Strong Diurnal Cycle Research Articles

A Lagrangian perspective on the lifecycle and cloud radiative effect of deep convective clouds over Africa

Abstract. The anvil clouds of tropical deep convection have large radiative effects in both the shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) spectra with the average magnitudes of both over 100 W m−2. Despite this, due to the opposite sign of these fluxes, the net average of the anvil cloud radiative effect (CRE) over the tropics is observed to be neutral. Research into the response of the anvil CRE to climate change has primarily focused on the feedbacks of anvil cloud height and anvil cloud area, in particular regarding the LW feedback. However, tropical deep convection over land has a strong diurnal cycle which may couple with the shortwave component of the anvil cloud radiative effect. As this diurnal cycle is poorly represented in climate models it is vital to gain a better understanding of how its changes impact the anvil CRE. To study the connection between the deep convective cloud (DCC) lifecycle and CRE, we investigate the behaviour of both isolated and organised DCCs in a 4-month case study over sub-Saharan Africa (May–August 2016). Using a novel cloud tracking algorithm, we detect and track growing convective cores and their associated anvil clouds using geostationary satellite observations from the Meteosat Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI). Retrieved cloud properties and derived broadband radiative fluxes are provided by the Community Cloud retrieval for CLimate (CC4CL) algorithm. By collecting the cloud properties of the tracked DCCs, we produce a dataset of anvil cloud properties along their lifetimes. While the majority of DCCs tracked in this dataset are isolated, with only a single core, the overall coverage of anvil clouds is dominated by those of clustered, multi-core anvils due to their larger areas and lifetimes. We find that the anvil cloud CRE of our tracked DCCs has a bimodal distribution. The interaction between the lifecycles of DCCs and the diurnal cycle of insolation results in a wide range of the SW anvil CRE, while the LW component remains in a comparatively narrow range of values. The CRE of individual anvil clouds varies widely, with isolated DCCs tending to have large negative or positive CREs, while larger, organised systems tend to have a CRE closer to 0. Despite this, we find that the net anvil cloud CRE across all tracked DCCs is close to neutral (−0.94 ± 0.91 W m−2). Changes in the lifecycle of DCCs, such as shifts in the time of triggering, or the length of the dissipating phase, could have large impacts on the SW anvil CRE and lead to complex responses that are not considered by theories of LW anvil CRE feedbacks.

Climatology of icing conditions over Colombia based on ERA5 reanalysis and in situ observations

AbstractThis study shows vertical profiles and spatial distribution of upper‐air icing frequency over the tropical Americas. We estimated the in‐flight icing (IFI) over Colombia using the Current Icing Product‐sonde‐A algorithm over two data sets: (1) vertical soundings of temperature and relative humidity and surface station data taken at 12 Coordinated Universal Time or UTC (07 Local Time or LT) on five sites and (2) ERA5 at 00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC (19, 01, 07 and 13 LT). In either case, icing was defined for IFI values exceeding 0.01. Results show that icing tends to occur between 550 and 300 hPa (4.5 and 8.6 km altitude), with a maximum at 500–550 hPa and monotonically decreasing to zero until reaching 300 hPa. Aeronautic reports were used to evaluate the total column IFI and a layer‐based IFI detection with a probability of detection of 87% and 71%, respectively. The annual cycle of IFI is modulated by the meridional migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) with a bimodal distribution with peaks during the rainiest seasons. Spatially, IFI hotspots are found in the Pacific, the Andes Mountains and the Amazonia regions of Colombia; the northern Colombia Caribbean region show lower IFI frequency with a relative maximum collocated over the Sierra Nevada de Santa Marta mountains. The IFI exhibits a strong diurnal cycle with a high between night‐time to early morning and a low around noon.

A population-based study of children suggests blunted morning cortisol rhythms are associated with alterations of the systemic inflammatory state

BackgroundIn children, digital media, lifestyle, and the COVID pandemic have impacted sunlight exposure, exercise, and diet patterns - cues that entrain the circadian clock. We hypothesized that low morning cortisol reflects a weak circadian clock, impacting the pro-inflammatory state. The primary objective was to test relationships between diurnal cortisol fluctuations and the inflammatory state in children as a means of providing indirect support for this hypothesis. MethodsThe Cardiovascular Health Intervention Program (CHIP) was a population-based cross-sectional and longitudinal study of circadian health in public elementary school children in Southern Maine, USA (recruitment period 2012–2017). Participants were 689 students in 4th grade (baseline; age=9.2 ± 0.4 years), and 647 students in 5th grade (age=10.5 ± 0.5 years). Nine salivary cortisol measures per child (2 awakening and 1 prior to bed for 3 sequential days) (n = 1336 child phenotype days; n = 7987 cortisol assays), 10 cytokines measured in morning and evening saliva samples (n = 202 child phenotype days), and lipids were measured. Clinical outcomes were blood pressure, weight and height (body mass index [BMI]; BMI = kg/m2), among others. FindingsUpon-waking cortisol levels were 0.28 ± 0.13 µg/dL, 30-minute post-waking 0.33 ± 0.15 µg/dL, and evening 0.08 ± 0.10 µg/dL. Salivary cytokine levels (n = 202) showed interleukins (IL) IL-1β and IL-8 were highest in early morning (upon awakening; AM), and IL-6 and tumor necrosis factor (TNF) TNF-α highest before bed (PM) (IL-1β AM > PM [−4.02 fold; p < 0.001]; IL-8 AM > PM [−1.36 fold; p < 0.001]; IL-6 AM < PM [+1.49 fold; p < 0.001]; TNF-α AM < PM [+1.73 fold; p = 0.03]. Regression modeling showed high morning cortisol was associated with high morning IL-1β (p = 3.82 ×10−6), but low evening IL-1β (p = 6.27 ×10−4). Regression modeling of BMI z-score as the response variable showed the expected significant relationships to high density lipoprotein (HDL) (negative; p < 0.001), mean arterial pressure (positive; p < 0.001), and morning cortisol (negative; p = 0.01) but only weak relationships to either evening cortisol (p = 0.1) or cytokine (positive; p = 0.02; from the model with smallest Rsquared) levels. InterpretationWe provide preliminary data on diurnal fluctuations of inflammatory cytokines in saliva in a population-based cohort of children. Correlation of morning and evening cortisol levels with inflammatory cytokines in the same saliva samples showed that high morning cortisol was associated with high morning IL-1β and low evening IL-1β. Future studies may test the hypothesis that strong diurnal cycling of IL-1β may serve as a homeostatic mechanism keeping the immune system in check, and that low morning cortisol (possible circadian misalignment) may lead to less stringent control of inflammatory networks.

Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the diurnal cycles of convection and precipitation over the Congo Basin

The Congolese rainforest is a hotspot for convection where thunderstorms and rainfall exhibit a strong diurnal cycle. Previous studies have shown that various modes of variability such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), the leading mode of intraseasonal variability in the tropics, can impact the diurnal cycles of precipitation and convection over tropical land areas. Thus, this study analyzes the influence of the MJO on diurnal variations of convection and precipitation over the Congo and explores possible mechanisms leading to the observed changes, using Gridded Satellite (GridSat-B1), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), and ERA5 reanalysis data. Results show that convection and precipitation are increased during the MJO enhanced convective phase (RMM phases 1 and 2) and decreased during the suppressed convective phase (RMM phases 5 and 6), where the differences are found to be largest during the morning hours when convection is weakest. Convection is generally deeper during the enhanced phase and shallower during the suppressed phase, accompanied by a slower decay of convective clouds and anvils during the enhanced phase. Furthermore, the influence of the MJO was found to be stronger on stratiform precipitation compared to convective precipitation. While the diurnal cycles of convective precipitation fractions are similar during both MJO phases, the fraction of stratiform precipitation is higher during the enhanced phase, mainly in the morning hours. Suggested atmospheric drivers contributing to the observed differences between the two MJO phases include enhanced upward air motion in the mid- and upper levels and strong divergence in the upper levels during the enhanced phase, and strong mid-level divergence and upper- to mid-level subsidence during the suppressed phase, mainly during the nighttime and morning hours. Furthermore, decreased mid-level wind speed, increased upper-level wind speed, and enhanced relative humidity may be contributing factors to the increased formation of stratiform precipitation during the enhanced phase. These results enhance our understanding of the MJO's impacts on precipitation and convection variability, ultimately improving predictions of MJO modulated rainfall over the Congo.

The role of the Kuroshio Current on the diurnal cycle of Meiyu-Baiu rainband in mid-June

This study investigated the mechanism of the strong diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Kuroshio Current (KC) in mid-June when the climatological location of the Meiyu-Baiu (MB) front is aligned with the KC. The diurnal cycle of precipitation exhibits double peaks, with the primary peak in the morning (03–12 LST) and the secondary peak in the afternoon (12–15 LST). It was revealed that the morning peak is induced by convective instability associated with the large temperature difference between the sea surface and the surface air (TDiff), whereas the cross-frontal circulation is responsible for the afternoon peak. In the morning, heating from the KC intensifies as the TDiff maximizes. Intensified convective instability due to the enhanced heating from the KC increases the mean amount of convective precipitation (CP) as well as the probability of stronger CP. The surface wind convergence and the confluence sustaining the convection intensify the frontogenesis, which leads to the maximization of the frontal intensity in the afternoon. The afternoon peak of precipitation is in accordance with the intensified MB front and the associated cross-frontal circulation. However, direct contribution of diabatic heating to the frontogenesis is relatively weak. This study provides a physical understanding of the intensified diurnal cycle of MB rainfall in terms of the interaction between oceanic and atmospheric fronts, the KC and MB, respectively.

Environmental impact of water exchange blocking in a strait – a multidisciplinary study in the Baltic Sea

In this study, we report the environmental impact of water exchange blocking by a 3 km road dam built in 1896 in the shallow Väike Strait, north-eastern Baltic Sea. Using a multidisciplinary measurement campaign and numerical simulations, we show ecological conditions in the strait have considerably altered; the previously free-flowing strait now comprises two bays with separate circulation systems. Water exchange in the area close to the dam has decreased 10–12-fold. Since advection is weakened, exchange with the atmosphere and sediments has a relatively greater role in shaping water characteristics. Consequently, occasional very high sea surface temperature, salinity, and total nitrogen, and strong diurnal cycles in water temperature (>4°C) and dissolved oxygen (>4 mg l−1) were observed near the dam in summer. Oxygen levels are continuously below saturation in winter and concentration occasionally drops to hypoxic levels with ice cover. Nitrogen content in sediments near the dam is 3–4 times higher than in neighboring areas. The dam also modifies sea level, wind wave and suspended matter patterns in the strait. Sediments near the dam show elevated content of hazardous substances likely associated with traffic on the dam road. The phytobenthos community near the dam is dominated by annual green algae, which massively decompose during winter. The dam likely impedes fish migration between suitable feeding and spawning areas, also there have been fish kills caused by rapid fluctuations in sea levels, amplified by dam. The construction of new openings would alleviate negative impacts of the dam.

Evaluation of the Near-Surface Variables in the HRRR Weather Model Using Observations from the ARM SGP Site

Abstract The performance of version 4 of the NOAA High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) numerical weather prediction model for near-surface variables, including wind, humidity, temperature, surface latent and sensible fluxes, and longwave and shortwave radiative fluxes, is examined over the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) region. The study evaluated the model’s bias and bias-corrected mean absolute error relative to the observations on different time scales. Forecasts of near-surface geophysical variables at five SGP sites (HRRR at 3-km scale) were found to agree well with observations, but some consistent observation–forecast differences also occurred. Sensible and latent heat fluxes are the most challenging variables to be reproduced. The diurnal cycle is the main temporal scale affecting observation–forecast differences of the near-surface variables, and almost all of the variables showed different biases throughout the diurnal cycle. Results show that the overestimation of downward shortwave and the underestimation of downward longwave radiative flux are the two major biases found in this study. The timing and magnitude of downward longwave flux, wind speed, and sensible and latent heat fluxes are also different with contributions from model representations, data assimilation limitations, and differences in scales between HRRR and SGP sites. The positive bias in downward shortwave and negative bias in longwave radiation suggests that the model is underestimating cloud fraction in the study domain. The study concludes by showing a brief comparison with version 3 of the HRRR and shows that version 4 has better performance in almost all near-surface variables. Significance Statement A correct representation of the near-surface variables is important for numerical weather prediction models. This study investigates the capability of the latest NOAA High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRRv4) model in simulating the near-surface variables by comparing against the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) in situ observations. Among others, we find that the surface heat fluxes, such as sensible and latent heat fluxes, are the most difficult variables to be reproduced. This study also shows that the diurnal cycle has the dominant impact on the model’s performance, which means the majority of the outputted near-surface variables have the strong diurnal cycle in their bias errors.

Beneficial role of diurnal smoothing for grid integration of wind power

Smoothing of generation variability, i.e. reduction of variance in the aggregate generation is crucial for grid integration of large-scale wind power plants. Prior studies of smoothing have focused on geographical smoothing, based on distance. In contrast, we propose a novel concept ‘diurnal smoothing’ that depends on spatial variations in the timing of seasonal-mean diurnal cycle peak. Considering the case of India, which experiences a strong diurnal cycle of wind-speed, we show how spatial heterogeneity in the wind diurnal cycle can be exploited to smooth wind power variability over and above geographical smoothing. For any given separation distance between sites, the hourly wind speed correlation is highly variable. Difference in timing of the diurnal cycle peak is an important factor for explaining this variability and we define smoothing from differently timed seasonal-mean diurnal cycle as ‘diurnal smoothing’. We show that apart from separation distance, the diurnal cycle is crucial for correlation among sites separated by 200 km or more with strong diurnal cycles (amplitude more than approximately 0.5 m s−1). Thus, diurnal smoothing is a vital factor in the aggregation of large wind power plants, and grid integration is benefited by considering (in addition to distance) new wind plant sites with largely separated diurnal cycles, especially those differing by roughly 12 h. Such diurnal smoothing is relevant for regions across the world with strong wind speed diurnal cycles. Ultimately grid integration depends on variations in total wind and solar generation and demand. Hence, their combined effects must be studied.

Orographic Controls over Convection in an Inter-Andean Valley in Northern South America

Abstract Convective processes are critical in the northernmost section of the Andes, where highly complex orography combines with tropical dynamics to produce intense precipitating systems. Data from satellite and ground radar have shown that Colombia’s central Magdalena valley has a marked precipitation diurnal cycle, with high rainfall rates produced by deep convective events that intensify on the foothills of the surrounding valley. This study aims to contribute to the understanding of the orographic controls imposed on the convective activity observed in this important tropical valley. The atmospheric environments associated with convective events are assessed using WRF high-resolution simulations for a two-week period that includes intense rainfall events and marked dry spells. In addition, a simulation with modified orography is evaluated to analyze further the effect of topography in controlling the observed convective systems. The results suggest that northward and southward wind regimes channeled by the valley’s topography and cross-valley flow result in a robust nocturnal convergence zone, which is associated with the strong diurnal cycle and the valley configuration. Furthermore, northerly low-level flow is an important source of moisture for convection in the valley. Additionally, results show midlevel tropospheric heating enhancement during days with more rainfall produced by convective systems in the western slope of the valley. The modified topography simulation suggests that circulation and precipitation in the valley are strongly dependent on the actual terrain features.

The Tropical Diurnal Cycle under Varying States of the Monsoonal Background Wind

Abstract The impact of the environmental background wind on the diurnal cycle near tropical islands is examined in observations and an idealized model. Luzon Island in the northern Philippines is used as an observational test case. Composite diurnal cycles of CMORPH precipitation are constructed based on an index derived from the first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) of ERA5 zonal wind profiles. A strong precipitation diurnal cycle and pronounced offshore propagation in the leeward direction tends to occur on days with a weak, offshore prevailing wind. Strong background winds, particularly in the onshore direction, are associated with a suppressed diurnal cycle. Idealized high-resolution 2D Cloud Model 1 (CM1) simulations test the dependence of the diurnal cycle on environmental wind speed and direction by nudging the model base state toward composite profiles derived from the reanalysis zonal wind index. These simulations can qualitatively replicate the observed development, strength, and offshore propagation of diurnally generated convection under varying wind regimes. Under strong background winds, the land–sea contrast is reduced, which leads to a substantial reduction in the strength of the sea-breeze circulation and precipitation diurnal cycle. Weak offshore prevailing winds favor a strong diurnal cycle and offshore leeward propagation, with the direction of propagation highly sensitive to the background wind in the lower free troposphere. Offshore propagation speed appears consistent with density current theory rather than a direct coupling to a single gravity wave mode, though gravity waves may contribute to a destabilization of the offshore environment.

Effect of dust on rainfall over the Red Sea coast based on WRF-Chem model simulations

Abstract. Water is the single most important element of life. Rainfall plays an important role in the spatial and temporal distribution of this precious natural resource, and it has a direct impact on agricultural production, daily life activities, and human health. One of the important elements that govern rainfall formation and distribution is atmospheric aerosol, which also affects the Earth's radiation balance and climate. Therefore, understanding how dust compositions and distributions affect the regional rainfall pattern is crucial, particularly in regions with high atmospheric dust loads such as the Middle East. Although aerosol and rainfall research has garnered increasing attention as both an independent and interdisciplinary topic in the last few decades, the details of various direct and indirect pathways by which dust affects rainfall are not yet fully understood. Here, we explored the effects of dust on rainfall formation and distribution as well as the physical mechanisms that govern these phenomena, using high-resolution WRF-Chem simulations (∼ 1.5 km × 1.5 km) configured with an advanced double-moment cloud microphysics scheme coupled with a sectional eight-bin aerosol scheme. Our model-simulated results were realistic, as evaluated from multiple perspectives including vertical profiles of aerosol concentrations, aerosol size distributions, vertical profiles of air temperature, diurnal wind cycles, and spatio-temporal rainfall patterns. Rainfall over the Red Sea coast is mainly caused by warm rain processes, which are typically confined within a height of ∼ 6 km over the Sarawat mountains and exhibit a strong diurnal cycle that peaks in the evening at approximately 18:00 local time under the influence of sea breezes. Numerical experiments indicated that dust could both suppress or enhance rainfall. The effect of dust on rainfall was calculated as total, indirect, and direct effects, based on 10-year August-average daily-accumulated rainfall over the study domain covering the eastern Red Sea coast. For extreme rainfall events (domain-average daily-accumulated rainfall of ≥ 1.33 mm), the net effect of dust on rainfall was positive or enhancement (6.05 %), with the indirect effect (4.54 %) and direct effect (1.51 %) both causing rainfall increase. At a 5 % significance level, the total and indirect effects were statistically significant whereas the direct effect was not. For normal rainfall events (domain-average daily-accumulated rainfall &lt; 1.33 mm), the indirect effect enhanced rainfall (4.76 %) whereas the direct effect suppressed rainfall (−5.78 %), resulting in a negative net suppressing effect (−1.02 %), all of which were statistically significant. We investigated the possible physical mechanisms of the effects and found that the rainfall suppression by dust direct effects was mainly caused by the scattering of solar radiation by dust. The surface cooling induced by dust weakens the sea breeze circulation, which decreases the associated landward moisture transport, ultimately suppressing rainfall. For extreme rainfall events, dust causes net rainfall enhancement through indirect effects as the high dust concentration facilitates raindrops to grow when the water vapor is sufficiently available. Our results have broader scientific and environmental implications. Specifically, although dust is considered a problem from an air quality perspective, our results highlight the important role of dust on sea breeze circulation and associated rainfall over the Red Sea coastal regions. Our results also have implications for cloud seeding and water resource management.

Venus boundary layer dynamics: Eolian transport and convective vortex

Few spacecraft have studied the dynamics of Venus’ deep atmosphere, which is needed to understand the interactions between the surface and atmosphere. Recent global simulations suggest a strong effect of the diurnal cycle of surface winds on the depth of the planetary boundary layer. We propose to use a turbulent-resolving model to characterize the Venus boundary layer and the impact of surface winds for the first time. Simulations were performed in the low plain and high terrain at the Equator and noon and midnight. A strong diurnal cycle is resolved in the high terrain, with a convective layer reaching 7 km above the local surface and vertical wind of 1.3 m/s. The boundary layer depth in the low plain is consistent with the observed wavelength of the dune fields. At noon, the resolved surface wind field for both locations is strong enough to lift dust particles and engender micro-dunes. Convective vortices are resolved for the first time on Venus.

The diurnal cycle of the lightning potential index over the Mexican tropical continental region during tropical cyclone Bud

AbstractAtmospheric processes over the Mexican continental territory can be influenced by the occurrence of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the adjacent oceans. Furthermore, the Mexican territory is characterized by the presence of diurnal cycles of lightning. The Lightning Potential Index (LPI), that is a measure of the potential for charge generation and separation that leads to lightning production in convective storms, was assessed for the diurnal variability of lightning that exhibited a strong diurnal cycle over the Mexican continental territory when TC Bud was over the adjacent eastern Pacific Ocean. The assessment, from 0000 UTC 10 June to 2000 UTC 15 June 2018, used the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with a new hybrid terrain‐following sigma‐pressure vertical coordinate. Two ensembles with various cumulus and microphysical parameterizations were performed with a grid spacing of 2 km. In one ensemble, sea surface temperature (SST) was prescribed from the Real‐time global (RTG) SST analysis product and allowed to evolve interactively with the modeled atmosphere. Then, all the ensemble members were compared against available observations from the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) to evaluate which model configurations perform best. It is not known if the LPI is capable of reproducing diurnal cycles of lightning over tropical regions; and the results allow gaining an understanding of the LPI when it reproduces the observed diurnal variability of lightning over land. The ensemble members that had better performances were those that included the prescribed SST.

Historical analysis (2001–2019) of low‐level wind shear at the Hong Kong International Airport

AbstractThis paper analyses over 10,000 quality‐controlled pilot reports of low‐level wind shear (‘wind shear’) at the Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA; ICAO code: VHHH) between 2001 and 2019. HKIA is well known for its susceptibility to wind shear, which is a potential hazard for aircraft during landing and take‐off. Wind shear at HKIA exhibits strong seasonality with double peaks in the middle of the spring and summer months. There is a strong diurnal cycle in report numbers, peaking towards the afternoon, as modulated by air traffic at HKIA. On average, there are 115 days per year with wind shear reported, with possible power law distribution in the number of days with different number of reports. By comparing the background wind distribution during those minutes with pilot reports against the climatological distribution, wind shear is observed to be, on average, favoured under higher wind speeds (≥6 m s−1) and reduced under lower speeds with shifted frequency peak and heavier tail, although statistical behaviour can differ significantly across individual runway corridors. Preferred background wind directions for wind shear occurrence highlight the role of terrain influence upstream of HKIA. While positive shear (65.6%) is more often reported than negative shear (34.4%), both types of wind shear events appear to follow an exponential distribution in shear magnitude, with similar rates of decay. This is by far the largest statistical study of low‐level wind shear at an airport. Results can serve as an important local reference in addition to being a useful example for airports around the world.

Amazonian Moisture Recycling Revisited Using WRF With Water Vapor Tracers

AbstractPrevious studies have estimated that 25%–35% of Amazonian precipitation comes from evapotranspiration (ET) within the basin. However, due to simplifying assumptions of traditional models, these studies primarily focus on large spatial and temporal scales. This study is the first to analyze the moisture of Amazonian origin at the annual to daily timescale in four different subregions of the Amazon. We analyze the sources, sinks and stores of moisture that originates as Amazonian ET. To do this, we use the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) regional meteorological model with the added capability of water vapor tracers to track this moisture. Moisture of Amazonian origin shows strong annual and semi‐annual signals, with contrasting behavior between the northern and southern parts of the basin. The tracers reveal a strong diurnal cycle of Amazonian water vapor which had not been previously reported. This signal is related to the diurnal cycle of ET, convective precipitation and advected moisture. ET's contribution to atmospheric moisture increases from early morning into the afternoon. Some of this moisture is rained out through convective storms in the early evening. Later in the night and following morning, strong winds associated with the South American Low Level Jet advect moisture downwind. The beating pattern becomes apparent when visualizing the Amazonian water vapor as an animation.

Methodology to determine the coupling of continental clouds with surface and boundary layer height under cloudy conditions from lidar and meteorological data

Abstract. The states of coupling between clouds and surface or boundary layer have been investigated much more extensively for marine stratocumulus clouds than for continental low clouds, partly due to more complex thermodynamic structures over land. A manifestation is a lack of robust remote sensing methods to identify coupled and decoupled clouds over land. Following the idea for determining cloud coupling over the ocean, we have generalized the concept of coupling and decoupling to low clouds over land, based on potential temperature profiles. Furthermore, by using ample measurements from lidar and a suite of surface meteorological instruments at the U.S. Department of Energy's Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program's Southern Great Plains site from 1998 to 2019, we have developed a method to simultaneously retrieve the planetary boundary layer (PBL) height (PBLH) and coupled states under cloudy conditions during the daytime. The new lidar-based method relies on the PBLH, the lifted condensation level, and the cloud base to diagnose the cloud coupling. The coupled states derived from this method are highly consistent with those derived from radiosondes. Retrieving the PBLH under cloudy conditions, which has been a persistent problem in lidar remote sensing, is resolved in this study. Our method can lead to high-quality retrievals of the PBLH under cloudy conditions and the determination of cloud coupling states. With the new method, we find that coupled clouds are sensitive to changes in the PBL with a strong diurnal cycle, whereas decoupled clouds and the PBL are weakly related. Since coupled and decoupled clouds have distinct features, our new method offers an advanced tool to separately investigate them in climate systems.

Diurnal cycle of precipitation and near-surface atmospheric conditions over the maritime continent: land\u2013sea contrast and impacts of ambient winds in cloud-permitting simulations

A set of cloud-permitting-scale numerical simulations during January–February 2018 is used to examine the diurnal cycle (DC) of precipitation and near-surface variables (e.g., 2 m temperature, 10 m wind and convergence) over the Indo-Pacific Maritime Continent under the impacts of shore-orthogonal ambient winds (SOAWs). It is found that the DC of these variables and their variabilities of daily maxima, minima, and diurnal amplitudes vary over land, sea, and coastal regions. Among all variables, the DC of precipitation has the highest linear correlation with near-surface convergence (near-surface temperature) over coastal (noncoastal) regions. The correlations among the DCs of precipitation, wind, and heating are greater over the ocean than over land. Sine curves can model accurately the DCs of most variables over the ocean, but not over land. SOAWs act to influence the DC mainly by affecting the diurnal amplitude of the considered variables, with DC being stronger under more strengthened offshore SOAWs, though variable dependence and regional variability exist. Composite analysis over Sumatra reveals that under weak SOAWs, shallow clouds are dominant and cause a pre-moistening effect, supporting shallow-to-deep convection transition. A sea breeze circulation (SBC) with return flow aloft can develop rapidly. Cold pools are better able to trigger new updrafts and contribute to the upscale growth and inland migration of deep convection. In addition, warm gravity waves can propagate upward throughout the troposphere, thereby supporting a strong DC. In contrast, under strong SOAWs, both shallow and middle-high clouds prevail and persist throughout the day. The evolution of moistening and SBC is reduced, leading to weak variation in vertical motion and rainwater confined to the boundary layer. Large-scale winds, moisture, and convection are discussed to interpret how strong SOAWs affect the DC of Sumatra.

The Diurnal Cycle of Winter Season Temperature Errors in the Operational Global Forecast System (GFS)

AbstractForecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the High‐Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) weather models are matched to surface observations for the winter season of November 2019 to March 2020 at 210 airports across the United States. The 2‐m temperature errors, conditioned on observed weather conditions such as cloud cover amount and wind speed, are used to determine the nature of systematic model biases. We observe a strong diurnal cycle in 2‐m temperature errors in the GFS in conditions with 50% and 25% sky cover, with a 1°C warm bias at night and a 2°C cold bias during the day. The HRRR, which uses a different set of physical parameterizations, does not have a clear diurnal cycle in errors under the same conditions. These results highlight the utility of weather‐conditional comparisons across the diurnal cycle to diagnose sources of model weaknesses and to target model improvements.

Hourly emission inventories for air toxic emissions for eastern Australian electricity generators derived from energy distribution data

Emission inventories are a fundamental input for atmospheric chemical transport models in order to accurately simulate air pollution and its impacts. In Australia, emission inventories are currently not available for electricity generators at high temporal and spatial resolutions. In this study, a new high spatial and temporal resolution inventory for Australian power plant emissions has been developed. The emissions from coal- and gas-fired power plants have been estimated using 5-min electricity generation time-series data and emission factors. The emissions are estimated from 2010 to 2019 for sulfur dioxide (\(\hbox {SO}_2\)), nitrogen oxide (\(\hbox {NO}_{2}\)), particulate matter (PM) and mercury (Hg). We estimate that, for 2019, the coal-fired power plants in Australia emitted significant amounts of \(\hbox {SO}_2\) (485.7 kTonne) and \(\hbox {NO}_{2}\) (452 kTonne), as there are no sulfur dioxide or nitrogen oxide controls in place. In contrast, PM emissions are mitigated by particulate matter control devices and coal-fired power plants emit an estimated 27.48 and 13.46 kTonne of \(\hbox {PM}_{10}\) and \(\hbox {PM}_{2.5}\), respectively. Coal-fired power plants were responsible for an estimated 3.13 tonnes of Hg emissions. Gas-fired plant emissions are significantly lower than coal-fired power emissions for all pollutants. Temporal analysis showed that coal- and gas-fired power plant emissions vary quite markedly during the day and over the week. There is a strong diurnal cycle in the gas-fired emissions, which, if ignored by assuming constant emissions (such as is routinely done), will lead to significant errors in modeled air pollution.

Characteristics and Source Apportionment of Black Carbon (BC) in a Suburban Area of Klang Valley, Malaysia

Black carbon (BC) is of concern due to its contribution to poor air quality and its adverse effects human health. We carried out the first real-time monitoring of BC in Malaysia using an AE33 Aethalometer. Measurements were conducted between 1 January and 31 May 2020 in a university area in a suburban location of the Klang Valley. The measurement period coincided with the implementation of a movement control order (MCO) in response to COVID-19. The mean concentration of BC before the MCO was 2.34 µg/m3 which decreased by 38% to 1.45 µg/m3 during the MCO. The BC is dominated by fossil-fuel sources (mean proportion BCff = 79%). During the MCO, the BCff concentration decreased by more than the BCbb concentration derived from biomass burning. BC and BCff show very strong diurnal cycles, which also show some weekday–weekend differences, with maxima during the night and just before noon, and minima in the afternoon. These patterns indicate strong influences on concentrations from both traffic emissions and boundary layer depth. BC was strongly correlated with NO2 (R = 0.71), another marker of traffic emission, but less strongly with PM2.5 (R = 0.52). The BC absorption Ångström exponent (AAE) ranged between 1.1 and 1.6. We observed pronounced diurnal cycles of lower AAE in daytime, corresponding to BCff contributions from traffic. Average AAE also showed a pronounced increase during the MCO. Our data provides a new reference for BC in suburban Malaysia for the public and policy-makers, and a baseline for future measurements.