Study Of End-Stage Liver Disease Research Articles

Definition, diagnosis and epidemiology of acute-on-chronic liver failure.

This narrative review addresses the definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure, a condition associated with high short-term mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and/or cirrhosis. We provide two major points of view: the East and the West perspective. Both definitions vary regarding the underlying patient population and organ failure(s) definition. Nevertheless, all the definitions have their clinical utility: from the core concept of having the "liver" as a conditio sine qua non, the syndrome cannot exist (Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver); a data-driven, robust definition (European Association for the Study of the Liver); a bedside tool that can quickly identify patients at high risk of dying (North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease [NACSELD]). In each section, we provide the overall definitions, the criteria of organ failure(s), and some epidemiological data illustrating how these apply in each area of the world.

Acute kidney injury in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: clinical significance and management.

Acute-on-chronic-liver failure (ACLF) refers to a phenomenon in which patients with chronic liver disease develop multiple organ failure due to acute exacerbation of underlying liver disease. More than 10 definitions of ACLF are extant around the world, and there is lack of consensus on whether extrahepatic organ failure is a main component or a consequence of ACLF. Asian and European consortiums have their own definitions of ACLF. The Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium does not consider kidney failure as a diagnostic criterion for ACLF. Meanwhile, the European Association for the Study of the Liver Chronic Liver Failure and the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease do consider kidney failure as an important factor in diagnosing and assessing the severity of ACLF. When kidney failure occurs in ACLF patients, treatment varies depending on the presence and stage of acute kidney injury (AKI). In general, the diagnosis of AKI in cirrhotic patients is based on the International Club of Ascites criteria: an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or more within 48 hours or a serum creatinine increase of 50% or more within one week. This study underscores the importance of kidney failure or AKI in patients with ACLF by reviewing its pathophysiology, prevention methods, and treatment approaches.

603: BILIARY ATRESIA AND ACUTE-ON-CHRONIC LIVER FAILURE IN CHILDREN: OUTCOMES POST-LIVER TRANSPLANTATION

Introduction: Long term outcomes in patients with biliary atresia (BA) undergoing liver transplantation (LT) have improved but there remains significant perioperative morbidity. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by decompensated liver disease, multi-organ failure, and high mortality. Though well described in adults, pediatric ACLF and its impact on postoperative outcomes in children with BA undergoing LT is relatively understudied. Methods: A single-institutional retrospective analysis was performed. Patients aged < 18 years with BA who underwent LT between 1/2011 – 12/2021 were included. Patients who died awaiting LT, and those who received LT with incomplete documentation were excluded. ACLF was defined using the North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD)-ACLF criteria: presence of 2 or more extrahepatic organ failures, and was characterized during the index admission for LT. Mann Whitney U test for continuous variables and Fischer Exact for categorical variables was used. Results are expressed as medians with interquartile ranges. Results: Of 132 patients, 10 (7.5%) who died awaiting LT and 15 (11.4%) who had incomplete pre-LT documentation were excluded. 107 (65% female; median age 14 [9-31] months) were included in this study. Based on the NACSELD-ACLF criteria, 11 (10.3%) patients had ACLF during index admission. Five of 11 (46%) patients were listed status 1B prior to LT. Patient with ACLF were younger at time of LT (9 [7-11] vs. 15 [10-37] months, p < 0.001), had a higher PELD score (34 [24-35] vs. 28 [24-33]; p < 0.001), higher total length of stay (178 [119-224] vs. 21 [9-48] days, p < 0.001), and had a higher rate of return to the operating room (36% vs. 18%; p < 0.01) compared to the non-ACLF group (n=96). The 1-year readmission (64 % vs. 38 %; p = 0.09) and overall 1-year survival (100% vs. 91%; p=0.28) rates were comparable between ACLF and non ACLF groups. Conclusions: In children with BA undergoing LT, survival outcomes post-LT between ACLF and non ACLF patients are comparable despite increased perioperative morbidity seen in those with ACLF. This reiterates the need for further studies to understand the impact of ACLF and prioritization of these critically ill patients for LT.

Role of Oral Health, Frailty, and Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy in the Risk of Hospitalization: A Prospective Multi-Center Cohort of Outpatients With Cirrhosis

Hospitalizations are a sentinel event in cirrhosis; however, the changing demographics in patients with cirrhosis require updated hospitalization prediction models. Periodontitis is a risk factor for liver disease and potentially progression. The aim of this study was to determine factors, including poor oral health, associated with 3-month hospitalizations in a multi-center cohort of outpatients with cirrhosis. North American Consortium for Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD-3), a new study cohort, recruits outpatients with cirrhosis. Cirrhosis details, demographics, minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE), frailty, and comorbid conditions including oral health were collected. All patients were followed for 3 months for nonelective hospitalizations. Multi-variable models were created for this outcome using demographics, cirrhosis details, oral health, MHE, frailty, and comorbid conditions with K-fold internal validation using 25%/75% split. A total of 442 outpatients (70% men; 37% compensated; Model for End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium, 12; 42% ascites; and 33% prior HE) were included. MHE was found in 70%, frailty in 10%; and both in 8%. In terms of oral health, 15% were edentulous and 10% had prior periodontitis. Regarding 3-month hospitalizations, 14% were admitted for mostly liver-related reasons. These patients were more likely to be decompensated with higher cirrhosis complications, MHE, frailty and periodontitis history. Multi-variable analysis showed prior periodontitis (P= .026), composite MHE+ frailty score (P= .0016), ascites (P= .004), prior HE (P= .008), and hydrothorax (P= .004) were associated with admissions using the training and validation subsets. In a contemporaneous, prospective, multi-center cohort study in outpatients with cirrhosis, poor oral health is significantly associated with 3-month hospitalizations independent of portal hypertensive complications, MHE, and frailty. Potential strategies to reduce hospitalizations should consider oral evaluation in addition to MHE and frailty assessment in practice pathways.

Con: Patients With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Should Not Receive Priority on the Waiting List.

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Prognosis of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney disease.

The prognosis of acute kidney disease (AKD), defined as a glomerular filtration rate of <60ml/min/1.73m2 or a rise in serum creatinine (sCr) of <50% for <3months, is not clearly known. To study the prevalence, predictive factors and clinical outcomes in hospitalized cirrhotic patients with AKD. The North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease prospectively enrolled hospitalized decompensated cirrhotic patients. Patients were separated into those with normal renal function (controls or C), AKD or stage 1 AKI as their worst renal dysfunction per International Club of Ascites definition and compared. Parameters assessed included demographics, laboratory data, haemodynamics, renal and patient outcomes. 1244 patients with cirrhosis and ascites (C: 704 or 57%; AKD: 176 or 14%; stage 1 AKI: 364 or 29%) with similar demographics were enrolled. AKD patients had similar baseline sCr but higher hospital admission in the previous 6months, and higher peak sCr, compared to controls, with their peak sCr being lower than that in stage 1 AKI patients (all P<.0001). The in-hospital and 30-day survival for AKD patients were intermediary between that for controls and stage 1 AKI patients (96% vs 91% vs 86%, P<.0001). The strongest predictors for AKD development while in hospital were the presence of a second infection (OR: 2.44) and diabetes (OR: 1.53). Patients with AKD had intermediate outcomes between stage 1 AKI and controls. AKD patients, especially those with diabetes and a second infection, need careful monitoring and prompt treatment for AKD to prevent negative outcomes.

The Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality in Decompensated Cirrhosis with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition in cirrhosis associated with organ failure (OF) and high short-term mortality. Both the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) and North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) ACLF definitions have been shown to predict ACLF prognosis. The aim of this study was to compare the ability of the EASL-CLIF versus NACSELD systems over baseline clinical and laboratory parameters in the prediction of in-hospital mortality in admitted patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Five NACSELD centers prospectively collected data to calculate EASL-CLIF and NACSELD-ACLF scores for admitted patients with cirrhosis who were followed for the development of OF, hospital course, and survival. Both the number of OFs and the ACLF grade or presence were used to determine the impact of NACSELD versus EASL-CLIF definitions of ACLF above baseline parameters on in-hospital mortality. A total of 1031 patients with decompensated cirrhosis (age, 57±11years; male, 66%; Child-Pugh-Turcotte score, 10±2; Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD] score, 20±8) were enrolled. Renal failure prevalence (28% versus 9%, P<0.001) was more common using the EASL-CLIF versus NACSELD definition, but the prevalence rates for brain, circulatory, and respiratory failures were similar. Baseline parameters including age, white cell count on admission, and MELD score reasonably predicted in-hospital mortality (area under the curve, 0.76). The addition of number of OFs according to either system did not improve the predictive power of the baseline parameters for in-hospital mortality, but the presence of NACSELD-ACLF did. However, neither system was better than baseline parameters in the prediction of 30- or 90-day outcomes. The presence of NACSELD-ACLF is equally effective as the EASL-CLIF ACLF grade, and better than baseline parameters in the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with cirrhosis, but not superior in the prediction of longer-term 30- or 90-day outcomes.

From the Editor’s desk…

From the Editor’s desk…

P-13 COMPARISON OFF DIFFERENT PROGNOSTIC SCORES FOR PATIENTS WITH CIRRHOSIS HOSPITALIZED WITH SARS – COV 2 INFECTION

Introduction and ObjectivesViral infections have been described to increase the risk of decompensation in patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on clinical outcome of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and to compare the performance of different prognostic models for predicting mortality.PatientsWe performed a prospective cohort study including 2211 hospitalized patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from April 15, 2020 through October 1, 2020 in 38 Hospitals from 11 Latin American countries. We registered clinical and laboratory parameters of patients with and without cirrhosis. All patients were followed until discharge or death. We evaluated the prognostic performance of different scoring systems to predict mortality in patients with cirrhosis using ROC curves.ResultsOverall, 4.6%(CI 3.7-5.6) subjects had cirrhosis (n=96). Baseline Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class was assessed: CTP-A (23%), CTP-B (45%) and CTP-C (32%); median MELD-Na score was 19 (IQR 14-25). Mortality was 47% in patients with cirrhosis compared to 16% in those without cirrhosis (P<.0001). Cirrhosis was independently associated to death [OR 3.1(CI 1.9-4.8);P<.0001], adjusted by age, gender, and body mass index >30. The areas under the ROC curves for performance evaluation in predicting 28-days mortality for Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C), North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD), CTP score and MELD-Na were 0.85, 0.75, 0.69, 0.67; respectively (P<.0001).ConclusionsSARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with elevated mortality in patients with cirrhosis. CLIF-C had better performance in predicting mortality than NACSELD, CTP and MELD-Na in patients with cirrhosis and SARS-CoV-2 infection.Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT04358380.

EASL-CLIF criteria outperform NACSELD criteria for diagnosis and prognostication in ACLF

There is no consensus on the best definition for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). In this study, we compared the prevalence and 30-day all-cause and transplant-free mortality of patients with ACLF identified by European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (EASL-CLIF) and North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) criteria. We performed this comparative analysis using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) data from January 11, 2016 to August 31,2020. A total of 10,198 (21%) adult patients had EASL-CLIF ACLF grade 1-3, but of these only 15.3% had ACLF by NACSELD. Of the 2,562 with EASL-CLIF ACLF grade 3, only 48.8% had NACSELD-ACLF, 16.8% had no organ failure (OF) and 34.4% had 1 OF. The 30-day all-cause mortality was 1.5%, 7.7%, 13.3% and 25.8% for EASL-CLIF grade 0-3, respectively, and it was 15.4% and 28.1% in those without and with NACSELD-ACLF. When EASL-CLIF grade 3 patients were stratified by NACSELD OF, the mortality ranged from 18.6% with no OF to 41.0% with 4 OFs. The 30-day transplant-free mortality in those with no OF by NACSELD was 2.7%, but when the same group is stratified by EASL-CLIF grades 0-3, the mortality rates were 1.5%, 10.5%, 43.5% and 86%, respectively; the mortality rates ranged from 3.0% to 75.7% in those with 1 OF by NACSELD. There is a clear discordance in the prevalence and 30-day mortality rates of patients with ACLF identified by the EASL-CLIF and NACSELD criteria. EASL-CLIF criteria have a better sensitivity to detect ACLF and have a better prognostic capability. There is no consensus on the definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure. European (EASL-CLIF) and North American (NACSELD) consortia have each proposed a commonly used definition. In this study, we compared the prevalence and short-term (30-day) mortality based on these definitions. Using a very large data set, we observed that there was a significant discordance in the prevalence and mortality based on these criteria. EASL-CLIF criteria appeared to be more sensitive to identify acute-on-chronic liver failure, and were better at predicting all-cause and short-term mortality.

Comparison of different prognostic scores for patients with cirrhosis hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 infection

Introduction and ObjectivesViral infections have been described to increase the risk of decompensation in patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection on outcome of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and to compare the performance of different prognostic models for predicting mortality. PatientsWe performed a prospective cohort study including 2211 hospitalized patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from April 15, 2020 through October 1, 2020 in 38 Hospitals from 11 Latin American countries. We registered clinical and laboratory parameters of patients with and without cirrhosis. All patients were followed until discharge or death. We evaluated the prognostic performance of different scoring systems to predict mortality in patients with cirrhosis using ROC curves. ResultsOverall, 4.6% (CI 3.7–5.6) subjects had cirrhosis (n = 96). Baseline Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class was assessed: CTP-A (23%), CTP-B (45%) and CTP-C (32%); median MELD-Na score was 19 (IQR 14−25). Mortality was 47% in patients with cirrhosis and 16% in patients without cirrhosis (P < .0001). Cirrhosis was independently associated with death [OR 3.1 (CI 1.9−4.8); P < .0001], adjusted by age, gender, and body mass index >30. The areas under the ROC curves for performance evaluation in predicting 28-days mortality for Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C), North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD), CTP score and MELD-Na were 0.85, 0.75, 0.69, 0.67; respectively (P < .0001). ConclusionsSARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with elevated mortality in patients with cirrhosis. CLIF-C had better performance in predicting mortality than NACSELD, CTP and MELD-Na in patients with cirrhosis and SARS-CoV-2 infection. Clinicaltrials.gov:NCT04358380.

Palliative Care Research: Successful Recruitment and Retention Strategies of Patient-Caregiver Dyads

Research shows that the well-being of patients with serious illness and their family caregivers is significantly associated. Thus, to build the scientific knowledge upon which to establish high quality palliative and end-of-life care practices for these patients and their caregivers, research studies should include successful recruitment and retention strategies that focus on the patient-caregiver dyad. Aims: To review the literature focusing on successful dyadic recruitment and retention strategies and to describe successful recruitment and retention strategies, and attrition in a longitudinal study of end-stage liver disease (ESLD) patient-caregiver dyads. Methods: A five-year prospective longitudinal study of dyads included quantitative and qualitative data collected at 5 time points over 1 year: at baseline, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months. Results: Over a 32-month period 336 dyads were approached and 241 were enrolled. The refusal rate was 27 dyads (8.0%). Over the course of the study, 31 patients or caregivers withdrew for various reasons (too sick, liver transplantation). The attrition due to death of patients was 53 dyads (20.2%). Successful strategies used for recruitment and retention included tailoring to provider preference for referral, accommodating patient preference for data collection method, and having predictable and ongoing contact between a specific study staff and dyads. Conclusions: Less than 10 studies address recruitment and retention strategies most effective in dyadic research in various serious illnesses and clinical settings. Recruitment of ESLD patient-caregiver dyads is challenging. Future longitudinal dyadic studies of serious illnesses and palliative care may benefit from strategies learned from the current ESLD study.

Increased Risk of ACLF and Inpatient Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with Cirrhosis and Hepatic Hydrothorax.

Hepatic hydrothorax (HH) remains a difficult-to-treat complication of cirrhosis. To define the mortality, length of stay (LOS), and risk of ACLF in patients admitted with HH. We utilized the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease, a prospective cohort of 2868 non-electively hospitalized patients with cirrhosis from 14 tertiary care hepatology centers in North America. A total of 121 patients who required an inpatient thoracentesis (HH group) were compared to 736 patients with refractory ascites without HH, and to 1639 patients without these complications (Other). Patients with a TIPS before or during admission were excluded. There were no differences between the groups in age, gender, or liver disease etiology. Admission MELD (20.5, 21.6 vs. 18.7; p < 0.0001) was lower in HH than RA patients but lowest in other patients, respectively. In hospital, HH patients' rate of second infections and ICU transfer were the highest, and their LOS was the longest of all groups. Despite a similar mean discharge MELD compared to RA patients, the 90-day transplant rate was lower. Multivariable modeling showed patients with HH had an increased risk of ACLF (HR = 2.37 vs. RA, HR = 2.56 vs. Other; p = 0.01) even when controlling for MELD score, AKI, second infection, and history of prior 6-month hospitalization. Multivariable modeling also showed that HH increased the risk of inpatient mortality (HR = 2.22 vs. RA alone, HR = 2.31 vs. Other; p = 0.04). HH that required a therapeutic thoracentesis more than doubled the risk of ACLF and inpatient mortality among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis.

Low Predictability of Readmissions and Death Using Machine Learning in Cirrhosis.

Readmission and death in cirrhosis are common, expensive, and difficult to predict. Our aim was to evaluate the abilities of multiple artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to predict clinical outcomes based on variables collected at admission, during hospitalization, and at discharge. We used the multicenter North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) cohort of cirrhotic inpatients who are followed up through 90-days postdischarge for readmission and death. We used statistical methods to select variables that are significant for readmission and death and trained 3 AI models, including logistic regression (LR), kernel support vector machine (SVM), and random forest classifiers (RFC), to predict readmission and death. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) from 10-fold crossvalidation for evaluation to compare sexes. Data were compared with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) at discharge. We included 2,170 patients (57 ± 11 years, MELD 18 ± 7, 61% men, 79% White, and 8% Hispanic). The 30-day and 90-day readmission rates were 28% and 47%, respectively, and 13% died at 90 days. Prediction for 30-day readmission resulted in 0.60 AUC for all patients with RFC, 0.57 AUC with LR for women-only subpopulation, and 0.61 AUC with LR for men-only subpopulation. For 90-day readmission, the highest AUC was achieved with kernel SVM and RFC (AUC = 0.62). We observed higher predictive value when training models with only women (AUC = 0.68 LR) vs men (AUC = 0.62 kernel SVM). Prediction for death resulted in 0.67 AUC for all patients, 0.72 for women-only subpopulation, and 0.69 for men-only subpopulation, all with LR. MELD-Na model AUC was similar to those from the AI models. Despite using multiple AI techniques, it is difficult to predict 30- and 90-day readmissions and death in cirrhosis. AI model accuracies were equivalent to models generated using only MELD-Na scores. Additional biomarkers are needed to improve our predictive capability (See also the visual abstract at http://links.lww.com/AJG/B710).

The Use of NACSELD and EASL-CLIF Classification Systems of ACLF in the Prediction of Prognosis in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) consortium and the North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) as an acute deterioration of cirrhosis with multiple organ failures and high short-term mortality. However, their diagnostic criteria differ. We aimed to compare these 2 criteria in the prediction of prognosis in hospitalized cirrhosis. This was a prospective study of nonelectively hospitalized patients with cirrhosis (N = 468) from a single tertiary hospital between 2016 and 2018. Baseline characteristics, incidence, and types of organ failure and survival data at 7, 28, and 90 days were collected. Prognostic utilities of the 2 criteria were compared. One hundred thirty-seven of 468 patients (29.3%) had EASL-CLIF ACLF, and 35 of 468 (7.4%) had NACSELD ACLF. The 28-day transplant-free survival of ACLF was 58.4% using EASL-CLIF and 37.1% using the NACSELD criteria. In predicting 28-day mortality, the NACSELD criteria demonstrated significantly higher overall accuracy (92.0% vs 85.3%, P < 0.01), specificity (99.7% vs 84.0%, P < 0.001), and positive predictive value (97.1% vs 50.4%, P < 0.001) but lower sensitivity (49.3% vs 92.5%, P < 0.001) and negative predictive value (91.6% vs 98.5%, P < 0.001) than those of EASL-CLIF. The results were similar in predicting 7-day outcome. However, the overall accuracy became similar between NACSELD and EASL-CLIF ACLF criteria in predicting 90-day mortality (86.3% vs 88.7%, P = 0.27) because of the decrease of sensitivity and negative predictive value of NACSELD ACLF criteria. The prognostic performance of these 2 ACLF criteria was similar when applied to patients with or without hepatitis B virus infection as an etiology of cirrhosis. There are both caveats and utilities of NACSELD and EASL-CLIF ACLF criteria in prognosis prediction in patients with cirrhosis. NACSED criteria is highly accurate in predicting morality, whereas the EASL-CLIF criteria is more sensitive to identify patients who would benefit from liver transplantation.

Progression of Stage 2 and 3 Acute Kidney Injury in Patients With Decompensated Cirrhosis and Ascites

Progression of stages 2 and 3 acute kidney injury (AKI) in cirrhosis has not been characterized adequately. Patients with higher stages of AKI are believed to have worse outcomes. We assessed outcomes and factors associated with stages 2 and 3 AKI in patients with cirrhosis in the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease cohort. We collected data from 2297 hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and ascites from December 2011 through February 2017. Our final analysis included 760 patients who developed AKI per the International Ascites Club 2015 definition (419 with maximum stage 1 and 341 with maximum stage 2 or 3; 63% male; mean age, 58 y). We compared demographic features, laboratory values, AKI treatment response, and survival between patients with maximum stage 1 vs patients with stage 2 or 3 AKI. Patients with stage 2 or 3 AKI had higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores (25.9 ± 7.3) than patients with stage 1 AKI (21.9 ± 7.5) (P < .0001). More patients fulfilled systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria on admission, and more developed a second nosocomial infection (P < .05 for both comparisons). More patients with stage 2 or 3 AKI also had progression of AKI and required dialysis and admission into intensive care units when compared to stage 1 AKI patients (P < .0001 for both). A lower proportion of patients with stage 2 or 3 AKI survived their hospital stay (80% vs 99% with stage 1 AKI; P < .0001), or survived for 30 days without a liver transplant (56% vs 81%; P < .0001). The development of stage 2 or 3 AKI was associated with a higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score at the time of admission (P < .0001), presence of systemic inflammatory response on admission (P= .039), and second infection (P < .0001). Based on an analysis of data from the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease cohort, we found that patients with cirrhosis and more advanced liver disease, as well as a second infection, are more likely to develop stages 2 or 3 AKI, with a progressive course associated with decreased 30-day transplant-free survival. Prevention of AKI progression in patients with cirrhosis and stage 2 or 3 AKI might improve their outcomes.

Insurance Status But Not Race and Ethnicity Are Associated With Outcomes in a Large Hospitalized Cohort of Patients With Cirrhosis

Insurance, race, and ethnicity can affect outcomes of patients with cirrhosis, but findings from prospective studies are unclear. We investigated the role of insurance status and race and ethnicity (race/ethnicity) on inpatient and 90-day postdischarge outcomes in a large inpatient cohort of patients with cirrhosis. We used data from the North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) database, from 13 tertiary care centers. Insurance status (uninsured, Medicare, Medicaid, private, and Canadian), race, and ethnicity, were analyzed independent of clinical covariates for their association with transfer to the intensive care unit, acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF), length of hospital stay, inpatient and 90-day death or liver transplantation, and readmission to the hospital within 90 days. Multi-variable analyses and interaction terms were created for insurance, race/ethnicity, and for each outcome, with or without Canadian patients. We analyzed data from 2640 patients in the NACSELD database (971 with private insurance, 770 with Medicare, 456 Canadians, 265 with Medicaid, 178 uninsured, 540 non-Caucasian and 220 Hispanic); 23% required admittance to the intensive care unit, 12% developed NACSELD-defined ACLF, 7% died, 5% underwent liver transplantation. Of the 2288 patients discharged from hospital, 13% underwent liver transplantation, 19% died, and 42% were readmitted within 90 days. In the univariate model, uninsured patients accounted for the highest percentage of alcohol- or bleeding-related admissions and the lowest proportion of outpatient cirrhosis-related medication users. Canadians had the lowest rifaximin use and but higher proportions had hepatic encephalopathy, compared with other groups. Lack of insurance was higher among non-Caucasians, regardless of Hispanic ethnicity. In multi-variable analysis, lack of insurance was associated with ACLF (P = .02) and inversely associated with inpatient liver transplant (P = .05) and 90-day liver transplant (P = .02), regardless of whether Canadians were included or specific insurance type. Race or ethnicity were not significantly associated with outcomes. In analyzing the NACSELD database, we found that insurance status, but not race or ethnicity, were independently associated with ACLF and inpatient or 90-day liver transplantation, regardless of inclusion of Canadian patients.

Underutilization of Hospice in Inpatients with Cirrhosis: The NACSELD Experience.

Little is known about patients discharged to hospice following hospitalization for complications of cirrhosis. We sought to understand the current pattern of hospice utilization in patients with cirrhosis by evaluating the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) cohort. Patients with cirrhosis from 14 tertiary-care hepatology centers across North America non-electively hospitalized and prospectively enrolled were evaluated. Exclusion criteria included HIV infection, transplantation or non-hepatic malignancy. Random computer-based propensity score matching was undertaken in a 1:2 ratio based on admission MELD score ± 3 points. Totally, 2718 patients were enrolled, 5% (N = 132) were discharged to hospice, 6% (N = 171) died, and the rest were discharged alive. Patients discharged to hospice were older (60 vs. 57years, p = 0.04), less likely to have had SBP (13% vs. 28%, p = 0.002) and be listed for liver transplantation (11% vs. 26%, p = 0.0007). Features, on multivariable modeling, associated with increased probability of discharge to hospice as opposed to being discharged alive: grade-3-4 hepatic encephalopathy, a higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, and a higher discharge serum creatinine; however, a higher serum sodium, being listed for transplant and being prescribed rifaximin or a statin were protective from hospice discharge. Patients with more advanced liver disease, hepatic encephalopathy, renal dysfunction, and those not candidates for liver transplantation were more likely to be discharged to hospice. However, in this sick multinational cohort of cirrhotic inpatients, it seems that hospice is markedly underutilized (5%) since 25% of patients not discharged to hospice died within 6months.

The North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease-Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Score Accurately Predicts Survival: An External Validation Using a National Cohort.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) carries high short-term mortality. The North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD)-ACLF score, positive if ≥2 organ failures are present, is a bedside tool that predicts short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis. However, it was created using major liver referral centers, where a minority of patients with cirrhosis are hospitalized. Therefore, this study used the Nationwide Inpatient Sample, a nationally representative database, from 2005 to 2014 to externally validate the NACSELD-ACLF score in a cohort of patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were identified by a validated algorithm. Organ failures were identified using diagnosis codes. The primary objective was to evaluate the association between the NACSELD-ACLF score and inpatient mortality, whereas secondary objectives compared outcomes depending on presence of infection or hospitalization at a transplant center. Multivariate logistic regression was used to compare outcomes, and area under the curve was calculated. There were 1,523,478 discharges that were included with 106,634 (7.0%) having a positive NACSELD-ACLF score. Patients were a mean 58years old, and a majority were white men. Infection was present in 33.7% of the sample. Inpatient survival decreased with each organ failure and if infection was present. Patients with the NACSELD-ACLF score had significantly lower inpatient survival on crude (94% versus 48%; P<0.001) and multivariate analysis (odds ratio [OR], 0.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.07-0.08) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.77 (95% CI, 0.77-0.78). Liver transplant centers had clinically similar but significantly better survival at each organ failure, in patients with the NACSELD-ACLF score, and on multivariate analysis (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22). Using a national cohort, our study validated the NACSELD-ACLF score as an excellent, simple bedside tool to predict short-term survival in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease on Outcomes in Cirrhosis.

We hypothesize that the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) among patients with cirrhosis has increased due to the increased prevalence of CKD-associated comorbidities, such as diabetes. We aimed to assess the characteristics of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis with CKD and its impact on renal and patient outcomes. The North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) prospectively enrolled nonelectively admitted patients with cirrhosis and collected data on demographics, laboratory results, in-hospital clinical course, and postdischarge 3-month outcomes. CKD positive (CKD+) patients, defined as having an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4 variable formula) of ≤60 mL/minute for >3 months, were compared with chronic kidney disease negative (CKD-) patients for development of organ failures, hospital course, and survival. There were 1099 CKD+ patients (46.8% of 2346 enrolled patients) who had significantly higher serum creatinine (2.21±1.33 versus 0.83±0.21 mg/dL in the CKD- group) on admission, higher prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis cirrhosis etiology, diabetes, refractory ascites, and hospital admissions in the previous 6 months compared with the CKD- group (all P<0.001). Propensity matching (n=922 in each group) by Child-Pugh scores (9.78±2.05 versus 9.74±2.04, P=0.70) showed that CKD+ patients had significantly higher rates of superimposed acute kidney injury (AKI; 68% versus 21%; P<0.001) and eventual need for dialysis (11% versus 2%; P<0.001) than CKD- patients. CKD+ patients also had more cases of acute-on-chronic liver failure as defined by the NACSELD group, which was associated with reduced 30- and 90-day overall survival (P<0.001 for both). A 10 mL/minute drop in eGFR was associated with a 13.1% increase in the risk of 30-day mortality. In conclusion, patients with CKD should be treated as a high-risk group among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis due to their poor survival, and they should be monitored carefully for the development of superimposed AKI.