Passage Of Storm Research Articles

Occurrence of an unusual extensive ice-free feature within the pack ice of the central Weddell Sea, Antarctica

We investigate an unusual extensive ice-free feature (EIF) within the pack ice that developed in the central Weddell Sea in December 1980 on the edge of the multi-year sea ice off the east coast of the Antarctic Peninsula. The EIF was first apparent on satellite imagery on 8 December 1980 and expanded until it reached its largest areal extent of ~5.4 × 105 km2 on 26 December. The combined influences of near-record strength ( ~ 15 ms−1) cold winds from the Antarctic continent (transporting sea ice northward and creating an area of thin ice), increased shortwave radiation and net heat flux into the ocean, passage of deep polar storms, and the upwelling of high saline warm water led to the opening of this unique EIF. It is still the largest ice-free feature within the pack ice resembling a polynya observed in the central Weddell Sea during the satellite era, contributing significantly to the 1981 Weddell Sea sea ice extent minimum of 0.793 × 106 km2, the lowest on record. The development mechanism of this EIF was different from the 1970’s Weddell open ocean polynya which occurred within the winter sea ice cover through enhanced ocean convection.

Improving the Statistical Representation of Tropical Cyclone In-Storm Sea Surface Temperature Cooling

Abstract This study uses fixed buoy time series to create an algorithm for sea surface temperature (SST) cooling underneath a tropical cyclone (TC) inner core. To build predictive equations, SST cooling is first related to single variable predictors such as the SST before storm arrival, ocean heat content (OHC), mixed layer depth, sea surface salinity and stratification, storm intensity, storm translation speed, and latitude. Of all the single variable predictors, initial SST before storm arrival explains the greatest amount of variance for the change in SST during storm passage. Using a combination of predictors, we created nonlinear predictive equations for SST cooling. In general, the best predictive equations have four predictors and are built with knowledge about the prestorm ocean structure (e.g., OHC), storm intensity (e.g., minimum sea level pressure), initial SST values before storm arrival, and latitude. The best-performing SST cooling equations are broken up into two ocean regimes: when the ocean heat content is less than 60 kJ cm−2 (greater spread in SST cooling values) and when the ocean heat content is greater than 60 kJ cm−2 (SST cooling is always less than 2°C), which demonstrates the importance of the prestorm oceanic thermal structure on the in-storm SST value. The new equations are compared to what is currently used in a statistical–dynamical model. Overall, since the ocean providing the latent heat and sensible heat fluxes necessary for TC intensification, the results highlight the importance for consistently obtaining accurate in-storm upper-oceanic thermal structure for accurate TC intensity forecasts. Significance Statement The ocean provides the heat and moisture necessary for tropical cyclone (TC) intensification. Since the heat and moisture transfer depend on the sea surface temperature (SST), we create statistical equations for the prediction of SST underneath the storm. The variables we use combine the initial SST before the storm arrives, the upper-ocean thermal structure, and the strength and translation speed of the storm. The predictive equations for SST are evaluated for how well they improve TC intensity forecasts. The best-performing equations can be used for prediction in operational statistical models, which can aid intensity forecasts.

Bryan Pitts. Until the Storm Passes: Politicians, Democracy, and the Demise of Brazil’s Military Dictatorship.

Bryan Pitts. <i>Until the Storm Passes: Politicians, Democracy, and the Demise of Brazil’s Military Dictatorship</i>.

Nonlinearities detection in river-tide interaction in Río Negro hydrographic lower basin (Argentina) using higher-order spectra

The nonlinear interactions between river discharge, astronomical tidal wave, and local geomorphology during storm passage or water release from upstream dams can produce severe floods in the Río Negro lower basin (Argentina). For this reason, this paper aims to detect and study nonlinear processes in this area. The watercourse hydrodynamics was described using hourly water level data from three limnigraphs during 2003 – 2021 and flow time series. The tide gauge dataset was employed to describe the influence of tidal cycles on the hydrological regimen. Nonlinear processes' impact on the astronomical tidal cycle and river discharge was analyzed using Harmonic Analysis, and Fourier higher-order spectra, also it was complemented with the selection of two study cases. Harmonic Analysis results showed that the tidal wave entry upstream of the Río Negro modulates its hydrological regime, presenting the water column semidiurnal variations. Also, high-order spectral analysis detected nonlinear interactions in the signal in storm conditions with an energetic redistribution among the linear tidal constituents toward shallow water harmonics. Additionally, nonlinear interactions provoked a delay in the tidal ebb phase with a consequential extension of flooding duration time. This type of study contributes to the knowledge of the flood mechanisms activated during a storm.

Politicians and Popular Mobilization Against Brazil's Military Dictatorship - Until the Storm Passes: Politicians, Democracy, and the Demise of Brazil's Military Dictatorship. By Bryan Pitts. Oakland: University of California Press, 2023. Pp, 268. $24.95 paper.

Politicians and Popular Mobilization Against Brazil's Military Dictatorship - Until the Storm Passes: Politicians, Democracy, and the Demise of Brazil's Military Dictatorship. By Bryan Pitts. Oakland: University of California Press, 2023. Pp, 268. $24.95 paper.

CONTRIBUTION TO THE DETECTION OF CYCLONES BY COUPLING THE CONVOLUTIONAL NEURAL NETWORK WITH THE BARYCENTRIC CALCULATION OF AN IMAGE

The material and human losses caused by the passage of a cyclone are becoming increasingly significant for countries located in tropical areas. Under the effect of climate change, we see from the analysis of data published each year that the power of these tropical cyclones multiplies over time. The direct impacts left by the passage of a strong storm, such as flooding, destruction of infrastructure and especially human loss, increase each year.

Impact of Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, and Coastal Extratropical Storms on Indoor Air VOC Concentrations

AbstractUnderstanding vapor intrusion (VI) temporal variability is key for the design of sampling strategies intended to assess reasonable maximum exposure of indoor air concentrations of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) as well as risk evaluation and mitigation planning. VI temporal variability has previously been shown to be dependent on the complex interactions of multiple independent variables—meteorological, hydrogeological, and human behavioral. Several meteorological variables, including barometric pressure, wind speed, and rainfall, are linked during tropical and extratropical storm events. High‐frequency meteorological and indoor VOC data from a series of seven tropical storms and four extratropical storms were collected at a single industrial building with multiple heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) zones. The storms and sampling zones showed a variety of effects on trichloroethylene (TCE) concentrations in indoor air. In one zone (supply room), increases in TCE concentrations often, but not always, closely coincided with decreasing barometric pressure, sustained wind speeds over 32 km/h (20 mph), and differential pressures indicating subslab to indoor flow. A second zone, in a restroom, did not show a consistent pattern of temporal correlation between meteorological factors and indoor air concentrations. While peak indoor air concentrations may be associated with the passage of cyclonic storms at some sampling locations, this does not appear to be generalizable to all sampling locations. The observed increase in indoor air concentration potentially attributable to these storms is typically less than an order of magnitude and the duration ranges from a day to a week.

Chlorophyll bloom triggered by tropical storm chedza at the southern tip of madagascar island

Abstract A phytoplankton bloom during the passage of Tropical Storm (TS) Chedza was observed at the southern tip of Madagascar on January 28, 2015. The mechanisms of the chlorophyll bloom were researched with satellite remote sensing data, reanalysis data and Argo buoy data. The results show that there was horizontal transport of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) with the western coastal current of Madagascar and the South East Madagascar Current (SEMC). At the southern tip of Madagascar, there was a tilted anticyclonic eddy moving westward, which promoted the flow of nitrate at depths from 60 m to 100 m northward into Box A for a month. Simultaneously, the SEMC formed another anticyclonic eddy entering Box C. Following the passage of TS Chedza, cyclone vorticity in Box A increased continuously, and the upwelling became stronger with Ekman pumping. At the same time, the barrier layer weakened, the mixed layer deepened, and the thermocline decreased, which can uplift the nitrate to the upper ocean. After the passage of TS Chedza, sufficient photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) facilitated the Chl-a bloom in Box A. This study contributes to the assessment of the ecological impact of ocean eddies at the southern tip of Madagascar.

ENSO sentinels in the Americas' humid tropics: We need combined hydrometric and isotopic monitoring for improved El Niño and La Niña impact prediction

AbstractThis Scientific Briefing presents results from a nearly 10‐year hydrometric and isotope monitoring network across north‐central Costa Rica, a region known as a headwater‐dependent system. This monitoring system has recorded different El Niño and La Niña events and the direct/indirect effects of several hurricane and tropical storm passages. Our results show that El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts a significant but predictable impact on rainfall amount anomalies, groundwater level and spring discharge, as evidenced by second‐order water isotope parameters (e.g., line conditioned‐excess or line‐conditioned (LC)‐excess). Sea surface temperature anomaly (El Niño Region 3) is correlated with a reduction in mean annual and cold front rainfall across the headwaters of north‐central Costa Rica. During El Niño conditions, rainfall is substantially reduced (up to 69.2%) during the critical cold fronts period, limiting groundwater recharge and promoting an early onset of minimum baseflow conditions (up to 5 months). In contrast, La Niña is associated with increased rainfall and groundwater recharge (up to 94.7% during active cold front periods). During La Niña, the long‐term mean spring discharge (39 Ls−1) is exceeded 63–80% of the time, whereas, during El Niño, the exceedance time ranges between 26% and 44%. The regional hydroclimatic variability is also imprinted on the hydrogen and oxygen isotopic compositions of meteoric waters. Drier conditions favoured lower LC‐excess in rainfall (−17.3‰) and spring water (−6.5‰), whereas wetter conditions resulted in greater values (rainfall = +17.5‰; spring water = +10.7‰). The lower and higher LC‐excess values in rainfall corresponded to the very strong 2014–2016 El Niño and 2018 La Niña, respectively. During the recent triple‐dip 2021–23 La Niña, LC‐excess exhibited a significant and consistently increasing trend. These findings highlight the importance of combining hydrometric, synoptic and isotopic monitoring as ENSO sentinels to advance our current understanding of ENSO impacts on hydrological systems across the humid Tropics. Such information is critical to constraining the 21st century projections of future water stress across this fragile region.

Stormy Times: How did Social Movements Conquer the Political Class for the Overthrow of the Dictatorship in Brazil?

Book Review: PITTS, Bryan. Until the Storm Passes. Politicians, Democracy, and the Demise of Brazil's Military Dictatorship. Oakland: University of California Press, 2023.

Observations and modelling of the winter thunderstorm on 4 February 2022 at the Milešovka meteorological observatory

AbstractThe study analyses a winter thunderstorm that passed over the Milešovka meteorological observatory on 4 February 2022, between 2300 and 2330 UTC. Lightning was recorded directly over the observatory by both the observer and the EUCLID lightning network at 2320 UTC. To analyse the state of the atmosphere at the time when the lightning occurred, we used data from the X‐band Doppler polarimetric radar and the Ka‐band Doppler polarimetric vertical profiler, both located at the observatory. We also applied data from the Meteosat Second Generation satellite, and data from standard meteorological instruments located at the observatory. In addition, we run our cloud electrification model to simulate cloud electrification of the winter thunderstorm to find out whether the model develops conditions suitable for the occurrence of lightning and if so, under what circumstances. Our results show that the lightning appeared at the very end of the storm passage defined by high radar reflectivity. At the same time, it is clear from the radar observations that before lightning occurred, the cloud contained hydrometeors (graupel, cloud or rain water, and ice or snow) which are commonly associated with charge separation by collisions. Our analysis of the radar data also suggests that in at least several parts of the cloud the electric field was strong. Although the cloud top height was very low compared to summer storms, the model results indicate conditions suitable for lightning occurrence. However, uncertainty remains on how to properly formulate the initial conditions for model simulations for this type of storm which was shallow and occurs rarely in winter.

The Cold Waters in the Port of Genoa (NW Mediterranean Sea) during the Marine Heatwave in Summer 2022

Extreme weather phenomena have become more frequent and intense in recent decades in the context of climate change, and these include heat waves that affect both the atmosphere and seawater masses. In 2022, a summer marine heatwave (MHW) affected the entire Mediterranean Sea, and temperatures up to 5 °C above seasonal mean were reached in the Ligurian Sea in the NW part of the Mediterranean basin. In this scenario, the waters of the Port of Genoa (at the northern apex of the Ligurian Sea) distinguished themselves by maintaining lower temperatures than those of the open sea (a maximum gradient of −6.1 °C on 9 August 2022) after the passage of a fast-moving storm. In this study, the weather and sea parameters of the period (June–December 2022) are analysed to determine the phenomenon that caused the drop in temperatures in the water masses of the Port of Genoa. The sudden cooling of the water masses inside the port was caused by a heavy rainfall event in early August. Moreover, the isolation of the port water masses due to the weak dynamics of the period kept them stationary and locked inside the port. Seawater temperatures inside the port slowly rose again after the event, remaining cooler than outside temperatures throughout August (−0.3 °C on 31 August), reaching and exceeding outside temperatures on 3 September (26.4 °C), and remaining warmer until 3 November 2022 (21.5 °C).

An assessment of the zooplankton biomass in Campeche Canyon (southern Gulf of Mexico) during the "Nortes" storm season of 2011

Biomass is a valuable indicator of biological production in any ecosystem and represents a proxy of secondary production in the case of zooplankton. This short communication aims to report zooplankton biomass values in the waters of the Campeche Canyon, southern Gulf of Mexico, during the "Nortes" storm season of 2011 and to explore their relationship with the hydrography and the circulation pattern. The results showed the presence of cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies associated with high and low water density at the base of the pycnocline. The highest values of zooplankton biomass (&gt;40 g 100 m-3) were observed in regions that presented higher water density values (~26.1 kg m-3). In comparison, the lowest zooplankton biomass values (&lt;5 g 100 m-3) were associated with low water densities (&lt;25.6 kg m-3). The results presented here contribute to elucidating the role that physical forcing plays on the zooplankton biomass of the region, particularly during a season in which the passage of extreme storms is widespread.

A lower frequency signal emitted from tornadoes based on a new mechanism

Tornadoes have been shown to radiate infrasound to great distances. After using Lighthill's acoustical analogy to study sound generated by a numerical tornado, we found that there is a significant low-frequency signal between 0.1 Hz and 0.5 Hz. We hypothesized that there is a Kirchhoff vortex-like source at the center of the numerical tornado. Based on vortex sound theory, characteristic frequencies only depend on the strength of the vertical vorticity which can change at different heights of the tornado. Compared to real data analysis, there is a possibility that when a tornado occurs, infrasonic sensors can detect a significant increase in low-frequency signals. This hypothesis is being tested against data collected in the field during the passage of tornado-producing storms.

Study of the Dynamical Relationships between PM2.5 and PM10 in the Caribbean Area Using a Multiscale Framework

The Caribbean basin is a geographical area with a high prevalence of asthma due to mineral dust. As such, it is crucial to analyze the dynamic behavior of particulate pollutants in this region. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters less than or equal to 2.5 and 10 μm (PM2.5 and PM10) using Hilbert–Huang transform (HHT)-based approaches, including the time-dependent intrinsic correlation (TDIC) and time-dependent intrinsic cross-correlation (TDICC) frames. The study utilized datasets from Puerto Rico from between 2007 and 2010 to demonstrate the relationships between two primary particulate matter concentration datasets of air pollution across multiple time scales. The method first decomposes both time series using improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) to obtain the periodic scales. The Hilbert spectral analysis identified two dominant peaks at a weekly scale for both PM types. High amplitude contributions were sustained for long and continuous time periods at seasonal to intra-seasonal scales, with similar trends in spectral amplitude observed for both types of PM except for monthly and intra-seasonal scales of six months. The TDIC method was used to analyze the resulting modes with similar periodic scales, revealing the strongest and most stable correlation pattern at quarterly and annual cycles. Subsequently, lagged correlations at each time scale were analyzed using the TDICC method. For high-frequency PM10 intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) less than a seasonal scale, the value of the IMF at a given time scale was found to be dependent on multiple antecedent values of PM2.5. However, from the quarterly scale onward, the correlation pattern of the PM2.5-PM10 relationship was stable, and IMFs of PM10 at these scales could be modeled by the lag 1 IMF of PM2.5. These results demonstrate that PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations are dynamically linked during the passage of African dust storms.

Observation of Near-Inertial Internal Gravity Waves in the Southern South China Sea

Two sets of more than 850 days of mooring records and satellite altimeter data are used to explore the features and spatiotemporal evolution of near-inertial waves (NIWs) near Nansha Island in the southern South China Sea (SCS). The observed NIWs are dominated by clockwise (downward energy propagation) motions and show a clear blue shift with a distinct peak frequency of 1.09 f during two large NIW events. The near-inertial kinetic energy (NIKE) is primarily concentrated in the upper layer and radiated downward. The largest value of depth-integrated NIKE reaches 3.5 KJ/m2. Besides, the NIWs are dominated by the first three modes, which account for 80% of the total NIKE. Moreover, the depth-integrated NIKE exhibits an apparent seasonal variation, with the largest NIKE in winter, which is almost three times larger than that in other seasons. Every large NIKE event is attributed to the passage of storms and is dominated by mode-2 NIWs. The dominance of the mode-2 NIWs is likely caused by the interaction between NIWs and mesoscale eddies.

Озерные палеоархивы изменения природной среды полуострова Песчаный, Японское море (южное Приморье)

The stages of evolution of two barrier lakes and vegetation development of the Peschany Peninsula (South Primorye) have been reconstructed on the base of multi-proxy study of the sediment sequences, connected with hydroclimatic changes over the past 6300 years. Tephra of the caldera-forming eruption of Baitoushan volcano (946/947 AD) is one of the chronological markers. The Middle Holocene paleolake existed on the accumulative landform, and the lake on the isthmus connecting the paleoisland with the mainland, was formed at the beginning of the Late Holocene. Several periods of watering due to precipitation increase are distinguished in its development. Redeposited freshwater diatoms from subbasalt deposits are bioindicators of sheet wash activation during heavy rains associated with typhoons. Findings of valves of marine and brackish diatoms indicate the passage of extreme storms. Overgrowing of the paleolake began at the end of the Holocene thermal optimum (~5410 years ago). The periods of dryness are usually associated with cooling and a decrease in the intensity of the summer monsoon. The Little Ice Age is the exception: the flooding of the swamp with a relict lake on the isthmus increased sharply. A change of Korean pine/broad-leaved forests with the participation of fir, birches and polydominant broad-leaved forests was established. It is shown that since the Holocene Optimum there have been ecotopes with contrasting heat and moisture supply. Human impact to geosystems was recorded. Paleolimnological studies made possible to identify the Middle-Late Holocene short-period climatic rhythm on the coast of the Amur Bay. The manifestation of cold and warm events has been established, their correlation with regional data and global events has been carried out, and the connection with ocean anomalies and the intensity of the summer monsoon has been shown.

First record of Lesson's Seedeater Sporophila bouvronides in Costa Rica

We report the first record of Lesson's Seedeater Sporophila bouvronides, a South American species, in Costa Rica. It was seen at Tortuguero, in the lowlands of north-east Costa Rica in June 2022. The record is perhaps explained by the passage of a tropical storm that moved north-west from off northern South America.

Site- and building height-dependent design extreme wind speed vertical profile of tropical cyclone

Tropical cyclone (TC) wind is one of the dominant loadings in the design of building structures. The radial distance-dependent vertical profile and prominent jet structure or super gradient of TC winds make the conventional terrain-dependent design profile inadequate for describing TC wind loadings along the height. Herein, a stochastic simulation-based algorithm is developed to determine the design extreme wind speed vertical profile of TC using a quasi-3D TC wind field model. The wind field model is first described and validated by comparing the vertical wind speed profiles with the upper-level dropsonde data and lower-level tower observation results. The evolution of the wind profile during the passage of historical real storms is reproduced by introducing optimal fitting results for the wind field parameters. Ten-thousand-year synthetic tracks are simulated to obtain the design extreme wind speeds for several coastal cities. The design extreme wind speed composite profile and structure height-dependent outer envelope profile (OEP) are proposed, which are applicable to a certain height of interest and buildings with different heights, respectively. These profiles also depend on terrain exposure, return period, and location of the site of interest. The code-suggested profiles are confirmed to underestimate the TC-induced wind loadings along the height, especially at sites with lower roughness lengths. The power law profile is still applicable, but larger power coefficients should be utilized, and the design extreme wind speed at 10m should be increased with an increase in the structure height. This study provides a forward step towards the rational estimation of TC-induced wind loadings for high-rise structures. • The radial distance-dependent vertical profile and prominent jet structure of tropical cyclone winds are reproduced. • The design extreme wind speed composite profile and structure height-dependent outer envelope profile (OEP) for tropical cyclone are proposed. • The inadequacy of current code-suggested wind speed vertical profiles to tropical cyclone winds is discussed. • The design extreme wind speed vertical profiles of tropical cyclone in several coastal cities are developed.

Microhabitat and Landscape Drivers of Richness and Abundance of Freshwater Mussels (Unionida: Unionidae) in a Coastal Plain River

Although rivers support significant unionid mussel (Unionida: Unionidae) diversity, Gulf of Mexico tributary rivers have been subject to changes in water quality and habitat due to altered watershed land use. We quantified mussel species richness and relative abundance and environmental factors in small tributary streams of the Pearl River, Mississippi-Louisiana. Freshwater mussel and habitat surveys were conducted at 27 stream sampling sites over two summers (9 sites revisited), and coverage of seven land use categories and seven geological categories above each reach were calculated. Mussels were patchily distributed (53% of sites sampled yielded mussels) and typically not abundant (only 26% of sites yielded &gt;10 mussels). Surveys revealed nine species, with total abundance ranging from 0–66 mussels and richness ranging from 0–5 species per site. Assemblages were driven by an upper to lower watershed gradient of decreasing CPUE and richness, with microhabitat and water quality, land cover, and geology locally modifying this gradient. Environmental variables did not seem of sufficient magnitude to account for the patchy distributions and low abundances of mussels at most study sites, and we hypothesize that high discharge events related to tropical storm passage may have exerted an overriding influence on mussel assemblages in these streams through direct mortality and/or altered availability of suitable glochidial hosts.