Vehicle theft in Jayapura Regency is quite high and there is no application to assist the police in making estimates or predictions of the number of theft cases that will occur in the next year. In 2022, cases of theft in Jayapura district will start to increase. to make these predictions the authors designed and built a system that can predict the number of these cases in building this application the authors use the Regression Analysis method this process can help the police predict the number of cases in the coming year. The development method used is SDLC, linear regression analysis and using the PHP programming language, the database uses MYSQL, Sublime Text. This research was conducted because there was no system that could assist the staff of the Resort Police (Polres) of Jayapura Regency. From this research, a system for predicting the level of vulnerability to motorized vehicle theft has been successfully built at the Jayapura District Police with data processed for attendance data using face region, reporting data using barcodes, queue data using counters and digital archive data helping the police store important documents.