through the field survey. (2) It obtained approximately 37.5% and 70% increases in the number of potential landslides in the slope angle ranges of 20°–30° and 30°–40°, respectively. (3) It revealed significant increases in potential landslides in every relief amplitude bin, especially in the range from 58 m to 92 m. (4) It can highlight key geological factors controlling landslides, i.e., the stratigraphic occurrence and key joints as the InSAR technique is a powerful tool for identifying landslides in all dip directions. (5) It reveals the dominant failure modes, such as sliding along the soil–rock interface and/or interfaces formed by complicated combinations of discontinuities. This work presents the significant potential of InSAR techniques in gaining deeper knowledge on landslide development in alpine forest regions.

Multi-Scale Ground Deformation Analysis and Investigation of Driver Factors Based on Remote Sensing Data: A Case Study of Zhuhai City

Ground deformation poses an imminent threat to urban development. This study uses the multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model to investigate the spatial heterogeneity in factors influencing ground deformation, thereby elucidating the drivers behind regional variations in ground deformation patterns. To gain insights into the characteristics of ground deformation in Zhuhai, China, and its spatial relationship with natural and anthropogenic features, we initially utilized the small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) method to collect data on ground deformation and its distribution across the entire area. Concurrently, remote sensing imagery was used to identify the various mechanisms affecting ground deformation during the same period, including geotectonic conditions, geographic environment, and human activities. Subsequently, we used the MGWR model to quantitatively estimate the effects of these driving force factors on ground deformation in Zhuhai. Our findings reveal significant ground deformation in specific areas, including Baijiao Town (Doumen District), Hongqi Town (Jinwan District), the Gaolan Port Economic Zone, and the northern part of Hengqin Town, with peak deformation rates reaching 117 mm/y. Key drivers of ground deformation in Zhuhai include NDVI, groundwater extraction intensity, and soft soil thickness. The application of the MGWR model, with an R-sq value of 0.910, outperformed both the global regression model ordinary least squares (OLS), with an R-sq value of 0.722, and the local regression model geographically weighted regression (GWR), with an R-sq value of 0.770, in identifying driving forces. This study can provide valuable insights for government policies aimed at mitigating the disaster risks associated with urban ground deformation.

Land subsidence prediction in Zhengzhou's main urban area using the GTWR and LSTM models combined with the Attention Mechanism

In recent years, due to urbanization and human activities, groundwater overexploitation has become increasingly severe, resulting in some degrees of land subsidence and, consequently, causing a series of geological disasters and other environmental issues. Therefore, large-scale and high-precision land subsidence prediction is of great importance for the prevention and control of geological disasters. However, the existing prediction models and methods ignore the effects of the spatiotemporal non-stationary relationships between the influencing factors and the accumulated land subsidence, causing the poor accuracy of the predicted land subsidence results. In this context, a Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression combined with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-multivariable and Attention Mechanism (AM) (GTWR-LSTMm-AM) was proposed to more accurately predict the deformation of time series land subsidence in this study. The small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) was used to reveal the temporal deformation information of Zhengzhou's main urban area, then the GTWR model was used to assess the spatiotemporal non-stationarity relationships between the accumulated land subsidence and its influencing factors monthly groundwater stability level, monthly precipitation and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data, and to determine the corresponding weight matrix. In addition, we introduced an LSTM model with AM to extract key information from the time-series land subsidence data and adjusted the dynamic weights of the three selected influencing factors to predict the land subsidence in Zhengzhou's main urban area. The prediction accuracy R2 of the GTWR-LSTMm-AM model reaches 0.972, which is higher than 0.929 of the LSTMm model. The prediction accuracy RMSE is less than 3 mm and reaches 2.403 mm. In addition, we determined the importance of the impact factor on the subsidence results by randomly interrupting the impact factor time series, disclosuring that the monthly groundwater level contributed the most to the land subsidence in Zhengzhou's main urban area.

Dynamic variations in thermal regime and surface deformation along the drainage channel for an expanding lake on the Tibetan Plateau

ABSTRACT The outburst of Zonag Lake in 2011 triggered a series of floods in the continuous permafrost region of the hinterland of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. This re-distributed the surface water in the basin and caused rapid expansion of the tail lake (Salt Lake). To avoid potential overflow of the expanding Salt Lake, a channel was excavated to drain the lake water into a downstream river. In this study, to investigate the permafrost thermal regime and the surface deformation around the expanding Salt Lake and the channel, in-situ monitoring sections were settled from Salt Lake to the downstream of the channel to obtain the permafrost temperature. Additionally, using small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR), the surface deformation around Salt Lake and the channel was measured. The data showed that the ground temperature at the channel was 0.6°C higher than the natural field and the mean subsidence rate around the channel was 1.5 mm/yr higher than that at Salt Lake. These results show that the permafrost temperature in the study area changed considerably with variations in the distance from the lake/channel, and the deformation in the study area was dominated by subsidence.

Deep Learning and Machine Learning Models for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping with Remote Sensing Data

Karakoram Highway (KKH) is an international route connecting South Asia with Central Asia and China that holds socio-economic and strategic significance. However, KKH has extreme geological conditions that make it prone and vulnerable to natural disasters, primarily landslides, posing a threat to its routine activities. In this context, the study provides an updated inventory of landslides in the area with precisely measured slope deformation (Vslope), utilizing the SBAS-InSAR (small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar) and PS-InSAR (persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar) technology. By processing Sentinel-1 data from June 2021 to June 2023, utilizing the InSAR technique, a total of 571 landslides were identified and classified based on government reports and field investigations. A total of 24 new prospective landslides were identified, and some existing landslides were redefined. This updated landslide inventory was then utilized to create a landslide susceptibility model, which investigated the link between landslide occurrences and the causal variables. Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) models, including convolutional neural networks (CNN 2D), recurrent neural networks (RNNs), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), are employed. The inventory was split into 70% for training and 30% for testing the models, and fifteen landslide causative factors were used for the susceptibility mapping. To compare the accuracy of the models, the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used. The CNN 2D technique demonstrated superior performance in creating the landslide susceptibility map (LSM) for KKH. The enhanced LSM provides a prospective modeling approach for hazard prevention and serves as a conceptual reference for routine management of the KKH for risk assessment and mitigation.

Integrating SBAS-InSAR and AT-LSTM for Time-Series Analysis and Prediction Method of Ground Subsidence in Mining Areas

Ground subsidence is a significant safety concern in mining regions, making large-scale subsidence forecasting vital for mine site environmental management. This study proposes a deep learning-based prediction approach to address the challenges posed by the existing prediction methods, such as complicated model parameters or large data requirements. Small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology was utilized to collect spatiotemporal ground subsidence data at the Pingshuo mining area from 2019 to 2022, which was then analyzed using the long-short term memory (LSTM) neural network algorithm. Additionally, an attention mechanism was introduced to incorporate temporal dependencies and improve prediction accuracy, leading to the development of the AT-LSTM model. The results demonstrate that the Pingshuo mine area had subsidence rates ranging from −205.89 to −59.70 mm/yr from 2019 to 2022, with subsidence areas mainly located around Jinggong-1 (JG-1) and the three open-pit mines, strongly linked to mining activities, and the subsidence range continuously expanding. The spatial distribution of the AT-LSTM prediction results is basically consistent with the real situation, and the correlation coefficient is more than 0.97. Compared with the LSTM, the AT-LSTM method better captured the fluctuation changes of the time series for fitting, while the model was more sensitive to the mining method of the mine, and had different expressiveness in open-pit and shaft mines. Furthermore, in comparison to existing time-series forecasting methods, the AT-LSTM is effective and practical.