Metapopulation Structure Research Articles

Genome-wide SNP analysis coupled with geographic and reproductive-phenological information reveals panmixia in a classical marine species, the Japanese jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus)

Identification of genetic population structures in classical marine species—species with large population sizes, wide range distributions, and high dispersal potential—can be a challenging task because of expectedly weak genetic signals of population structure. The Japanese jack mackerel, Trachurus japonicus, is a classical marine species and one of the most important fishery resources in the East Asian seas. In this study, we tested the hypothesis of genetic panmixia in the Japanese jack mackerel using genome-wide SNP analyses coupled with geographic and reproductive phenology information. We generated a highly contiguous genome assembly and performed Genotyping by Random Amplicon Sequencing-Direct (GRAS-Di) to produce at least 19,904 SNPs that were genotyped in 614 samples from seas around the Japanese archipelago. Genetic population structure analyses did not reveal any evidence of genetic differentiation. Neither geographical barriers in the Japanese archipelago nor phenological differences in reproductive timing affected the genetic population structure. Overall, these findings were consistent with the interpretation of genetic panmixia, providing evidence for high genetic connectivity across the population’s distribution. Considering the current knowledge about the distribution and life history of T. japonicus, we suggest that the panmictic status may reflect a metapopulation structure with source-sink dynamics and/or extensive gene flow across the distribution range.

Islands of ice: Glacier‐dwelling metazoans form regionally distinct populations despite extensive periods of deglaciation

AbstractAimGlaciers cover considerable portion of land and host diverse life forms from single‐celled organisms to invertebrates. However, the determinants of diversity and community composition of these organisms remain underexplored. This study addresses the biogeography, population connectivity and dispersal of these organisms, especially critical in understanding during the rapid recession of glaciers and increased extinction risk for isolated populations. By reconstructing the Quaternary biogeographic history of Fontourion glacialis, a widespread in Northern Hemisphere glacier obligate species of Tardigrada, we aim to understand how populations of glacier‐dwelling metazoans receive immigrants, respond to disappearing glaciers and to what extent remaining glaciers can serve as refugia.LocationGlaciers across Svalbard, Scandinavia, Greenland and Iceland.MethodsWe analysed mtDNA (COI gene) variability of 263 F. glacialis specimens collected across the distribution range. Phylogeographic and coalescent‐based approaches were used to detect population differentiation patterns, investigate most likely models of gene flow and test the influences of geographical and climatic factors on the distribution of F. glacialis genetic variants.ResultsOur findings indicate that the distribution of F. glacialis genetic variants is primarily influenced by geographical rather than climatic factors. Populations exhibit a dispersal‐limited distribution pattern, influenced by geographical distance and local barriers, even between neighbouring glaciers. Significantly, the genetic structure within Scandinavia suggests the existence of “southern” glacial or low‐temperature refugia, where F. glacialis may have survived a period of extensive deglaciation during the Holocene climatic optimum (8–5 kyr ago).Main ConclusionThe study uncovers complex metapopulation structures in F. glacialis, with impacts of local barriers, population bottlenecks as well as historical ice sheet fluctuations. It suggests that such populations can endure extended periods of deglaciation, highlighting the resilience of glacial refugia. The study highlights the necessity of understanding the diversity and population structure of ice‐dwelling fauna in both spatial and temporal contexts.

Local versus regional patterns in zoospore dispersal of the kelp Eisenia bicyclis (Laminariales, Phaeophyceae)

SummaryIt is generally accepted that kelp populations have a metapopulation structure. Most zoospores settle near to their parent individual, and infrequent but long‐distance dispersal of zoospores contributes to gene flow between local populations. Population genetic analysis of single nucleotide polymorphism genotyping by MIG‐seq (i.e. multiplexed inter‐simple sequence repeats genotyping by sequencing) was performed on the dominant kelp, Eisenia bicyclis, in two areas: Kitsunezaki (a sheltered area) and Shimoda (an exposed site). Regional scale analysis of genetic structure was conducted at six sites in Kitsunezaki and three sites in Shimoda. When viewed on a regional scale based on the inbreeding coefficient within the local population, the inbreeding ratio was higher in Shimoda than in Kitsunezaki, probably as a result of the limited vertical zonal distribution in the exposed environment. Vertically wide distribution in the sheltered environment apparently enabled frequent crossing among individuals in Kitsunezaki. By contrast, when viewed on a local scale based on the pairwise kinship coefficient (FST) between populations, gene flow among local populations in Shimoda occurred over a wide area, but was limited in Kitsunezaki. In Shimoda, genetic exchange between local populations, even if inbreeding is locally active, is likely to support metapopulation maintenance and rapid recovery of local populations. In Kitsunezaki, however, genetic exchange among local populations is limited within few 100 m, and the metapopulation structure will decline in the long term because of inbreeding depression. Local dispersal distance of zoospores was investigated based on parent–offspring analysis in the Kitsunezaki population, which revealed that zoospores mainly settled within 5 m of their parent. However, some zoospores traveled over 27 m within the 4 × 30 m study area. The present study shows the importance of examination at different spatial scales when investigating zoospore dispersal of laminarialean kelps.

Stability of ecologically scaffolded traits during evolutionary transitions in individuality

Evolutionary transitions in individuality are events in the history of life leading to the emergence of new levels of individuality. Recent studies have described an ecological scaffolding scenario of such transitions focused on the evolutionary consequences of an externally imposed renewing meta-population structure with limited dispersal. One difficulty for such a scenario has been explaining the stability of collective-level traits when scaffolding conditions no longer apply. Here, we show that the stability of scaffolded traits can rely on evolutionary hysteresis: even if the environment is reverted to an ancestral state, collectives do not return to ancestral phenotypes. We describe this phenomenon using a stochastic meta-population model and adaptive dynamics. Further, we show that ecological scaffolding may be limited to Goldilocks zones of the environment. We conjecture that Goldilocks zones—even if they might be rare—could act as initiators of evolutionary transitions and help to explain the near ubiquity of collective-level individuality.

Vaccination and transportation intervention strategies for effective pandemic control

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the pivotal role of transportation-related controls and vaccination in mitigating widespread infections. However, the substantial costs associated with these interventions necessitate a nuanced equilibrium between control measures and infection risks. This study, driven by the recognition of spatial heterogeneities in mobility networks and epidemic vulnerability, presents an optimal control framework for two control measures—vaccine distribution and transportation restrictions—within a metapopulation structure. The overarching goal is to minimize the total costs derived from the implementation of control measures and health and opportunity loss from infection. Our findings highlight the effectiveness of transportation control and vaccine distribution in reducing both total costs and infection rates. Notably, the efficacy of these control measures exhibits regional variations, and the simultaneous implementation of both measures emerges as the most effective and economically viable strategy. The synergy effect between vaccine distribution and transportation restrictions is also a key observation in our simulations, showcasing their complementary roles in pandemic control. By considering the spatial nuances of mobility networks and infection vulnerability, this framework provides a flexible and region-specific strategy to optimize the allocation of resources for pandemic control, ultimately striking a balance between efficacy and economic feasibility.

Phenotypic response of a geographically expanding species, Scomber colias: Clues in the fish otolith shape

During the last decades, there has been a growing interest in the Atlantic chub mackerel, Scomber colias, owing to its northward expansion across the East Atlantic Ocean. This trend has been observed from regions of higher abundance off northwest Africa to the waters of the Atlantic Iberian and the Mediterranean Sea. Changes in abundance and spatial distribution of Atlantic chub mackerel have been previously studied and various theoretical models have been proposed to elucidate the changes in its abundance and biomass. However, within this fishing context, only a limited number of studies have attempted to understand how this species has responded at both the individual and population levels to the changing environmental conditions. The phenotypic variability of 1660 individuals of S. colias collected from the Canary Islands, Madeira, the Cantabrian Sea and the Central-Northern Mediterranean Sea was examined, with a specific focus on otolith shape. We identified six morphotypes classified into two groups and associated to the four analyzed regions. Despite of the occurrence of shared phenotypes in varying proportions among the different fishing grounds, this classification might be explained by the adaptation of certain morphotypes to specific environmental conditions and the migratory behavior of this species. The morphotypes M1-M5 were more abundant in the warmer waters of Madeira-Canary Islands region and M6 in the colder waters of Ligurian-Cantabrian. It is plausible that the former set may represent resident contingents, while morphotypes M2-M3 and M4 are likely to exhibit migratory behavior. Therefore, we suggest a complex metapopulation structure, where different contingents coexist.

Combining biotelemetry and genetics provides complementary insights relevant to the management and conservation of a freshwater predator (Esox lucius) living in brackish lagoons

To inform the management of wild fish populations, it is equally important to understand both the ecological connectivity of habitat patches, apparent at annual and seasonal scales, and the genetic connectivity, emerging at evolutionary scales across generations. Ecological connectivity indicates the potential for rapid recolonization upon local depletion, while genetic connectivity informs about the conservation needs related to the evolution of subpopulations and ecotypes in metapopulations. We combined acoustic biotelemetry and pooled-genome sequencing to study a northern pike (Esox lucius) population as a model of a freshwater piscivore that inhabits a network of shallow brackish lagoons in the southern Baltic Sea. We found limited ecological connectivity among genetically similar subpopulations of pike, suggesting a metapopulation structure characterized by discrete local subpopulations with infrequent migrations between them. Connectivity of different lagoons increased during spawning, suggesting directed spawning migrations to either freshwater rivers or low salinity patches in connected lake-like bays. Spawning site fidelity to either brackish or freshwater spawning sites was observed, further contributing to the reproductive isolation of certain subpopulations. The genetic population structure aligned with salinity gradients and geographical distance and was significant between pairs of rivers draining into the lagoon network, but it was unrelated to ecological connectivity. The results collectively suggest that local subpopulations may not rapidly replenish upon local depletion and that even weak connectivity among subpopulations was sufficient to maintain genetic homogeneity across lagoons with similar salinity levels. Effective management and conservation of species forming metapopulations, such as the coastal northern pike studied here, necessitate localized approaches that adapt fishing mortality to local abundance and promote access to specific habitats, especiallyrivers, during spawning to conserve the entire genetic biodiversity and foster resilience of the metapopulation.

Population dynamics and spatial structure of the grey rockcod (Lepidonotothen squamifrons) in the vicinity of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands.

The grey rockcod, Lepidonotothen squamifrons is an important prey species for seals, penguins and Patagonian toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) in the Southern Ocean. Across the Kerguelen Plateau, the species was fished to commercial extinction (ca. 152 000 tonnes between 1971 and 1978) prior to the declaration of the French Exclusive Economic Zone in 1979 and the Australian Fishing Zone in 1981. In this study we estimate; age, growth, maturity, sex ratio, body condition (weight-at-length), and population density of grey rockcod using data from 19 trawl surveys from 1990 to 2014. There appeared to be three distinct geographical populations, with differences in biological parameters within each population. This study has identified separate metapopulations within the southern region of the Kerguelen Plateau and we recommend that management should take into account the different characteristics of these populations, and that this meta-population structure may be a factor in why this species required several decades to show signs of recovery.

The decline of the Arabian Leopard Panthera pardus nimr in Saudi Arabia: a values-based plan for future management

AbstractThe Critically Endangered Arabian Leopard (Panthera pardus nimr) has declined to near extinction in Saudi Arabia over the last fifteen or so years. In this paper we provide a time-series assessment of changes in the rate of leopard records since the 1930’s and provide a values-based plan for the management of the species in Saudi Arabia. The number of leopard records rose sharply in the 1960’s, peaking in the early 2000s, a time where human population growth and expansion across Saudi Arabia was also increasing. However, by 2014, the number of leopard records decreased to zero where it has remained. Based upon a clear need for effective conservation of the species, we developed a values-based management plan. In applying the planning framework, we defined the management system and its elements in their current state and the required state by the year 2050. From this work, a value-based goal was established, and four key management activities were recognised (and are expanded upon in the main text). We recommend that work is done to: (1) Ensure sufficient and suitable (in terms of required habitat and prey availability) areas are protected. (2) Reduce the level of human-based predation upon leopards to ensure sustainable mortality rates. (3) Manage the species metapopulation structure in terms of genetic makeup through natural and/or facilitated movement. (4) Continue to build community capacity and willingness to manage and protect the species. If these activities can be successfully completed, a population of Arabian Leopards can exist in Saudi Arabia if it is adaptively managed to deal with any additional and/or emerging threatening processes.

Small-scale metapopulation structure of a limnophilic fish species in a natural river system investigated using microsatellite genotyping by amplicon sequencing (SSR-GBAS)

Habitat niches of fish species can exert a strong influence on population structure, even on a small geographical scale. In this scope, Pelasgus thesproticus is a great model species to study connectivity in riverine environments owing to its naturally patchy habitat distribution. Furthermore, it is important to conduct such studies in near-natural systems to avoid the impact of human disturbances on the river, such as fragmentation, morphological changes and habitat degradation. In this sense, the Vjosa in Albania is an excellent study area. A total of 204 individuals were sampled from five locations in the lower Vjosa and two tributaries and genotyped with 33 newly designed microsatellites loci using high throughput sequencing. The application of microsatellite genotyping by sequencing revealed genetic structure and some differentiation, even at a small spatial scale (< 65 river km). A total of 500 alleles were found with an average of 0.93 private alleles among sites with rather low FST values (< 0.04). The extent of admixture observed in some populations indicate that the genetic structure is mainly influenced by upstream populations, either from the main river itself or from tributaries. In addition, the connection between a tributary and the other sites is disrupted by the flow regime, which is reflected in a high degree of divergence from the other populations. Our results indicate that hydrological conditions of the flowing river present strong barriers to gene flow, particularly in the upstream direction, but at the same time act as dispersal corridors in the downstream direction and exhibit source-sink dynamics in which upstream populations contribute disproportionately to downstream populations for this habitat specialist along the river. It is suggested that processes of colonization and reinforcement may play an important role in shaping the genetic structure of patchily distributed fish species in natural river systems. Future studies should increase the knowledge of dispersal factors, habitat heterogeneity, consequence of source-sink dynamics, and gene flow within the system, which will help to understand and maintain important processes related to metapopulation theory and the potential evolutionary consequences of habitat loss and fragmentation.

Cross-scale environmental impacts across persistent and dynamic aggregations within a complex population: implications for fisheries management

Accounting for marine stocks spatiotemporal complexity has become one of the most pressing improvements that should be added to the new generation of stock assessment. Disentangling persistent and dynamic population subcomponents and understanding their main drivers of variation are still stock-specific challenges. Here, we hypothesized that the spatiotemporal variability of density in two adjacent fish stocks is associated with spatially structured environmental processes across multiple spatiotemporal scales. To test this, we applied a generalized empirical orthogonal function and dynamic factor analysis to fishery-independent and -dependent data of red mullet, a highly commercial species, in the Western Mediterranean Sea. Areas with persistent and dynamic high aggregations were detected for both stock units. A large-scale climatic index and local open-ocean convection were associated with both stocks, while other variables exhibited stock-specific effects. We also revealed spatially structured density dynamics within the examined management units. This suggests a metapopulation structure and supports the future implementation of a spatial stock assessment. Considering the common—generally unrealistic—assumptions of panmictic structure and absence of connectivity with neighbouring stock units, our methodology can be applied to other species and systems with putative spatial complexity to inform more accurate population dynamics and structure.

Spatial relationships and mesoscale habitat variance in co-occurring populations of Church’s sideband and Trinity bristle snail in the Greater Trinity Basin, northern California

In resource management, the kind and extent of ecological co-occurrence between closely related species frequently requires assessment of the spatial relationship among taxa. In my study, analysis of inter-species pair-wise distances revealed no syntopic overlap between Church’s sideband (Monadenia churchi) and Trinity bristle snails (M. setosa). No pair of samples had the same geographic coordinates and no parapatric boundary in environmental covariates was evident between species. This “microsympatric” spatial relationship resembled a metapopulation structure with no high degree of overlap, as co-occurrence was rare and small in geographic scope. Fifteen forest cover-types and 82 soil-types were identified between species. The most common forest-type for M. churchi was Sierra Mixed Conifer (39.9%) and Douglas fir (28.9%). In M. setosa the most common forest-types were the same but in much different percentages (78.8% and 14.8%, respectively). Sixty-one and 39 soil-types were associated with samples of M. churchi and M. setosa, respectively. The Hohmann-Neuns family complex was the most common (22.5%) soil-type for M. churchi and the Holland Deep-Hugo family complex was the most (50.6%) dominant for M. setosa. There were significant differences between species in all environmental attributes and in values of monthly temperature and precipitation, which reflected variance in the mesoclimatic regime seasonally. Principal Components Analysis (PCA) accounted for 57.8% of the dispersion contained in environmental variables on the first 3-eigenvectors. Evapotranspiration and Summer and Winter Temperatures loaded positively while Summer and Winter Precipitation and Elevation loaded negatively along PC I (26.2%). Given significant inter-species differences in ecological occupancy, it seems plausible that microsympatry is based in part on both mesoscale habitat variance and subtle differences in mesoclimate defined by seasonal variation in temperature and precipitation. The hypothesis that M. setosa is adapted to cool habitats and M. churchi to warmer more arid environs in microsympatry was substantiated at a macroscale level.

Combining otolith chemistry and genetics to infer the population structure of yellow snapperLutjanus argentiventris

AbstractDeveloping a metapopulation framework contributes to the understanding of spatial processes and structures in populations, providing basic information for conservation biology. However, the extent to which the metapopulation structure differs geographically and across life history stages is unexplored for most fishes. Here, we compared the population structure and connectivity patterns of juvenile yellow snapperLutjanus argentiventrisin mangroves of the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean. In both the Gulf of California and Galápagos, these fish experience an array of environmental and oceanographic conditions that produce unique otolith microchemistry signatures and genetic population structures. In the Galápagos Archipelago, we used otolith microchemistry and microsatellite DNA, while for the Gulf of California, we only used otolith microchemistry. We observed relatively small differences in the otolith microchemistry at the ecoregion spatial scale (10–100 km2) for the Galápagos and the Gulf of California (classification accuracy of 57% and 64%, respectively). At the finer mangrove spatial scale (~1 km2), we found larger differences in the otolith microchemistry among the Gulf of California mangroves (classification accuracy ~90%) than in Galápagos (classification accuracy ~24%), potentially related to a stronger environmental gradient in the former. Based on otoliths, 75% of juveniles were migrants among mangroves in the Galápagos, in contrast to only around 10% of juveniles being migrants among the Gulf of California mangroves, suggesting a metapopulation structure characterized by high rates of self‐recruitment for snappers in the Gulf of California. For Galápagos, both otolith microchemistry and genetics supported the presence of a source–sink metapopulation structure for the yellow snapper, with high levels of connectivity in mangroves within the Eastern and Western ecoregions (FST = 0.003,p &lt; 0.05). By combining tools that assess connectivity at multiple timescales (microchemistry and genetics) at different life stages and ecosystems, we provide a more complete elucidation of metapopulation structure forL. argentiventris. The approach employed here can be applied to other tropical fishes with broad distribution ranges and ontogenetic changes across complex habitats such as mangroves, seagrasses, and coral reefs.

A pathogen's spatial range is not constrained by geographical features in the flax rust pathosystem.

Climate change and shifting environmental conditions can allow pathogens to spread into previously unburdened areas. For plant pathogens, this dynamic has the potential to disrupt natural ecosystem equilibria and human agriculture, making predicting plant pathogen range shifts increasingly important. Although such predictions will hinge on an accurate understanding of the determinants of pathogen range-namely the environmental, geographical, and host range characteristics that modulate local pathogen habitation-few studies to date have probed these in natural plant populations. Here, we characterize range determinants for the model system of Lewis flax (Linum lewisii) and its pathogen, flax rust (Melampsora lini), in the Rocky Mountains. Transect surveys were performed to assess three relationships: (i) the effect of geographical features-elevation, slope aspect, slope grade, and land cover-on flax presence and density, (ii) the effect of geographical features on flax rust presence and prevalence, and (iii) the effects of flax's local population density and metapopulation structure on flax rust presence and prevalence. We found that flax population density, but not host metapopulation structure, influences the distribution of flax rust. Additionally, we showed that, while the distribution of flax was broadly constrained to a relatively narrow range of geographical and resulting environmental features, flax rust was evenly distributed across the full range of settings measured. These results indicate that a warming environment, which is expected to modulate such features, may restrict the optimal range of the plant more than that of its pathogen. Importantly, our results also suggest that even if flax shifts its spatial range to escape increasing climatic pressures, flax rust will not face any significant barriers to track this movement.

Minority-group incubators and majority-group reservoirs support the diffusion of climate change adaptations.

Successful climate change adaptation depends on the spread and maintenance of adaptive behaviours. Current theory suggests that the heterogeneity of metapopulation structure can help adaptations diffuse throughout a population. In this paper, we develop an agent-based model of the spread of adaptations in populations with minority-majority metapopulation structure, where subpopulations learn more or less frequently from their own group compared to the other group. In our simulations, minority-majority-structured populations with moderate degrees of in-group preference better spread and maintained an adaptation compared to populations with more equal-sized groups and weak homophily. Minority groups act as incubators for an adaptation, while majority groups act as reservoirs for an adaptation once it has spread widely. This means that adaptations diffuse throughout populations better when minority groups start out knowing an adaptation, as Indigenous populations often do, while cohesion among majority groups further promotes adaptation diffusion. Our work advances the goal of this theme issue by developing new theoretical insights and demonstrating the utility of cultural evolutionary theory and methods as important tools in the nascent science of culture that climate change adaptation needs. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture'.

Modelling the effect of travel-related policies on disease control in a meta-population structure.

Travel restrictions, while delaying the spread of an emerging disease from the source, could inflict substantial socioeconomic burden. Travel-related policies, such as quarantine and testing of travelers, may be considered as alternative strategies to mitigate the negative impact of travel bans. We developed a meta-population, delay-differential model to evaluate a strategy that combines testing of travelers prior to departure from the source of infection with quarantine and testing at exit from quarantine in the destination population. Our results, based on early parameter estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection, indicate that testing travelers at exit from quarantine is more effective in delaying case importation than testing them before departure or upon arrival. We show that a 1-day quarantine with an exit test could outperform a longer, 3-day quarantine without testing in delaying the outbreak peak. Rapid, large-scale testing capacities with short turnaround times provide important means of detecting infectious cases and reducing case importation, while shortening quarantine duration for travelers at destination.

Contribution of the nursery areas to the major fishing grounds of the Brazilian sardine (Sardinella brasiliensis) in Southeastern Brazilian Bight inferred from otolith fingerprints

In the late seventies, studies on the population structure of Sardinella brasiliensis suggested the existence of two stocks (23–25°S and 26°S−28°S) based on distinct regional somatic growth rates and spawning areas. This scenario was recently confirmed by using geochemical signatures of whole otoliths combined with basic biological data from two-year-old individuals collected in southeast-south Brazil. However, information about sardine movements and connectivity between their main juvenile recruitment areas and the adult fishing grounds is currently limited. In this work, otolith natal elemental fingerprints (core section) of recruits (age 0+) and adults (age 2+), collected respectively in the main spawning areas (2019) and fishing grounds (2021) were evaluate. Otolith geochemical signatures (element/Ca) of recruits were compared with those of adult fish from the same cohort to estimate connectivity between juvenile recruitment areas (Rio de Janeiro RJ: 22°S, São Paulo SP: 23°S and Santa Catarina SC: 26°S) and regional adult populations captured in the major fishing grounds (22–23°S, 24–25°S and 26–27°S). Uni and multi-elemental signatures showed significant differences for recruits and adult’s individuals. This variability was mainly driven by Ba/Ca, Cu/Ca and Mg/Ca ratios. Pairwise comparisons associated recruits and adults from the northern distribution area (RJ+SP), but differentiated them from those individual from south (SC). The leave-one-out matrix combining otolith fingerprints reassigned the individuals to their original areas with moderate to high accuracy, for both recruits (RJ: 79%, SP: 73% and SC: 67%) and adults (RJ: 75%, SP: 60% and SC: 69%). A multinomial logistic regression suggested that for the 2019 cohort the replenishment of adult populations of S. brasiliensis along the Southeastern Brazilian Bight was mostly derived from the northern recruitment area (RJ+SP=89%). Nonetheless, minor contribution from the southern counterparts to the northern stock was detected (11%), supporting the hypothesis of meta-population structure for this species.

Temperature, Salinity and Garlic Additive Shape the Microbial Community during Traditional Beetroot Fermentation Process.

Plant-based traditional fermented products are attracting a lot of interest in global markets. An example of them is beetroot leaven, which is valued for its high bioactive compound content. The variety of production recipes and the spontaneous nature of red beet fermentation favor its high diversity. This study aimed to analyze the impact of external factors-temperature, brine salinity, and garlic dose-on the beetroot fermentation and bacterial metapopulation responsible for this process. The research results confirmed the significant influence of the selected and analyzed factors in shaping the leaven physicochemical profile including organic acid profile and betalain content. Analysis of bacterial populations proved the crucial importance of the first 48 h of the fermentation process in establishing a stable metapopulation structure and confirmed that this is a targeted process driven by the effect of the analyzed factors. Lactobacillaceae, Enterobacteriaceae, and Leuconostocaceae were observed to be the core microbiome families of the fermented red beet. Regardless of the impact of the tested factors, the leaven maintained the status of a promising source of probiotic bacteria. The results of this research may be helpful in the development of the regional food sector and in improving the quality and safety of traditionally fermented products such as beetroot leaven.

Out to sea: ocean currents and patterns of asymmetric gene flow in an intertidal fish species.

Passive dispersal via wind or ocean currents can drive asymmetric gene flow, which influences patterns of genetic variation and the capacity of populations to evolve in response to environmental change. The mangrove rivulus fish (Kryptolebias marmoratus), hereafter "rivulus," is an intertidal fish species restricted to the highly fragmented New World mangrove forests of Central America, the Caribbean, the Bahamas, and Florida. Mangrove patches are biological islands with dramatic differences in both abiotic and biotic conditions compared to adjacent habitat. Over 1,000 individual rivulus across 17 populations throughout its range were genotyped at 32 highly polymorphic microsatellites. Range-wide population genetic structure was evaluated with five complementary approaches that found eight distinct population clusters. However, an analysis of molecular variance indicated significant population genetic structure among regions, populations within regions, sampling locations within populations, and individuals within sampling locations, indicating that rivulus has both broad- and fine-scale genetic differentiation. Integrating range-wide genetic data with biophysical modeling based on 10years of ocean current data showed that ocean currents and the distance between populations over water drive gene flow patterns on broad scales. Directional migration estimates suggested some significant asymmetries in gene flow that also were mediated by ocean currents and distance. Specifically, populations in the center of the range (Florida Keys) were identified as sinks that received migrants (and alleles) from other populations but failed to export individuals. These populations thus harbor genetic variation, perhaps even from extirpated populations across the range, but ocean currents and complex arrangements of landmasses might prevent the distribution of that genetic variation elsewhere. Hence, the inherent asymmetry of ocean currents shown to impact both genetic differentiation and directional migration rates may be responsible for the complex distribution of genetic variation across the range and observed patterns of metapopulation structure.

Estimating population viability of the northern Great Plains piping plover population considering updated population structure, climate change, and intensive management

One challenge in wildlife conservation is understanding how various threats and management actions may influence long-term population viability. This is particularly evident when there is considerable uncertainty regarding population structure and vital rates. Reassessment of current knowledge and population trends is necessary for listed species to improve management actions that benefit conservation. We present an updated population viability analysis for northern Great Plains piping plovers (Charadrius melodus circumcinctus) based on the latest scientific data on survival, fecundity, and connectivity. Further, we explore the consequences of potential management actions and the stochastic effects of global climate change on population viability through changes in survival and fecundity. Our results predict elevated risks of extinction after 50 years (0.088 – 0.373) compared to previous predictions (0.033) based on assumed conditions of low connectivity among four major breeding groups structured as a metapopulation. We explored eight scenarios based on empirically-derived, higher connectivity rates and found that the northern Great Plains population never had a mean predicted population growth rate greater than one (0.946 – 0.996). Two scenarios that simulated a reduction in adult survival showed higher extinction probabilities (0.267 – 0.373), whereas two other scenarios that simulated an increase in fecundity exhibited lower extinction probabilities (0.088 – 0.103). These results indicate that viability of the northern Great Plains population of piping plovers could be improved with management actions that increase fecundity as long as adult survival is not simultaneously reduced. Lastly, breeding groups appeared to function less independently when connectivity rates were higher, as the breeding population was divided evenly among breeding groups. This indicates that the presumed metapopulation structure of our study system may need to be re-evaluated, and that empirically-based estimates of connectivity are essential to assessing population viability of mobile species that exhibit a spatially structured distribution.