To develop an imaging prediction model for patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), we investigated the association of topographic diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) patterns with potential embolic sources (PES) identified by transesophageal echocardiography. From atotal of 992 consecutive patients with embolic stroke, 366 patients with the ESUS group were selected. ESUS was defined as no atrial fibrillation (Af) within 24h from admission and no PES after general examination. Clinical variables include age (> 80years, 70-80 years), sex, vascular risk factors and left atrial diameter > 4 cm. Age, sex and vascular risk factors adjusted odds ratio of each DWI for the different PESs were calculated. DWI was determined based on the arterial territories. Middle cerebral arteries were divided into 4segments, i.e., M1-M4. Moreover, M2segments were subdivided into superior and inferior branches. The 366 patients consisted of 168 with paroxysmal Af (pAf), 77with paradoxical embolism, 71with aortic embolism and 50with undetermined embolism after transesophageal echocardiography. The variables adjusted odds ratio (OR) of internal carotid artery (OR: 12.1, p = 0.037), M1(4.2, p = 0.001), inferior M2(7.5, p = 0.0041) and multiple cortical branches (12.6, p < 0.0001) were significantly higher in patients with pAf. Striatocapsular infarction (12.5, p < 0.0001) and posterior inferior cerebellar artery infarcts (3.6, p = 0.018) were significantly associated with paradoxical embolism. Clinical variables adjusted OR of multiple small scattered infarcts (8.3, p < 0.0001) were significantly higher in patients with aortic embolism. The associations of DWI with different PES have their distinctive characteristics and DWI along with clinical variables may help predict PES in patients with ESUS.
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